Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Nidhi V. Banava and Kirk Bansak have a neat piece out now in PNAS on the strategies people use in conjoint experiments. TLDR: Simple heuristic strategies are most common. If you use conjoints, you should def. read! 010
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Grateful that this co-authored work is now cond. accepted at @apsrjournal.bsky.social ! Does backsliding damage allied public support for security cooperation? Prior work suggests no. We show it does! 6 cntry + 10K rspdnts shows backsliding ⬇️ ally support for intel. sharing + sec. cooperation. 231
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Woo! R&R! Grateful to editors and reviewers still processing manuscripts during the late summer! 020
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 04/08/2026I'm so excited that this is out - an important, accessible resource for people who want to do and teach quant research! Congratulations @uptonorwell.bsky.social !!! 110
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Does backsliding undermine allied war support? - 4 ctry experiment during the 2026 US–Iran war - US strikes w/o Cong. authorization ⬇️allied publics' support. - Strongest effects for UK w.p. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... w/ @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social 042
Reposted by Rikio InouyeOmar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 21/05/2026Thrilled this paper is out in the wild! Here’s my earlier thread explaining Text as Behavior: bsky.app/profile/owas... 0163
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 20/05/2026Thanks for the repost! Definitely was one of the most striking findings - huge divergence btwn what people SAY and what the SHOW. I find similar findings in other conflict related conjoints. But for those looking, here’s the link to the piece out on @isq-jrnl.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/isq/...doi.orgUnraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and PalestiniansAbstract. Conflicts manifest on two fronts: the battlefield and global public opinion. This study explores how ordinary individuals form sympathies toward 010
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 19/05/2026Grateful for this collaboration. Important divergence between what people "say" matters, and what their actions "show" matters. TLDR: People STRONGLY deny importance of religion in their thinking, but belligerent religion is the MOST consequential attribute for sympathy. doi.org/10.1093/isq/...doi.orgUnraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and PalestiniansAbstract. Conflicts manifest on two fronts: the battlefield and global public opinion. This study explores how ordinary individuals form sympathies toward 010
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 19/05/2026New article w/ @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social “Unraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and Palestinians,” is now OA at @isq-jrnl.bsky.social ! Using conjoints fielded during Gaza war, we show motivated reasoning alters how Americans react to info about the conflict. 100
Reposted by Rikio InouyeRyan Brutger @ryanbrutger.bsky.social · 06/05/2026Please help spread the word about these travel grants provided by the @intlcollaboration.bsky.social section of @apsa.bsky.social. 052
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 05/05/2026I’m fear it won’t get better next year. If you’re on the market next year and want to talk / get advice, please reach out. I hope I can pay forward the kindness and support I received! 000
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 23/04/2026Deeply wrong, and we show, unpopular. We find strong SUPPORT for allied migrants. Support cuts across parties and moves both public (US and UK) and local/state elites. Allyship abroad generates strong support for resettlement at home. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....papers.ssrn.comFrom Allies to Neighbors: The Impact of Military Service on Support for Refugee ResettlementMany of the largest refugee crises occur in the wake of military withdrawals, yet there is little work on public perceptions of migrants who have assisted in pr 011
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 18/04/2026Up in time for #mpsa! Whose lives matter? #AI-generated images allow me to manipulate race of invaded country. Result? Penalty in support for ASIAN and ARAB countries compared to White (and Black!). ~15% ⬇️ in willing. to pay tax to help. Race also biases strategic and material considerations! 141
Reposted by Rikio InouyeOona Hathaway @oonahathaway.bsky.social · 28/02/2026The strikes on Iran are blatantly illegal. I explained in June why the strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities were unlawful under US and international law. Everything I wrote then is true today, but this is a far larger assault with far graver consequences. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/23/o...nytimes.comOpinion | Trump’s Strikes on Iran Were Unlawful. Here’s Why That Matters. 421820595
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 28/02/2026As the US and #Israel engage in #OperationEpicFury at strike #Iran, I'm mindful of how race and religion may shape public support. My JMP shows (all else equal), sharp penalties in support for Asian and Arab countries being invaded, compared to White and Black. (link below) 100
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 28/02/2026Having military officers in these programs dramatically changes, and improves the understanding between the ivory tower and enlisted service members. tragic to see this 000
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 24/02/2026Neat working paper by Bischof et al. that's apparently now conditionally accepted at JOP. TLDR: Social Desireability bias is less of a concern for online survey research than previously thought. osf.io/preprints/os... 010
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 20/02/2026Finally out in @isq-jrnl.bsky.social! “Preserve, Pressure, Protect, and Peel: The US–China Rivalry and the Politics of Vaccine Provision” How do great powers decide who gets life-saving aid? Preserve friends? Pressure others? Protect health? Peel fence-sitters? academic.oup.com/isq/article/... 100
Reposted by Rikio InouyeTeam Talarico @teamtalaricohq.bsky.social · 17/02/2026Stephen Colbert SLAMS CBS for not letting James Talarico on Late Night 591739580
Reposted by Rikio InouyeAdam Berinsky @adamberinsky.bsky.social · 16/02/2026I'm teaching a few survey research courses live and online. First, a free one hour seminar. Feb 20 instats.org/seminar/surv... Then a set of two (half) day courses. Not free (sorry!). -Intro Surveys (Feb 26-27): instats.org/seminar/intr... -Advanced Surveys (March 5-6): instats.org/seminar/adva... 12217
Reposted by Rikio InouyeJaweed Kaleem @jaweedkaleem.bsky.social · 14/02/2026NEW: The Trump administration has dropped its appeal of a federal court order blocking its $1.2-billion settlement demand to UCLA over alleged campus civil rights violations: www.latimes.com/california/s...latimes.comTrump administration drops its appeal of court order blocking $1.2-billion UCLA settlementThe Trump administration dropped its appeal of a major higher education case in which a federal judge blocked its $1.2-billion settlement proposal to UCLA over alleged civil rights violations. But it ... 11456177
Reposted by Rikio InouyeOmar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 01/02/2026Two things can be true: we’re a competitive authoritarian state with all sorts of efforts to put a thumb on the scale of who has power AND we have sufficiently free and sufficiently fair elections that every month we see the party in power lose. 271923337
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 19/01/2026Got a fellowship rejection and an interview invite for a different fellowship within minutes of each other. The job market really said: stay humble, stay hopeful, stay glued to your inbox. 000
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 26/11/2025Job market season is such a rollar coaster. Got a game-changing R&R! 030
Reposted by Rikio InouyeTom Pepinsky @tompepinsky.com · 19/11/2025One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?” 15610
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 18/11/2025Thank you @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for an amazing Global Public Opinion workshop! Great scholars and conversations ! Wonderful to see @jkertzer.bsky.social @jonathan-renshon.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social too! 010
Reposted by Rikio InouyeJoshua Kertzer @jkertzer.bsky.social · 18/11/2025Congratulations to @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for the launch of the Global Public Opinion Lab (GPOL) at Florida State! Lots of exciting plans in the works! (I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss) 1112
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 15/11/2025Presenting this afternoon Peace Science - last panel of the day 😊 With @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social , @kmatush.bsky.social , and Eun A Jo! 000
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 16/10/2025Democracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security. New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.papers.ssrn.comDemocratic Backsliding Damages Foreign Public Support for Security CooperationDoes democratic backsliding shape foreign public preferences for security cooperation with the backsliding state? We argue that it does. Backsliding erodes the 330
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 27/09/2025Was just in a behavior workshop today and this piece is still so helpful for people to consider when designing experiments and interpreting (null) effects! 120
Reposted by Rikio InouyePrinceton University Department of Politics @princetonpolitics.bsky.social · 11/09/2025Website: rikioinouye.orgrikioinouye.orgRikio Inouye 011
Reposted by Rikio InouyePrinceton University Department of Politics @princetonpolitics.bsky.social · 11/09/2025@rinouye.bsky.social examines how racial and religious identities of countries in conflict shape public support for them. He argues identity isn’t just another factor, but a lens shaping how people interpret strategic and material information, with real consequences for conflict support. 131
Reposted by Rikio InouyePaul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 23/07/2025An instant post about that Japan deal. It's basically a joke paulkrugman.substack.com/p/about-that...paulkrugman.substack.comAbout That Japan DealArithmetic has a well-known globalist bias 411121369
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 20/07/2025The last two months have been rough with three rejections. But today I got a great R&R! 🥳 000
Reposted by Rikio InouyeThe New York Times @nytimes.com · 18/07/2025The first people to hear that CBS was canceling “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” reacted to the news loudly, and viscerally, with a chorus of “No!” that turned into a sustained round of boos.trib.alFans React to Colbert ‘Late Show’ Cancellation With Puzzlement and AngerMany questioned the timing of and motivation for the announcement, noting that Mr. Colbert hosted the most-watched show in late night television. 60492110
Reposted by Rikio InouyeTeresa Eder @tcobserver12.bsky.social · 11/07/2025700 diplomats at State are set to be laid off. This amounts to 60% of all foreign service officer currently based in DC. 60%! State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/u...nytimes.comState Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs 2231921903
Reposted by Rikio InouyeNoah Shachtman @noahshachtman.bsky.social · 22/06/2025There are going to be a lot of euphemisms and double talk in the days to come. So give the Times credit for telling it straight: "The United States has entered Israel’s war against Iran." www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...nytimes.comHere are the latest developments. 1844893
Reposted by Rikio InouyeSteve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 22/06/2025This is nothing like Iraq or Afghanistan from a public opinion standpoint. In both cases, large majorities supported military action. This time, large majorities oppose it. Chart from the great @gelliottmorris.com. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-amer... 49638
Reposted by Rikio InouyeThe New York Times @nytimes.com · 22/06/2025By bombing three nuclear sites in Iran, the U.S. has joined Israel’s war against the country. Now it is bracing for Iranian retaliation.trib.alWith Decision to Bomb Iran, Trump Injects U.S. Into Middle East ConflictBy bombing three nuclear sites in Iran, the United States has joined Israel’s war against the country. Now it is bracing for Iranian retaliation. 5920067
Reposted by Rikio InouyeSam Bagenstos @sbagen.bsky.social · 22/06/2025There's no declaration of war, and no AUMF that covers this. Entering this war is wrong on the merits; we had a perfectly peaceful way to address Iran's nuclear program. It's also unlawful. A democratic republic should not be able to enter a war of choice on one man's say-so. 813705992
Reposted by Rikio InouyeDavid Rothkopf @djrothkopf.bsky.social · 22/06/2025No one knows where the conflict with Iran will lead from here. My guess is what has happened today will resolve little. My guess is the conflict will remain sporadic and the biggest X factor will be that Bibi does not want it to stop. Bombing Iran into an effective enduring deal seems unlikely. 2235962
Reposted by Rikio InouyeThe New York Times @nytimes.com · 22/06/2025Breaking News: President Trump said that the U.S. had bombed Fordo, Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear facility, as well as two other sites.trib.alU.S. Enters War With Iran, Striking Fordo Nuclear Site: Live UpdatesPresident Trump announced the United States had struck Fordo, Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear facilities, as well as two other sites. 95215112
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 22/06/2025IR scholars (Tomz and Weeks 2013, RPP 2024) have asked if the public supports preemptive strikes on nuclear sites against democracies vs. non democracies. Never thought I would see it happen, but we’ve just done so against Iran. No congressional approval. @jlpweeks.bsky.social 000
Reposted by Rikio InouyePrinceton University Department of Politics @princetonpolitics.bsky.social · 11/06/2025Congratulations to Charlotte Fitzek, Rikio Inouye, and Etienne Gagnon who received Honjo Scholarships from @JAANewYork to support studies that "will help further US-Japan relations." @rinouye.bsky.social 041
Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 02/05/2025New working paper! When US aid leaders are diverse, public support for them and US aid rises. Who people see shapes how they feel. Diversity is a #ForeignPolicy asset. 👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... w/ Soohyun Cho and Simone Dietrich #PoliSci #ForeignAid #DiversityMatters #USForeignPolicypapers.ssrn.comBeyond Paternalism: How Leadership Diversity Shapes Foreign Aid Perceptions in South Africa *This paper examines how the racial and gender composition of donor leadership shapes public opinion in recipient countries. Focusing on South Africa, we explore 110
Reposted by Rikio InouyeLester K Spence @lkspence.bsky.social · 28/04/2025Thanks for the shoutout. Didn't know it was out already. If folks can't get access without forking over loot let me know. 1125