iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Veli-Pekka Kivimäki @vpkivimaki.bsky.social · 53m

Working for an intelligence service in this day and age, I can relate to this meme.

Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 4h

Alltid viltig med self care om høsten. Og dessuten vant jeg 50kr på pantelotteri og det selvsagt måtte feires🤪 Oslo 2026-10-03

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 20h

Wonderful concert at the Norwegian Academy of Music this evening with NMHs Kammerkor conducted by Nils Schweckendiek. An absolutely dream programme with Brahms, Sibelius, Ravel, Schumann, Bergmann, Schönberg, Elgar and Rautavaara. Such opportunities are not to be missed! Oslo 2026-10-02

Wonderful concert in the Lindemannsalen at the Norwegian Academy of Music this evening with NMHs Kammerkor conducted by Nils Schweckendiek. An absolutely dream programme with Brahms, Sibelius, Ravel, Schumann, Bergmann, Schönberg, Elgar and Rautavaara. Such opportunities are not to be missed! Oslo 2026-10-02

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 20h

Australian intraplate earthquake with the most interesting color scheme for seismograms I've seen in a while....

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 23h

Well it’s Friday and that means my highly irregular and slightly burnt homemade pizza. There is a reason I studied geophysics and not haute cuisine. Anyways, wishing you all a wonderful, peaceful, safe, and happy weekend! Be kind - even when people burn the pizza!

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 23h

I don’t «dread» doing this every day but your intellectual self esteem takes a beating if it takes you a long time. But today I knew it would only take a second (you just flip the top left piece left to right) and that actually gave me one less thing to worry about today🤪

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Surface tension. I don’t know what it is about exactly these leaves but they have done something right evolutionarily. They wouldn’t be nearly as instagrammable if the water just ran off and I’m sure that was a big deal over the eons of tlme.

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The Watch opened their Genesis set in Oslo last night with «White Mountain» - an absolute gem of a track from their first «real» album Trespass (1970). Genesis only revisited this live on a single tour (Trick of the Tail 1976) (Phil Collins on vocals, Bill Bruford on drums). youtu.be/Oj3Iz-qCjQg?...

youtu.be

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Beautiful sundogs over Oslo right now! (Only got one in my picture.) 2026-10-01 kl1653

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Finished my book! I will have to decide for tomorrow’s Metro journey whether to start already on Season 2 or take a break with something completely different. Fabulous writing. Dark waters although not nearly as scary as the people who are really in control right now. #succession

Succession: Season One complete scripts book

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Last month we published a Comment in Nature Reviews: Earth and Environment entitled "Ethical considerations for #geohazard digital twins". The full article is on doi.org/10.1038/s430... There is a read-only link on rdcu.be/fw1xz Full text after embargo period and I can provide pdfs to individuals.

Screenshot of parts of the comment article "Ethical considerations for geohazard digital twins" published in Nature Reviews: Earth and Environment.
The full article is on https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-026-00811-0
There is a read-only link on https://rdcu.be/fw1xz

A full text will be made available after the embargo period but the read-only link is valid from now.
pdf-files of the final document can be provided in response to personal requests to steven.gibbons@ngi.no

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

The Watch brought the music of Genesis to Oslo this evening. Phenomenal musicians and great setlist. Very happy audience! Vulkan, 2026-09-30

The Watch brought us the music of Genesis tonight at Vulkan. Absolutely phenomenal musicians and a setlist from heaven! White Mountain, Knife, M Box, IKWIL, Firth, Carpet, Cage, Cinema (end), Volcano, Unquiet-Quiet, AIAMN (instr.), own song, Vine, Los Endos, Supper. I was born too late to hear this music performed live by Genesis so I’m just happy that there are musicians as good as that who want to and can play it … and not least that there is still an audience that wants to hear it. There may not be 20 years from now. Oslo 2026-09-30

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

5) Ultimately, there are technical aspects to how trusted these models can be, but importantly also *social* ones--openness about the details of the models *and* about the models' limitations and possible inaccuracies. (Remainder is of less general interest on specifics on how to address this.)

Screenshot reading: "Central to the assessment of trustworthiness is the question of how to mitigate the potential for adverse social consequences and false decision-making. The dimensions of this assessment are reliability (consistent results across independent runs), expertise (of model developers), authenticity (transparency and access to ML model details), and goodwill (readiness to disclose model limitation and source of bias)."

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

4) On one level, machine learning suffers from the "garbage in, garbage out" rule where the outputs will suffer for gaps or issues in the inputs. On another level, extrapolation is always a problem (generating "confabulations"--features that don't exist).

Screenshot reading: "Another methodology-related concern with ML components is quite different from physical modelling: ML models might not always be generalizable in space and time. For example, in DTs based on physical simulation and data assimilation where ML components are represented by surrogate models, failure can stem from inappropriate model generalization, extrapolation error, physical violation or inconsistency, and model drift. Where ML is used to fill data gaps, erroneous features can occur, termed model confabulation. ML models can also fail when input data are not representative of the phenomenon being modelled. If training sets exhibit spatial, temporal, or spectral irregularities, or if unconstrained uncertainties are contained, model reliability deteriorates rapidly."

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

3) ML methods only find what they were designed to look for, choices made during design may lead to inaccurate results ("biased" here for everyday language purposes means this). This is followed by a paragraph focused on EU regulatory things that is too in the weeds for me to follow.

Screenshot from link reading: "As an example, owing to a lack of historical data, training sets for tsunami surrogate models are composed of modelled scenarios, where the choice of the underlying equation set predetermines the type of phenomena that can actually be detected. In contrast to physics-based models, ML applications can be configured to make automatic decisions, or to pre-select possible scenarios out of a number of choices. By doing so, the result can be biased."

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

2) Machine learning (ML) allows for fast computation of sometimes less than ideal datasets, which is vital for quick hazard assessment, but what are its limitations? How does it deal with concerns about reproducibility?

Screenshot from article reading: "While traditional physics-based models provide understandable and reproducible results, ML methods can generate irreproducible artifacts due to the commonly opaque character of their internal logic. This potential for failure has raised ethical concerns within the scientific software community as well as among funding agencies, because scientific activity must be replicable, requiring full understanding of all steps in the resolution process. Trust in the function of modules using ML and, more generally, artificial intelligence (AI) requires rigorous investigation for interpretable results, model documentation, and uncertainty quantification."

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Brandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Some simple explanations worth quoting here, which perhaps are of broader interest regarding the uses and limitations of machine learning ("ML", or now "AI"). 1) What's a Digital Twin?

Screenshot reading: "Digital Twins (DT), virtual replicas of systems of the physical world with prediction capabilities, are showing promise as tools for assessing geohazards and aiding rapid disaster response. DTs of the Earth system constantly ingest data, such as seismic motion, crustal deformation, or sea level measurements, to provide a dynamic virtual situation update through mathematical modeling. This realistic situation can be used by the DT to generate what-if scenario projections and high-fidelity forecasts. However, owing to a combination of data uncertainty, data sparsity, model complexity and the need for short time-to-solution, some modules within DTs are implemented using machine learning (ML) and surrogate models."

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Stephen Schwartz @atomicanalyst.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

60 years ago today, the Soviet Union detonated a 30-kiloton nuclear device 5,026 feet underground to successfully extinguish a natural gas fire that had raged out of control for nearly three years in the Urta-Bulak gas field in the Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic.

youtube.com

USSR used nuclear bombs to stop gas well blowouts

YouTube video by Production Technology

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

"Propagation of the Storegga tsunami in the southeastern North Sea" is published in Quaternary Research Advances today. Open access paper (doi.org/10.1016/j.qs...) examining the degree to which the tsunami from the 8150 BP Storegga slide would have been able to reach the coasts of Denmark+Germany.

Screenshot of the first page of the paper "Propagation of the Storegga tsunami in the southeastern North Sea" by Steven J. Gibbons et al., Quaternary Research Advances (2026) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qsa.2026.100345 containing images of figures within the paper and the logos of projects that have supported the work performed.

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Richard Waite @waiterich.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

We scream into the void. We stare blankly into the abyss. We post into the ether

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Sett i dagens Aftenposten. KI-korrigering? Kongemoder? 2026-09-29

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Planeten Jupiter over Lambertseter og visstnok flere steder. Se den før den druknes i dagslys. Og i andre retningen er månen. Den er ikke lenger full. Den er i bakrusfasen. Oslo 2026-09-29

Blurry picture of the moon over a block of flats

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Absolutely stunning concert in Oslo this evening with the Philip Glass Ensemble! They played Glassworks and excerpts from Satyagraha, Akhnaten, The Photographer, and Einstein on the Beach. Incredible musicians. Oslo Konserthus 2026-09-28

The Philip Glass Ensemble take applause in Oslo

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Stopped off on the way home to pick up the new Gåte album - Sigil. I don’t expect any surprises (🤪) but I’m never disappointed and I will be going to see them live in Oslo in October. It’s part of my Norwegian cultural assimilation - bloody and brutal folk tales sung in dialect.

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Andy Emery @andydoggerbank.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

These findings cast further doubt on apparent Storegga tsunami deposits in Denmark and Germany. You can read the (open access) paper in full here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

sciencedirect.com

Propagation of the Storegga tsunami in the southeastern North Sea

Numerical simulations of the 8150 BP Storegga slide event in the Norwegian Sea are necessary for understanding both landslide dynamics and tsunami pro…

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

View from the office. A colleague saw and photographed a deer in this garden a few days ago so of course I now keep going to the window to take a look. The weather is reflecting the mood after last night’s football match - which took place 150 meters in the other direction. Oslo 2026-09-28

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Andy Emery @andydoggerbank.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Our new paper out now in QSA models the Storegga tusnami wave using more realistic palaeobathymetry based on the most recent glacio-isostatic modelling outputs for the North Sea, and shows that significant wave propagation south of Dogger Bank is extremely unlikely.

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 27/09/2026

Last month showed unusually warm sea surface temperatures across much of the #Arctic Ocean, especially in the Kara Sea, Baffin Bay, & Labrador Sea. There's been an interesting contrast in ocean temperature departures across the East Siberian Sea, as well as some lingering ice Data: NOAA OISSTv2.1 🌊

Polar stereographic map showing sea surface temperature anomalies in August 2026 relative to 1982 to 2010. Most areas are warmer than average. Sea-ice cover is also shown if sea-ice concentration is at least 15% per each grid point. Red is shown for warmer sea surface temperatures, and blue is shown for colder sea surface temperatures. Data is from OISSTv2.1.

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

En utrolig fin og stemningsful fremføring av musikken til Radka Toneff med Marte Eberson, Hedvig Mollestad (g.), Ellen Brekken (b.) og Torstein Lofthus (t.) Herr Nilsen, Oslo 2026-09-26 Det er forresten fullmåne i kveld :)

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

I’ve just watched the entire «Neil Peart: No One’s Disciple» I won’t post the link as I’m pretty sure it’s not supposed to be where I found it, but it is a truly beautiful film (will definitely buy a physical copy when that is possible!) Even if you aren’t a Rush fan it speaks volumes on friendship.

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

OK. There’s no getting around it. I simply don’t have «Elektra» in my collection🧐 Does anybody have any recommendations of recordings?! #RichardStrauss #Elektra

Richard Strauss operas on CDs - missing Elektra!

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Reposted by Steven J. Gibbons

Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 25/09/2026

Voyager Instruments xkcd.com/3302/

3-panel comic. (1) [Person with shoulder-length hair gestures at diagrams on wall in front of table with three people.] PERSON 1: As the radioactive power source on *Voyager 1* weakens, we’ve been turning instruments off to conserve power. (2) PERSON 1: Only two instruments remain. Do we want to lose the plasma wave subsystem or the magnetometer? (3) PERSON 2 with ponytail: You know, if we just turned off Greg’s LED underlighting– PERSON 4 with short hair: Absolutely not. PERSON 3: Dammit, Greg. PERSON 4: I will *not* allow us to look uncool in front of aliens.

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

It’s Friday again. Wishing you all a wonderful, peaceful, safe, and happy weekend. Be kind:)

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Signs of autumn at Bergkrystallen, Oslo 2026-09-25 🍁

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Picked this up on the way home. Yes live from Roosevelt Stadium, New Jersey 1976-06-17 The so-called Indian Summer of progressive rock music when Yes and their ilk were filling stadiums with their most experimental music. (1/2)

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

I also bought this, this afternoon: Peter Gabriel live at WOMAD 1982. Almost entirely taken from PG4 but I always felt those songs sounded much better live. The Rhythm of the Heat is just incredible! I’ll go to bed soon I promise:)

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Have spent my birthday voucher! I’d mm’d and rrr’d about this for a while but gave in: 12 discs of BBC archive Wishbone Ash. The Glasgow ‘76 broadcast (repeated in 1989) was the first time I ever heard them and it was incredible - I had it on cassette tape and played it over and over. Nerd paradise!

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

«Elektra» ved operaen i Oslo var helt fenomenal i går kveld - Elisabeth Teige er helt fantastisk i denne rollen. Virkelig anbefaler dette! Flere forestillinger igjen. Ikke gå glipp av dette! #Elektra #Strauss #opera www.operaen.no/forestilling...

Elektra at the Norwegian national opera 2026-09-23. The cast after the performance.

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Grey sky world in a puddle. Bergkrystallen, Oslo 2026-09-24

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

This came in the post today. «Group Chat» by the Pete Roth Trio with Pete on guitar, Mike Pratt on bass, and Bill Bruford on drums. Bill retired from public performance only months after I caught Earthworks in Oslo over 18 years ago. Never thought I would hear him live again - this is great!

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

🚦🍁 Ullevål Stadion, Oslo 2026-09-23

Fallen leaves with red, yellow, and green colours arranged like a traffic light

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Wheels within wheels in a spiral array A pattern so grand and complex Time after time we lose sight of the way Our causes can’t see their effects (Rush - Natural Science, lyrics N. Peart) Grefsen, Oslo 2026-09-22

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Steven J. Gibbons @stevenjgibbons.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

I’m (nearly) always the first up in the house and usually have 30 minutes or so to listen to music downstairs while I make and eat breakfast and get ready. It’s now late September and I’m rediscovering Björk - Vespertine. It’s astonishing and swirls around your head long after you switch it off. 🍁

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