iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 6h

Loudoun County is swinging heavily left, including the most South Asian areas (D+20 shifts!) Looks like Republicans anti-Indian racism backfired heavily

The southeastern part of Loudoun looks like it's going to be a nuclear bomb for Republicans this year based on our current EV model. Basically, the inverse of 2024.

The South Asian precincts are currently ~20-point swings to the left from 2025.

projects.statenavigate.com/interactives/v…

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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

The guy who bankrupted Kansas is backing Roger Marshall. This helps Hamilton’s odds in the race even more

Not sure why people keep asking if I'm voting for @RogerMarshallMD next month. Of course I am. Kansas voters have a clear choice between Marshall and a liberal Democrat who wants to make Chuck Schumer majority leader and block President Trump's judicial nominees

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Donation thread of dem candidates running in competitive CA state assembly races (reposts welcome!) Leila Namvar Assembly district 47: secure.actblue.com/donate/leila...

secure.actblue.com

Donate to Leila Namvar!

Leila Namvar is a labor leader, working mom, and devoted public servant. Become a founding supporter of her people-powered campaign by making a donation today.

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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Crystal guy is absolutely losing it

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

My current CA house probability ratings: CA48 moves from Likely D -> Safe D

My CA US House ratings map, only non-safe districts are CA22, which is Likely D and CA23, which is Likely R

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Current OC Ballot returns: 🔵Democratic 9,360 🔴Republican 8,727 ⚪️NPP/other 4,778 Modeled 2026 Governor with Berkeley IGS crosstabs: 🔵Becerra 12,534 54.8% 🔴Hilton 10,331 45.2%

Blank 2026 OC General Election voting precinct map

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Pritzker+20, Stratton+13 in the first Illinois poll in ages! All the Dem row office candidates up between 11 and 20 points too. Trump nearly 30 points underwater too. The Illinois GOP is getting put in the contraption next month. citizennewspapergroup.com/news/2026/oc...

citizennewspapergroup.com

The Citizen Newspaper Group

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

CA’s gold standard pollster (Berkeley IGS) now has Trump breaking 70% disapproval… Doesn’t bode well for CA republicans that he’s somehow sinking even lower

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

With pretty much every CA house district simply not being competitive D vs R this year, the house races won’t be that fun to watch in CA. But there are still some exciting ones to watch: California state assembly California state senate Los Angeles mayor D vs D house races Orange County BOS

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Well some people don’t fully so I just like to inform them, not trying to be rude or anything

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Berkeley IGS hasn't released a new poll for the propositions

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Writing in doesn't do anything. It's a top 2 only system. You either vote or leave it blank in the general

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California Democrats @cademocrats.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Ballots start arriving in less than two weeks, and Election Day is 40 days away! Take a few minutes to make your voting plan now, and remind the people in your life to vote early. 🗳️

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The Onion @theonion.com · 24/09/2026

Dog Can’t Believe Guy She Hooked Up With 10 Years Ago Now Head Of FBI theonion.com/dog-cant-believe-guy-s…

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MLC @chicyph80.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Univ of NH just dropped a massive poll with lots of races! Couple of highlights: Pappas +8 in NH Senate Ayotte +4 in NH Gov (!!) Jackson +4 in ME Senate Dunlap +6 in ME-02 (!!!!) Overall, just a fantastic poll for Dems in the Northeast!!

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Magenta @magentab.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

the VT GOP breaking the democratic supermajorities in the state legislature is probably the worst thing to happen to phil scott since his vetoes now mean something

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

New poll from what is considered California’s gold standard has Xavier Becerra increasing his lead from the previous 18 points to now 25 points. He’s also now overwhelmingly leading in the battlegrounds of the IE and OC. Also notable there are still more undecided Democrats than Republicans

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California Democrats @cademocrats.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Who is paying for Prop 39 in California? Meet the Illinois MAGA billionaire who’s poured $17M into the measure to make it harder for you to vote.

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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

State Navigate is polling WHERE

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

13% of Bass primary voters are flipping to Raman in the runoff, this is a disaster for Bass

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

The new LA mayor poll is disastrous for Karen Bass to put it lightly. I already rate the runoff as Tilt Raman but may move it to Lean Raman

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

She would’ve outperformed but still no, it’s just way too red and there wouldn’t be enough Hispanics in the district to save her

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Safe R. Dems have a solid recruit but that district just has too much Republican territory

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Thank you to all my new followers❤️

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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 22/09/2026

Looking at the poll, while I think it is a good poll for Dems for sure, I can see some signs that the electorate they used is more Dem friendly than what will actually happen. IE, 39% of the sample being college educated (31% is the state average) Throw it into the average!

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

your overdramatic captions are killing me

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

My current California state assembly ratings Current flips: AD36 and AD58 I'll push tossups before election day

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

What’s wrong with her? She seems cool

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PokiJaci🌼 @pokijaci.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

I voted Fiona Ma, and Eleni Kounalakis in the June primary. I also voted Tom Steyer and Nichelle Henderson in the June primary and will vote for Jane Kim in November. Yes, voters like me exist

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Abacus Data:🍁"Would you support closer integration between Canada & the European Union, while Canada remains outside the EU, including measures to make it easier to trade, travel, work, study, and cooperate on security?" 🟢81% Support 🔴10% Oppose www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...