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Angela Carollo

@angelacar.bsky.social
341 followers 346 following 78 posts

Applied statistician at @mpidr.bsky.social. I am passionate about using time-to-event models to study socio-demographic and medical outcomes. I might ask you about the time scale in your model :)

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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
This is a fantastic project, and I am so honored to have contributed with the two dimensional hazard surfaces from my paper on transitions from cohabitation to marriage in Germany demoscapes.org/collections/... More 2D hazards to come - stay tuned
demoscapes.org
Carollo et al. 2025
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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 09/04/2026
Our PhD student Kennedy Orwa, who studies applications of AI to health care, was hastily deported today to Kenya along with his 13-year-old son without opportunity to speak to legal counsel. King 5 reports that he held a valid visa that was rescinded without explanation.
king5.com
UW graduate student deported through SEA as protesters demand answers
A union representing University of Washington graduate student workers says Kennedy Orwa’s student visa was rescinded without explanation.
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Alright, beat me! I am currently at the fourth place 😏
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
IYKYK :D
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
🎉Congrats 👋 DGD Best Paper Award for Philipp Dierker He received the award for his paper "Re-partnering and single mothers‘ mental health and life satisfaction trajectories". www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_events_61…
Person holding a certificate with the inscription ‘Best Paper Award 2026’ in front of a window overlooking water and buildings.
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
📢Job Offer‼️New Max Planck Research Group on Medical Demography Marcus Ebeling will lead the team starting on 1 July 2026. The research group will be based at the MPIDR in Rostock. Read an interview with Marcus on his future research here: www.demogr.mpg.de/go/rgmd (including link to job) #postdoc
Job opening for postdoctoral researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic-Epidemiology.The Medical Demography research group explains its goals for studying disease progression and its effects on health and the population.We are looking for a PhD in demography, sociology, epidemiology, or related fields with experience in quantitative health data analysis.Apply now: The application deadline is March 22, 2026. For more information, visit www.demogr.mpg.de/go/jobs.
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Wonderful and clear explanation from one of my favorite scientists!
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Many congratulations Jutta! This is a very well deserved appointment!
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Academia teaches you critical thinking, mostly about your own life choices
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 23/12/2025
Life goals: getting banned by NPR by having too many opinions
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DYNAMICS_PhD @dynamics.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Thrilled to celebrate our doctoral resesearcher @jeinhoff.bsky.social ´s successful PhD defense! 🎉 His dissertation on the social stratification of extending working lives is officially wrapped — and now he’s kicking off his postdoc journey at the @mpidr.bsky.social . Congrats!
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D. Susie Lee 이수지 @dsusielee.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Join me as 3-year #postdoc to study Demography of "Reproductive Ageing" -menopause 🩸infertility 💉older fathers 👨‍👧 and more -novel data sources from around the world -population-level understanding of causes and consequences of reproductive ageing + Wonderful research community @mpidr.bsky.social
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Six Million Euros for Research on Population Projections in Finland MPIDR director Mikko Myrskylä + coll. Wolfgang Lutz, Mirkka Danielsbacka and Anna Rotkirch will receive 6 million euros to do research on population projections for migration scenarios (MigScene). www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
TwoTimeScales 1.1.1 is now on GitHub! github.com/AngelaCar/Tw...
github.com
GitHub - AngelaCar/TwoTimeScales: Analysis of event data with two time scales
Analysis of event data with two time scales. Contribute to AngelaCar/TwoTimeScales development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Cameron Patrick @cameronpat.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
happy 11th anniversary to this email sent to all staff at the School of Mathematics and Statistics
Dear All,

I am delighted to report to you the first results of an experiment that is being conducted in the tea room of this Department.

On 29 August, an Oslo Stainless Steel Cutlery Set (48 Pieces: 12 Knifes, 12 Forks, 12 Tea Spoons, 12 Dinner Spoons) was placed in a drawer in the Departmental tea room. A poster asking not to remove the cutlery from the tea room was attached in a visible location.

The original research plan was to monitor (in real time) the disappearance of the cutlery from the tea room and then fit a point/counting process model to the observed data. However, as the research project failed to attract any major grants (and so hiring a research assistant to do the work was impossible), it was decided to conduct opportunistic discrete monitoring only.

Here is the first result: sixty days in the experiment, the disappearance rates stand as follows:

Knives: 8.3%
Forks: 100%
Tea spoons: 58.3%
Dinner spoons: 41.7%

Possible conclusions include, but are not limited to, the following:

the people who removed the missing cutlery don’t understand written English; they don’t see forks as a special case of cutlery; forks are needed to do some kind of mathematics; the knives from the set are no good; small spoons are slightly more attractive than the large ones; things left in our tea room tend to disappear even if they are not edible; further research is needed to fully understand the phenomenon. 

Best,
kostya borovkov
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
I am very happy to see our paper featured in this press release! I have written a bit of a longer post on LinkedIn www.linkedin.com/feed/update/... for the interested reader. The original press release can be found here: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
linkedin.com
I am incredibly happy of finally sharing the news about my latest publication in *Sociological Methods and Research*. In this paper we explore the topic of time-to-event data with multiple time… | A...
I am incredibly happy of finally sharing the news about my latest publication in *Sociological Methods and Research*. In this paper we explore the topic of time-to-event data with multiple time scal...
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
35 Years of #Reunification MPIDR Researchers Discuss the Demographic Situation in #Germany Nicole Hiekel is Leader of the Research Group Gender Inequalities & Fertility @mpidr.bsky.social. Full quote: www.demogr.mpg.de/go/reunification #EastGermany #WestGermany #CareWork #GenderInequality #Family
Portrait of a woman with brown hair and a black top in front of a green background with text about German reunification and gender inequality. Her quote says: German reunification brought together two different traditions of balancing family and career. Even 35 years later, these differences persist. While women's participation in the labor market has increased overall, the unequal distribution of care work remains a key challenge.
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Demography - the flagship journal of PAA @readdemography.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
In “Single Parenthood, Gender & Mortality” @minekuhn.bsky.social @angelacar.bsky.social J Caputo, L Ahrenfeldt & @annaoksuzyan.bsky.social examine “variations in mortality by pathway into single p'hood" & other factors. @sociologytiu.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Very proud to see this paper, resulting from a long and fun collaboration, finally published in Demography!!! 🤓
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
💡[SPOTLIGHT] 💡Too Many Men, Too Few Women Research by Henrik Schubert & @cdudel.bsky.social shows that regional partner markets —particularly the ratio of ♂️ to ♀️ in the relevant age & educational groups — significantly influence childlessness among men in Finland. www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
A map of Finland showing the individual regions in different colors. The colors indicate the extent of childlessness among men in these regions. The map refers to men aged 45, born between 1968 and 1975. Childlessness is expressed as a percentage.
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Congratulations to Ben and all my well wishes for a successful start of his research group! Well done!🥳
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IMPRS-PHDS @imprs-phds.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Mentoring & advising doctoral researchers is at the very heart of the PHDS School. We are much indebted to PHDS faculty for their invaluable services in mentoring predocs as well as to Thomas Koch for leading a two-day workshop on "Supervising Doctoral Researchers" @mpidr.bsky.social. Thank you all!
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
Incredibile news!!! Congratulations to these two wonderful colleagues 🥳👏🏼 amazing!!!
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
‼️📣 Publication alert 📣‼️ Our new paper "Competing risks models with two time scales" has just been published in Statistical Methods in Medical Research. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... In this paper we extend the two time scales hazard model to analyze competing events over two time scales ⏱️⏲️
journals.sagepub.com
Competing risks models with two time scales - Angela Carollo, Hein Putter, Paul HC Eilers, Jutta Gampe, 2025
Competing risks models can involve more than one time scale. A relevant example is the study of mortality after a cancer diagnosis, where time since diagnosis b...
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
🚨Open Positions!🚨 Postdoc/Research Scientist Positions Migration | Population Dynamics | Computational Demography Application Deadline: Oct 10, 2025 See job description here: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... #Postdoc #Jobs @ezagheni.bsky.social @perrottadaniela.bsky.social @ugobas.bsky.social
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
Don't you all just love how the journal production teams are like "PLEASE SUBMIT YOUR PROOF WITHIN 2 BUSINESS DAYS" and then take 3/4 business WEEKS to publish the paper? 😅
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Congratulations Lara!!!
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Congratulations!!!
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
Or, you could do it more flexibly 😉 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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Statistical Modelling Society @statmodsociety.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
Ever listened to a beautiful song about leaving the land of convexity? 🎶🎵 We had the pleasure to enjoy Cynthia Rudin's song right after an already inspiring talk about ✨ amazing things that come from having many good models ✨ What an extraordinary invited session at #IWSM2025!
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Statistical Modelling Society @statmodsociety.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
The first day of #IWSM2025 started with a warm welcome from our chair Kevin Burke and Norma Bargary! 🫂 We are looking forward to four contributed sessions and our invited speaker Sonja Greven talking about additive density regression!
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Alessandro Di Nallo @aledinal.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Relationships are often built on shared values and beliefs, but what happens when political preferences create a divide? @brunoarpino.bsky.social and I investigated how political (mis)match affects union dissolution in @readdemography.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
Saluti da Cagliari in Sardegna! This looks like a very happy group of social scientists! @mpidr.bsky.social is having a blast at #PopDays2025 in Cagliari at the University of Cagliari. @aisp-sis.bsky.social Also, anyone left back in Rostock is not jealous at all ... maybe only a tiny bit ... 😊
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
I'm really looking forward to this! My coauthors and I will present a poster on using statistical boosting + multistate models to study romantic partnership trajectories 👫💒💔😱 Very interesting results in my (very unbiased 😜) opinion, so don't forget to stop by our poster!
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
If you are at #PAA2025 come to see my presentation about “Competing risks models with two time scales” at 9:30 in room Treasury.
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
🏆 Congratulations to Donata Stonkute! 🎉She just won a Poster Award at #PAA2025 for her poster on "Intersecting Pathways: Understanding Dementia, Hearing Loss, and Health Disparities". Well done and well deserved Donata! @popassocamerica.bsky.social
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
🚨Call for Papers🚨 BIOSFER Conference Fertility, Childlessness, and Reproductive Aging: Bio-social Perspectives Organizer: ERC Synergy BIOSFER project 🗺️Villa Vigoni, Menaggio, Italy, 📅September 15–17, 2025 Application Deadline: April 30, 2025 Learn all: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even... @au.dk
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Looking forward to returning to #PAA2025 after 6 years! I will present my paper "Competing risks models with two time scales" Saturday at 09:30 (Treasury). I will also present the poster "To baby or not to be? Fertility intentions and relationships outcomes in Germany" also Saturday at 16:00. 🤓
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
🆕📰 𝙂𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧 𝙍𝙤𝙡𝙚 𝘽𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙚𝙛𝙨 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙥𝙚 𝘿𝙚𝙨𝙞𝙧𝙚 𝙛𝙤𝙧 #𝙋𝙖𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙝𝙤𝙤𝙙 The study examines the relationship between #gender roles & the desire to have children in Scandinavia. Authors: @nhiekel.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social & Katia Begall (Raboud University). www.demogr.mpg.de/go/genderroles #Fertility #Demography
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
‼️ #JobOpening ‼️ #Postdoc Position(s) at the Max Planck | University of Helsinki Centre for Social Inequalities in Population Health in #Rostock 📅Deadline: May 4, 2025 www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... #Postdoc #SocialInequalities #Population #Demography #Epidemiology #Health @pophel.bsky.social
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Demography - the flagship journal of PAA @readdemography.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
“Declining Fertility, Human Capital & Economic Sustainability”: M Myrskyla @angelorenti.bsky.social @htikkanen.bsky.social et al show how fertility & investment in education affect pension burden. @flux-consortium.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
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UCL Department of Statistical Science @statisticsucl.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
This week's seminar will be given by Desi Ivanova (University of Oxford). Time and date: Wednesday 26th March 2-3pm (GMT) In-person location: 1-19 Torrington Place, B09 Link to join online: contact stats-seminars-join@ucl.ac.uk
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Statistical Modelling Society @statmodsociety.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
🚀 The #IWSM2025 Conference is getting closer, taking place from 13th-18th July in lovely Limerick, Ireland! 🔔 Important Reminder: The deadline for poster submissions is just a week away — 28th March! 🔹 Early-bird registration is open until 25th April 👉 More details and registration: iwsm2025.ie
iwsm2025.ie
IWSM 2025
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ESRC Centre for Population Change and Connecting Generations @cpc-cg.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
🗓️ Diaries at the ready - next week @cdudel.bsky.social is presenting our #CPCCGwebinar. Hear about findings from an analysis of the causal impact of #smoking on healthy working #lifeexpectancy at age 50 using US Health & Retirement Study data. @mpidr.bsky.social ▶️ www.cpc.ac.uk/activities/f...
Image shows woman wearing headphones and making notes at an office desk while watching a webinar on a laptop screen. The text advertises the next CPC-CG webinar: Thursday 27 March at 13:00 UK Time. Dr Christian Dudel, Deputy Director of the Max Planck-University of Helsinki Centre for Social Inequalities in Population Health will be delivering a presentation, entitled "Smoking and the length of working life". Full info an registration at: https://www.cpc.ac.uk/activities/full_events_calendar/892/CPC_CG_Webinar__Christian_Dudel
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
www.psychologicalscience.org/news/2025-ma... A nice take on our recent paper about the link between verbal fluency and survival at old ages.
psychologicalscience.org
Mastery of Language Could Predict Longevity
A recent study has linked longevity specifically to verbal fluency, the measure of one's vocabulary and ability to use it.
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
I can confirm it was fantastic!
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
🔓📊Yesterday the Rostock #OpenScience Workshop started @mpidr.bsky.social with a lot of ☀️☀️☀️. We welcome scientists from all over the 🌏 to discuss ideas of how we can make our research more #open. We start today with great energy⚡ & look forward to sharing our knowledge & learning from our guests.
Group picture of a group of scientists in front of the MPIDR building.
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Nicole Hiekel @nhiekel.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
Unlike men, German women’s income drops by 20 percent on average upon marriage. Reasons are nonegalitarian gender roles and incentives for joint taxation. WP here: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/4ffpm... www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/a...
tagesschau.de
Einkommen von Frauen sinken nach Heirat um 20 Prozent
Wenn Frauen heiraten, sinkt ihr Arbeitseinkommen im Schnitt um 20 Prozent. Das bestätigt eine neue Studie. Als Gründe nennen die Forscher falsche Anreize im Steuersystem und alte Rollenbilder.
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
What a beautiful illustration!
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Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
I was very honored to be involved in this fantastic research project! 🤩 I am happy to finally see the paper online. Great to bring some collaboration between different Max Planck Institutes 🤝
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