PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 01/10/2026In case you missed it: A new report by Gönül Tol suggests that Turkey is reconsidering its approach to nuclear non-proliferation and nuclear weapons acquisition. 010
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Well, I suppose this should be expected when things go sour for Russia: ”Russia makes extreme threats against Nato countries over Kaliningrad” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...giftarticle.ft.comRussia makes extreme threats against Nato countries over KaliningradKremlin accuses western defence alliance of preparing to blockade Russian exclave on Baltic Sea 000
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Leo Tolstoy was right when he said that the "only place befitting an honest man in Russia at the present time is a prison," as Evan Gershkovich’s experience suggests. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/u...nytimes.comThe Russian Prison That Evan Gershkovich Carried HomeIn an interview, Mr. Gershkovich, a Wall Street Journal reporter who was imprisoned in Russia for 16 months, described his ordeal and the moment that nearly broke him. 000
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I am probably biased, but I cannot even imagine Ronald Reagan asking Gorbachev whether the USSR would buy the US weapons: ”Trump asked Xi if China wanted to buy American weapons, US envoy says.” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...giftarticle.ft.comTrump asked Xi if China wanted to buy American weapons, US envoy saysAdministration denies delaying sale of a $14bn arms package to Taiwan to appease Beijing 030
Reposted by PTimofejevsFabian Hoffmann, PhD @frhoffmann.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Whenever I'm briefed by people working in the European oil sector, their assessments of just how bad the last 12 months have been for Russia's oil sector consistently exceed those reported in public news. And it's just going to get worse from here. 715049
Reposted by PTimofejevsJohn Mecklin @meckdevil.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Don't panic about AI. Demand that Congress create an Artificial Intelligence Commission to regulate it, as other dangerous technologies have been dealt with in the past. Along the way, educate yourself about AI via authoritative sources like the @thebulletin.org. thebulletin.org/the-ai-power...thebulletin.orgThe AI Power Trip - Bulletin of the Atomic ScientistsA year-long project examining how the people and organizations developing AI are gaining control of the world’s most critical systems. 021
Reposted by PTimofejevsThe Associated Press @apnews.com · 20/09/2026North Korea launched an unidentified projectile toward the sea, according to South Korea's military, the latest in a recent series of weapons displays by the North.bit.lyNorth Korea launches projectile toward the seaSouth Korea says North Korea has launched an unidentified projectile toward the sea in the latest of a recent series of weapons displays. 65511
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Yes, and that is why he can be considered to be a brave man. And personally, I like brave people. 021
Reposted by PTimofejevsChristoph Harig @charig.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Russian frigate shoots flares at Danish Air Force helicopter in international waters off the Danish coast www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...dr.dkForsvarets helikopter beskudt med flares fra russisk fregat nær GedserUdenrigsministeriet indkalder Ruslands ambassadør, efter at en russisk fregat affyrede to flares mod en dansk helikopter under en rutinemæssig flyvning ud for Gedser mandag. 19531
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Russia’s ”comfort class authoritarianism” www.nytimes.com/video/world/...nytimes.comVideo: Inside Moscow’s High-Tech Surveillance TurnFrom facial-recognition payments at checkout to autonomous delivery robots on the sidewalks, Moscow is rapidly transforming into a high-tech city. But this seamless convenience comes at a cost: an exp... 000
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Neliels pienesums Zviedrijas vēlēšanu rezultāta skaidrošanā. Neteikšu, ka pat šeit vēl aizvien valdīta īpaša skaidrība par to, kas un kādā konfigurācijā veidos nākamo valdību. www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas...lsm.lvZviedrijas parlamenta vēlēšanu iznākumu izšķirs balsotāji ārzemēsPirmdienas rītā Zviedrijas parlamenta vēlēšanās vadībā izvirzījās opozīcijas bloks. Kreiso opozīciju un labējo koalīciju šķīra gandrīz 29 tūkstoši balsu. Tas, kurš no abiem blokiem veidos nākamo Zvied... 160
Reposted by PTimofejevsMinna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 13/09/2026”This is Canada turning from looking at itself as a North American nation to a trans-Atlantic nation,” said a senior Canadian official. “Canadians, we sound like Americans, we dress like Americans, but as a society we’re much more European.” 926553
Reposted by PTimofejevsJames Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 10/09/2026"Someone might have tried to use our super-powerful AI model to develop WMD." "Didn't you have any safeguards?" "Yes, but they circumvented them." "Maybe you should shut the model down, then?" "No." 26517
Reposted by PTimofejevsJoe Stieb @joestieb.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Someone check on John Mearsheimer. 1027827
Reposted by PTimofejevsFrançois Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 09/09/2026India's nuclear arsenal is undergoing a major transformation. The new @thebulletin.org Nuclear Notebook estimates India has ~190 warheads, with rapid technological modernization across all three legs of its triad. 🧵 185
Reposted by PTimofejevsTVP World @tvpworld.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Poland now secures half of its military equipment from domestic producers. And it still wants a bigger role for local firms.tvpworld.comPoland is rearming fast – and increasingly buying PolishThe country now secures half its military equipment from domestic producers. And it wants a bigger role still for local firms. 0124
Reposted by PTimofejevsTVP World @tvpworld.bsky.social · 07/09/2026“I think it's rather obvious that AfD possibly becoming a major force at the federal level [in Germany] would be a very negative development for Poland," says TVP World's Europe Editor Marcin Zaborowski in the latest episode of News in Depth. 1114
Reposted by PTimofejevsFabian Hoffmann, PhD @frhoffmann.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Since early 2026, Russia has fielded a family of low-cost, turbojet-powered cruise missiles and dramatically scaled up production. Russia is now launching hundreds of low-cost cruise missiles each month, soon likely thousands. 1/3 missilematters.substack.com/p/cheap-fast...missilematters.substack.comCheap, Fast, and Mass-Produced: Russia's New Low-Cost Cruise Missile ArsenalProfiling the systems now filling the gap between drones and high-end missiles 25714
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 05/09/2026NEW: Russian sources falsely and baselessly claimed that Russian forces encircled 2,000 Ukrainian forces northeast of Kharkiv City. 🧵(1/6) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar090426 223557
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20269/ Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3, 2026:isw.pubRussian Occupation Update, September 3, 2026Russia continues the deportation of Ukrainian political prisoners in apparent violation of international law. 0367
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20268/ Russian occupation administrations continue to rely on Russian patron regions for construction and development projects in occupied areas. 1405
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20267/ Russian state atomic energy corporation Rosatom is denying recent international warnings about the situation at the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) to present itself as a responsible and capable operator. 1326
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20266/ Russian elites are using their ties to development projects in occupied Ukraine for self-enrichment. 1325
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20265/ The Donetsk Oblast occupation administration is trying to present occupied Donetsk Oblast as an attractive investment destination for Russians and foreigners. 2326
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20264/ Russian and occupation courts continue to issue over decades-long sentences to residents of occupied areas accused of pro-Ukrainian activities. 1316
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20263/ Early voting for the Russian State Duma elections has begun in occupied Ukraine as Russian occupation officials continue to set conditions to control electoral outcomes. 1328
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/20262/ Russian occupation officials used the beginning of the 2026-2027 schoolyear to showcase enrollment figures while continuing efforts to institutionalize pro-Russian curricula, military-patriotic education, and behavioral monitoring mechanisms throughout occupied Ukraine. 1328
Reposted by PTimofejevsInstitute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/09/2026NEW: Russia continues the deportation of Ukrainian political prisoners in apparent violation of international law. 🧵(1/8) Read more: isw.pub/OccupationUp... 410542
Reposted by PTimofejevsJon B. Wolfsthal @jonatomic.bsky.social · 02/09/2026If our credibility is as low as it is today (near zero) then we have to address the credibility side of the equation. To the extent that capability is in doubt, that rests far more on the conventional/navy and forward deployment side of the ledger than in nuclear weapons. 3/ 121
Reposted by PTimofejevsJon B. Wolfsthal @jonatomic.bsky.social · 02/09/2026While I have long been skeptical of the need for more nuclear weapons, this factor is critical. Despite what some in both parties and in Congress say, the US adding more nuclear capabilities will not help address the deep doubts about US commitments. Capability + credibility = deterrence. 2/ 111
Reposted by PTimofejevsJon B. Wolfsthal @jonatomic.bsky.social · 02/09/2026I get asked a lot how will US alliances and reassurance get back to the way things before. The answer is: They won't. US security experts need to be thinking about how the US can credibly commit its security to that of our allies in ways that can endure a disruptive leader like Trump or others. 1/ 1145
Reposted by PTimofejevsIllia Ponomarenko @ioponomarenko.bsky.social · 01/09/2026Wouldn’t it be great if Narendra Modi, instead of philosophically lamenting how every day of the war sets humanity back and calling for peace, actually stopped buying bloody oil from Putin and thereby finally stopped financing Russia’s war to exterminate Ukraine? 15582101
Reposted by PTimofejevsPatrik Oksanen @patrikoksanen.bsky.social · 01/09/2026Med anledning av att Tyskland attribuerar drönarna i Leipzig til Ryssland och regeringens pågående pressträff, vill jag bara tipsa om att "I Rysslands hemliga krig mot Sverige" (2025) beskriver jag det som vi nu ser. www.bokus.com/bok/97891796... Boken finns även som ljudbok. 1213
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 31/08/2026I am unsure as to why anyone would ever underestimate or even ”write off” Russia’s defence industry. Of course, one should ALWAYS pay the utmost attention to how the RU def. industry learns from and adapts to the war. www.ft.com/content/3695...ft.comDon’t write off Russia’s defence industry yetMoscow’s arms manufacturers are adapting and innovating in ways that could threaten Nato in the future 000
Reposted by PTimofejevsMinna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 31/08/2026It’s remarkable how many Americans still don’t seem to understand the significance for US allies of Trump getting elected A SECOND TIME. This is clearly not something that can be waited out because you cannot know whom Americans may vote into the White House in the future.foreignaffairs.comIs a Post-American World Inevitable?A Conversation With Kurt Campbell, Rush Doshi, and Mark Leonard 1121954
Reposted by PTimofejevsBaltic Takes (formerly badbaltictakes) @baltictakes.com · 29/08/2026“Hybrid schmybrid.” says the Estonian spy chief in this rare interview. We should abandon euphemisms, according to Kaupo Rosin, and call Russia’s sabotage and subversion by its proper name of “state-sponsored terrorism”. 816056
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 31/08/2026For me, this is the most important reason why I no longer see the U.S.A. as Sweden’s natural ally. Moreover, there is simply no way to trust a country that disrespects the sovereignty of its own allies. There is simply no alternative to strengthening ties with European allies. 010
Reposted by PTimofejevsMinna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Especially things that the Trump administration is doing to some of its closest and most loyal allies, like Denmark and Canada, cuts really deep. There is no way of knowing what previous shared interests may become weaponised at a later point in time 1283
Reposted by PTimofejevsFabian Hoffmann, PhD @frhoffmann.bsky.social · 31/08/2026I had the pleasure of sitting down for a long interview with the German newspaper Handelsblatt on ballistic missile defense challenges in Ukraine, Europe, and the Middle East. One thing I was glad was raised is the issue of doctrine. 1/4 www.handelsblatt.com/politik/inte...handelsblatt.comRüstung: „Wer mit ballistischen Raketen angreift, ist immer im Vorteil“Der Luftkrieg mit Raketen stellt den Westen vor ein Dilemma: Angreifer produzieren mehr und billiger als Verteidiger, sagt Fabian Hoffmann. Im Interview skizziert der Politikwissenschaftler Lösungen. 2509
Reposted by PTimofejevsEric Adamson @eadamson91.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Details of the 🇸🇪-🇫🇷 strategic partnership agreement heregovernment.seSweden and France intensify defence cooperationOn 31 August, Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson received French President Emmanuel Macron in Stockholm. Mr Kristersson and Mr Macron took part in a 031
Reposted by PTimofejevsEric Adamson @eadamson91.bsky.social · 31/08/2026🇸🇪 & 🇫🇷 sign strategic partnership framework agreement and contract for the purchase of 4 frigates, with a performance by the French School choir in Stockholm 🎶🎵 2458
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 31/08/2026The rise of AfD adds to the woes of Germany's struggling leadership. It sure is a test for how innovative CDU's elite is in its problem-solving capacity. Still, I am not sure that wishing for a German Andy Burnham momentum (i.e., changing the Chancellor) is the answer. ecfr.eu/article/actu...ecfr.euActually, maybe: How German Angst could become Europe’s nightmare - European Council on Foreign RelationsGermany’s political centre is crumbling—but its leaders appear unable to get ahead of the impending crisis 000
Reposted by PTimofejevsAmanda Wollstad @awollstad.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Svensk Tidskrift 2002 - Socialdemokraterna 2026 021
Reposted by PTimofejevsJoni Askola @joniaskola.bsky.social · 30/08/2026Bart De Wever and his government must realize that failing to transfer frozen Russian assets to Ukraine before French elections and a new Russian mobilization would be a historic blunder. Belgium would bear responsibility for the catastrophic fallout 1412637
Reposted by PTimofejevsFabian Hoffmann, PhD @frhoffmann.bsky.social · 30/08/2026🚀 Why spend 22.9 billion USD on 7,000+ Tomahawks when low-cost alternatives are available en masse? My latest Missile Matters post takes this question apart. Full analysis available here: missilematters.substack.com/p/high-low-m... 1/3missilematters.substack.comHigh-Low Mix: The Three Tiers of Modern Missile ArsenalsHigh-end systems, low-cost missiles, long-range drones, and the future missile arsenals of the world 29421
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 29/08/2026So the devil is really in the detail. Poland is not interested in storing nuclear warheads on its soil, but it wants to contribute with the logistics and is still interested in participating in the NATO nuclear sharing programme. 010
PTimofejevs @pftimofejevs.bsky.social · 28/08/2026So… In short, ”don’t even think that you can start a new war, just because you think we can’t or won’t respond”. www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...washingtonpost.comPutin sees U.S. as weakened by Iran war, intelligence reports sayA classified CIA assessment that Russia's President Vladimir Putin sensed U.S. weakness spurred Director John Ratcliffe’s secret trip to Moscow this week. 010
Reposted by PTimofejevsAnders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 26/08/2026Fully agree. This smells like infoops. The idea that Putin would use nukes at a point when there isn't even officially a war going on but just a "special operation", is just silly. 2329753
Reposted by PTimofejevsBloomberg News @bloomberg.com · 26/08/2026Mysterious arson cases. Cyber attacks. Armed drones. Russia is expanding its hybrid operations against countries that support Ukraine — and Europe's been caught without a plan to respond. bloom.bg/4y3qsfz 📷: Gavriil Grigorov / Getty Images 32319138