Sign in

Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu

@zoe-liu.bsky.social
236 followers 19 following 46 posts

Senior Fellow @cfr.org; PhD, CFA. Award-winning Author. Opinion my own.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Columbia Institute of Global Politics @columbiaigp.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
LIVE 🔴 @columbiaigp.bsky.social Rapid Response: Analyzing the Trump-Xi Summit Featuring: Thomas J. Christensen, Erica Downs, @juliangewirtz.bsky.social, Matt Turpin, @ewong.bsky.social, @zoe-liu.bsky.social, @columbiasipa.bsky.social Dean Keren Yarhi-Milo Watch here: youtube.com/live/9v0QFAK...
youtube.com
IGP Rapid Response: Analyzing the Trump-Xi Summit
YouTube video by Columbia SIPA
132
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Project Syndicate @projectsyndicate.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
The weakest link in Donald Trump’s effort to isolate Iran may not be Iran itself. It may be thousands of smaller Chinese banks that have little exposure to the dollar, argues The Council on Foreign Relations' Zongyuan Zoe Liu. bit.ly/4hy2wLU
bit.ly
Trump’s Iran Sanctions Have a China Problem
Zongyuan Zoe Liu explains why the latest US attempt to squeeze the Islamic Republic may end up increasing Chinese leverage.
034
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
I recently had the pleasure to join Bonnie Glaser at GMF on her podcast to discuss the rational and limits of China's push to internationalize the RMB. Let me know what you agree and what you disagree with me! youtube.com/watch?v=UDQr...
youtube.com
China Global Podcast - Ep 125 ft. Zongyuan Zoe Liu
YouTube video by The German Marshall Fund of the United States
012
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 30/03/2026
“For China, stability is not a soft preference. It is the precondition for continued national strengthening.” Read @zoe-liu.bsky.social on why the war in Iran poses a threat to China’s strategic interests:
foreignaffairs.com
What the Iran War Means for China
Beijing fears American volatility more than American power.
1104
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 18/12/2025
“Without moral leadership to complement its material strength, China’s global role remains that of a power to be managed—and, perhaps, feared—but not one to be followed,” writes @zoe-liu.bsky.social.
foreignaffairs.com
China’s Long Economic War
How Beijing builds leverage for indefinite competition.
193
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 16/12/2025
@zoe-liu.bsky.social examines China’s short- and long-term goals—and the factors that will lead to success in the U.S.-Chinese competition.
foreignaffairs.com
China’s Long Economic War
How Beijing builds leverage for indefinite competition.
142
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Columbia Institute of Global Politics @columbiaigp.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
US-China Relations: What Comes Next? Hear from our panel of experts during our Rapid Response webinar on November 3 at 12 pm ET 🌐 Thomas Christensen 🌐 @edwardfishman.bsky.social 🌐 Zongyuan Zoe Liu 🌐 Matt Turpin 🌐 @juliangewirtz.bsky.social Watch the conversation: youtube.com/live/PoraRsK...
youtube.com
US-China Relations: What Comes Next?
YouTube video by Columbia SIPA
042
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Council on Foreign Relations @cfr.org · 27/10/2025
Beijing may have learned to navigate a tariff war with the United States, but the true test lies in whether it can shift from a defensive posture to a sustainable new model of growth, argues @zoe-liu.bsky.social.
cfr.org
China Can Fight a Trade War, but Its Real Test Is Growth Reform
The Chinese economy has shown resilience despite external headwinds as the Trump administration ramps up its trade war, but long-term structural challenges remain.
011
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
My latest at @foreignpolicy.com explains why dollar-backed stablecoins are economic challenge and political threat viewed by the CPC. I show China's evolving policies towards blockchain and crypto. I also explain how China is most likely to respond. foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/19/c...
foreignpolicy.com
China Is Worried About Dollar-Backed Stablecoins
Beijing is speeding up plans to create systems it can monitor.
110
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Exciting news: GOD, GUNS, and SEDITION is out today in paperback! My @cfr.org and @columbiaup.bsky.social book, co-authored with @hoffmanbruce.bsky.social, tells the story of far-right terrorism in America and beyond—a topic that sadly remains as relevant as ever. bookshop.org/p/books/god-...
bookshop.org
God, Guns, and Sedition: Far-Right Terrorism in America
Far-Right Terrorism in America
713857
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
I am happy that the paperback of "Sovereign Funds: How the Communist Party of China Finances Its Global Ambitions" is now available! Get a copy and chat with me, or to impress your in-laws! 😊 a.co/d/al0rW31
060
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
My latest piece @projectsyndicate.bsky.social explains China's sentiment to Trump's tariffs. BJ views it has weathered it well and emerged more confident, more self-reliant, and more convinced its long game is paying off. Trump's tariffs have also turbocharged China's tech ambitions.
163
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Project Syndicate @projectsyndicate.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Next on our Forward Thinkers list is @zoe-liu.bsky.social, Senior Fellow for China Studies @cfr.org.
152
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Council on Foreign Relations @cfr.org · 09/05/2025
Giving China a stake in Ukraine’s reconstruction could transform it from a passive pro-Russia bystander into an active participant in peacemaking, write @zoe-liu.bsky.social and Thomas Graham.
project-syndicate.org
What Role for China in Ukraine? | by Thomas Graham & Zongyuan Zoe Liu - Project Syndicate
Thomas Graham & Zongyuan Zoe Liu say that while the Chinese have benefited strategically from Russia's war, they could gain more from peace.
021
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Re President Xi's state visit to Russia, my colleague @cfr.org Tom Graham and I wrote @projectsyndicate.bsky.social on China's role in Ukraine. Trump said Xi can help end the war. We beg the difference. We show why China is needed for an enduring peace but cannot swiftly deliver an end to the war.
011
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 07/05/2025
What's happening with the trade war and geopolitical competition with China? Next on the @csis.org Capital Cable #112 featuring: ▪️ @zoe-liu.bsky.social ▪️ Evan Medeiros ▪️ @victordcha.bsky.social ▪️ Mark Lippert 📆 5/8 • 9:30 am EDT Watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=rQlb...
youtube.com
The Trade War and Geopolitical Competition with China | The Capital Cable #112
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
033
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Several news stories today report that China is signaling openness to trade talks, which fits with patterns of Chinese diplomacy. As I wrote recently: "Beijing has shown a strong capacity for retaliation and a tactical openness to negotiation, but not a willingness to kowtow."
101
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
As I argued in my latest @foreignaffairs.com article, the concentration of authority allows the Chinese leader to make sweeping policy decisions unchallenged and to reverse course just as swiftly. Re"China signals opening for trade talks with US" on.ft.com/4d7EovN
on.ft.com
China signals opening for trade talks with US
State media message suggests softening of Beijing’s position, say analysts
161
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 29/04/2025
Beijing has spent years preparing for an economic confrontation with Washington, writes @zoe-liu.bsky.social. “Unlike during the first Trump administration, China is now, if necessary, ready to decouple from the United States.”
foreignaffairs.com
How China Armed Itself for the Trade War
Beijing’s high-risk approach to its economic confrontation with Washington.
0156
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Andy Langenkamp @andylangenkamp.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
"the United States will always run a trade deficit with China because Americans have no desire to reclaim low-end manufacturing jobs from Chinese factories. The challenge Trump faces is how to structure that deficit in a politically durable way"
011
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
My latest @foreignaffairs.com I explain why this time Beijing, if necessary, is ready to decouple from the US. Chinese leadership harbor no illusion that China can win a trade war with the US. But they are willing to risk one that Trump might lose. www.foreignaffairs.com/china/how-ch...
foreignaffairs.com
How China Armed Itself for the Trade War
Beijing’s high-risk approach to its economic confrontation with Washington.
0119
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 18/04/2025
I recently had the privilege of joining @bilalhafeez.bsky.social on Macro Hive to discuss a wide range of issues in the context of US-China trade tensions. I enjoyed the conversation greatly! We covered how, why, and broader implications. Check it out and share with me your thoughts! 🙂 @cfr.org
010
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 13/04/2025
At a @cfr.org briefing with my distinguished colleagues, I explained how China’s leadership is prepared to respond to rising trade tensions despite not wanting a trade war and why China has the flexibility to pivot quickly. youtube.com/shorts/RtuYb...
youtube.com
China's been preparing for a Trump trade-war scenario for years
YouTube video by Council on Foreign Relations
010
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
@adamposen.bsky.social convincingly explains why the Trump admin may have chosen to go to an unwinnable trade war. "U.S. economy will suffer more than the Chinese economy will, and the suffering will only increase if the United States escalates." www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
foreignaffairs.com
Trade Wars Are Easy to Lose
Beijing has escalation dominance in the U.S.-China tariff fight.
021
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
I had the privilege to write for The International Economy amid other prominent thinkers discussing the proposed Mar-a-Lago Accord. I argue it is not a magic wand. As it is envisioned, it is unlikely to achieve the desired goal of trade rebalance. Full collection in pdf:
international-economy.com
010
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Recent events made me think of a @foreignpolicy.com piece I wrote in 2022 on how China prepares for an economic war. While this piece has aged well, I am not happy. I am saddened normal people & businesses are becoming collateral damages in great power competitions. foreignpolicy.com/2022/06/16/c...
foreignpolicy.com
China Is Hardening Itself for Economic War
Beijing is trying to close economic vulnerabilities out of fear of U.S. containment.
110
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
At a recent @cfr.org event, I discussed with my colleague Rush Doshi why China is NOT desperate for a deal with the Trump administration. A deal is something nice to have, but not a must have. This time China is more prepared, experienced, and capable of retaliation. youtu.be/R8wc3MUWj1Q?...
youtu.be
Why Trump's China tariffs could backfire
YouTube video by Council on Foreign Relations
010
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
My latest @foreignpolicy.com on what it takes to get a Trump-Xi grand bargain. To succeed in negotiations with China, Trump administration needs to present Chinese leadership with a dilemma rather than a direct confrontation. @cfr.org 🧵1/9 foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/29/t...
foreignpolicy.com
Can Trump Strike a Grand Deal With Beijing?
A bargain between the two superpowers could preserve global peace. But what would it cost?
121
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Council on Foreign Relations @cfr.org · 11/02/2025
The United States needs to act now to maintain its leadership in outer space, argues a new CFR Task Force. Read the recommendations for how to make space a national priority:
cfr.org
The United States Must Address Challenges to Its Leadership in Space
U.S. leadership in space is critical to U.S. national security, leadership, hard and soft power, and to the security and prosperity of the American people, argues a new CFR Task Force.
174
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Trump's foreign policy announcements have made me think about a game most of us have played: Monopoly. 🎩 I wrote about this in my @foreignpolicy.com piece, in the context of exploring how Trump and Xi could to redefine US-China relations.
011
Reposted by Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu
Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 26/12/2024
“In the West, money influences politics, but in China it is the opposite: politics influences money.” Read Zongyuan Zoe Liu on what it will take to reverse China’s present economic stasis:
foreignaffairs.com
China’s Real Economic Crisis
The Chinese economy is stuck. Following Beijing’s decision, in late 2022, to abruptly end its draconian “zero COVID” policy, many observers assumed that China’s growth engine would rapidly reignite. A...
2302
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
I dug into data and made 5 charts @cfr.org to show how Trump’s Mexico tariffs if effective could shift gears in US auto market and why such tariffs may further elevate the comparative advantage of Chinese EV makers at the cost of US automakers. 🚗 All 5 available link: www.cfr.org/blog/tariff-...
146
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
My latest @foreignpolicy.com on what it takes to get a Trump-Xi grand bargain. To succeed in negotiations with China, Trump administration needs to present Chinese leadership with a dilemma rather than a direct confrontation. @cfr.org 🧵1/9 foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/29/t...
foreignpolicy.com
Can Trump Strike a Grand Deal With Beijing?
A bargain between the two superpowers could preserve global peace. But what would it cost?
121
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
In about 500 words @cfr.org I explained why I think the Chinese government will do big stimulus in Spring 2025 and why this does NOT mean abandoning self-reliance/sufficiency. The biggest challenge to the Chinese economy is not foreign tariffs but comes at home. www.cfr.org/blog/rebalan...
cfr.org
Rebalancing China's Economy: Stimulus, Confidence, and Self-Sufficiency
Despite President Trump’s threat of steep tariffs, the real challenge for Chinese policymakers lies at home.
000
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
I am happy to share: my interactive tracker that visualizes China's overseas airport investment is now live @cfr.org! 🛬✈️ Plz use "filter" on the map to play with it. Many thanks to my colleagues for their help! You can request data from me FOR FREE! 🆓 www.cfr.org/tracker/trac....
cfr.org
Tracking China’s Investment in Overseas Airports
This interactive map tracks China’s growing network of investments in overseas airports. Users can plot the location of each airport and view satellite images alongside detailed information on which …
220
Zongyuan “Zoe” Liu @zoe-liu.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
I previously researched & wrote about China's pension system, what the gov has done to fix its problems, and why problems are hard to fix. Bloomberg reporters referenced my article published in 2023 via Foreign Policy. A paywall-free version is now available @cfr.org www.cfr.org/blog/what-ch...
cfr.org
What Is the Chinese Pension System and Why Are Its Problems Hard to Fix?
As the Chinese society ages, China not only loses its comparative advantage in labor but also faces a severe pension funding challenge. Chinese leaders have competing priorities but they do not have …
1135