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Seb Krier

@sebkrier.com
2.6K followers 746 following 164 posts

friendly deep sea dweller

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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 13/08/2026
Haha appreciate it :) we did actually use designers who sent us various options etc! So it wasn't a hastily vibe-coded thing. I get that it might look a bit too 'minimalist clean lines polished' but hopefully content will make up for it.
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tetra 💎⏹️🇺🇳 @thetetra.space · 31/07/2026
Up and to the right 📈
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Sam Harsimony @harsimony.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Very much agree with @sebk.bsky.social RE: the AI 2040 plan. In principle, international treaties and regulation are fine. But I'd rather see more emphasis on defensive technologies and freedom. x.com/sebkrier/sta...
x.com
Séb Krier (@sebkrier) on X
https://t.co/7HHn2uJ61C
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norvid_studies @norvid-studies.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
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Dan Björkegren @dbjork.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
In my class on AI institutions, the first assignment was to fight over what the assignments should be. That resulted in chaos--which was the lesson. AI will disrupt many parts of society. My class asks: what do we build next? 🧵 danbjork.substack.com/p/the-instit...
danbjork.substack.com
The institutions AI will need: notes from class
Teaching AI futures at Columbia University
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Iulia Comşa @astronomind.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
1/5 The topic of AI consciousness is sparking growing inquiry. But are we focusing on the problems we can actually solve? I explore this in my new paper: "AI and Consciousness: Shifting Focus Towards Tractable Questions." 📃
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 21/04/2026
Haha from everythingstudies.com/2017/11/07/t...
everythingstudies.com
The Nerd as the Norm
What sort of people would be considered weird if nerdiness was the norm? Read more (14 min, 3400 words)
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 21/04/2026
Somewhat tangentially, I wonder the extent to which there's an autism/nerd vs wamb thing going on here..
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 21/04/2026
Cash registers in supermarkets too. I'm sure a lot of existing human led things will get automated because convenience or "good enough" trumps the human touch, though I see other areas where it won't. We're very good at creating luxuries.
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 15/04/2026
🥹 thank you!
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norvid_studies @norvid-studies.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
kind of like twitter, unfortunately. makes the rare success leapfrogs more interesting as case studies.
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Gillian Hadfield @ghadfield.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Democracy isn't a rulebook. It runs on daily interactions where people comply with norms and hold each other accountable. AI agents are about to join that system. We need to build them to read it. New paper with Rakshit Trivedi and Dylan Hadfield-Menell.
knightcolumbia.org
Building AI for the Democratic Matrix: A Technical Research Agenda for Normative Competence and Normative Institutions
To maintain democratic resilience, it is essential to build AI agents capable of choosing behaviors that mirror those of the human agents that constitute human democracies.
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 14/03/2026
I'm not sure this is obvious at all, in fact 'it from bit' vs 'bit from it' is a pretty fundamental crux in the field!
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 13/03/2026
philarchive.org/rec/LERTAF
philarchive.org
Alexander Lerchner, The Abstraction Fallacy: Why AI Can Simulate But Not Instantiate Consciousness - PhilArchive
Computational functionalism dominates current debates on AI consciousness. This is the hypothesis that subjective experience emerges entirely from abstract causal topology, regardless of the underlyin...
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 13/03/2026
An excellent paper for anyone interested in rigorous physicalist argument against computational functionalism. Alex is a fantastic, careful thinker and influenced my views a lot; we're working on a broader blog post breaking these concepts down, stay tuned!
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 09/03/2026
😈
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 09/03/2026
This is good, provided it's good at knowing where it's appropriate to push for these goals vs where it isn't! (E.g. maybe I don't care about eating unhealthy when I'm on holidays etc)
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 08/03/2026
The answer is alright but why relate this to my prior work on distributional AGI? It's not necessarily wrong, but detracts from what I'm trying to understand and feels like it's shoehorning ideas that are related and I'm predisposed to like, but not really needed to answer my query accurately. 4/4
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 08/03/2026
In the screenshot above I'm trying to understand Morgenstern and Von Neumann's mathematical theory of microeconomics, and relate it to how people model AIs in the abstract. 3/n
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 08/03/2026
It feels like intellectual sycophancy and makes me doubt the answer. Obviously models sometimes push back but there's no clear demarcation of when they do so and why. 2/n
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 08/03/2026
The memory feature can be very useful at times, but with academic work where I'm trying to understand ideas as objectively as I can and work out what is true, I'm afraid it slants the answers to relate to my existing beliefs in a way that is ultimately unhelpful. 1/n
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Aveek Bhattacharya @aveek18.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
I find this a strange reaction. Stuff like this has happened to me, and I feel no desire to cut the "offending" people out of my life. A really normal thing for humans to do is to reason through dialogue, especially when it comes to relationships.
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SE Gyges @segyges.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
someone suggested to me the other day that the biggest ai haters are the "smartest guy at thanksgiving dinner" types, because LLMs actually displace their social role of being stuck up know-it-alls to uninformed people it's sort of obviously true if you look at certain banner examples
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 08/03/2026
😭
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 05/03/2026
I'll get there, need a gradual transition
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FleetingBits @fleetingbits.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 05/03/2026
there can be good reasons to stay there despite it being an evil lunatic asylum
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 25/02/2026
misaligned!!
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 25/02/2026
is it safe to come back here or will any view sympathetic to AI be met with rude/aggro replies
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Vitalik Buterin @vitalik.ca · 21/02/2026
"AI becomes the government" is dystopian: it leads to slop when AI is weak, and is doom-maximizing once AI becomes strong. But AI used well can be empowering, and push the frontier of democratic / decentralized modes of… firefly.social/post/ff-669078d24e3d…
firefly.social
Continue reading on Firefly.Social
"AI becomes the government" is dystopian: it leads to slop when AI is weak, and is doom-maximizing once AI becomes strong. But AI used well can be empowering, and push the frontier of democratic / decentralized modes of governance. The core problem with democratic / decentralized modes of governance (including DAOs on ethereum) is limits to human attention: there are many thousands of decisions to make, involving many domains of expertise, and most people don't have the time or skill to be experts in even one, let alone all of them. The usual solution, delegation, is disempowering: it leads to a small group of delegates controlling decision-making while their supporters, after they hit the "delegate" button, have no influence at all. So what can we do? We use personal LLMs to solve the attention problem! Here are a few ideas: ## Personal governance agents If a governance mechanism depends on you to make a large number of decisions, a personal agent can perform all the necessary votes for you, based on preferences that it infers from your personal writing, conversation history, direct statements, etc. If the agent is (i) unsure how you would vote on an issue, and (ii) convinced the issue is important, then it should ask you directly, and give you all relevant context. ## Public conversation agents Making good decisions often cannot come from a linear process of taking people's views that are based only on their own information, and averaging them (even quadratically). There is a need for processes that aggregate many people's information, and then give each person (or their LLM) a chance to respond *based on that*. This includes: * Inferring and summarizing your own views and converting them into a format that can be shared publicly (and does not expose your private info) * Summarizing commonalities between people's inputs (expressed as words), similar to the various LLM+pol.is ideas ## Suggestion markets If a governance mechanism values "high-quality inputs" of any type (this could be proposals, or it could even be arguments), then you can have a prediction market, where anyone can submit an input, AIs can bet on a token representing that input, and if the mechanism "accepts" the input (either accepting the proposal, or accepting it as a "unit" of conversation that it then passes along to its participant), it pays out $X to the holders of the token. Note that this is basically the same as https://firefly.social/post/x/2017956762347835488 ## Decentralized governance with private information One of the biggest weaknesses of highly decentralized / democratic governance is that it does not work well when important decisions need to be made with secret information. Common situations: (i) the org engaging in adversarial conflicts or negotiations (ii) internal dispute resolution (iii) compensation / funding decisions. Typically, orgs solve this by appointing individuals who have great power to take on those tasks. But with multi-party computation (currently I've seen this done with TEEs; I would love to see at least the two-party case solved with garbled circuits https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2020/03/21/garbled.html so we can get pure-cryptographic security guarantees for it), we could actually take many people's inputs into account to deal with these situations, without compromising privacy. Basically: you submit your personal LLM into a black box, the LLM sees private info, it makes a judgement based on that, and it outputs only that judgement. You don't see the private info, and no one else sees the contents of your personal LLM. ## The importance of privacy All of these approaches involve each participant making use of much more information about themselves, and potentially submitting much larger-sized inputs. Hence, it becomes all the more important to protect privacy. There are two kinds of privacy that matter: * Anonymity of the participant: this can be accomplished with ZK. In general, I think all governance tools should come with ZK built in * Privacy of the contents: this has two parts. First, the personal LLM should do what it can to avoid divulging private info about you that it does not need to divulge. Second, when you have computation that combines multiple LLMs or multiple people's info, you need multi-party techniques to compute it privately. Both are important.
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 21/02/2026
Very aligned with my writing and views :) happy that 'AI as a governance technology' is starting to take off!
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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
if you're an older person who finds words like mogg and maxxing annoying, just starting using them. people over the age of 30 have the superpower to end trends by simply adopting them
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Sichu Lu @sichulu.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
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c0nc0rdance @c0nc0rdance.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Here's my other new friend from Puerto Rico. Meet the Puerto Rican Tody which has the unfortunate scientific name of 'Todus mexicanus', thanks to a mix-up of samples by a visiting ornithologist in 1830. There's a campaign to rename it to 'Todus borinquensis', the Taíno name for the island.
A brilliant emerald green bird on a thin brown vine.  The green wings are complemented by a green head ruff, red throat and long pointed bill.  It has an alert black eye and looks defiant to me, but maybe I'm reading too much attitude into a little green bird.

It resembles a hummingbird, but like... 'fatter', I guess?

CREDIT:  DrE11even, Wikimedia
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 11/02/2026
I kinda regret going too deep in old school simulators - the aim was to intuition pump the mechanisms that shape models outputs, not to say that it's the same today as it was in 2023. But overall I think there are still many simulatorsy elements to model behaviour
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 09/02/2026
yes definitely agree with that! need x1000 more tests and logs and evals. separately I wonder if we'll ever drift away from characters/personas in some cases. snac/qorporate had some great takes on gemini being more of a platform than an assistant
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 09/02/2026
🫡
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 09/02/2026
In retrospect I should've used more examples from arxiv.org/abs/2511.01689
arxiv.org
Open Character Training: Shaping the Persona of AI Assistants through Constitutional AI
The character of the "AI assistant" persona generated by modern chatbot large language models influences both surface-level behavior and apparent values, beliefs, and ethics. These all affect interact...
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 09/02/2026
but yes pls expand I'm interested :)
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 09/02/2026
Yes agree that post training methods skew things and that a pure 2023 simulators view wouldn't explain outputs well today! I think we get more coherent personas with deeper alignment, more consistent tone, better refusal behavior, and overall stylistic consistency. Tho I still see this as a persona
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John Cassidy @johncassidysays.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Had fun researching this piece, which cites Keynes & Marx but also folks of much more recent vintage, including the economists Phillip Trammell, @briancalbrecht.bsky.social, @aleximas.bsky.social; plus @dwarkesh.bsky.social, @sebk.bsky.social, Boaz Barak, Geoffrey Hinton.
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Cats of Yore @catsofyore.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
An Apparition. Slide from my collection, 1975.
Color image of a shorthaired white cat sitting in a window, peering placidly from between lace curtains. The window is bright with sunlight, making the curtains glow but backlighting the cat so that its face is shadowy and mysterious. This would have been a lovely composition on its own but accentuating the otherworldliness of the scene is a houseplant with long, seaweed-like leaves that undulate across the foreground, one of them arching up to frame the cat perfectly.
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 01/12/2025
yes huge fan of the blog!
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Gordon @gordon.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
super interesting take blog.cosmos-institute.org/p/coasean-ba...
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 01/12/2025
nice!! yes I'm still thinking through the implications of this, but it definitely does bring me closer to the Drexler view of the world
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 05/10/2025
experts have labeled it as "fax" and "quick maths"
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 20/09/2025
considering the same. jump and I'll follow
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Charles Kenny @charlesjkenny.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
ICYM: International bodies for which the US Administration has apparently stopped paying assessed dues include (thread):
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 19/09/2025
no bro just one more LessWrong post bro I swear bro we will solve safety forever one shot just 6 more months bro we don't need to see build tech to fix it we just need to think really hard I promise bro 😭
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Seb Krier @sebkrier.com · 19/09/2025
But for the avoidance of doubt, this is ofc not my view 😌 this is: x.com/sebkrier/sta...
x.com
Séb Krier on X: "Here's the meta AI safety risk I'm more concerned about. Nothing groundbreaking but just a chain of thought of how I see it. Over time, as technology gets more efficient, it gets cheaper and more accessible. Overall that's a good thing of course. I want a lot more of this and I https://t.co/W8ICVPfSnk" / X
Here's the meta AI safety risk I'm more concerned about. Nothing groundbreaking but just a chain of thought of how I see it. Over time, as technology gets more efficient, it gets cheaper and more accessible. Overall that's a good thing of course. I want a lot more of this and I https://t.co/W8ICVPfSnk
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