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Rikio Inouye

@rinouye.bsky.social
103 followers 128 following 51 posts

Postdoctoral Fellow Stanford CISAC, incoming AP at Temple University. Studies race, international security, and foreign policy support. A twin, former JET program participant in Toyama (my second home). rikioinouye.org

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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Nidhi V. Banava and Kirk Bansak have a neat piece out now in PNAS on the strategies people use in conjoint experiments. TLDR: Simple heuristic strategies are most common. If you use conjoints, you should def. read!
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Grateful that this co-authored work is now cond. accepted at @apsrjournal.bsky.social ! Does backsliding damage allied public support for security cooperation? Prior work suggests no. We show it does! 6 cntry + 10K rspdnts shows backsliding ⬇️ ally support for intel. sharing + sec. cooperation.
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Woo! R&R! Grateful to editors and reviewers still processing manuscripts during the late summer!
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
I'm so excited that this is out - an important, accessible resource for people who want to do and teach quant research! Congratulations @uptonorwell.bsky.social !!!
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Does backsliding undermine allied war support? - 4 ctry experiment during the 2026 US–Iran war - US strikes w/o Cong. authorization ⬇️allied publics' support. - Strongest effects for UK w.p. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... w/ @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Thrilled this paper is out in the wild! Here’s my earlier thread explaining Text as Behavior: bsky.app/profile/owas...
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Thanks for the repost! Definitely was one of the most striking findings - huge divergence btwn what people SAY and what the SHOW. I find similar findings in other conflict related conjoints. But for those looking, here’s the link to the piece out on @isq-jrnl.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
doi.org
Unraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and Palestinians
Abstract. Conflicts manifest on two fronts: the battlefield and global public opinion. This study explores how ordinary individuals form sympathies toward
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Grateful for this collaboration. Important divergence between what people "say" matters, and what their actions "show" matters. TLDR: People STRONGLY deny importance of religion in their thinking, but belligerent religion is the MOST consequential attribute for sympathy. doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
doi.org
Unraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and Palestinians
Abstract. Conflicts manifest on two fronts: the battlefield and global public opinion. This study explores how ordinary individuals form sympathies toward
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
New article w/ @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social “Unraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and Palestinians,” is now OA at @isq-jrnl.bsky.social ! Using conjoints fielded during Gaza war, we show motivated reasoning alters how Americans react to info about the conflict.
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Ryan Brutger @ryanbrutger.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Please help spread the word about these travel grants provided by the @intlcollaboration.bsky.social section of @apsa.bsky.social.
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
I’m fear it won’t get better next year. If you’re on the market next year and want to talk / get advice, please reach out. I hope I can pay forward the kindness and support I received!
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Deeply wrong, and we show, unpopular. We find strong SUPPORT for allied migrants. Support cuts across parties and moves both public (US and UK) and local/state elites. Allyship abroad generates strong support for resettlement at home. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
From Allies to Neighbors: The Impact of Military Service on Support for Refugee Resettlement
Many of the largest refugee crises occur in the wake of military withdrawals, yet there is little work on public perceptions of migrants who have assisted in pr
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
Up in time for #mpsa! Whose lives matter? #AI-generated images allow me to manipulate race of invaded country. Result? Penalty in support for ASIAN and ARAB countries compared to White (and Black!). ~15% ⬇️ in willing. to pay tax to help. Race also biases strategic and material considerations!
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Oona Hathaway @oonahathaway.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
The strikes on Iran are blatantly illegal. I explained in June why the strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities were unlawful under US and international law. Everything I wrote then is true today, but this is a far larger assault with far graver consequences. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/23/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Trump’s Strikes on Iran Were Unlawful. Here’s Why That Matters.
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
As the US and #Israel engage in #OperationEpicFury at strike #Iran, I'm mindful of how race and religion may shape public support. My JMP shows (all else equal), sharp penalties in support for Asian and Arab countries being invaded, compared to White and Black. (link below)
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Having military officers in these programs dramatically changes, and improves the understanding between the ivory tower and enlisted service members. tragic to see this
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Neat working paper by Bischof et al. that's apparently now conditionally accepted at JOP. TLDR: Social Desireability bias is less of a concern for online survey research than previously thought. osf.io/preprints/os...
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Finally out in @isq-jrnl.bsky.social! “Preserve, Pressure, Protect, and Peel: The US–China Rivalry and the Politics of Vaccine Provision” How do great powers decide who gets life-saving aid? Preserve friends? Pressure others? Protect health? Peel fence-sitters? academic.oup.com/isq/article/...
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Team Talarico @teamtalaricohq.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Stephen Colbert SLAMS CBS for not letting James Talarico on Late Night
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Adam Berinsky @adamberinsky.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
I'm teaching a few survey research courses live and online. First, a free one hour seminar. Feb 20 instats.org/seminar/surv... Then a set of two (half) day courses. Not free (sorry!). -Intro Surveys (Feb 26-27): instats.org/seminar/intr... -Advanced Surveys (March 5-6): instats.org/seminar/adva...
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Jaweed Kaleem @jaweedkaleem.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
NEW: The Trump administration has dropped its appeal of a federal court order blocking its $1.2-billion settlement demand to UCLA over alleged campus civil rights violations: www.latimes.com/california/s...
latimes.com
Trump administration drops its appeal of court order blocking $1.2-billion UCLA settlement
The Trump administration dropped its appeal of a major higher education case in which a federal judge blocked its $1.2-billion settlement proposal to UCLA over alleged civil rights violations. But it ...
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Two things can be true: we’re a competitive authoritarian state with all sorts of efforts to put a thumb on the scale of who has power AND we have sufficiently free and sufficiently fair elections that every month we see the party in power lose.
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
2nd Round R&R ➡️ Conditional Acceptance 🥳
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Got a fellowship rejection and an interview invite for a different fellowship within minutes of each other. The job market really said: stay humble, stay hopeful, stay glued to your inbox.
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Job market season is such a rollar coaster. Got a game-changing R&R!
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Tom Pepinsky @tompepinsky.com · 19/11/2025
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
Thank you @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for an amazing Global Public Opinion workshop! Great scholars and conversations ! Wonderful to see @jkertzer.bsky.social @jonathan-renshon.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social too!
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Joshua Kertzer @jkertzer.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
Congratulations to @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for the launch of the Global Public Opinion Lab (GPOL) at Florida State! Lots of exciting plans in the works! (I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss)
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
Presenting this afternoon Peace Science - last panel of the day 😊 With @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social , @kmatush.bsky.social , and Eun A Jo!
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
New version just uploaded 😊
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Democracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security. New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
papers.ssrn.com
Democratic Backsliding Damages Foreign Public Support for Security Cooperation
Does democratic backsliding shape foreign public preferences for security cooperation with the backsliding state? We argue that it does. Backsliding erodes the
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 27/09/2025
Was just in a behavior workshop today and this piece is still so helpful for people to consider when designing experiments and interpreting (null) effects!
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Princeton University Department of Politics @princetonpolitics.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Website: rikioinouye.org
rikioinouye.org
Rikio Inouye
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Princeton University Department of Politics @princetonpolitics.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
@rinouye.bsky.social examines how racial and religious identities of countries in conflict shape public support for them. He argues identity isn’t just another factor, but a lens shaping how people interpret strategic and material information, with real consequences for conflict support.
Infographic Rikio Inouye against a chevron inspired background of Princeton's black and orange. 
Rikio Inouye
International Relations
Expertise: International Politics, Race, Ethnicity, and Identity, Foreign Policy, Political Psychology
Dissertation: How Far for Whom: How Identity Heuristics Shape Foreign Policy Support and Foreign Policy Making
Committee: John Ikenberry, Tali Mendelberg, Naima Green-Riley
Princeton University Logo. Princeton Politics Logo.
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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
An instant post about that Japan deal. It's basically a joke paulkrugman.substack.com/p/about-that...
paulkrugman.substack.com
About That Japan Deal
Arithmetic has a well-known globalist bias
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 20/07/2025
The last two months have been rough with three rejections. But today I got a great R&R! 🥳
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 18/07/2025
The first people to hear that CBS was canceling “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” reacted to the news loudly, and viscerally, with a chorus of “No!” that turned into a sustained round of boos.
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Fans React to Colbert ‘Late Show’ Cancellation With Puzzlement and Anger
Many questioned the timing of and motivation for the announcement, noting that Mr. Colbert hosted the most-watched show in late night television.
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Teresa Eder @tcobserver12.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
700 diplomats at State are set to be laid off. This amounts to 60% of all foreign service officer currently based in DC. 60%! State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/u...
nytimes.com
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs
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Noah Shachtman @noahshachtman.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
There are going to be a lot of euphemisms and double talk in the days to come. So give the Times credit for telling it straight: "The United States has entered Israel’s war against Iran." www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
nytimes.com
Here are the latest developments.
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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
This is nothing like Iraq or Afghanistan from a public opinion standpoint. In both cases, large majorities supported military action. This time, large majorities oppose it. Chart from the great @gelliottmorris.com. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-amer...
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 22/06/2025
By bombing three nuclear sites in Iran, the U.S. has joined Israel’s war against the country. Now it is bracing for Iranian retaliation.
trib.al
With Decision to Bomb Iran, Trump Injects U.S. Into Middle East Conflict
By bombing three nuclear sites in Iran, the United States has joined Israel’s war against the country. Now it is bracing for Iranian retaliation.
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Sam Bagenstos @sbagen.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
There's no declaration of war, and no AUMF that covers this. Entering this war is wrong on the merits; we had a perfectly peaceful way to address Iran's nuclear program. It's also unlawful. A democratic republic should not be able to enter a war of choice on one man's say-so.
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David Rothkopf @djrothkopf.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
No one knows where the conflict with Iran will lead from here. My guess is what has happened today will resolve little. My guess is the conflict will remain sporadic and the biggest X factor will be that Bibi does not want it to stop. Bombing Iran into an effective enduring deal seems unlikely.
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 22/06/2025
Breaking News: President Trump said that the U.S. had bombed Fordo, Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear facility, as well as two other sites.
trib.al
U.S. Enters War With Iran, Striking Fordo Nuclear Site: Live Updates
President Trump announced the United States had struck Fordo, Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear facilities, as well as two other sites.
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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
THIS
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
IR scholars (Tomz and Weeks 2013, RPP 2024) have asked if the public supports preemptive strikes on nuclear sites against democracies vs. non democracies. Never thought I would see it happen, but we’ve just done so against Iran. No congressional approval. @jlpweeks.bsky.social
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Princeton University Department of Politics @princetonpolitics.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Congratulations to Charlotte Fitzek, Rikio Inouye, and Etienne Gagnon who received Honjo Scholarships from @JAANewYork to support studies that "will help further US-Japan relations." @rinouye.bsky.social
Four Princeton Honjo Scholarship recipients and JANNY representatives.
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Rikio Inouye @rinouye.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
New working paper! When US aid leaders are diverse, public support for them and US aid rises. Who people see shapes how they feel. Diversity is a #ForeignPolicy asset. 👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... w/ Soohyun Cho and Simone Dietrich #PoliSci #ForeignAid #DiversityMatters #USForeignPolicy
papers.ssrn.com
Beyond Paternalism: How Leadership Diversity Shapes Foreign Aid Perceptions in South Africa *
This paper examines how the racial and gender composition of donor leadership shapes public opinion in recipient countries. Focusing on South Africa, we explore
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Lester K Spence @lkspence.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
Thanks for the shoutout. Didn't know it was out already. If folks can't get access without forking over loot let me know.
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