iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 6h

Party maps aren't permanent. Gonna start making bumper stickers.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 10h

Other midterms among Latino Voters ... 2022: D+18 2018: D+24 2014: D+26 2010: D+22

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 12h

No partisan map is permanent.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 12h

Feels like companies we once bought something from 5 years ago sending more and more data breach notification letters. With they didn't feel the need to store our info.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

I am begging you, if you are tweeting out a poll on a race below Senate, please for the love of the common observer, put the party of each candidate next to their name. We don't know who the D and R are no matter how universal the knowledge is locally.

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Reposted by Steve Koczela

Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

As a reminder, undecideds tend to break for “no” on ballot measures, so I find it more helpful to look at raw support than the margin in polls.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

New Mass. poll from us for @cwbeacon.bsky.social out this morning. Ballot questions, Gov, Senate, all the good stuff. commonwealthbeacon.org/by-the-numbe...

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Ryan Goodman @rgoodlaw.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

From 16,000 to 185 to Zero: Trump’s Claims of Illegal Voting in Nevada Fizzle. "The state sent a strongly worded rebuke to the federal government: Every single person on the list was a lawful citizen."

nytimes.com

From 15,000 to 185 to Zero: Trump’s Claims of Illegal Voting in Nevada Fizzle

It was the Trump administration’s latest stumble in its effort to find proof of widespread noncitizen voting, despite decades of evidence that it is extremely rare.

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Tom Bonier @tbonier.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

In PA in Jan of 2025, Gen Z new registrants were almost evenly split between Dems and GOPs. Fast forward to now, Dems have approached and exceeded a 40 pt share margin among Gen Z new registrants.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Our new poll for Mass Taxpayers is out! "...Most respondents think the state’s health care, education, and public services are top-notch. There was one clear loser: overall affordability. Far more respondents said the state is less competitive on that front." commonwealthbeacon.org/economy/most...

commonwealthbeacon.org

Most residents think Massachusetts is a great place to live, and also unaffordable

People who are finishing their education are almost twice as likely to consider leaving Massachusetts in the next five years, quantifying a dynamic many have long suspected in a state that welcomes cr...

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David S. Bernstein @dbernstein.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

I missed this yesterday, from a Reuters/Ipsos poll; I feel like it takes some doing to get Americans to disapprove this much of an offer of free money. Support for proposed $5000 dividend: Oppose: 63% Support: 17%

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CommonWealth Beacon @cwbeacon.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Party membership among Massachusetts voters is withering. It’s not that voters are rejecting parties, rather that the Commonwealth’s automatic voter registration (AVR) system does not give them the chance to join. Steve Koczela, president of the MassINC Polling Group, has more: buff.ly/iMWViZM

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

It's not inevitable that automatic voter registration kills party membership like it is doing in Massachusetts. California asks party preference at the time of automatic registration. Here is the result. commonwealthbeacon.org/news-analysi...

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Jonathan Cohn @jonathancohn.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

I’ve always been of the mind that the decline in party registration in MA was a knock-on effect of the way our Automatic Voter Registration system is designed. Sharp piece explaining that. commonwealthbeacon.org/opinion/mass...

commonwealthbeacon.org

Massachusetts political parties stand by as their membership rolls evaporate

Why Massachusetts parties are allowing the slow-moving self-destruction to continue is anyone’s guess.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

New from me: Massachusetts political parties stand by as their membership rolls evaporate. Voters are not rejecting parties. They just don’t have a chance to join. commonwealthbeacon.org/opinion/mass...

commonwealthbeacon.org

Massachusetts political parties stand by as their membership rolls evaporate

Why Massachusetts parties are allowing the slow-moving self-destruction to continue is anyone’s guess.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

False. Not disputed. No both sides here. Just false.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

commonwealthbeacon.org

Massachusetts political parties stand by as their membership rolls evaporate

Why Massachusetts parties are allowing the slow-moving self-destruction to continue is anyone’s guess.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

"Breaking with precedent" is an instant NYT classic.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

After 9/11, many of us joined the military out of a sense of patriotism and duty. But we won’t be remembered as heroes. That honor is reserved for those who fought in the good wars and on the right side. www.bostonglobe.com/2021/08/18/o...

bostonglobe.com

Our service was wasted - The Boston Globe

I do appreciate that more civilians now consciously separate the value of our service from the value of the war. But the greater honor, by far, is the opportunity to be part of something that was good...

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Counting people is inherently political.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

This slapdash, politically motivated nonsense is just sad on so many levels. Having worked here and there with Census folks over the years, I've always found them EXTREMELY cautious, careful, thorough, etc. Excruciatingly dedicated to their purpose.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

One impact of automatic voter registration is that unenrolled voters are now, on average, more Dem / lean Dem. So the hurdle for an R to win 60% of them is even higher than it used to be. massterlist.com/p/enter-the-...

massterlist.com

Enter the independents

Keller on the 67% that holds the general election power

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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Consumer sentiment is at its lowest in 70 years of survey data. That's lower than during wars, financial crises, and a pandemic. The economy isn't the whole story here. Faith in how Washington is running policy is at an all-time low, and it's hard to blame people. youtu.be/h0LB9PEiZ3o

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

200 more days of top to bottom coverage on the @bostonglobe.com homepage then!

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Are any news orgs still doing live vote tallies for the mail in ballots? Brownsberger / Lander was 20 votes last time I saw an update.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Studying in London in college, you could sort of “feel” the air. It was just thick with all sorts of god knows what.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Pulled from the Other Place for your reference.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Some more distance to go on MA1 and MA8. Very little counted in either but both had challengers. MA8 has shown signs of maybe being competitive.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Not sure if we’ll have votecast or exits in MA. If so, we could get calls soon if they are blowouts. If not, they will have to count a bit.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

A huge number of primary voters have no idea who or what is happening down ballot tomorrow. Some will choose by texting a friend to ask or Google tomorrow. Others will apply some sort of rule of thumb like voting for or against incumbents, picking a woman, guessing, write ins or blanking.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

Hard to convey the degree to which voters most don't know who Hasan Piker is.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Very much ready for the Globe to reclaim the top of their homepage from the Lindsay Clancy trial.

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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

23% drop in student visas to US in 2025 57% drop from India alone catastrophic for research and learning, here and abroad www.insidehighered.com/news/global/...

Graph of visas issued to students per month in 2024 and 2025

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Some you supposed "friends" forgot to react to my Work Anniversary and I'm sad now.

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Danny Dougherty @dannydougherty.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Survey options 🤝 The baked potato in my microwave "Please rotate"

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

I don't think this is the right headline. With ballot questions, support goes pretty much one direction (down), and undecideds do not break evenly, they go more to the status quo (no). 51% support for a ballot Q in August is not a secure position, even with a lead. www.wcvb.com/article/2026...

wcvb.com

All but two Mass. ballot questions likely to pass in November, poll finds

Nine statewide ballot questions will face all Massachusetts voters this November, and a new poll finds that all but two are likely to pass.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

I think about this chart all the time these days. www.jmscapitalgroup.com/blog/electio...

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

Well #mapoli, at least this part is familiar.

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

UMass also did all 9 ballot questions! www.umass.edu/poll/about/r...

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

UMass shows Maura Healey by about 20 points over both Republicans in the #MAGov race. www.umass.edu/poll/about/r...

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Steve Koczela @skoczela.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Globe / Suffolk poll also did favorables among Massachusetts Democratic primary voters. Top 3 net favorables (fav-unfav) are Warren, Wu, Healey. www.suffolk.edu/academics/re...

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