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Thiago Malaguth

@thiagomalaguth.bsky.social
324 followers 517 following 1 posts

PhD student @mpidr.bsky.social | Master in Demography @cedeplar | EDSD 2023-24

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Reposted by Thiago Malaguth
Ilya Kashnitsky @ikashnitsky.phd · 20/09/2026
One of the best examples of age heaping #demography Smth like this: - Who else lives in the household? - Grandpa - How old is he? - Ehm... 85
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
All four books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - Bayesian Workflow at avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... Links to other three books are in the quoted post 👇 (too many books to fit in one post!)
avehtari.github.io
Bayesian Workflow book: Website – Bayesian Workflow book
Website for the Bayesian Workflow book by Gelman, Vehtari, McElreath, et al. — case studies, code, and exercises in R and Stan.
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Egor Kotov 🌐🏃‍♂️🚊🚋🚙 @ekotov.pro · 24/04/2026
I am holding a free workshop/tutorial "LLM coding agents for academics" at 𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐞𝐚𝐧 𝐏𝐨𝐩𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔 𝐢𝐧 𝐁𝐨𝐥𝐨𝐠𝐧𝐚 this year. Come by if you are attending the conference! #EPC2026 @eaps.bsky.social @eapsphd.bsky.social Details and free registration at www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Bayesian Workflow by Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, @rmcelreath.bsky.social with @danpsimpson.bsky.social, @charlesm993.bsky.social, @yulingy.bsky.social, Lauren Kennedy, Jonah Gabry, @paulbuerkner.com, @modrakm.bsky.social, @vianeylb.bsky.social (in production, estimated copy-editing time 6 weeks)
**Part 1: From Bayesian inference to Bayesian workflow**

1. Bayesian theory and Bayesian practice
2. Statistical modeling and workflow
3. Computational tools
4. Introduction to workflow: Modeling performance on a multiple choice exam

**Part 2: Statistical workflow**

5. Building statistical models
6. Using simulations to capture uncertainty
7. Prediction, generalization, and causal inference
8. Visualizing and checking fitted models
9. Comparing and improving models
10. Statistical inference and scientific inference

**Part 3: Computational workflow**

11. Fitting statistical models
12. Diagnosing and fixing problems with fitting
13. Approximate algorithms and approximate models
14. Simulation-based calibration checking
15. Statistical modeling as software development
**4. Case studies**

16. Coding a series of models: Simulated data of movie ratings
17. Prior specification for regression models: Reanalysis of a sleep study
18. Predictive model checking and comparison: Clinical trial
19. Building up to a hierarchical model: Coronavirus testing
20. Using a fitted model for decision analysis: Mixture model for time series competition
21. Posterior predictive checking: Stochastic learning in dogs
22. Incremental development and testing: Black cat adoptions
23. Debugging a model: World Cup football
24. Leave-one-out cross validation model checking and comparison: Roaches
25. Model building and expansion: Golf putting
26. Model building with latent variables: Markov models for animal movement
27. Model building: Time-series decomposition for birthdays
28. Models for regression coefficients and variable selection: Student grades
29. Sampling problems with latent variables: No vehicles in the park
30. Challenge of multimodality: Differential equation for planetary motion
31. Simulation-based calibration checking in model development workflow

**Appendices**

A. Statistical and computational workflow for Bayesians and non-Bayesians
B. How to get the most out of Bayesian Data Analysis
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Aliakbar Akbaritabar @akbaritabar.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
The call for applications for the Summer Incubator 2026 at the @mpidr.bsky.social is open! Deadline: Jan 14, 2026. Topics/Teams: 1) Spatial Mobility and Scientific Production 2) Digitalization, AI and Inequalities Check out the brand new website for information: www.incubator.demogr.mpg.de
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
🎉🎊A week full of celebrations ✨Two ERC Starting Grants for the MPIDR✨ We are thrilled to announce that @marilianep.bsky.social and @ugobas.bsky.social have each been awarded with an ERC Starting Grant by the @erc.europa.eu. #ERCStG www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even... #ERCStartingGrant #longevity
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Reminder that all three books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use (and the fourth will be, too)
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Misha Teplitskiy | Science of science | on LinkedIn mostly @innovation.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
In 1981 NYT published a piece on the then-new citation index, and how it was being used "unintentionally" for performance evaluations
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Amanda Martins de Almeida @amandamalmeida.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Learned so much this week doing this course! Highly recommend it!Completed the week with this plot version from my project about Shared Lifetime in 1950 and 2023
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Diego Alburez @demography.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
Some good news to brighten up your feed: Our #R package 📦 DemoKin for the demographic analysis of kinship has a new website with extensive documentation and literature 🎉🎈 @mpidr.bsky.social If you don't know it yet, why not check it out? ivanwilli.github.io/DemoKin/inde...
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Aliakbar Akbaritabar @akbaritabar.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Very proud of this work by Faeze Ghorbanpour, @thiagomalaguth.bsky.social and me, which addresses the left censoring issues in migration research that uses digital trace data. It will appear in the proceedings of #ICWSM2025, and Faeze is going to present it there. Access: doi.org/10.48550/arX...
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Bernardo Lanza Queiroz @blqueiroz.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Last january/february, I started a new position as the Editor of the Brazilian Journal of Population Studies - . Rebep is the official publication of the Brazilian Association of Population Studies (ABEP). Rebep is 100% Open Access. Please, find more information here: www.scielo.br/j/rbepop/
scielo.br
Revista Brasileira de Estudos de População
Estimular e difundir a produção brasileira e internacional no campo da Demografia e População e Desenvolvimento Sustentável e propiciar o diálogo entre este campo e áreas afins.
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Rohan Alexander @rohanalexander.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Congratulations Monica! iussp.org/en/2025-iuss...
iussp.org
International Union for the Scientific Study of Population
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Bernardo Lanza Queiroz @blqueiroz.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Call for Papers: Workshop on Health and Mortality in Latin America (Montevideo, Uruguay, 17-18 Sept 2025) Deadline for submission: 20 April 2025 This workshop will focus on discussing recent changes in health and mortality profiles in LA and the challenges these pose for different countries.
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INED (in english) @ined-english.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
The call for applications for the European Doctoral School of Demography (EDSD) 2025-2026 is open! This international doctoral program aims to provide students with a high-level education in demography. Deadline to apply: March 25th, 2025 at 12 PM (noon). More information: eaps.nl/edsd/how-to-...
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
In December 2024, 223 new R-packages were published on CRAN. TwoTimeScales is one of the top 40 packages according to Joseph Rickert. Shutout to @egorkotov.bsky.social and his spanishoddata also appearing among the top 40! 🤩🥳 www.r-bloggers.com/2025/01/dece...
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Carla Rowold @crowold.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
Are you going to #PAA2025 and work with sequence analysis? Then submit your paper to our pre-PAA sequence analysis workshop, happening right before #PAA2025, same venue, on April 9 - free of charge! You only need a 200-word abstract 🚀 and can also just register for attendance. See y'all there! 🤗
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 07/10/2024
WelcomeWeeks @mpidr.bsky.social! We are happy to welcome @thiagomalaguth.bsky.social as a new team member. Thiago holds a Master's degree in Demography from the University of Minas Gerais and also attended the European Doctoral School of Demography. Welcome Thiago! www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
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Ebru Sanliturk @ebrusanliturk.bsky.social · 01/10/2024
Interested in scholarly migration and mobility? Register to join us online for a one-day symposium on October 15, using the link 👇
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 20/09/2024
Last day of the "Intro to Bayesian Statistics for Demographic Science"@mpidr.bsky.social: It was a great week with lab sessions & great instructors guiding through prior & posterior probability distributions to understand Bayesian inference. Thanks@imprs-phds.bsky.social! @oxforddemsci.bsky.social
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 18/09/2024
🚨Job Offer🚨 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁-𝗗𝗼𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗿 Application Deadline: Oct 31, 2024 @mpidr.bsky.social is looking for a post-doctoral researcher to join the Research Group on #Migration and #Health #Inequalities led by @loisilvia.bsky.social. www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... #PostDoc #jobs
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 16/09/2024
🚨DEADLINE EXTENDED🚨 📣Call for Application‼️ 2. Rostock Open Science Workshop Rostock @mpidr.bsky.social 📅March 17–18, 2025 #openscience #data demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even... @ezagheni.bsky.social @demography.bsky.social @julialeesch.bsky.social
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Rafael H. M. Pereira 🚡 Urban Demographics @urbandemog.bsky.social · 10/09/2024
📣 Estou com um vaga para assistente de pesquisa trabalhar comigo com ciência de dados, acessibilidade urbana e identificação causal www.ipea.gov.br/portal/bolsa... (vaga em Brasília). Ajudem a divulgar <3
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
📣Call for Application‼️ Join online‼️ Topics in Digital and Computational Demography 📅Nov 4 - Nov 8, 2024 Application Deadline: Sep 24, 2024 Instructors: @akbaritabar.bsky.social Jisu Kim @conteristo.bsky.social Tom Theile & @ezagheni.bsky.social www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... youtu.be/ATmV919lgzI
youtu.be
Call for Application!
YouTube video by Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
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Aliakbar Akbaritabar @akbaritabar.bsky.social · 14/06/2024
Thiago @thiagomalaguth.bsky.social presenting his great results on gender differences in internal and international migration of scholars worldwide at #EPC2024 @mpidr.bsky.social @ezagheni.bsky.social
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 11/04/2024
📣Call for papers‼️ Angela Carollo, Aapo Hiilamo & Mikko Myrskylä invite submissions for the workshop "Demystifying machine learning for population researchers" which aims to clarify goals, techniques,& applications of machine learning methods for population research. www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
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Bernardo Lanza Queiroz @blqueiroz.bsky.social · 19/02/2024
Important! We announce the XI Congress of ALAPLet's meet from December 9 to 13, 2024 in Bogotá, Colombia, to explore the 'new' demographic scenarios in Latin America and the Caribbean. More info here congreso.alapop.org
congreso.alapop.org
Inicio | ALAP 2024
Inicio | XI Congreso de la Asociación Latinoamericana de Población (ALAP)
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Bernardo Lanza Queiroz @blqueiroz.bsky.social · 15/02/2024
My hometown, "little-known" Belo Horizonte is now the center of carnival in Brazil. 😄 www.bbc.com/travel/artic...
bbc.com
Brazil's new it-town for Carnival 2024
This year, Brazilians seem to have recognised that the heart of carnival culture is not in Rio, but in little-known Belo Horizonte.
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Bernardo Lanza Queiroz @blqueiroz.bsky.social · 30/11/2023
updates about LAHMD - lamortalidad.github.io The new web-site (and domain) is up and working. We have available data for 7 countries in Latin America.
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Alberto Cairo @albertocairo.com · 17/11/2023
Let's try to make this platform the new public forum for discussing infographics and data visualization. Shall we?
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 15/11/2023
Salut de Paris! Our colleagues @thiagomalaguth.bsky.social , Nikita Kubska, Laura Pasqua Leone & Jose Andrade are part of the European Doctoral School of Demography 2023-2024 cohort. They are enjoying their stay in Paris with the Institut national d’études démographiques! @eapsphd.bsky.social
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Diego Alburez @demography.bsky.social · 24/10/2023
Check out this 3 year postdoc focused on modelling kinship and intergenerational processes in demography with the amazing Ridhi Kashyap at Oxford Sociology. Kinship! 🔗 my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...
my.corehr.com
Job Details
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