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Shannon O'Neil

@shannonkoneil.bsky.social
205 followers 241 following 66 posts

SVP @cfr.org. Author: The Globalization Myth paperback out now! amzn.to/39t26WY Two Nations Indivisible amzn.to/Y0klak RTs ≠ Endorsements

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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 1h
On Sunday, 125 million Brazilians went to the polls to elect thousands of public officials, including the next president. I joined @jimsciutto.bsky.social on @cnn.com to break down the results and discuss what a Bolsonaro win in the runoff would mean. You can watch here bit.ly/4BbIRcH
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O'Neil on CNN's The Brief With Jim Sciutto on Brazil's election
Subscribe to our channel: https://goo.gl/WCYsH7 This work represents the views and opinions solely of the author. The Council on Foreign Relations is an independent, nonpartisan membership organization, think tank, and publisher, and takes no institutional positions on matters of policy. Visit the CFR website: http://www.cfr.org Follow CFR on X: http://www.twitter.com/cfr_org Follow CFR on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/councilonforeignrelations/
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Last week I had the pleasure of moderating a conversation with Mexican FM Roberto Velasco at @cfr.org. Our wide-ranging conversation touched on Mexico's economy, security, China strategy, and broader role in the world. You can find it here: bit.ly/4z0S0CI
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A Conversation With Foreign Secretary Roberto Velasco of Mexico
Foreign Secretary Roberto Velasco discusses the country’s foreign policy priorities, including the future of U.S.-Mexico relations, trade and economic integration in North America, migration and regional security, and Mexico’s engagement with Latin America and other international partners. Speaker Roberto Velasco Secretary of Foreign Affairs, Mexico Presider Shannon K. O'Neil CFR Expert, Senior Vice President of Studies and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair, Council on Foreign Relations; CFR Member Subscribe to our channel: https://goo.gl/WCYsH7 This work represents the views and opinions solely of the author. The Council on Foreign Relations is an independent, nonpartisan membership organization, think tank, and publisher, and takes no institutional positions on matters of policy. Visit the CFR website: http://www.cfr.org Follow CFR on X: http://www.twitter.com/cfr_org Follow CFR on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/councilonforeignrelations/
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
As Trump rebuilds his tariff wall, he continues to lean on Section 232—a law that allows tariff hikes on economic sectors on national security grounds. From cars to copper, 15 sectors are under investigation or already tariffed. 🧵(1/6) bit.ly/4AlABWY
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A Guide to Trump’s Section 232 Tariffs, in Maps | Council on Foreign Relations
President Donald Trump has launched a wave of Section 232 tariffs and investigations, seeking to protect U.S. national security. These graphics show the scale and structure of U.S. reliance on foreign...
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
It was great to join Irina Faskianos for @cfr.org's State and Local Officials Webinar Series to discuss the future of North American trade. You can tune in to the full conversation here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpAu...
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State and Local Officials Webinar: North American Trade and the USMCA Review
YouTube video by Council on Foreign Relations
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
The US and the EU are on a trade agreement tear, and each has lessons for the other. With the US retreating from the rules-based trading order, the EU bears a heavier burden in taking on China—and enlisting others to do so too. My latest for @opinion.bloomberg.com: bloom.bg/4x8W3fB
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Europe Has to Take on China to Save Free Trade
The US and the European Union have been on a trade agreement tear, competing to define the future global trading system. The EU looks to backstop the more established rules of the road; the US, to mus...
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
It was great to join @dhume.bsky.social, @chrystia-freeland.bsky.social, and @jonathancapehart.bsky.social at the @aspenideas.bsky.social festival to discuss the role of middle powers amid rising great power competition. You can tune in to the full conversation here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Bnw...
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The New Nonalignment: Middle Powers in a Changing World Order
YouTube video by The Aspen Institute
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
In my latest for @opinion.bloomberg.com, I argue declaring US preeminence in the Western Hemisphere isn't enough to take on Chinese influence. More than the gunboats of the National Security Strategy, the US needs a corporate strategy to help companies succeed. bloom.bg/4c7M56b
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The Donroe Doctrine Leans on Sticks But Needs Carrots
The Trump administration’s National Security Strategy proclaims that “the United States must be preeminent in the Western Hemisphere” and promises to deny foreign powers a strategic role there. China ...
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Latin America’s absence from the Munich Security Conference was at best a missed opportunity. At worst, it left the region even further back on the sidelines as other leaders rewrite global security norms and rules. My latest for @opinion.bloomberg.com: bloom.bg/46Jxc73
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Latin America’s Munich No-Show Was a Big Mistake
The crammed hallways of the Munich Security Conference thrummed this year with the usual suspects. And that highlights a problem for the nations of the Western Hemisphere.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Trump’s flurry of trade deals — 15 and counting — reflect his ambition to rewrite the rules of global trade. A new @cfr.org tracker by @inumanak.bsky.social and Allison Smith breaks down what's in each of the trade agreements. Check it out here. on.cfr.org/4qfOKyv
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Tracking Trump's Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations
The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Even if AI succeeds in transforming industry after industry, costs and time matter for who gains. In my latest for @opinion.bloomberg.com, I argue that it may be the unanticipated drag of tariffs and fall in migrants that hold US AI champions back. bloom.bg/4rmSgZ9
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The AI Bubble Is Getting Closer to Popping
AI is driving the S&P 500 index and the broader US economy forward. The CEOs of a handful of few dominant firms have become celebrities, with groupies and markets alike hanging on their words and ...
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
I joined my CFR colleagues @maxboot.bsky.social, Elliott Abrams, and Roxanna Vigil to share our early thoughts on what Maduro’s capture means for the US, Venezuela, and the region. You can read the piece here: bit.ly/4jwoQVM
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Assessing Venezuela’s Future After Nicolás Maduro’s Bold Capture
Four CFR experts review the capture of the Venezuelan leader and examine the challenges and uncertainty that the United States, Venezuela, and the region could face.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
I joined Richard Quest on @cnn.com to talk about my latest @foreignaffairs.com article and why tariffs are making the US less safe. You can watch the full segment here: youtu.be/NVcCG01gY5E
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Shannon O'Neil on CNN with Richard Quest
YouTube video by Council on Foreign Relations
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
In Trump’s “Fortress America,” tariffs are the way to boost the country’s growth and bolster its defenses. But the US needs global supply chains and allies to maintain a strong and innovative defense industry. My latest for @foreignaffairs.com: 🧵(1/6) bit.ly/4qkFBWR
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The New Supply Chain Insecurity
Fortress America is not a safer America.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
@cfr.org is accepting applications for the 2026–27 Stanton Nuclear Security Fellowship and International Affairs Fellowship in Canada. Deadline to apply: November 30, 2025. Learn more: www.cfr.org/fellowships/
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
With Gabriela Paz-Soldan, I’ve updated our Section 232 maps for the new investigations into medical equipment and robots and machinery—and newly announced tariffs on timber, lumber, and furniture. 🧵(1/5) on.cfr.org/4n8JrQe
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A Guide to Trump’s Section 232 Tariffs, in Maps
President Donald Trump has launched a wave of Section 232 tariffs and investigations, seeking to protect U.S. national security. These graphics show the scale and structure of U.S. reliance on foreig…
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Trump is leaning into Section 232 tariffs—sectoral tariffs based on national security threats. From cars to copper, 12 sectors are now under investigation or already tariffed. These @cfr.org graphics lay out how important imports are for the US and where they come from 🧵(1/5) on.cfr.org/4n8JrQe
on.cfr.org
A Guide to Trump’s Section 232 Tariffs, in Maps
President Donald Trump has launched a wave of Section 232 tariffs and investigations, seeking to protect U.S. national security. These twelve graphics show the scale and structure of U.S. reliance on…
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
In my latest for @opinion.bloomberg.com, I argue rising Chinese exports to Mexico are causing not just geopolitical heartburn for a country caught between two superpowers but also threaten Mexico’s future economic prosperity.
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Mexico Is Facing a Second — and Worse — ‘China Shock’
A flood of Chinese imports threatens its efforts to diversify and grow its economy. The solution: greater integration with its North American neighbors.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Section 232 tariffs aim to protect national security. From cars to copper, 9 sectors are under investigation or already tariffed. These @cfr.org graphics lay out how important imports are for the US and where they come from. 🧵(1/10) bit.ly/3TCsOQo
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A Guide to Trump’s Section 232 Tariffs, in Nine Maps
President Donald Trump has launched a wave of Section 232 tariffs and investigations, seeking to protect U.S. national security. These nine graphics show the scale and structure of U.S. reliance on f…
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
I joined @inumanak.bsky.social @zoe-liu.bsky.social @edwardalden.bsky.social @bennsteil.bsky.social @hillmanje.bsky.social Brad Setser, Matt Goodman, Will Freeman, & Rebecca Patterson to reflect on Trump’s tariffs and what they have achieved since the 90-day pause. You can read the piece here:
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What Trump Trade Policy Has Achieved Since ‘Liberation Day’
Ten CFR experts break down what the president's trade agenda has accomplished since he placed a ninety-day pause on his expansive “Liberation Day” tariffs.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
I spoke with Christina Ruffini on @msnbc.com about Trump’s trade war with China and how both countries might be affected. You can watch the full segment here
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China 'already' making moves to 'delink themselves' from U.S. amid Trump's trade war
China has raised tariffs on U.S. imports to 125%. NBC News’ Vaughn Hillyard reports more. CNBC global supply chain reporter Lori Ann LaRocco, Director of Studies and Vice President at the Council on Foreign Relations Shannon O’Neil and New York Times White House Correspondent Tyler Pager join Christina Ruffini to break down how President Trump’s tariffs are impacting the global economy. For more context and news coverage of the most important stories of our day click here: https://www.msnbc.com/ » Subscribe to MSNBC: https://www.youtube.com/msnbc » Subscribe to MSNBC on TikTok https://www.tiktok.com/@msnbc » Subscribe to MSNBC on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/msnbc Download our new MSNBC app for the latest breaking news and daily headlines at a glance: https://www.msnbc.com/information/download-msnbc-app-n1241692 Follow MSNBC Show Blogs MaddowBlog: https://www.msnbc.com/maddowblog MSNBC delivers breaking news, in-depth analysis of political headlines, commentary and informed perspectives. Find video clips and segments from The Rachel Maddow Show, Inside with Jen Psaki, Morning Joe, The Beat, Deadline: White House, All In, The Last Word, The 11th Hour, and more. Connect with MSNBC Online Visit msnbc.com: https://www.msnbc.com/ Subscribe to the MSNBC Daily Newsletter: https://link.msnbc.com/join/5ck/msnbc-daily-signup #Trump #China #Trade #Tariff
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Trump’s tariffs will incentivize companies to move from a “China plus one” manufacturing model to a “U.S. plus one” version. Over time, this will marginalize the United States in the global economy. My latest for @opinion.bloomberg.com:
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US Exporters Won’t Thrive in a ‘Plus-One’ World
Trump’s tariffs will shift manufacturers from a “China plus one” to a “US plus one” strategy, putting higher-cost US-made goods at a global competitive disadvantage.
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Reposted by Shannon O'Neil
Upriver Press @upriverpress.com · 03/04/2025
“America First” protectionism isolates the US from the regional market and allows other nations to fill the void. Without partnerships, the US weakens its ability to compete with other regions. upriverpress.substack.com/p/globalizat... @yalepress.bsky.social @shannonkoneil.bsky.social #tariffs
Photo of the book titled "The Globalization Myth" by author Shannon O'Neil.
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Reposted by Shannon O'Neil
James Gibney @jamesgibney.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Really sharp, knowing discussion of "Liberation Day" with @shannonkoneil.bsky.social, Allison Schrager and @jonathanjlevin.bsky.social, with a dollop of wit thrown in. The one (enjoyable) livestream you need to understand Trump's tariffs before they hit. x.com/i/broadcasts...
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Trump’s upcoming tariff barrage will hold back U.S.-based exporters and the growth they can bring. In my latest for @opinion.bloomberg.com, I argue that the U.S. should shift its focus from cutting imports to the other side of the trade equation and boost exports.
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Tariffs Will Destroy the Best Cure for the Trade Deficit
US exports not only reduce deficits, they also bring higher-paying jobs and greater innovation. A tariff-driven trade war will hold back their growth.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
"The drastic drawdown of National Endowment for Democracy grants and other democracy promotion support has already had major implications in Southeast Asia and other regions," writes my colleague @joshkurlantzick.bsky.social for @cfr.org: www.cfr.org/blog/trumps-...
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Trump’s Cuts to Democracy Promotion Like the NED Already Hit Asian Organizations Hard
The Trump administration has significantly reduced U.S. foreign assistance for democracy promotion,  weakening critical support structures in regions like Southeast Asia.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
Trump’s latest steel and aluminum tariffs aim to crack down on Chinese-made metals, but they’ll barely affect Beijing. These six charts show what’s at stake, what comes next, and why it matters. My latest @cfr.org with Julia Huesa: 🧵(1/6) www.cfr.org/article/what...
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What Trump’s Aluminum and Steel Tariffs Will Mean, in Six Charts
President Trump plans to impose fresh tariffs on all aluminum and steel imports, seeking to curb China’s growing dominance in global trade. These six charts show the tariffs’ potential economic effec…
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
I joined Shaine Anderson to talk tariffs, regionalization, and what might be at stake over the next four years on NAIOP’s Inside CRE podcast. You can listen to the full episode here spoti.fi/42Wgq3w
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
I spoke with David Westin on Bloomberg TV's "Wall Street Week" about how tariffs could break down North American supply chains, kill US jobs, and lower US economic growth. You can watch here bloom.bg/42OPAu8
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Tariffs, Future of Cancer and Alzheimer's, Global Debt Cycles | Wall Street Week
This week, Former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers and Council on Foreign Relations Director of Studies Shannon O'Neil tell us why tariffs may not protect US jobs. Pfizer chairman and CEO Alb...
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
I joined @kylehandley.bsky.social, Scott Horsley, and @alexis-madrigal.bsky.social to talk Trump's tariffs and why they matter on @kqedforum.bsky.social. You can listen to the full segment here bit.ly/415iULN
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Trump Ignites Trade Wars with China, Backs Down on Canada, Mexico | KQED
We’ll talk to experts about tariffs, the international response to Trump’s actions, and the impact they may have on businesses and consumers.
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Why do Trump’s tariffs miss the mark? I spoke with Katy Tur at MSNBC about how imposing tariffs will not help solve the fentanyl crisis or grow American economic competitiveness. Our full conversation, here bit.ly/4gsMWgE
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'Wallop to the wallet': How Trump's tariff will impact Americans
President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canada and China are set to begin tomorrow. NBC News Correspondents Kelly O’Donnell and Brian Cheung report more. CNBC Global Supply Chain reporter Lori Ann LaRocco...
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Shannon O'Neil @shannonkoneil.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Trump is threatening tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico starting February 1. Here are nine @cfr.org charts showing what that may mean for all four economies. 🧵(1/6) www.cfr.org/article/what...
cfr.org
What Trump’s Trade War Would Mean, in Nine Charts
If implemented, President Trump’s tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico could upend U.S. trade. These nine charts show what’s at stake, what comes next, and why it matters.
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