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Political Gambler

@paulmotty.bsky.social
1K followers 1K following 1.3K posts

30 years+ semi or professional gambler. Freelance political analyst for gambling.com, casino.org, Betfair and bylines at GQ, Politico, Reuters, CityAM. www.politicalgambler.com Media enquires: paulkrishnamurty@gmail.com

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Trump's Net-Approval On The War In Iran: 🔴Alaska: -23% 🔴Kansas: -25% 🔴Texas: -29% 🔴Iowa: -29% 🔴Ohio: -34% Siena / Oct 1, 2026
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses Sunday's Brazilian presidential election, for which Flavio Bolsonaro starts favourite in a close race www.gambling.com/uk/news/braz...
gambling.com
Brazil Presidential Election Odds: Bolsonaro Tipped To Beat Da Silva
Jair Bolsonaro set to land another South American scalp for the right in Brazilian presidential election....
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses Sunday's Brazilian presidential election, for which Flavio Bolsonaro starts favourite in a close race www.gambling.com/uk/news/braz...
gambling.com
Brazil Presidential Election Odds: Bolsonaro Tipped To Beat Da Silva
Jair Bolsonaro set to land another South American scalp for the right in Brazilian presidential election....
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social involves a very strong recommended bet for the next UK general election, at what I regard vastly inflated odds. www.gambling.com/uk/news/uk-g...
gambling.com
UK General Election Odds: Labour’s Re-Election Chances Hugely Underestimated
Who will win the most seats at the next general election? Paul Krishnamurty answers the burning question....
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social involves a very strong recommended bet for the next UK general election, at what I regard vastly inflated odds. www.gambling.com/uk/news/uk-g...
gambling.com
UK General Election Odds: Labour’s Re-Election Chances Hugely Underestimated
Who will win the most seats at the next general election? Paul Krishnamurty answers the burning question....
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Betting markets are swinging hard to the Democrats. My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses the state of play in the US midterm elections. www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
gambling.com
US Midterm Election Odds 2026: Markets Swing Hard To The Democrats
With primary season over, we are now deep into the general election campaign....
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Betting markets are swinging hard to the Democrats. My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses the state of play in the US midterm elections. www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
gambling.com
US Midterm Election Odds 2026: Markets Swing Hard To The Democrats
With primary season over, we are now deep into the general election campaign....
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Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Why Dem pollster John Anzalone thinks Texas is real this time: *Trump -33 with independents there *Talarico running well ahead of his party *Talarico seems like something new *Talarico getting 60% of Latinos *GOP's trans attack not sticking *Paxton so vile/corrupt newrepublic.com/article/2156...
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Thor Benson @thorbenson.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Democratic strategists: Ahhh! What's the right message!!?? Where do we moderate!?!? Jon Ossoff: This administration is horrible. I hate these people. We should put them in jail. I'm pissed Voters: This guy is cool Strategists: I can't figure it out!!!!!
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Harry Rasmussen 🇨🇦 @harryrasmussen.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
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NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The FBI’s new recruits are practicing bestiality the right way. by Ezra Klein
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 14/09/2026
Some details: Kremlev, the Russian who sponsored Don Jr's wedding, is a former member of the Night Wolves biker gang, went to China with Putin and is personally sanctioned by Ukraine for his role in abducting children www.propublica.org/article/dona...
propublica.org
Donald Trump Jr.’s Wedding Bankrolled by Putin-Linked Russian Oligarch
The oligarch, Umar Kremlev, spent hundreds of thousands on expenses like renting out a private island. He appears to have met Trump Jr. only recently, but he attended the intimate wedding with a large...
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
There are still people out there - real, breathing humans who manage to get through most days in one piece - who think 'Russiagate' is a conspiracy theory.
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David Rothschild @davmicrot.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Kushner on Czechoslovakia: “Fuhrer Hitler’s laid out his line of what he wants to achieve. If Czechoslovakia, you know, wanted to withdraw to that line, then obviously, you know, we have the rest of the deal set up and put together. Czechoslovakia right now does not want to do that.”
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Peter Geoghegan @petergeoghegan.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
This is absolute madness Labour - and I’d say what’s left of the centre right - is an existential battle against oligarchy But it hasn’t a clue that it is
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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
The dust settles on a humongous $$$ drop by the GOP in Texas: They just dumped $75 million into helping Paxton. That gives Paxton's side a 5:1 spending advantage at this stage: www.nytimes.com/2026/09/12/u...
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Kristian Kiehling @kristiankiehling.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
"Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos fired a disproportionate number of journalists who did not support Trump and right-wing propaganda. In response,they founded a new newspaper to combat disinformation from the Trump regime. Please support The Washington Sun (and stop using Amazon)" washingtonsun.com
washingtonsun.com
The Washington Sun • WashingtonSun.com
The Washington Sun covers politics and policy and the people who shape life in Washington — not just at the White House and in Congress, but at the Wilson Building, at Northwest Stadium and in the nei...
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The Policy Institute @policyatkings.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
NEW: London has among the lowest violent crime rates in England & Wales, tops a ranking of best cities, and pays more in tax than it gets back – but the public overestimate crime risk, underestimate its standing, and don't know it's a net fiscal contributor. Our latest Mistaken Britain study ⬇️
kcl.ac.uk
London misperceptions: public often wrong on capital's crime, quality of life, contribution to public finances and Muslim population | King's College London
A third believe there are "no-go" areas ruled by Sharia law
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
The funny, no sidesplittingly hilarious, thing is that there are actual humans who will believe this. A whole 24 hours after his lies about 9/11 which made Jay from The Inbetweeners sound credible.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bskyy.social previews the #Holborn & St Pancras by-election. A make or break contest for Zack Polanski www.gambling.com/uk/news/holb...
gambling.com
Holborn And St Pancras By-Election Odds: Labour Can Burst Polanski’s Bubble
Labour can burst Polanski’s bubble in Holborn and St Pancras by-election....
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
England's young people performing esp well, putting UK in the top ten for maths, reading and science. One driver of bucking trend is better integration: closing white/minority attainment gap for children of migrants, where west European countries lag www.theguardian.com/education/20...
theguardian.com
England’s teenagers outperform peers in most countries in maths, reading and science
OECD test sees results dip in almost all member nations and warns of ‘digital distractions’ eroding academic skills
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
As "The Shock Doctrine" by @naomiaklein.bsky.social (arguably the most important book of the 21C) explains, Jeffrey Sachs was pivotal in the privatisation (theft) of Russia. Now he plays a key role in Putin's disinfo network. Sounding moderate, lending credibility to a kleptofascist agenda.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Predictably seeing loads of comment on the AfD surge looking for conventional 'political' explanations. Anything but confront the terrifying reality of systematic brainwashing via microtargeted, weapons grade propaganda, on social media platforms rigged to favour Putin's global crime syndicate.
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Alex Andreou @sturdyalex.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Suella Braverman: "It is our last chance to save the country... If everyone in this room buys my book, we can send a message to the establishment that the People's Army is not going anywhere." I. Shit. You. Not.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Fourth time lucky for Marine Le Pen? My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses the betting for next year's French presidential election. www.gambling.com/uk/news/fren...
gambling.com
French Presidential Election Odds: Fourth Time Lucky For Marine Le Pen?
Polling leads, legal battles and the collapse of the centre ground make this one of the most consequentia...
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Fourth time lucky for Marine Le Pen? My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses the betting for next year's French presidential election. www.gambling.com/uk/news/fren...
gambling.com
French Presidential Election Odds: Fourth Time Lucky For Marine Le Pen?
Polling leads, legal battles and the collapse of the centre ground make this one of the most consequentia...
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Daniel Knowles @dlknowles.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
This is both unsurprising and also a proper rebuke to the view that the Supreme Court settled this once-and-for-all and so it is stupid to carry on worrying about it (a view that derives ultimately from the desperate insistence that Trump isn't that bad because the guardrails work)
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Can't believe this needs saying but ffs, Tucker Carlson and MTG are not your friends. They are Putin-aligned fascists. The red/brown bullshit machine is an op, to create controlled opposition, enabling the transnational crime syndicate takeover of everything.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Also, the Greek economic crisis occured following years of corrupt, kleptocratic government under the Mitsotakis party - New Democracy. I believe the country is last among EU countries for press freedom. However the yachts do appear to be getting bigger.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Speaking as somebody who part lives in Greece and has family there, this is utterly clueless. The state is dependent on ECB funding which does not trickle down. Even the non-traitor right wing have no ideas beyond kleptocracy.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social focuses on how the 2028 Democrat nomination may be shaped by the midterms, and in particular their rising star. Jon Ossoff raises his game www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-p...
gambling.com
US Presidential Election Odds: Ossoff Raises His Game
A series of good news for the Democrats boost their quest to regain control of Congress in November's US ...
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social focuses on how the 2028 Democrat nomination may be shaped by the midterms, and in particular their rising star. Jon Ossoff raises his game www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-p...
gambling.com
US Presidential Election Odds: Ossoff Raises His Game
A series of good news for the Democrats boost their quest to regain control of Congress in November's US ...
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UK 🇬🇧 🤝 🇺🇦 □ @ukbastard.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
A Russian citizen, Vlasenko, who actively fought against Putin's regime, was found dead in Poland. читайте подробнее на сайте "Диалог.UA": www.dialog.ua/world/v-pols...
dialog.ua
В Польше нашли мертвым россиянина Власенко, который активно боролся с режимом Путина
Тело российского оппозиционера Сергея Власенко нашли в его квартире в Варшаве, причину смерти устанавливают.
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Brant Reeves @bireeves95.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
We aren’t talking enough about those Destroyed American Bases….
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Musa Okwonga @okwonga.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
From this review- “Think of all the diligent, decent black academics who have been lumbered with the embarrassment of having Arday as a figurehead” - no, think of *why* black academics are held collectively responsible in ways that white academics are not
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses three key takeaways from the ongoing primary season. Could the Democrats blow a golden opportunity? www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
gambling.com
US Midterm Election Odds 2026: Could The Democrats Blow A Golden Opportunity?
Democrats hold a strong hand for November, but internal splits and divisive candidates could squander it....
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
The NYT is now just an advert. RIP journalism
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Obviously fake news. Trump's 43 club championship victories prove his invincibility. He'a an inspiration to the world's best, whom he graciously lets win the majors.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses three key takeaways from the ongoing primary season. Could the Democrats blow a golden opportunity? www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
gambling.com
US Midterm Election Odds 2026: Could The Democrats Blow A Golden Opportunity?
Democrats hold a strong hand for November, but internal splits and divisive candidates could squander it....
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Roland Smith @rolandmcs.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Given Rupert Lowe's son has just married a Libyan-Italian woman [and a muslim?] with Italian nationality, Rupert Lowe's future grandkids will not be 'white British' under his definition. bsky.app/profile/rola...
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Unbelievably, Buttigieg is now saying Biden shouldn't have snubbed Musk. This is despite the sociopathic weirdo since outing himself as a Nazi and trying to provoke race war in Europe. The appeasement of Oligarchs never ends.
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses the betting on whether Andy Burnham will call an early general election, alongside various historical examples of new PMs facing the same dilemma. www.gambling.com/uk/news/uk-g...
gambling.com
UK General Election Odds: Will Andy Burnham Call An Early Election?
Will new prime minister Andy Burnham call an early general election? Paul Krishnamurty answers the burnin...
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Senator Ron Wyden @wyden.senate.gov · 04/08/2026
Bombshell new report out from my investigators this morning spanning our four year investigation into Jeffrey Epstein’s financial records. This report shows exactly how Wall Street protected Epstein and enabled his sex trafficking for decades. Mega thread following with some key points:
bloomberg.com
Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, BofA Enabled Epstein, Wyden Report Says
Democrat Ron Wyden cited nonpublic documents held by the US Treasury in a report that says banks delayed reporting suspicious financial transactions and calls for tougher anti-money-laundering rules, ...
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Citizen.Coping @propcazhpm.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
The ebook for "Hiding in Plain Sight" is $2.99 at Bookshop.org and all those other places. Highly recommend. I read the book and listened to the audiobook when it came out— in addition to Jason Stanley's and Tim Snyder's. And they were all correct.
bookshop.org
Hiding in Plain Sight: The Invention of Donald Trump and the Erosion of America
Instant New York Times, Washington Post, USA Today, and Indie Bound BestsellerBestselling author Sarah Kendzior documents the truth about the calculated rise to power of Donald Trump since the 1980s a...
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Andy Burnham, 21, writes to The Guardian in defence of Philip Larkin
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JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Because of the ridiculous, entirely undue, influence they have in Westminster and over TV newsrooms (the latter drives the former), the right-wing newspapers are the single most destructive force in the UK today - and the biggest obstacle to significant change. It's been the same for years.
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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
A new Fox News poll has Dems up 53/46 on the generic ballot. Says Fox: “Notably, 53% is the highest percentage either party has received on the generic House ballot in Fox News polling since 1996.” www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social looks at the #Clacton by-election and how Nigel Farage's multiple ongoing scandals will play out. www.gambling.com/uk/news/clac...
gambling.com
Clacton By-Election Odds: How Farage's Multiple Scandals Could Play Out
Count Binface emerges as an unlikely challenger as financial scandals deepen and rival parties stand asid...
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Political Gambler @paulmotty.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social looks at the #Clacton by-election and how Nigel Farage's multiple ongoing scandals will play out. www.gambling.com/uk/news/clac...
gambling.com
Clacton By-Election Odds: How Farage's Multiple Scandals Could Play Out
Count Binface emerges as an unlikely challenger as financial scandals deepen and rival parties stand asid...
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Kevin Elliott @kjephd.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
The fascist international is now bankrolled by American tax dollars
US state department offers $3mn grants to Maga-aligned groups in Europe
Agency seeks to repurpose foreign aid funds to help organisations that support Trump administration policies
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