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Paul Franz

@paul-franz.com
1.8K followers 235 following 621 posts

Special Adviser, Data and Geospatial Intelligence @crisisgroup.org | Senior Associate (NR) @csis.org | Trusted community developer @mapbox.com | Girl Dad x2 | Long suffering New York #Mets fan | Opinions my own. www.paul-franz.com

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Reposted by Paul Franz
Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 29/05/2026
NEW VISUAL EXPLAINER | The State of the Strait: The Role of Hormuz in the Middle East War So Far Over three months of conflict, Iran and the U.S. have used the Strait of Hormuz to demonstrate resolve while inflicting economic pain. www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
crisisgroup.org
The State of the Strait: What Might Come Next in Hormuz
An interactive visual explainer from International Crisis Group on the Strait of Hormuz, its global importance, and what may come next.
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 28/04/2026
Cait Conley is out with her first major ad in #NY17 to win the Democratic primary and take on Mike Lawler.
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 16/04/2026
Just launched a new interactive with @clairemaevabg.bsky.social at @crisisgroup.org: The Fight for Sittwe. We lean heavily on satellite imagery and scroll-driven transitions to show how the Myanmar military has reshaped the terrain around the city over time. www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
crisisgroup.org
The Fight for Sittwe | International Crisis Group
An interactive visual explainer from International Crisis Group on how Myanmar’s military fortified Sittwe as the Arakan Army closes in on Rakhine State’s capital.
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 16/04/2026
After closely watching the #NY17 Democratic primary over the last year, I am happy to announce my support for Cait Conley. All of the contenders are fine and honorable Democrats. But after reviewing the evidence I believe @caitfornewyork.bsky.social is the strongest candidate to beat Mike Lawler.
Picture of Democrat Cait Conley
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 10/04/2026
The world must not lose sight of other hotspots even as they focus on war in the Middle East. Myanmar is one of them. @crisisgroup.org looks at why Rakhine state could prove pivotal in shaping the civil war. crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
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Reposted by Paul Franz
Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 10/04/2026
NEW VISUAL EXPLAINER | The Fight for Sittwe Sittwe is one of the military’s last strongholds in Myanmar’s Rakhine State. We examine the consequences if the Arakan Army launches an offensive, especially for civilians. crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 09/04/2026
Some of the biggest excitement in this MLB game is how the crowd reacts to the computer dunking on CB Bucknor. Keep the umps. #mlb #abs youtube.com/shorts/vNQrq...
youtube.com
Umpire Rage Quit Incoming..
YouTube video by Shelfy
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 24/03/2026
A 2nd story has now dropped on vulgar comments and jokes made by Democratic candidate Peter Chatzky in #NY17. This race is going to be very tough to win, and Dems cannot afford to nominate a candidate who may cost us this much-needed seat. nypost.com/2026/03/23/u...
nypost.com
Mike Lawler’s millionaire Dem rival Peter Chatzky jokes about teen sex in vulgar resurfaced posts
A Democrat seeking the nomination to challenge Hudson Valley Republican Rep. Mike Lawler joked about child porn, having sex with a 17-year-old, masturbation and even sexual innuendos about his own …
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 14/03/2026
“Netanyahu does not need a clean victory — he just needs a durable narrative. This is also about cementing an Israeli national security doctrine that always trumps diplomacy.” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/13/o... ~ @crisisgroup.org @mairavz.bsky.social
nytimes.com
Opinion | A War for One Man
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 10/03/2026
I really need to watch this hearing in full
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Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
One thing that really distorts the discourse is the belief that any politician could become wildly popular by embracing a Full Left Economic Agenda, which then positions people to believe that every politician is intentionally limiting their own power in order to keep progressives in check
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Cait Conley @caitfornewyork.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
I am so proud to have the support of @gabbygiffords.bsky.social and @giffords.org in our fight to flip NY-17.
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Cait Conley @caitfornewyork.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
The Peekskill Dems are a force to be reckoned with, and I am incredibly proud to have them in my corner as we take on Mike Lawler! I’ve seen the fierceness of Peekskill-born fight my whole life — my Mom was born there :) Honored to have that spirit in the arena with me.
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Simon Rosenberg @simonwdc.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Going live with @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social in a few minutes to talk about the dangerous expansion of ICE detention facilities across the US.......join us - going to be a great discussion.
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 08/02/2026
After Renee Good's murder, Mike Lawler blamed Good for her own murder and said it was 'inevitable'. After Alex Pretti's murder, Mike Lawler saw the writing on the wall and tried to pivot his defense of ICE to a 'both sides' debate about 'immigration policy'. Now he's getting called out for his BS.
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 08/02/2026
This guy literally spent *years* in the NY state assembly obsessing over the name of the Mario Cuomo Bridge. He fundraises off of it, still. So clearly, he cares about what things are named.
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Cait Conley @caitfornewyork.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
For Trump to hold millions of dollars in critical infrastructure hostage just so he can slap his name on Penn Station and Dulles Airport is not the “leadership” or decision-making the American people voted for. It is ego over country, and New Yorkers are paying the price.
cnn.com
Trump promises Schumer funding for NY tunnel project — if Penn Station and Dulles Airport are renamed after him | CNN Politics
President Donald Trump told Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer last month that he was finally prepared to drop his freeze on billions of dollars in funding for a major New York infrastructure projec...
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 06/02/2026
And so the project of mainstreaming white nationalist thought as a question worthy of serious discussion in policy continues.
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Senator Bernie Sanders @sanders.senate.gov · 05/02/2026
If Jeff Bezos could afford to spend $75 million on the Melania movie & $500 million for a yacht to sail off to his $55 million wedding to give his wife a $5 million ring, please don't tell me he needed to fire one-third of the Washington Post staff. Democracy dies in oligarchy.
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Jay Willis @jaywillis.net · 04/02/2026
Another batch of Trump's judicial nominees refused in their confirmation hearings today to publicly acknowledge that Joe Biden won the 2020 election, which annoyed Sen. Richard Blumenthal enough for him to call them "monkeys" and "puppets"
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Cato Institute @cato.org · 02/02/2026
President Trump’s Great American Recovery takes the same old central-planning approach to addiction rather than expanding new treatment options, Cato’s Dr. Singer explains. Real solutions should remove barriers, expand access, and treat people like capable adults. ow.ly/sTrM50Y7KBl
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 30/01/2026
I'm disappointed that the candidates tonight at the Orangetown Dems forum are arguing for banning only stock *trading* in Congress. H.R. 5106 also bans ownership while serving, which is equally problematic. #NY17 share.google/2v3BmR6vprws...
congress.gov
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The Bulwark @thebulwark.com · 28/01/2026
"In exchange for his bravery, a bunch of pussies shot him dead and and unloaded 6 bullets into his dead body while he was laying on the ground. That's what happened." - @timmiller.bsky.social
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Sarah Longwell @sarahlongwell25.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Can you imagine your son was just killed by federal agents and this is what the President of the United States has to say?
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 27/01/2026
in Hungary do they have masked agents of the state gunning down civilians in the street? I feel like we need to dial up our authoritarian regime comparisons quite a bit from where they were a year ago
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Maria Langholz @marialangholz.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
pretty wild statement re: Republican Chris Madel drop from race for MN governor: "Saying he cannot support the national GOP's 'stated retribution on citizens of our state, nor can I count myself a member of a party that would do so."
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 25/01/2026
From the leading Democrat running for #NY17 congressional seat 👇
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The Bulwark @thebulwark.com · 22/01/2026
"We have seen empires fall and civilizations crumble. But we’ve almost never seen a people renounce their leadership of the world—all at once, in full public view. That is what has happened in the 365 days since January 20, 2025."
lnk.thebulwark.com
This Is the End
Putinism abroad always morphs into Putinism at home. And we chose this path. Why? Because something-something the price of eggs.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 20/01/2026
The Prime Minister of Belgium speaks:
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 14/01/2026
Hey @pfrazee.com -- any plans to introduce GIF and image insertion into DM's? 🙏
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 14/01/2026
But so far, this forum is exceptionally civil, despite some controversy amongst them earlier last week. #NY17 open.substack.com/pub/davidmck...
open.substack.com
Chatzky roils NY-17 Democratic race with $5 million donation, campaign video
Briarcliff Manor deputy mayor pledges to fight Trump, won't divest huge holdings in Microsoft stock
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 14/01/2026
A fix that I wish #NY17 candidates would have mentioned on childcare affordability is the real deficiency of the current law on FSA Dependent Care plans. Peg it to inflation, not a fixed amount.
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 14/01/2026
Going to be posting some quick takes on the first major forum of 2026 for the #NY17 Democratic primary hosted by @indivisrockland.bsky.social. Stay tuned. 📺
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Nine days after the 2024 presidential election, I interviewed Chair Powell at a public event in Dallas. I asked him what happened the last time the Fed was not seen as credibly independent. Here's part of his response www.youtube.com/live/Oy1vB7U...
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 02/01/2026
Here’s a must-read piece for anyone who dislikes GOP Rep. Mike Lawler. It’s by David McKay Wilson, a local #NY17 reporter who covers Lawler truthfully, which Lawler naturally does not like. So Lawler punched down at Wilson…and Wilson punched back. davidmckaywilson.substack.com/p/after-lawl...
davidmckaywilson.substack.com
After Lawler's Festivus put-downs, it's time to look forward to 2026
Just before Christmas, Lawler lashed out at me and a host of Democrats - plus Marjorie Taylor Greene. I've responded as did three Democrats looking to face him in November.
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 31/12/2025
NEW MAP ALERT 🗺️ We just shipped a brand-new Mapbox scrolly at @crisisgroup.org — rebuilt from the ground up with full-motion video and interactive maps throughout. Design: @clairemaevabg.bsky.social Engineering: me 👉 www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 30/12/2025
Crisis Group's @comfortero.crisisgroup.org has been appointed as a Companion of the Most Distinguished Order of Saint Michael and Saint George. “It’s a privilege to lead an organisation that continues to serve as an invaluable global public good”. #NYHonours www.crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/c...
crisisgroup.org
Crisis Group President and CEO Receives New Year Honour | International Crisis Group
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 29/12/2025
A national volunteer corps to do this and restore honor to our capital city would be just fine.
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Cato Institute @cato.org · 28/12/2025
The “worst of the worst” Venezuelans deported to El Salvador’s CECOT prison weren’t the worst: nearly all had no violent convictions, many entered the US legally, and gang labels relied on tattoos—not evidence, reports Cato’s David Bier. ow.ly/wifs50XO2TY
ow.ly
DHS Doesn’t List CECOT Prison Deportees in Its Worst of the Worst Data
The United States should have allowed most of these immigrants to reside and work in the country legally. They could have been economic assets to the United States, and it serves no legitimate purpose to send them back to, at best, horrific conditions in Venezuela and, at worst, more persecution.
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 09/12/2025
It's almost as if top-down, centrally planned economic policies don't work, even if the person enacting them is a Republican. Trump is a socialist of the worst kind.
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Brian Finucane @bcfinucane.bsky.social · 07/12/2025
As I told @cnn.com, there's nothing to justify any of the lethal maritime strikes. There's no armed conflict. The administration has engaged in very real killing in a make-believe armed conflict. And even in the admin's legal fantasy land, attacking the shipwrecked would be a war crime.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 29/11/2025
The term "has historic roots, including Nazi ideology and, more recently, a violent conspiracy theory that’s inspired terrorist attacks in the US and abroad" www.cnn.com/2025/10/19/u...
cnn.com
DHS issued a call to ‘remigrate.’ Here’s the history of the term often associated with far-right groups | CNN
A nine-letter social media post was all it took for the Department of Homeland Security to spark a torrent of backlash online this week, drawing the ire of politicians and prompting comparisons to Eur...
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 24/11/2025
Nativists are the real economic de-growthers.
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Richard Gowan @richardgowan1.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
NEWS from @crisisgroup.org. After 7 years as UN Director, I'm moving to a new program on Global Issues and Institutions. @fortid.crisisgroup.org becomes Head of UN Affairs, backed by @mayaungar.bsky.social. . AND we need a Senior Analyst covering geopolitics 👇 jobs.crisisgroup.org/o/analyst-gl...
jobs.crisisgroup.org
International Crisis Group - Senior Analyst, Global Order and Peacemaking (Global Issues and Institutions)
Crisis Group is launching a new program on Global Issues and Institutions. The program will include (i) a project on global order and peacemaking; (ii) Crisis Group’s eEarth project monitoring resourc
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 23/11/2025
Rockland is for @caitfornewyork.bsky.social. We talked about her vision for Congress last evening at Soul Brewing Company in Pleasantville. I got to meet so many first time comers who wanted to know more about her. No one walked away disappointed. We're going to take this seat back. #ny17
Cait Conley with Paul Franz.A wider view of the brewery floor at the Conley campaign event.
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Paul Franz @paul-franz.com · 19/11/2025
The only takeaway I have from this @nytimes.com piece in Christian Orthodox in the U.S. is that "young men are desperate for someone or anything to tell us exactly what to do". www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/u...
nytimes.com
Orthodox Church Pews Are Overflowing With Converts
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
This number is completely made up. There are not 30 million undocumented immigrants. The most recent estimates are around 14 million, of which roughly 8 million people have been here for over a decade. Vance is not a fool. He knows this. DHS produces official estimates. They don’t say 30 million.
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 14/11/2025
Write-up on the latest happenings in the Democratic primary race to take on Mike Lawler in #NY17, including a quote from my friend @paul-franz.com. substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com
Reinmann bows out in NY-17, backs Conley as crowded field to face Lawler in 2026
UPDATE: The field narrows as Effie Phillips-Staley backer says the progressive Tarrytown trustee is in the race for the long run.
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Coach Finstock @coachfinstock.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
This is a message of hope when you're an idiot
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The Bulwark @thebulwark.com · 11/11/2025
Gov. Pritzker: “All I can say is that whether it was the loss in the elections a week ago that's led to Donald Trump deciding to pull CBP out or the fact that Greg Bovino is a snowflake…Whatever it is, the people of Chicago have deserved better than having CBP and Greg Bovino in this city.”
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