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Paride Carrara

@paridecarrara.bsky.social
313 followers 1.3K following 38 posts

PostDoc at WICE ERC, University of Latvia | Adjunct Prof. UniMi | PhD UniBo | Interested in party politics, communication, strategic ambiguity & #TextAsData | Travel & photography

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Reposted by Paride Carrara
Marta Kołczyńska @mkolczynska.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
For those working with Eurobarometer data: here's a list of variables from 258 waves of Standard and Special EB up to the most recent 103.4 (V 2025): some 150k variables, with names and labels, to easily identify repeated variables and help construct longitudinal datasets: github.com/mkolczynska/...
github.com
GitHub - mkolczynska/harmonization-toolbox: Tools for Ex-post Survey Data Harmonization
Tools for Ex-post Survey Data Harmonization. Contribute to mkolczynska/harmonization-toolbox development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Happy to share our latest paper, exploring how ideology and local climate risk shape MPs' speeches on climate change!
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
🔍 Do LLMs really understand political content, or do they just recognize party labels? Here's a striking example from my lecture materials on using LLMs in political science. 🧵
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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
🎉 Online first: LLMs estimate party positions well. How about issue salience? @kenbenoit.bsky.social and Michael Laver show its harder: salience is inherently relative and more implicit. LLM's salience estimates are usable but track experts less closely than positions. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...
First page of the article "Measuring issue salience for political parties using LLMs" by Kenneth Benoit and Michael Laver, published online first in West European Politics. Shows the title, authors, and abstract.Box plots showing the distribution of 'budgeted' issue salience scores across six policy dimensions (economic, social, environment, EU, decentralization, immigration), comparing expert surveys, Manifesto Project codings, and LLM-based estimates.
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Fabian Habersack @fabianhabersack.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
All good things must come to an end... 😊 Today, we wrapped up our workshop at the ECPR Joint Sessions 2026 in Innsbruck on “Blurring or Accident? Voluntary and Involuntary Sources of Ambiguous Party Positions and Their Consequences for Democracy.” #ecprjs26
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
🎉 Excited to share italyParlR — an open-source R package I built (with the help of Claude Code) to make Italian parliamentary data accessible to researchers, journalists, and data enthusiasts directly in R. github.com/paride92/ita... #OpenData #Italy #Parliament #DataScience #PoliticalScience
github.com
GitHub - paride92/italyParlR: An R package to access Italian Parliament open data via SPARQL, covering both the Camera dei Deputati and the Senato della Repubblica.
An R package to access Italian Parliament open data via SPARQL, covering both the Camera dei Deputati and the Senato della Repubblica. - paride92/italyParlR
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R Works @rworks.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Discover @revojoe.bsky.social's picks for top #RStats CRAN pkgs released in February, including ✅ quallmer v0.3.0: Tools for AI-assisted qualitative data coding 🏥 nhanesdata v4.1.0: Access to NHANES data 📏 ggInterval v0.2.4: Visualize intervals w/ ggplot2 Read the post: rworks.dev/posts/Feb-20...
rworks.dev
February 2026 Top 40 New CRAN Packages – R Works
An attempt to capture the depth and breadth of what’s new on CRAN.
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Our new paper is out in Party Politics 🚨
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF doi.org/10.31235/osf... We usually think that social identities precede preferences We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹
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Political Analysis @polanalysis.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Currently in FirstView: In “Political DEBATE: Efficient Zero-Shot and Few-Shot Classifiers for Political Text,” Michael Burnham, Kayla Kahn, Ryan Yang Wang, and Rachel Peng introduce DEBATE, a new open source foundation model for classifying political documents.
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Jan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
🚨 3-Year Postdoc in Political Science at Aarhus University 🚨 I’m seeking to recruit a postdoc for my @erc.europa.eu research project 𝑬𝑸𝑼𝑰𝑳𝑰𝑩𝑹𝑰𝑼𝑴 on state-citizen interactions. Link and more information in second post. Position Start: Fall 2026 Application Deadline: ‼️ February 5, 2026, 23:59 CET ‼️
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Lukas Birkenmaier @lukasbirkenmai1.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
⏰ I’m happy to share that a major paper from my dissertation was published today (🔗 doi.org/10.1017/pan....) in Political Analysis. In the paper, Clemens Lechner and I conduct an extensive validation study on how to measure politicians’ public personality traits using computational text analysis!
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
NEW - Policlim: A Dataset of Climate Change Discourse in the Political Manifestos of Forty-Five Countries from 1990 to 2022 - cup.org/43zzLHc - @marysanford.bsky.social, Silvia Pianta, @nicolasschmid.bsky.social & Giorgio Musto #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract from a research paper discussing a machine learning approach to analyze political discourses on climate change among OECD, European, and South American countries.
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
Excited to share that as of October 6, I’ve joined the ERC-funded project “Welcoming Immigrants in Central and Eastern Europe: Lessons from Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine” (WICE) as a Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Latvia! #postdoc #polisci
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Wiebke Drews @wiebkedrews.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
📢 New Publication Alert! Thrilled to share our latest article with @jasminriedl.bsky.social & Johannes Steup 👉 Topical Negative Campaigning Under Spatial Pressure: Party-Level Strategies for Attacks Across Multiple Issues 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0964...
doi.org
Topical Negative Campaigning Under Spatial Pressure: Party-Level Strategies for Attacks Across Multiple Issues
This paper investigates how spatial party competition shapes topical negative campaigning during Germany's 2021 federal election. We define topical negative campaigning as attacks on opponents that...
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
You can fool some of the people some of the time, but as campaigns unfold, you can fool fewer of the people. New paper w/ Derek Beach and Jannik Fenger on framing effects out in @ejprjournal.bsky.social Open Access: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
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Kristina Bakkær Simonsen @kristinabsimonsen.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
📣 MORAL APPEALS IN POLITICAL COMMUNICATION 📣 New version of @twidmann.bsky.social and my working paper answering: * Have moral appeals increased over time? * Is the tendency to moralize ideologically patterned? * Are some topics consistently more moralized than others? osf.io/preprints/os...
osf.io
OSF
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Joachim Baumann @joachimbaumann.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
🚨 New paper alert 🚨 Using LLMs as data annotators, you can produce any scientific result you want. We call this **LLM Hacking**. Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825
We present our new preprint titled "Large Language Model Hacking: Quantifying the Hidden Risks of Using LLMs for Text Annotation".
We quantify LLM hacking risk through systematic replication of 37 diverse computational social science annotation tasks.
For these tasks, we use a combined set of 2,361 realistic hypotheses that researchers might test using these annotations.
Then, we collect 13 million LLM annotations across plausible LLM configurations.
These annotations feed into 1.4 million regressions testing the hypotheses. 
For a hypothesis with no true effect (ground truth $p > 0.05$), different LLM configurations yield conflicting conclusions.
Checkmarks indicate correct statistical conclusions matching ground truth; crosses indicate LLM hacking -- incorrect conclusions due to annotation errors.
Across all experiments, LLM hacking occurs in 31-50\% of cases even with highly capable models.
Since minor configuration changes can flip scientific conclusions, from correct to incorrect, LLM hacking can be exploited to present anything as statistically significant.
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Alexia Katsanidou @alexiakatsanidou.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
This is a great example of how the use of innovative data can bring us a step further with old research questions
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
📘 64.4 Using a 🇩🇪 dataset of attempted and successful exchanges in the German Bundestag 🏛️ (1990–2020), @eliaskoch.bsky.social & @ankuepfer.bsky.social finds MPs with opposing views seek debate more often, but there is rarely action😱 #Politics #Parliament Read more:
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The politics of seeking and avoiding discourse in parliament
ELIAS KOCH, ANDREAS KÜPFER
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Adam L. Ozer @ozerthinking.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Check out this new blog post @danielcaseycbr.bsky.social and I wrote about using e-newsletters from Australian and UK Members of Parliament as data. #polisky
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Joscha F. Bäuerle @joschbrl.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Excited that my first PhD paper is published in Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties!🎉 🧵 @wurthmann.bsky.social & I examine: Do They Know What They Represent? Parliamentary Candidates’ Perceptions of Their Own Party’s Positions 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1745...
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Hot Politics Lab @hotpoliticslab.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
This Friday (12.09), we kick off the academic year at the #HotPoliticsLab with our very own (and recently appointed!) professor Gijs Schumacher! He will present his work on emotions and political behavior. Join us in the Common Room (REC-B9.22) or online via teams.microsoft.com/dl/launcher/...
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Étienne Ollion @eollion.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
The @crestumr.bsky.social AI & Social Sciences seminar resumes. Wednesday 17th at 5pm (CET), we will receive Pr. @emilymbender.bsky.social . She will talk about her latest book, *The AI Con*, co-authored with Dr. @alexhanna.bsky.social. Join us for what will certainly be a lively conversation.
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
Had an amazing time at the #SISP in Naples! Presenting my work and exchanging ideas was truly stimulating.
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Populism and Political Parties Expert Survey (POPPA) @poppa-data.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
New POPPA article out in Party Politics by Andrej Zaslove, @robert-a-huber.bsky.social, @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social: “The State of Populism: Introducing the 2023 Wave of the Populism and Political Parties Expert Survey." journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/2
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Compute! Paris @computeparis.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
📢 Talk Announcement "ActiveTigger: A Collaborative Text Annotation Research Tool for Computational Social Sciences", by @emilienschultz.bsky.social , Etienne Ollion and Paul Girard. 📜 pretalx.com/pydata-paris-2025/talk/ZHNCF7 📅 pydata.org/paris2025/schedule 🎟 pydata.org/paris2025/tickets
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Marvin Stecker @marvins.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
New publication, out in Political Analysis: There is an increasing array of tools to measure facets of morality in political language. But while they ostensibly measure the same concept, do they actually? I and @fhopp.bsky.social set out to see what happens.
cambridge.org
Moral Foundation Measurements Fail to Converge on Multilingual Party Manifestos | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core
Moral Foundation Measurements Fail to Converge on Multilingual Party Manifestos
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Felix Lehmann @felixlehmann.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Why do parties do what they do? Excited to share my 2nd dissertation paper, just published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social In the paper, I argue that parties seek internal unity and try to keep the team together: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/11 🧵
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Academy of Social Sciences @acadsocsciences.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
Social scientists have skills and knowledge that are in demand across a range of sectors leading to a variety of interesting and rewarding careers. Explore our interviews with social scientists to see where a career in social science could take you➡️ acss.org.uk/category/im-...
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Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
‘Campaign Communication and Legislative Leadership’ (with Naofumi Fujimura) appeared in the latest issue of Political Science Research and Methods. Paper (open access): doi.org/10.1017/psrm... @psrm.bsky.social Thread below 🧵 1/7
Abstract

Do policy priorities that candidates emphasize during election campaigns predict their subsequent legislative activities? We study this question by assembling novel data on legislative leadership posts held by Japanese politicians and using a fine-tuned transformer-based machine learning model to classify policy areas in over 46,900 statements from 1270 candidate manifestos across five elections. We find that a higher emphasis on a policy issue increases the probability of securing a legislative post in the same area. This relationship remains consistent across multiple elections and persists even when accounting for candidates' previous legislative leadership roles. We also discover greater congruence in distributive policy areas. Our findings indicate that campaigns provide meaningful signals of policy priorities.
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
📣 Jobs, jobs, jobs! Aarhus University’s Department of Political Science is hiring: 🔹 Assistant Professor 🗓 Deadline: 25 August 🔗 international.au.dk/about/profil... 🔹 Associate Professor 🗓 Deadline: 8 September 🔗 international.au.dk/about/profil...
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GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 16/06/2025
#GESISGuide #AI #LLM 🧠 New to #prompting LLMs or want to level up your skills? This guide dives into prompting techniques—from basics to advanced strategies like reasoning models & persona prompting. Includes examples, combos, and key limitations to watch out for. t1p.de/yv10f (PDF)
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GESIS Training @gesistraining.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Maybe of interest to everyone working in or curious about Computational Social Science (CSS). If you're looking to build or sharpen your #CSS skills, check out our hands-on courses in the #GESISworkshop program and #GESISfallseminar: 🔗 www.gesis.org/workshops 🔗 www.gesis.org/fallseminar
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
📢 Next QSSS seminar incoming! Join us for an insightful talk by @ferraraale.bsky.social (WZB) and @marcocozzani.bsky.social (UniFi) #polisci #unibo
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Sol Messing @solmg.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Important corrective paper and solid work from @cbarrie.bsky.social: don't mistake game simulations as evidence of intelligence if the game is in the training data.
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Marc Keuschnigg @marckeuschnigg.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
We are hiring postdocs in Computational Social Science 📍SweCSS, Norrköping, Sweden ⏰Deadline June 3 🔗https://liu.se/en/work-at-liu/vacancies/26854 Please apply // help us spread the word
Norrköping campus at sunset
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
🚨🚨Tomorrow is the day! Join us in Bologna or online!
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
📅 Reminder: Don’t miss the upcoming QSSS seminar on May 7! Prof. Kevin Munger (EUI) will present “Bounding Knowledge. Decay From Temporal Extrapolation.” Highly relevant for scholars interested in #polisci and #causalinference. #unibo👇
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Paride Carrara @paridecarrara.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
📢 Next QSSS seminar incoming! Join us for a fascinating talk by Prof. Kevin Munger (European University Institute) on “Bounding Knowledge. Decay From Temporal Extrapolation.” #polisci #causalinference #unibo
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Guy Grossman @guygrossman.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
🚨 working paper alert🚨 @carotorreblanca.bsky.social, Will Dinneen, and I have published an updated draft of "The Evolving Landscape of Political Science: Two Decades of Scholarship in a Growing Discipline." We hope you will find it interesting. osf.io/preprints/os...
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Deadline is tomorrow! If you are researching political elites and want to combine your research with brown cheese and salmon, then there is one day left to apply for our workshop in Oslo. Find the call for papers in the previous post.
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Katjana Gattermann @kgattermann.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
🔥Exciting postdoc position in political communication @ascor.bsky.social starting 1 Sep! The postdoc will work w/ @lindabos.bsky.social, @thomasmmeyer.bsky.social & me on media-politics relations + framing effects in the aftermath of elections. Interested?😀Apply by 5 May⬇️ tinyurl.com/4wz3u5vn
tinyurl.com
Vacancy — Postdoctoral Researcher "Political Communication in the Aftermath of Democratic Elections"
Are you looking for a postdoctoral position in political communication research? Are you interested in elections, media-politics relations and framing effects, and would like to become an expert on th...
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Chris Olah @colah.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Can we understand the mechanisms of a frontier AI model? 📝 Blog post: www.anthropic.com/research/tra... 🧪 "Biology" paper: transformer-circuits.pub/2025/attribu... ⚙️ Methods paper: transformer-circuits.pub/2025/attribu... Featuring basic multi-step reasoning, planning, introspection and more!
transformer-circuits.pub
On the Biology of a Large Language Model
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Mia Costa @miacosta.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
My book is now officially out! How Politicians Polarize introduces and documents the concept of "negative representation" – when representatives focus on the other side rather than their own. Some key findings: 🧵 www.amazon.com/How-Politici...
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Brian C. Keegan, Ph.D. @brianckeegan.com · 27/03/2025
Got around to pushing all my @cuboulder.info Web Data Science @jupyter.org notebooks to @github.com Enjoy! github.com/cuinfoscienc...
Law and ethics
Post-API Age
XML and JSON
IP and HTTP
Static web pages
Archives web pages
Dynamic web pages
PDFs
Wikipedia
Government APIs
Social APIs
Automation
AI APIs
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Kristina Bakkær Simonsen @kristinabsimonsen.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
💥Postdoc call 💥 Join my @erc.europa.eu project #YOPOW at Aarhus University 🎇 3-y position (possibility of 1-y extension) ❓How societal norms give rise to biased beliefs about political power in youth 🤖 Computational social science (large-scale text & image data) Deadline May 15: bit.ly/4hIpSeD
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Malo Jan @malojan.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
🌍 How has the structure of party competition on the environment evolved in recent years? The latest @chesdata.bsky.social dataset 📊 helps us empirically track these trends . The biggest shift isn’t just about party positions, it’s the growing salience of anti-environment stances 📈. 🧵👇
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Joshua Cova @joshcova.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Happy to introduce ItaParlCorpus: a large, annotated, machine-readable dataset of Italian parliamentary speeches 🇮🇹📊. Covering 1948-2022, it includes 2.4M speeches, 470M words from 5830 speakers across 77 parties. Ideal for studying political discourse, party rhetoric and parliamentary behavior! 🔍📖
cambridge.org
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