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Reuben O'Connell-Booth

@rocb-ento.bsky.social
239 followers 259 following 31 posts

PhDing insect conservation at Darwin College Cambridge. reo29@cam.ac.uk

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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Just out in issue! Wondering which moth trap to pick? Or if different bulbs collect different species? We look at these questions and more using 100,000 trap nights from the amazing @gardenmothscheme.bsky.social. With @katatrepsis.bsky.social and Bill Kunin #teammoth #mothsmatter
resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Effect of bulb type on moth trap catch and composition in UK gardens
We analyse 10 years of records Garden Moth Scheme (GMS) to estimate the effect of bulb and trap type on the number of moths caught by moth traps. We find that brighter, higher wattage bulbs collect ...
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Lovely site on Orthosia identification www.eakringbirds.com/eakringbirds...
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Daniel 🕹️ @strengejacke.de · 27/02/2026
Just interpret it as a probability interval (link.springer.com/article/10.1...)
link.springer.com
Frequentist statistical inference without repeated sampling - Synthese
Frequentist inference typically is described in terms of hypothetical repeated sampling but there are advantages to an interpretation that uses a single random sample. Contemporary examples are given ...
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Laura Dee @lauradee.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Excited to share our new paper in @natcomms.nature.com We synthesize causal discovery & inference approaches across traditions (regression adjustment, quasi-expts, SEMs, Granger causality, convergent cross-mapping, and more) into a unified workflow for ecologists. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Best practices for moving from correlation to causation in ecological research - Nature Communications
Different scientific traditions offer seemingly disparate approaches to inferring causal relationships in ecological systems. This Perspective unifies the causal assumptions and methods from...
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
New form of conflict pollution in Ukraine: drone fibre optic cables. bou.org.uk/blog-morelan...
bou.org.uk
Fibre Optic Drones - British Ornithologists' Union
Plastic pollution from fibre optic drones may threaten wildlife for years
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Challenge for ecologists: can we draw BACI as a DAG?
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Green Alliance @green-alliance.org.uk · 23/02/2026
“This is an incredibly ambitious transition away from area-based payment into a system where all payments are dependent on public goods, and there will be difficulties along the way”. @lydiacollas.bsky.social in @theobserveruk.bsky.social on imminent reforms to the SFI scheme.
observer.co.uk
Dyson among the rich farmers harvesting green subsidy mil...
Inventor’s company was paid £2.2m in post-Brexit scheme that critics say unfairly rewards wealthiest landowners while small farmers miss out
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Mikko Jimenez @mikkojimenez.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
A study I led came out in Nature Cities yesterday! We used radar to study the role that urban landscapes play in migratory bird stopover. Spoiler: birds use cities a lot, and the patterns of their use reflect social processes and the inequities embedded in them. www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
Migratory bird stopover patterns linked to urbanization and social landscapes - Nature Cities
Urban ecology traditionally focuses on single cities, yet cities play key roles in ecological processes such as migration. Radar analysis across the continental USA reveals that nearly half of stopove...
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Jolyon Troscianko @jtroscianko.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Eye-opening findings on how light suppresses moth activity. Light attracts moths, but what if we've been missing a much more pervasive effect where even sky-glow light levels make them freeze? Paper: doi.org/10.1098/rspb... @uniexecec.bsky.social @esbriolat.bsky.social @kevinjgaston.bsky.social
Moth perched on a streetlamp. Our work suggests that light suppresses activity in moths, so once attracted to a light they are prevented from escape.
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Gavin Simpson @gsimpson.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
🚨 GAMs have moved on—so it’s time for an update. On March 3, 2026 (17:00–19:00 CET) I’ll be livestreaming an updated introduction to Generalized Additive Models in R 📺 YouTube livestream link: youtube.com/live/A9U8e1K... #RStats #mgcv #GAMs #gratia #statistics 🧪
youtube.com
What's new in the world of Generalized Additive Models
YouTube video by Bottom of the Heap
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RES Publications @respublications.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
New #OpenAccess work by @rocb-ento.bsky.social, @katatrepsis.bsky.social & W. Kunin in #RESInsectConsDiv explored the effect of bulb type on moth trap catch & composition in UK gardens doi.org/10.1111/icad.70050 #GardenMothScheme #Biodiversity #ALAN @manusaunders.bsky.social @wileyeco.bsky.social
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
Interested in moth trapping? Wondering which trap to use? Or if different bulbs collect different species? Using 100k samples from @gardenmothscheme.bsky.social our new paper looks at these questions and more! With with Bill Kunin and @katatrepsis.bsky.social #mothsmatter #teammoth
resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Effect of bulb type on moth trap catch and composition in UK gardens
We analyse 10 years of records Garden Moth Scheme (GMS) to estimate the effect of bulb and trap type on the number of moths caught by moth traps. We find that brighter, higher wattage bulbs collect ...
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
Interested in moth trapping? Wondering which trap to use? Or if different bulbs collect different species? Using 100k samples from @gardenmothscheme.bsky.social our new paper looks at these questions and more! With with Bill Kunin and @katatrepsis.bsky.social #mothsmatter #teammoth
resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Effect of bulb type on moth trap catch and composition in UK gardens
We analyse 10 years of records Garden Moth Scheme (GMS) to estimate the effect of bulb and trap type on the number of moths caught by moth traps. We find that brighter, higher wattage bulbs collect ...
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Reposted by Reuben O'Connell-Booth
Sicily Fiennes 🍉 @sicilyfiennes.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
One of my PhD chapters: 'Designing user-centered technologies to address the illegal wildlife trade' is OUT NOW in the @society4conbio.bsky.social journal Conservation Science and Practice! Please check out the graphical abstract and give it a read: conbio.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Graphical abstract on a paper on designing user-centred technologies to address the illegal wildlife trade. The image depicts four visual parts of the study, 1. the geographic location where the research was conducted, in Indonesia, 2. Some of the methods, including a needs assessment where members of conservation law enforcement ranked the effectiveness of features that would assist them in their jobs together with a correct species identification, such as the IUCN or protection status, the 3. part shows a prototype of an app on a mobile phone screen, which is the use case we are considering. It shows a picture of a bird taken in a wildlife marketplace followed by the percentage accuracy that the artificial intelligence model has assigned the classification of the image. The 4. section discusses some implications of the study, i.e. that technology results wouldn't be admissible in court (i.e. this species was correctly identified by a tool and not a person) and that bird trade is socially acceptable, which compromises the efficacy of enforcement.
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Guy Shrubsole @guyshrubsole.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
4/ Using evidence gathered from old postcards, maps and the accounts of shepherds and botanists, I want to rebuild a picture of the chalk downland that existed until the 1940s - and in doing so, help efforts to restore it. Please get involved here: ghostsofchalkcountry.org/2025/09/14/h...
ghostsofchalkcountry.org
How old postcards reveal the destruction of chalk downland
This post is by Guy Shrubsole. Rifling through boxes of old postcards in junk shops is, admittedly, not my coolest pastime. But it’s something I’ve started doing of late, because some o…
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Vilgot Huhn @vilgothuhn.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Learning that ”the relationship remained significant after adjusting for (unreliable) confounder” is an inference criteria that becomes worse when you have more power has been very formative for how I read the literature.
journals.plos.org
Statistically Controlling for Confounding Constructs Is Harder than You Think
Social scientists often seek to demonstrate that a construct has incremental validity over and above other related constructs. However, these claims are typically supported by measurement-level models...
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
This is outrageous “Reform [UK] voters don’t think climate is important and the Mail and Sun [newspapers] complain that Starmer has spent a record number of days overseas” on.ft.com/4nOy28P Keir Starmer has no plans to attend COP30 climate summit in Brazil
on.ft.com
Keir Starmer has no plans to attend COP30 climate summit in Brazil
Final decision has yet to be made amid ‘big fight inside government’ over trip by prime minister
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Heath's moth trap design, from the original publication. Heath, J., 1965. A genuinely portable M.V. Light Trap. Ent. Rec., 77: 236-238. www.biodiversitylibrary.org/page/39266893
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Moira O'Donnell @naturelark.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Your annual reminder of how to tell Field Scabious, Knautia arvensis, and Small Scabious, Scabiosa columbaria, apart with a quick glance. Have a look under the flower heads. Field Scabious has a double row of leaf-like bracts, and Small Scabious has a single row of narrow, bristle-tipped bracts.
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
So cool - these moths navigate using starlight More great stuff from the Eric Warrant & the Lund vision group. Makes me wonder- could this be disrupted by skyglow? Yet another way artificial light can disrupt moths? www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
These moths use the stars to navigate on an epic migration
Bogong moths migrate hundreds of kilometres and back each year using the southern night sky as their compass.
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Piped data.table... a beautiful thing (just me?) #rstats
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Tony Juniper @tonyjuniper.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
Natural England is delighted today to declare England’s newest National Nature Reserve: the Bradford Pennine Gateway NNR. 1200 hectares of priority habitats on the doorstep of tens of thousands of people, many with limited access to high quality natural areas. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Interesting paper, worth a read. Another complicating factor in untangling moth declines! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
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Guy Shrubsole @guyshrubsole.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
REVEALED: only 5% of Forestry Commission grants for woodland creation have been spent on the natural regeneration of trees, while the remaining 95% is spent on tree planting. The government needs to change the rules. My FOI request & comment in the Guardian: www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Government ‘failing to support natural regeneration of trees in England’
Campaigners say targets for woodland creation are unlikely to be met because 95% of grants are for planting
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CSIRO Publishing @csiropublishing.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
When lepidopterist Michael Braby spotted something odd on a rare butterfly specimen, an old case was re-opened: a heist involving Scotland Yard & a forgery that created a flutter throughout the taxonomic world. cosmosmagazine.com/nature/butterfly-heist-70-years-ago-is-still-causing-flutter/
cosmosmagazine.com
Butterfly heist 70 years ago is still causing flutter
Braby has spent thirty-odd years researching butterflies and moths, so when alarm bells start ringing follows up
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mayfieldbirder.bsky.social @mayfieldbirder.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Locally here in the Sussex High Weald Hyacinthoides non-scripta are mainly blue, occasionally white but these definitely look purple… @naturelark.bsky.social @bsbibotany.bsky.social
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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
I just posted a new notebook: Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU. This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback! marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...
marginaleffects.com
8  Causal inference with G-computation – Model to Meaning
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Alex Coppock @aecoppock.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Such a banger. The rain DAG has made its way around socials a few times, but check out the extremely lucid and incisive discussion section.
Rainfall DAGIt is tempting to interpret instruments as being “used up” by multiple uses. However, it is important to distinguish the fact of whether an exclusion-restriction violation exists from our knowledge of that fact (which new research can change). This may seem unfair to authors who used the best available information, but the goal of this method is to assess empirical claims not to cast judgment on researchers.Causal knowledge in social science has few easy shortcuts. Apparently simple solutions such as IVs still rely on strong substantive claims about the world. To build cumulative knowledge, we must engage directly with the messy causal web of the social world.This paper shows that a widely used instrument is flawed because it systematically violates the exclusion-restriction assumption for most plausible applications. These findings suggest our standards for accepting instruments are overly lenient and atheoretical. The causal revolution in social science has revealed the wishful thinking underlying selection-on-observables. The same rigor must be applied to IV assumptions.
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Miles King @milesking.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Labour’s great nature sellout is the worst attack on England’s ecosystems I’ve seen in my lifetime | George Monbiot www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
Labour’s great nature sellout is the worst attack on England’s ecosystems I’ve seen in my lifetime | George Monbiot
The horrifying planning bill, which rips up environmental protections, was drafted with CEOs in mind. We know because Keir Starmer told us, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot
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GLiTRS @glitrs.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
NEW PAPER from the GLiTRS team! 🎉 We review how best to use different types of evidence to better understand global insect declines 🦗🪳🪲🦋🐛🐜 "Integrating multiple evidence streams to understand insect biodiversity change" published in @science.org 🔗 tinyurl.com/mr35bdaa A summary 🧵 below (1/7)
science.org
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Stephen Wild @stephenjwild.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Using this as an excuse to share a great post by @natehaines.bsky.social on modelling and Dunning-Kruger. haines-lab.com/post/2021-01...
haines-lab.com
A Series on Building Formal Models of Classic Psychological Effects: Part 1, the Dunning-Kruger Effect | Computational Psychology
Computational Psychologist & Data Scientist
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Guy Shrubsole @guyshrubsole.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
“England’s non-woodland trees have been mapped for the first time, using cutting-edge methods of laser detection and satellite imagery” www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘An exciting moment’: England’s urban and rural trees mapped for first time
‘Groundbreaking’ tool aims to help tree-planting efforts and identify areas to create nature-rich habitats
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Wild Justice @wildjustice.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Too edgy for Private Eye? We recently ran the 1st of 3 ads in Private Eye magazine. But after our 1st they told us they wouldn't run any more. Did they give in to pressure from the shooting industry or another vested interest? Private Eye- too establishment for Wild Justice!
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Sasha Gusev @sashagusevposts.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
The New York Times recently had an article on IVF and embryo selection which I think buries a few important ledes about these products ...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Should Human Life Be Optimized?
Advances in genetic testing and artificial intelligence are changing what’s possible for those undergoing I.V.F. Are we ready for the future of fertility?
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Phil Stevenson @philstevenson.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Elevated extinction risk in over one-fifth of native North American pollinators. 1,600 spp of vertebrate & insect pollinators assessed - one in five at risk of extinction. major threats - climate, agriculture, hydrological & fire regimes, & urban development. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
Elevated extinction risk in over one-fifth of native North American pollinators | PNAS
Pollinators are critical for food production and ecosystem function. Although native pollinators are thought to be declining, the evidence is limit...
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Dr Will Leo Hawkes @willleohawkes.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
It's published! The largest research work I've ever undertaken: Lords of the flies: dipteran migrants are diverse, abundant & ecologically important Published in Biological Reviews: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... Thanks so much to co-authors @koralwotton.bsky.social & Myles Menz 1/x
Screenshot from the cover page of the paperA map of the world showing fly migration study locations and estimated routesA close up photo of Eristalinus taeniops the stripey eyed hoverfly on a yellow flower in CyprusA close up photo of the locust blowfly Stomorhina lunata on a rock. My favourite fly
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Guy Shrubsole @guyshrubsole.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Government to extend ban on moorland burning - closing loopholes in existing rules Great news for nature, carbon, & people who’ll be spared from acrid smoke & flooding Bad news for dukes & billionaires who own grouse moors 🎻 Here's my quote running on PA newswire: 1/ www.gov.uk/government/n...
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Heather Urry @heatherurry.io · 27/03/2025
Need to explain (or understand) linear mixed effects regressions, random intercepts, and random slopes? Look no further than "A Visual Introduction to Hierarchical Models" by Michael Freeman, 2017. It's a banger!
mfviz.com
A Visual Introduction to Hierarchical Models
A visual explanation of multi-level modeling
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Michal Barták @michalbartak.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
🚨New paper on tropical moth pollination 🧵1/8 - What happens in tropical ecosystems when the day ends?🌔🦋 Our new review that @robtrop.bsky.social and I wrote highlights moths’ vital role in pollination and outlines research gaps, challenges and biases. Sharing valued! Link: doi.org/10.1017/S026...
doi.org
When the day ends: Review on the importance of nocturnal moths as pollinators in tropical ecosystems | Journal of Tropical Ecology | Cambridge Core
When the day ends: Review on the importance of nocturnal moths as pollinators in tropical ecosystems - Volume 41
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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 23/03/2025
The government’s Land Use consultation is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to intervene in this critical issue. Here’s my response to it. Please feel free to borrow / copy & paste as much as you want. It’s crucial that we engage. www.monbiot.com/2025/03/23/f... 1/3 🧵
monbiot.com
First Sight of Land
For the first time, the government is consulting on a Land Use Framework for England. It’s an important step, but there’s a long way to go.
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 23/03/2025
Read this @sabs.bsky.social interview with my friend @co2ley.bsky.social, who was fired at NOAA as the Director of the Ocean Acidification Program (OAP) and later reinstated but placed on administrative leave. Disclaimer: Some of my work on marine CO₂ removal (mCDR) is funded by OAP.
defector.com
An Interview With A Fired NOAA Director | Defector
In 2006, by the time scientist Sarah Cooley finished graduate school in marine science, oyster larvae in the Pacific Northwest had already begun dying mysteriously and dramatically—unable to form shel...
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Check out this incredible stack exchange answer by the author of R package MatchIt on why/when matching is preferable to regression for causal inference: stats.stackexchange.com/questions/54...
stats.stackexchange.com
Why do we do matching for causal inference vs regressing on confounders?
I'm new to the area of causal inference. From what I understand, one of the main concerns that causal inference tries to address is the effect of confounders! For the sake of reference, let's denot...
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Patrick Barkham @patrickbarkham.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Brilliant news on a Friday afternoon: gov will launch new natural history GCSE. It's taken Mary Colwell, @carolinelucas.bsky.social & others years of campaigning. (I'm praying it'll be introduced quickly enough for my children!) www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Department for Education confirms launch of natural history GCSE
Campaigners have been calling for the qualification for years but plan stalled despite a curriculum being drawn up
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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
A gobsmacking story. Water companies let toxic waste disposers, for cash, dump their loads into sewage farms. The sewage sludge is then spread, untested, on farmland, potentially poisoning vast areas, entire ecosystems and the people (you and me) eating the food. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
What’s in the millions of tonnes of sludge sprayed on to farmland? The answer won’t make you happy | George Monbiot
Thanks to breathtaking negligence, the liquid fertiliser used to help grow our food bubbles with a lethal cocktail of toxins, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot
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Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 20/03/2025
I’ve long used FiveThirtyEight’s interactive “Hack Your Way To Scientific Glory” to illustrate the idea of p-hacking when I teach statistics. But ABC/Disney killed the site earlier this month :( So I made my own with #rstats and Observable and #QuartoPub ! stats.andrewheiss.com/hack-your-way/
Screenshot of the linked Quarto website, with input checkboxes to change different conditions for a regression model that predicts economic performance based on US political party, with a reported p-value
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UK Pollinator Monitoring Scheme @pomscheme.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
The new FIT Count season is nearly here 🎉🎆👏 From 1st April onwards, when weather is good, enjoy spending 10 minutes counting the insects that visit flowers - wherever you can find flowers, and as often as you wish, to help monitor #pollinators. Full details on our website ukpoms.org.uk/fit-counts
Poster: Ten steps to carry out a FIT Count
1. A FIT Count requires 10–15 minutes to enjoy watching and counting insects!
2. Take part on any day with good weather from 1 April to 30 September.
3. "Good weather" is dry, and with temperature at least 13°C in sunny conditions, or at least 15°C when cloudy.
4. Choose just one type of flower as your target flower – use a FIT Count target flower if you can, or choose any other flower as the target.
5. Mark out a 50 × 50 cm patch containing your target.
6. Count how many individual target flowers are in your patch.
7. Set a timer for 10 minutes, and count all insects that touch (land or are already sitting) the target flowers.
8. Identify the insects into their broad groups (bumblebees, hoverflies etc.) – any that you don't recognise should be counted as "other insects".
9. Answer some simple habitat and weather questions.
10. Don't forget to send in your results via our FIT Count app or website recording form (even if your result is zero insects!).

Full details on the POMS website and FIT Count app.
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Stephen Wild @stephenjwild.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Always worth this sharing this from @noahgreifer.bsky.social
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Just came across this interesting 1968 paper from Herman Daly which recasts economics as a sub-discipline of ecology. A must-read if interested in ecological economics or degrowth!
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Reuben O'Connell-Booth @rocb-ento.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Check out this incredible stack exchange answer by the author of R package MatchIt on why/when matching is preferable to regression for causal inference: stats.stackexchange.com/questions/54...
stats.stackexchange.com
Why do we do matching for causal inference vs regressing on confounders?
I'm new to the area of causal inference. From what I understand, one of the main concerns that causal inference tries to address is the effect of confounders! For the sake of reference, let's denot...
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