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Seb Krier

@sebkrier.com
2.6K followers 746 following 164 posts

friendly deep sea dweller

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tetra 💎⏹️🇺🇳 @thetetra.space · 31/07/2026
Up and to the right 📈
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Sam Harsimony @harsimony.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Very much agree with @sebk.bsky.social RE: the AI 2040 plan. In principle, international treaties and regulation are fine. But I'd rather see more emphasis on defensive technologies and freedom. x.com/sebkrier/sta...
x.com
Séb Krier (@sebkrier) on X
https://t.co/7HHn2uJ61C
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norvid_studies @norvid-studies.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
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Dan Björkegren @dbjork.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
In my class on AI institutions, the first assignment was to fight over what the assignments should be. That resulted in chaos--which was the lesson. AI will disrupt many parts of society. My class asks: what do we build next? 🧵 danbjork.substack.com/p/the-instit...
danbjork.substack.com
The institutions AI will need: notes from class
Teaching AI futures at Columbia University
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Iulia Comşa @astronomind.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
1/5 The topic of AI consciousness is sparking growing inquiry. But are we focusing on the problems we can actually solve? I explore this in my new paper: "AI and Consciousness: Shifting Focus Towards Tractable Questions." 📃
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norvid_studies @norvid-studies.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
kind of like twitter, unfortunately. makes the rare success leapfrogs more interesting as case studies.
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Gillian Hadfield @ghadfield.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Democracy isn't a rulebook. It runs on daily interactions where people comply with norms and hold each other accountable. AI agents are about to join that system. We need to build them to read it. New paper with Rakshit Trivedi and Dylan Hadfield-Menell.
knightcolumbia.org
Building AI for the Democratic Matrix: A Technical Research Agenda for Normative Competence and Normative Institutions
To maintain democratic resilience, it is essential to build AI agents capable of choosing behaviors that mirror those of the human agents that constitute human democracies.
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 13/03/2026
An excellent paper for anyone interested in rigorous physicalist argument against computational functionalism. Alex is a fantastic, careful thinker and influenced my views a lot; we're working on a broader blog post breaking these concepts down, stay tuned!
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 08/03/2026
The memory feature can be very useful at times, but with academic work where I'm trying to understand ideas as objectively as I can and work out what is true, I'm afraid it slants the answers to relate to my existing beliefs in a way that is ultimately unhelpful. 1/n
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Aveek Bhattacharya @aveek18.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
I find this a strange reaction. Stuff like this has happened to me, and I feel no desire to cut the "offending" people out of my life. A really normal thing for humans to do is to reason through dialogue, especially when it comes to relationships.
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SE Gyges @segyges.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
someone suggested to me the other day that the biggest ai haters are the "smartest guy at thanksgiving dinner" types, because LLMs actually displace their social role of being stuck up know-it-alls to uninformed people it's sort of obviously true if you look at certain banner examples
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FleetingBits @fleetingbits.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 25/02/2026
is it safe to come back here or will any view sympathetic to AI be met with rude/aggro replies
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Vitalik Buterin @vitalik.ca · 21/02/2026
"AI becomes the government" is dystopian: it leads to slop when AI is weak, and is doom-maximizing once AI becomes strong. But AI used well can be empowering, and push the frontier of democratic / decentralized modes of… firefly.social/post/ff-669078d24e3d…
firefly.social
Continue reading on Firefly.Social
"AI becomes the government" is dystopian: it leads to slop when AI is weak, and is doom-maximizing once AI becomes strong. But AI used well can be empowering, and push the frontier of democratic / decentralized modes of governance. The core problem with democratic / decentralized modes of governance (including DAOs on ethereum) is limits to human attention: there are many thousands of decisions to make, involving many domains of expertise, and most people don't have the time or skill to be experts in even one, let alone all of them. The usual solution, delegation, is disempowering: it leads to a small group of delegates controlling decision-making while their supporters, after they hit the "delegate" button, have no influence at all. So what can we do? We use personal LLMs to solve the attention problem! Here are a few ideas: ## Personal governance agents If a governance mechanism depends on you to make a large number of decisions, a personal agent can perform all the necessary votes for you, based on preferences that it infers from your personal writing, conversation history, direct statements, etc. If the agent is (i) unsure how you would vote on an issue, and (ii) convinced the issue is important, then it should ask you directly, and give you all relevant context. ## Public conversation agents Making good decisions often cannot come from a linear process of taking people's views that are based only on their own information, and averaging them (even quadratically). There is a need for processes that aggregate many people's information, and then give each person (or their LLM) a chance to respond *based on that*. This includes: * Inferring and summarizing your own views and converting them into a format that can be shared publicly (and does not expose your private info) * Summarizing commonalities between people's inputs (expressed as words), similar to the various LLM+pol.is ideas ## Suggestion markets If a governance mechanism values "high-quality inputs" of any type (this could be proposals, or it could even be arguments), then you can have a prediction market, where anyone can submit an input, AIs can bet on a token representing that input, and if the mechanism "accepts" the input (either accepting the proposal, or accepting it as a "unit" of conversation that it then passes along to its participant), it pays out $X to the holders of the token. Note that this is basically the same as https://firefly.social/post/x/2017956762347835488 ## Decentralized governance with private information One of the biggest weaknesses of highly decentralized / democratic governance is that it does not work well when important decisions need to be made with secret information. Common situations: (i) the org engaging in adversarial conflicts or negotiations (ii) internal dispute resolution (iii) compensation / funding decisions. Typically, orgs solve this by appointing individuals who have great power to take on those tasks. But with multi-party computation (currently I've seen this done with TEEs; I would love to see at least the two-party case solved with garbled circuits https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2020/03/21/garbled.html so we can get pure-cryptographic security guarantees for it), we could actually take many people's inputs into account to deal with these situations, without compromising privacy. Basically: you submit your personal LLM into a black box, the LLM sees private info, it makes a judgement based on that, and it outputs only that judgement. You don't see the private info, and no one else sees the contents of your personal LLM. ## The importance of privacy All of these approaches involve each participant making use of much more information about themselves, and potentially submitting much larger-sized inputs. Hence, it becomes all the more important to protect privacy. There are two kinds of privacy that matter: * Anonymity of the participant: this can be accomplished with ZK. In general, I think all governance tools should come with ZK built in * Privacy of the contents: this has two parts. First, the personal LLM should do what it can to avoid divulging private info about you that it does not need to divulge. Second, when you have computation that combines multiple LLMs or multiple people's info, you need multi-party techniques to compute it privately. Both are important.
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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
if you're an older person who finds words like mogg and maxxing annoying, just starting using them. people over the age of 30 have the superpower to end trends by simply adopting them
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Sichu Lu @sichulu.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
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c0nc0rdance @c0nc0rdance.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Here's my other new friend from Puerto Rico. Meet the Puerto Rican Tody which has the unfortunate scientific name of 'Todus mexicanus', thanks to a mix-up of samples by a visiting ornithologist in 1830. There's a campaign to rename it to 'Todus borinquensis', the Taíno name for the island.
A brilliant emerald green bird on a thin brown vine.  The green wings are complemented by a green head ruff, red throat and long pointed bill.  It has an alert black eye and looks defiant to me, but maybe I'm reading too much attitude into a little green bird.

It resembles a hummingbird, but like... 'fatter', I guess?

CREDIT:  DrE11even, Wikimedia
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John Cassidy @johncassidysays.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Had fun researching this piece, which cites Keynes & Marx but also folks of much more recent vintage, including the economists Phillip Trammell, @briancalbrecht.bsky.social, @aleximas.bsky.social; plus @dwarkesh.bsky.social, @sebk.bsky.social, Boaz Barak, Geoffrey Hinton.
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Cats of Yore @catsofyore.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
An Apparition. Slide from my collection, 1975.
Color image of a shorthaired white cat sitting in a window, peering placidly from between lace curtains. The window is bright with sunlight, making the curtains glow but backlighting the cat so that its face is shadowy and mysterious. This would have been a lovely composition on its own but accentuating the otherworldliness of the scene is a houseplant with long, seaweed-like leaves that undulate across the foreground, one of them arching up to frame the cat perfectly.
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Gordon @gordon.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
super interesting take blog.cosmos-institute.org/p/coasean-ba...
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Charles Kenny @charlesjkenny.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
ICYM: International bodies for which the US Administration has apparently stopped paying assessed dues include (thread):
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Epoch AI @epochai.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
What will AI look like by 2030 if current trends hold? Our new report zooms in on two things: (1) whether scaling continues (compute, data, power, capital), and (2) the capabilities this enables—especially for scientific R&D.
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Justin Hendrix @justinhendrix.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
AI can help protect democracies or empower those who threaten freedom: corporations, oligarchs, or governments. The key question is: who does AI serve? We should all care about the answer, writes Richard Reisman (@rreisman.bsky.social).
techpolicy.press
To Make Sure AI Advances Democracy, First Ask, ‘Who Does It Serve?’ | TechPolicy.Press
AI must serve the people who use it to engage in free expression and make democratic decisions, writes Richard Reisman.
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
🧵 Several people have raised questions about what I meant by "deservedly so" when referring to the decline of institutional trust. It's a fair question, so I want to explain that, because it sits at the heart of my work on how democracies collapse when their epistemic foundations rot.
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David Karol @davidkarol.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
I know Yglesias isn't everyone's favorite, but it's amazing how angry many people -often with PhDs-get at a suggestion that there are tradeoffs in politics. Remarkably, many who purport to believe the republic is hanging by a thread are in the "no compromise with the voters!" camp.
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mimi10v3 @mimi10v3.com · 26/05/2025
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 22/05/2025
I'm quoted in this fact-check for the claim that the UK has "the 12th largest female health gap in the world", which was widely shared by MPs & media in the UK. The answer is no, and the male wellness company who calculated this statistic reviewed & deleted their page while this piece was written.
fullfact.org
Does the UK really have the 12th largest ‘female health gap’ in the world? – Full Fact
Unreliable research from a male wellness company, which claimed that women are less healthy than men in the UK, has been widely shared by MPs, the media and institutions around the country.
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Joel Z Leibo @jzleibo.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Announcing our latest arxiv paper: Societal and technological progress as sewing an ever-growing, ever-changing, patchy, and polychrome quilt arxiv.org/abs/2505.05197 We argue for a view of AI safety centered on preventing disagreement from spiraling into conflict.
arxiv.org
Societal and technological progress as sewing an ever-growing, ever-changing, patchy, and polychrome quilt
Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly placed in positions where their decisions have real consequences, e.g., moderating online spaces, conducting research, and advising on policy. Ens...
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Knight First Amendment Institute @knightcolumbia.org · 11/04/2025
Join us for our final symposium panel, Panel 7: Transitions to Transformative AI, at 2:15pm ET. Panelists: @jbullockruns.bsky.social, @ruchowdh.bsky.social, @sebk.bsky.social, and Sam Manning. Moderator: @sethlazar.org. #AIDemocraticFreedoms
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Sena Bryer @senabryer.com · 08/04/2025
Not you. take CURSE OF RA 𓀀 𓀁 𓀂 𓀃 𓀄 𓀅 𓀆 𓀇 𓀈 𓀉 𓀊 𓀋 𓀌 𓀍 𓀎 𓀏 𓀐 𓀑 𓀒 𓀓 𓀔 𓀕 𓀖 𓀗 𓀘 𓀙 𓀚 𓀛 𓀜 𓀝 𓀞 𓀟 𓀠 𓀡 𓀢 𓀣 𓀤 𓀥 𓀦 𓀧 𓀨 𓀩 𓀪 𓀫 𓀬 𓀭 𓀮 𓀯 𓀰 𓀱 𓀲 𓀳 𓀴 𓀵 𓀶 𓀷 𓀸 𓀹 𓀺 𓀻 𓀼 𓀽 𓀾 𓀿 𓁀 𓁁 𓁂 𓁃 𓁄 𓁅 𓁆 𓁇 𓁈 𓁉 𓁊 𓁋 𓁌 𓁍 𓁎 𓁏 𓁐 𓁑 𓀄 𓀅 𓀆
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Knight First Amendment Institute @knightcolumbia.org · 08/04/2025
This Thursday 4/10 & Friday 4/11, we're hosting our symposium "AI and Democratic Freedoms." @jbullockruns.bsky.social, @ruchowdh.bsky.social, @sebk.bsky.social & moderator @sethlazar.org will help wrap up the event with a final panel. #AIDemocraticFreedoms RSVP: www.eventbrite.com/e/artificial...
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Knight First Amendment Institute @knightcolumbia.org · 07/03/2025
EVENT: Join us for Artificial Intelligence and Democratic Freedoms on April 10-11 at @columbiauniversity.bsky.social & online. Hosted with Senior AI Advisor @sethlazar.org. Co-sponsored by the Knight Institute & @columbiaseas.bsky.social. Panel info in 🧵. RSVP: knightcolumbia.org/events/artif...
knightcolumbia.org
Artificial Intelligence and Democratic Freedoms
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 22/02/2025
important 🚨
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 22/02/2025
Many amoral 'useful geniuses' getting one-shotted by power-seeking Bad Guys. Hannah Arendt's 'banality of evil' is more relevant than ever, and it's sad how fragile values are and how quickly we can sleepwalk into dystopia. Here's to hoping that better angels of our nature win!
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Matthew Salganik @msalganik.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Sloan Foundation/UKRI postdoc on metascience and AI. For researchers in the social sciences & humanities who are interested in building a career in understanding the implications of AI for the science & research ecosystem. sloan.org/programs/dig...
sloan.org
Call for submissions: Metascience and AI postdoctoral fellowship | Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
Our mission is to make the world a better place through the advancement of scientific knowledge.
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Alexander Berger @albrgr.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Cool new reporting from @aylinwoodward.bsky.social on the ancient history of lead pollution - Roman silver smelting produced enough lead to lower population IQ by 3 points, potentially contributing to its decline. Hopefully we can eradicate the problem of lead exposure this century!
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 20/02/2025
Yep I'm very close to leaving X now, not worth staying despite the better technical AI discourse there.
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 15/02/2025
Some great news: the FDA just approved a new chikungunya vaccine for people aged 12 and older.
COPENHAGEN, Denmark, February 14, 2025 – Bavarian Nordic A/S (OMX: BAVA) announced today that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved VIMKUNYA™ (Chikungunya Vaccine, Recombinant) for injection, the first virus-like particle (VLP) single-dose chikungunya vaccine in the U.S. for persons 12 years of age and older. 

The FDA approved VIMKUNYA under Priority Review, based on results from two phase 3 clinical trials which enrolled more than 3,500 healthy individuals 12 years of age and older. The studies met their primary endpoints, with results showing that 21 days after vaccination, the vaccine induced neutralizing antibodies in up to 97.8% of the vaccinated individuals and demonstrated a rapid immune response starting to develop within one week. The vaccine was well-tolerated and vaccine-related adverse events were mainly mild or moderate in nature1. VIMKUNYA is a VLP vaccine, which means that it uses virus-like particles designed to mimic the chikungunya virus without the ability to infect cells, replicate or cause disease.
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Stian Westlake @stianwestlake.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Metascience and AI news (part 1): we're launching a new metascience and AI fellowship programme, in partnership with @SloanFoundation.bsky.social to study and develop the uses of AI in research! Apply by 10/4; info webinar 28/2 www.ukri.org/opportunity/...
ukri.org
UKRI Metascience AI early career fellowships
The UK Metascience Unit will fund a cohort of early career fellows to build our understanding of how the growing adoption of AI is changing the research landscape, including what epistemic, metascient...
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David Lindner @davidlindner.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
New Google DeepMind safety paper! LLM agents are coming – how do we stop them finding complex plans to hack the reward? Our method, MONA, prevents many such hacks, *even if* humans are unable to detect them! Inspired by myopic optimization but better performance – details in🧵
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 21/01/2025
Is there a good starter pack for technical AI safety work?
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Mallory Moore @sexabolition.blog · 20/01/2025
Identity doesn't protect people from adopting fascist politics. Marginalisation isn't a corrective for political/moral position. Everyone is human, and unchecked power seeking is a common human failing.
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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
Easy prediction for 2025 is that the gains in AI model capability will continue to grow much faster than (a) the vast majority of people’s understanding of what AI can do & (b) organizations’ ability to absorb the pace of change. Social change is much slower than technological change.
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 26/12/2024
I like the vibes and people of Bsky, but the AI research and content is much better at X unfortunately. Therefore I must continue digging for gems through the trash there, despite the frequent vile vibes. 😔
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
since i'm always boosting bluesky, i'll say that one major weakness is that the qualitiy/quantity of AI discussion following the o3 announcement is still way better on twitter the only intellectual domain I care about where that's still very clearly true.
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 23/12/2024
very unfair penguins can do this
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Arpit Gupta @arpitrage.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
Behavioral economics: people cannot add or subtract Macroeconomics: *maybe* people cannot deal with the fact that the entire cross sectional distribution is a state variable
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