iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Cameron Martin @thecmartin.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

Order books and output expectations look much stronger than we've seen recently. But it's too soon to know if we're turning a corner, especially given the pick up in selling price expectations.

001

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey found that total manufacturing order books improved in August. Export order books were reported as normal for the first time in over four years.

101

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

New blog 📢 As the Iran conflict drags on, we take stock of what’s happened with UK natural gas prices and what risks lurk ahead of winter. Free to read for CBI members🔒 www.cbi.org.uk/articles/nat...

cbi.org.uk

Natural gas prices: turning up the heat ahead of winter | CBI

UK natural gas prices have risen sharply this year due to the Iran conflict, although they remain well below their 2022 peak.

001

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

UK GDP grew by 0.4% in Q2 2026, matching market expectations. This follows a robust 0.6% expansion in Q1 2026. These figures leave GDP 1.2% higher than in Q2 2025.

112

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

📉 PRIVATE SECTOR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL AGAIN, EXTENDING A RUN OF NEGATIVE PREDICTIONS THAT BEGAN IN LATE 2024 But expectations are the least negative since March

101

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

8.7%. That's how fast input prices for manufacturers rose in the year to May — the fastest pace since February 2023. 📈 Our July Economic Deep Dive breaks down how the Iran conflict is feeding through to costs, inflation, and investment.

111

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

CBI Senior Economist @thecmartin.bsky.social said “Manufacturers are facing an increasingly difficult trading environment, with order books now at their weakest since 2020 and output continuing to fall.” To learn more, read our press release here: 🔗 www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...

cbi.org.uk

Manufacturing order books sink to a six-year low – CBI Industrial Trends Survey | CBI

Manufacturing order books sink to a six-year low – CBI Industrial Trends Survey

001

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey pointed to a broad-based fall in output volumes in the three months to June, with the balance slipping to its weakest since 2020. Manufacturers expect output volumes to fall again in the three months to September.

102

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

📢New CBI UK economic forecast is out 📢 We expect GDP growth to slow from 1.4% in 2025 to 1.1% in 2026 and 0.9% in 2027, as the Iran conflict pushes up inflation and weighs on private sector demand. What you need to know 🧵👇 (1/8)

163

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

❓ What is the net zero economy really worth to the UK? That’s what @eciu.net tasked us to find out through the most comprehensive independent assessment yet of the net zero economy in 2025. Download the full report now 👉 www.cbi.org.uk/articles/net...

cbi.org.uk

Net Gains: The UK's Net Zero Economy in 2025 | CBI

New analysis from CBI Economics and ECIU reveals a £105 billion sector generating high-wage jobs across every UK nation and region.

031

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey showed that output volumes fell in the three months to May. Manufacturers expect output volumes to fall again in the three months to August.

111

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

CBI Senior Economist @thecmartin.bsky.social said “the conflict in the Middle East is feeding through to higher energy costs and renewed supply chain disruption, adding another layer of challenges for manufacturers” To learn more, read our press release here: 🔗 www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...

cbi.org.uk

Manufacturing order books at their weakest since 2020 - CBI Industrial Trends Survey - May 2026 | CBI

Manufacturing order books at their weakest since 2020 - CBI Industrial Trends Survey - May 2026

011

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

UK GDP rose 0.5% in the three months to February, from 0.3% in the three months to January and no growth in the three months to December. This leaves GDP 1% higher than in February 2025.

121

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Cameron Martin @thecmartin.bsky.social · 15/04/2026

Our latest Economic Deep Dive is out now🚨 Growth is weak, inflation risks are picking up again, and uncertainty is still weighing on business decisions. Worth a look 👇

081

Cameron Martin @thecmartin.bsky.social · 15/04/2026

Our latest Economic Deep Dive is out now🚨 Growth is weak, inflation risks are picking up again, and uncertainty is still weighing on business decisions. Worth a look 👇

081

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey showed that output volumes fell in the three months to March. Firms expect volumes to be broadly flat in the three months to June, and the least pessimistic outlook for 12 months.

131

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

The Bank of England’s MPC voted unanimously to leave Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75%. The Committee said it would “monitor closely the situation in the Middle East and its impact on global energy supply and energy prices, and the UK inflation outlook”

162

Cameron Martin @thecmartin.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

The outlook for manufacturing looks a little less weak in our latest ITS. But, much more needs to be done around lowering the cost of doing business to restore confidence and support demand

040

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

#Retail sales volumes recovered in December, by 0.4% (from -0.1% in November). But despite December’s boost, underlying momentum was weaker, with sales volumes declining by 0.3% over Q4 2025 as a whole.

111

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey shows manufacturing output volumes fell in the three months to December, though at a slower pace than in November. Firms expect output to decline again over the next three months.

151

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 12/12/2025

📢 NEW: CBI UK Economic Forecast 📢 We project UK #GDP growth of 1.4% in 2025, 1.3% in 2026, and 1.5% in 2027. Moderate growth masks continued subdued momentum in household spending and business investment, while longer-term prospects remain constrained by weak productivity. 🧵👇

321

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Alpesh Paleja @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social · 12/09/2025

A little overshadowed by the GDP data this morning, but worth noting that households' inflation expectations have crept up again in the latest BoE Inflation Attitudes Survey. Hhs now expect the CPI rate to be 3.4% in two years time, the highest such expectation since end-2022

062

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 03/09/2025

As a former resident of wonk-land, this made me snort www.economist.com/britain/2025...

1324452

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 02/09/2025

Sticky inflation vs a cooling labour market — a tough trade-off for the MPC. In our latest Economy in Brief, @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social unpacks: · Why the MPC is so divided · Mixed signals on UK growth · What’s next for private sector activity Read more: www.cbi.org.uk/articles/eco...

cbi.org.uk

Economy in brief: August 2025 | CBI

Your monthly guide to the UK economy, giving you a monthly overview of the major trends impacting the UK's main business sectors.

032

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 02/09/2025

Not good. www.bloomberg.com/news/live-bl...

3123

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 18/08/2025

My only geopolitical insight today: Macron is always the best dressed global leader.

1917410

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 14/08/2025

UK GDP grew by 0.3% q/q in Q2 2025, beating consensus estimates of 0.1%. Nonetheless, this marked a slowdown from the 0.7% growth seen over Q1 2025.

101

Reposted by Cameron Martin

JamesSmithRF @jamessmithrf.bsky.social · 14/08/2025

Key release of UK GDP this morning, not least for the government which is hoping for some signs of growth... In the event, growth was higher than expected at 0.3% in Q2, but still slowed sharply from 0.7% in Q1. Lots going on in the data here - thread on all that to follow...

33017

Cameron Martin @thecmartin.bsky.social · 30/07/2025

Our latest Growth Indicator points to another broad-based contraction in private sector activity through to October. #GI

050

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 07/07/2025

The UK economy surprised with strong growth in Q1 2025, but faced domestic and global headwinds in Q2 📉 Our latest Economic Deep Dive cuts through the noise to break down trends in demand, inflation, labour, and investment 🔍 Exclusive to CBI members🔒: www.cbi.org.uk/articles/eco...

cbi.org.uk

Economic deep dive Q2 2025 | CBI

Your quarterly guide to the UK economy; making sense of the key trends and what's driving them.

041

Cameron Martin @thecmartin.bsky.social · 26/06/2025

June's DTS showed another fall in retail sales volumes, extending a long period of weakness. July isn't expected to be any better, with retailers citing consumer caution as a reason for weak sales.

010

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Duncan Lamont @duncanlamont2.bsky.social · 25/06/2025

Only 3% of median-income Millennial households (27-42 year olds) are predicted to achieve "moderate" living standards in retirement Save more / work longer / generate higher investment returns

145822

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Alpesh Paleja @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social · 16/06/2025

Of course, the most important release this is week is our own economic forecast on Wednesday - which will outline our view of the UK economic outlook over the next couple of years, amid continued domestic headwinds and increasing geopolitical volatility

032

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Alpesh Paleja @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

On the 0.3% fall in GDP over April: worth noting that business surveys (including our own) have been pointing to weaker activity than official data for some time now. The latest outturn may be be the start of that divergence narrowing, but...

121

Cameron Martin @thecmartin.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

It was always unlikely the strong growth figures we saw in Q1 would be sustained. Though a fall of 0.3% was worse than expected, as both higher taxes and "Liberation-Day" related disruption weighed on activity

020

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

#Retail sales volumes rose for the fourth consecutive month, by 1.2% in April (m/m), following a rise of 0.1% in March. Compared against pre-pandemic levels, volumes were up by 0.3%, at their highest since July 2022.

121

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 21/05/2025

UK CPI #inflation rose to 3.5% in April (from 2.6% in March), broadly in line with Bank of England expectations. This marked the highest rate of inflation since January 2024. Core CPI inflation also picked up to 3.8%, from 3.4% last month

121

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 19/05/2025

Congratulations to the government on its #UKEUReset showing that it’s serious about #growth and backing business. Firms across the UK will welcome commitments on regulatory cooperation, defence, net zero and trade with Northern Ireland. Full response: bit.ly/3H3rm6M 👇

bit.ly

CBI responds to UK-EU Summit | CBI

After the turbulence of the last decade, today's Summit marks a leap forward in the EU-UK relationship.

042

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Robin Wigglesworth @robinwigglesworth.ft.com · 20/05/2025

Fantastic @tobyn.bsky.social-post looking at the details of Moody’s methodology, which indicate that on raw “fiscal strength” alone the US might only warrant a super-junky Caa2 rating. on.ft.com/4dpLMmf

on.ft.com

Understanding the methodology behind Moody’s US downgrade

[FREE TO READ] It’s just, like, their opinion man

25612

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

UK GDP grew by a robust 0.7% in Q1 2025, beating consensus estimates of 0.6%. This follows on from 0.1% in Q4 2024. The economy has grown 1.3% over the past year.

163

Reposted by Cameron Martin

Alpesh Paleja @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social · 14/05/2025

We have arrived!

033

Reposted by Cameron Martin

CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 14/05/2025

Hello! We’re the economics team at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI). Follow us for posts on UK macroeconomics, our business surveys, tax & fiscal policy, and updates on our consulting work.

044