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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

@michaelcaley.bsky.social How come the joint (42+39+4=85) chance of qualification for Senegal is only 85% when they are certain to go through to the R32?

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 18/06/2026

Now up to 75 goals after 24 games, the first group stage round at the #WorldCup. We're still seeing a marked (26%) overperformance of Expected Goals, which isn't primarily driven by good shooting (xG On Target is 59.7, xG 59.5), but seemingly more by poor goalkeeping (via Opta Analyst).

Race chart with goals scored after number of games at every World Cup with 2026 leading most others after 24 games.

Goals scored and Expected Goals per game for the last two World Cups, the last Euros and the last season of the EFL Championship. Overperformance of Expected Goals so far at the 2026 World Cup.

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

62 #WorldCup goals in 20 matches for an average of 3.1. No World Cup, after 20 played, since 1958 have been higher. They've been scored from just 49.3 xG, though, 2.47 per game, which is actually lower than the 2022 World Cup's 2.71 xG. 2022 ended with 2.69 goals per game. Goal glut about to end?

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

It would actually also be the highest proportion across *all* teams since 1888 after Ipswich had set the record last season. ( @jair1970.com, @optaanalyst.optajoe.com )

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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 20/05/2025

Americans favor labor unions over big business now more than ever, analysis of new data @epi.org from me & Adam Reich of Columbia Labor Lab. In data back 60 years, Americans' sentiments are both warmer toward unions & cooler towards big business than ever before. www.epi.org/blog/america...

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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 15/05/2025

NEW with @simonkuper.bsky.social: The prevailing narrative around increased injuries and player workload in elite football is wrong. Players don’t play any more football than in the past. What has changed is a sharp rise in intensity of play. Not more minutes, but each minute exerts more load.

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Anchorage Man @sethpartnow.bsky.social · 01/05/2025

One of the more annoying tropes of (modern?) fandom is the desire to run straight past the most logical reason for a loss which is “those other guys were just better” in search of character and/or moral failings. Sometimes “he quit” or “he choked” are accurate, just way less than discourse suggests

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Stu’s Football Flashbacks @stusfootyflash.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

It’s 34 years today since Sheffield Wednesday became the last second tier club to win a major English trophy. And Nigel Pearson was presented the League Cup by 24-year-old Tracey Bateman, the Rumbelows ‘Employee of the Year.’ What a time to be alive.

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Michael Bang Petersen @m-b-petersen.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

Pundits are - in vain - looking to economics and politics when trying to explain Trump's behavior. But, in reality, the central place to look if we want to understand Trump and his policies is this: The psychology of dominance. 🧵(1/5)

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

Paul Krugman nailing it: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/political-... 'But I hope the rest of us have learned a lesson from the oligarchy’s support for Trump, even if it’s now cracking: Extreme wealth inequality has given great power to people who exert a malign influence on our politics.' Amen!

paulkrugman.substack.com

Political Styles of the Rich and Clueless

There are none so blind as those that will not see

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

This is an excellent data-driven thread that, in my mind at least, gives some glimmer of democratic hope for the US: The murmurs of discontent are growing large.

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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 04/04/2025

2) Trump has had the same impact on economic uncertainty as a global pandemic.

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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 04/04/2025

Striking parallel between Trump and Liz Truss in terms of the power of economics/markets to turn even one’s own partisans against you. Trump isn’t losing any support over his performative cruelty towards immigrants, but is rapidly losing Republicans over economic policy, stock market, inflation etc

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Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

it's not just that he doesn't care about the troops he is viscerally disgusted and discomfited by reminders of suffering and mortality and he will do anything to escape them he lacks the most basic foundations of any kind of fellow feeling and recognition of shared humanity

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 28/03/2025

Interesting albeit scary: If you work with words the robots may be here for you already:

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James @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

I honestly cannot express how awesome it is that the DoD was putting out these statements at the literal exact same time that the Secretary of Defense was negligently transmitting classified information on an unsecure platform to a journalist. It's just utterly amazing. What a time to be alive.

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 16/03/2025

#swfc' s loss at home in the derby means we've still won just 5 home matches, 26% of the 19 played. That's the FOURTH worst home win percentage in our history in what is the 122nd league season. Our win percentage away is 47%. It's the most the away rate has topped the home rate in our history.

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

#swfc (another) update: That's now FIVE wins away from home after conceding first which is: - more than *any* team had *all* of last season - with four away games remaining we've already equalled the most such wins in a full season since 2019 (stats from soccerstats.com)

soccerstats.com

SoccerSTATS.com | Football statistics, form tables and result analysis

SoccerSTATS.com features football statistics, results, tables, standings and analysis on football competitions such as the Premier League, the Championship, the Serie A, La Liga, the Champions League ...

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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

It could mean that the world financial system melts down when investors realize that Elon Musk may selectively default on US debt. Just saying.

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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

Musk and Trump are both in the habit of stiffing people they owe money. If markets even suspect that this habit will extend to Treasuries, God help us 2/

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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

For those not familiar with how financial markets work, US Treasuries are the ultimate safe asset, used as collateral for everything. Even a hint that some Treasuries might not be honored could bring everything to a screeching halt 1/

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SwissRamble @swissramble.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

Review of Sheffield Wednesday's financial results for the 2023/24 season, covering their first season back in the Championship after two years in League One #SWFC

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Andy Watson - GBE/ESC Expert @andywatsonsport.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

Dare I say...HERE WE GO!? Episode 1 recorded and in the can. Coming to your ears 20/01/2025 #GBEESCrecruitment

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Derek Thompson @dkthomp.bsky.social · 08/01/2025

I wrote the latest cover story for The Atlantic. It's about the far-ranging implications of one simple statistic: Americans have never spent so much time alone, and surging solitude is warping our society. I'm really proud of it, and I hope you read it. www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...

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Michael Bang Petersen @m-b-petersen.bsky.social · 08/01/2025

Happy to see our work on the Need for Chaos covered in this Atlantic piece 👇 Loneliness is a key driver of wanting to watch the world burn 🔥

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A Funny Old Game @sidlambert.bsky.social · 01/01/2025

Happy New Year everybody. On January 1st, your annual reminder that nobody has started a year in more sensational style than David Hirst…

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 01/01/2025

Puts into perspective just how bad Russia's war effort is on pretty much every parameter. Staggering numbers of lives thrown away for mud and villages.

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

@priceoffootball.bsky.social This is odd? 'On 1 August 2024 the Club settled a dispute which resulted in the payment in August 2024 of £2.5m inclusive of costs and interest. Legal costs of £475k were incurred and are shown within administrative expenses during the financial year ended 31 July 2024.'

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Thomas Peters @tpeters32.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

A few key metrics that are showing up this season in the Championship: Only two teams in the bottom 12 averaging more than 50% possession. Only one team with a long pass % below 10% in the bottom 12. High % of entries into the box via runs indicates a high performing team.

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 26/12/2024

#swfc made history today: We have trailed by three goals or more at half time 21 times since 2000. Not once, before today, have we ever managed to avoid defeat. Truly a mad, historic day (another one in a long line with this damn club of ours that will be the death of us all far too soon 😂)

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 26/12/2024

Boxing Day is the day of the year #swfc have played by far the most league games in our history (99). Our record is very average, with about as many days with a better record as ones with a worse one. Among dates with at least 10 matches on three of the top five are in January.

Table showing Sheffield Wednesday's league record on Boxing Day (26 December)

Ranking showing the dates of the year in which Sheffield Wednesday have the best record.

Table showing all the most recent matches that Sheffield Wednesday have played on Boxing Day (26 December)

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TheFSA @thefsa.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

The Football Governance Bill is being debated in the House of Lords and some Conservatives are tying themselves in knots trying to find reasons why an idea their party supported during the election campaign is now a threat to the game... thefsa.org.uk/news/10-lord...

thefsa.org.uk

Tories tie themselves in knots over Football Governance Bill - Football Supporters' Association

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 14/12/2024

#swfc update: We now have more wins away from home after conceding first this season (10 of 23 games) than *any* team had *all* of last season (23 matches). Since 2019 only Boro (22-23), all season, have had more wins away (5) after conceding first than we have now (4). (source: soccerstats.com)

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A Funny Old Game @sidlambert.bsky.social · 14/12/2024

On Chris Waddle’s birthday, a montage of him at his mercurial best, set to the soundtrack of Diamond Lights. Glorious.

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Kevin Mitchell @wiringthebrain.bsky.social · 12/12/2024

The tech bro fascination with eugenics is so on brand. The idea that you could make accurate, actionable predictions from individual genotypes (with all their complex, non-linear interactions) from averaged, linearly modeled population-level genomic statistics is just another big data fantasy

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Very British Problems @soverybritish.bsky.social · 12/12/2024

British people absolutely love saying “you managed to find us then?” when someone gets to their house for the first time.

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Peter Adolfsen Løhmann @ploehmann.bsky.social · 10/12/2024

We see the same 'Pep-ification' development in the EFL Championship too: Attempted long passes declining season on season. And that in a division often, in years gone by, considered an exotic rustic outpost of modern football; no more. (cc @ntt20.com)

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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 09/12/2024

Americans are now one-third less likely to die from cancer at the same ages as Americans in 1990

How has the risk of dying from cancer changed in the United States?

To understand this, we can look at national cancer death rates in the United States.

The gray line shows the crude rate, which is the rate of deaths from cancer per 100,000 people. It has risen between 1950 and 1990 and has fallen slightly since then.

However, cancer death rates rise sharply with age, and the age of the US population has increased since 1950, so we would expect cancer death rates to rise for that reason alone.

What if we adjust for the increased age of the US population?

The red line, the age-standardized rate, shows this. It shows the cancer death rate if the age structure of the US population was held constant throughout.

This shows a slight rise until 1990 and then a significant decline; rates have fallen by one-third.

This means Americans are now one-third less likely to die from cancer at the same ages as Americans in 1990.

This comes from several factors: better screening and earlier diagnosis, medical advances in cancer treatments, and public health efforts to reduce risk factors like smoking and exposure to carcinogens.

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