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Francesco Raffaelli

@fraraffaelli.bsky.social
514 followers 380 following 90 posts

From 🇮🇹 Postdoc, University of Zurich 🇨🇭 Previously PhD, Oxford 🇬🇧

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The tour goes on ;) I’m presenting this paper at Sciences Po tomorrow at the UNEQUALMAND Workshop. Thanks to @iguinaudeau.bsky.social @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social & @theresmatthiess.bsky.social for organizing!
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Very much looking forward to presenting this joint project with @markuskollberg.bsky.social and @fraraffaelli.bsky.social at IE this week.
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
They told me this is Berghain
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I’m presenting this project at the @wzb.bsky.social today (Sept. 16) at 2:00-3:15pm. Thanks to @jeyalizade.bsky.social for the invite! I’ll also be at *HU-Berlin* on Thursday and Friday. If you are around and want to get a coffee, don’t be a stranger
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
New working paper. We propose a theory of dynamic identity-based linkages between voters and parties. We base this theory on models of expressive voting where voting signifies joining a community of social groups of voters. People have a sense of which parties are associated with which groups.
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Fabrizio Gilardi @fgilardi.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
I'm hiring! Three-year postdoc (80%) in my research group at @ipz.bsky.social, starting January 2027. Digital technology and politics, some teaching. Deadline: 30 September 2026. Questions welcome, and please share! www.ipz.uzh.ch/dam/jcr:bbee... (pdf)
Job ad, postdoc position
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 20/08/2026
#SadButTrue #AcademicChatter
Tweet from Samantha Simpson (@SimpsonSami): “Before grad school, I never imagined I could develop a fear of my email inbox. #gradschool #AcademicTwitter” — posted 10:44 AM · 4/10/20 · Twitter for iPhone.
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Some personal news: in September I will be joining Oxford's DPIR as Lecturer in Comparative Politics. Very happy to be heading back to the Mothership, and grateful to my colleagues in Vienna for a great year!
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
We often focus on what shapes the politics of immigration in the present. This article looks at the long-term consequences of immigration politics. The high immigration salience we see today will shape how *future* voters (i.e., today's kids and teens) will vote in the future.
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Giorgio Malet @giorgiomalet.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
We did it again! A year after our first workshop, @jellekoedam.bsky.social, @tinepaulsen.bsky.social, @nicolaiberk.bsky.social, and I welcomed another fantastic group of researchers to Zurich. Two days of thoughtful discussions, new connections, and lots of fun... 🏊 Thanks to everyone who joined!
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
2027 🇮🇹 elections will be the ultimate test of mainstream parties’ willingness to defend liberal democracy If PD/M5S cannot agree on a leader, they will hand the country to Meloni - AGAIN If FI caves and accepts Vannacci in the coalition, they will normalize fasc… ah well, they did that in ‘94
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
The IPZ is great :) If you have questions on the Department feel free to reach out!
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
👇🏻
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
I'm presenting this project (w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social) at @epssnet.bsky.social. If you like cleavage politics, identities, and how people update their class & religious identity to match their immigration preferences, come! Pre-print: osf.io/preprints/so... ⏰ June 19, 17:10 📍 Hall 2A (ICC)
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
I'm presenting this project (w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social) at @epssnet.bsky.social. If you like cleavage politics, identities, and how people update their class & religious identity to match their immigration preferences, come! Pre-print: osf.io/preprints/so... ⏰ June 19, 17:10 📍 Hall 2A (ICC)
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
"So ... so I said ... why not sign your treaty here, at Versailles?"
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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Les jeux sont faits: Thanks to urban municipalities and french speaking regions, Switzerland says NO to the far-right proposal demanding to cap the population at 10 million inhabitants.
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Great to be in Milan at @bocconi.bsky.social's P&I Clinic to present our project (w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social) on how 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people update their class and religious identity to 'match' their immigration preferences! Updated version of the preprint 👉 osf.io/preprints/so...
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Peter Luca Versteegen @versteegenluca.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
🚨🚨 Job: Please share 🙌 - what? PhD position in my DFG-funded project on how citizens understand their role in democracy. - when? Application deadline Jul 1, job start Sept 1 or soon thereafter - how? www.uni-hamburg.de/en/stellenan...
uni-hamburg.de
Job advertisement
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
As I have been arguing for almost a decade, populism is a secondary feature for most populist actors. Moreover, the main current threat to liberal democracy comes from the far right, which at least in Europe and U.S., is primarily nativist. In fact, some are barely populist anymore.
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Lena Maria Huber @lenamariahuber.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
📣 New paper out in BJPolS 📣
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Excited to present this project on immigration and group identities *tomorrow* (May 14) at the QPE Early Career Workshop at @kingsqpe.bsky.social Program 👉🏻 sites.google.com/view/kingsqp... For the great London weather 👇🏻
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Institut für Staatswissenschaft / Department of Government @stawi-univie.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Can attitudes change our identities? 🪪 Group-based anti‑immigration appeals nudged participants to newly claim “working‑class” or “Christian” even without strong objective ties or changes to policy views - showing instrumental belief justification. #Identity #Immigration Read the study recap:
staatswissenschaft.univie.ac.at
BLOG: Identity Spillovers
Social identities are often considered to be given facts that define us and our perspective of the world. Especially in politics, they are a driving force mobilizing voters across the political spectr...
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
Manchester's map looks a bit like Berlin's and Vienna's - green core with social democratic red ring around it, radical right in the poor suburbs, traditional right in the rich ones..
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Yup. Cultural conflicts eat up the categories of "old" politics and spit them out as something completely different. @fraraffaelli.bsky.social and I have a paper about this 👇
Identity Spillovers: How the Politics of Immigration
Shapes Class and Religious Self-Categorization∗
Leonardo Carella†
Francesco Raffaelli‡
May 6, 2026
Abstract
Social identities are typically treated as stable antecedents of political preferences. This article shows thatthe causal arrow can also run in reverse: when exposed to narratives that frame immigration as a threat to
a discrete native social group, some individuals ‘update’ their social identity to match their immigration preferences. We theorize that anti-immigration individuals claim membership of these groups as a form
of instrumental belief justification: they ground out-group aversion in concern for in-group interests. We test this framework with two preregistered original survey experiments: one on class identity in Britain
and one on religious identity in Italy. Respondents with anti-immigration preferences are more likely to claim working-class (Study 1) or Christian (Study 2) identities, when presented with political rhetoric
that frames immigrants in opposition to these groups. These identity updates are driven by respondents who lack ‘objective’ markers of group membership. They are also not reflected in changes in support
for policies benefiting these groups, underscoring the instrumental nature of these identity claims. This article contributes to the literature on cleavage realignment, suggesting that when political actors link
‘old’ dimensions of political conflict to a prominent ‘new’ one — immigration — traditional categories of politics such as class and religion can acquire new meanings in people’s minds
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Very happy to share that I am going to be the new Director of the Democracy unit at the @wzb.bsky.social Berlin Social Science Center. I am excited to form a new research unit on democratic politics and to engage with people in Berlin and elsewhere to make liberal democracy more resilient.
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EPOP @psaepop.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
The call for papers for #EPOP2026 in Liverpool (17–19 September) is now open! We welcome submissions across all areas of research on elections, public opinion and parties. Deadline: 26 April Submit your proposals here: www.liverpool.ac.uk/politics/eve... @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
The Royal Liver Building, Liverpool
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👻madeline bOoOoOoOodent👻 @oldenoughtosay.com · 15/04/2026
god grant me the audacity of a Catholic convert sincerely telling the Pope he’s wrong about theology
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Tisza now momentarily with a supermajority (135 seats). (This is a *live count* with 45.71% of the vote counted, not a projection. Some of the outstanding vote from abroad may be less horrific for Orbán.)
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Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Great opportunity for recent PhD grads looking for a postdoc with solid support for research + teaching development This is my current role, so I'm happy to answer questions if you're interested! www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQW831/l...
jobs.ac.uk
LSE Fellow in Advanced Quantitative Methods at London School of Economics and Political Science
An academic position as a LSE Fellow in Advanced Quantitative Methods is being advertised on jobs.ac.uk. Click now to find more details and explore additional academic job opportunities.
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Linus Westheuser @lwestheuser.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Spending the day at a fantastic workshop on "Group Identities and Democracy" at HU Berlin, organized by @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @markuskollberg.bsky.social and @fraraffaelli.bsky.social, w @lenamariahuber.bsky.social @indubioproreto.bsky.social @alexprs.bsky.social @juliusk.bsky.social et al.
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
I’m presenting this paper ⬇️ in Berlin at the “Democracy and Identities” workshop organized by @tabouchadi.bsky.social & @markuskollberg.bsky.social to conclude our Einstein Research Group project 🥺
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
The founder of Lega died yesterday. His (early) thoughts on alliances with post-fascists: "Never, never, never. We in Lega are those who continue the fight for liberation of the partisans, [...] Never with the fascists, never with the grandchildren of the fascists." www.youtube.com/watch?v=-WUB...
youtube.com
Bossi antifascista
YouTube video by Mario Pazzaglia
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
⁉️ Are anti-immigration people really "sexually modern"? No ⁉️ Are people more supportive of anti-immigration platforms when these also include progressive positions on gender and sexuality? Also no I explore these questions w/ 🇬🇧🇩🇪 original survey data (+ a conjoint in 🇩🇪) 👉 osf.io/preprints/so...
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Franziska Veit @franziskaveit.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
New working paper! I examine whether exposure to local unemployment during adolescence shapes immigration attitudes in adulthood, focusing on the long-term imprint of early economic insecurity doi.org/10.31235/osf...
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF doi.org/10.31235/osf... We usually think that social identities precede preferences We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
👇🏻
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
My beef is with open lists, and more generally with how enamoured we are of "personalisation" of electoral rules, in view of limited evidence that it actually makes a difference, other than making the act of voting more cumbersome to voters (possibly compounding participation inequalities).
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Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
🚨Job alert 🚨 I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026. If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026. 📤 Please share widely! www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
ipz.uzh.ch
Offene Stellen / Open Positions
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social) ⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*? doi.org/10.1017/S147...
doi.org
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization
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EUI Political Behaviour Colloquium @behaviour-eui.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
🎤 The speaker for the 14th session of the PBC will be @leonardocarella.bsky.social, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Vienna, who will be presenting “Electoral Systems' Effects on Participation beyond Turnout.” 📍 Join us on Zoom! Register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
eui.eu
Electoral systems
This session of the Political Behaviour Colloquium features a presentation by Leonardo Carella, Postdoctoral Researcher and Lecturer at University of Vienna.
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
If you are in Zurich and interested in social identities (and how people strategically update theirs!), you can also see this project being presented at SVPW 2026 🗓️ Friday, Jan. 16 ⏰ 10:30-12:00 📍 UZH, Room SOE-E-1
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EUI Political Behaviour Colloquium @behaviour-eui.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
🎤 The 13th session of the PBC will host @fraraffaelli.bsky.social, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Zurich, who will present: "Immigration Politics and Social Identities" 📍 Join us on Zoom! Please register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
eui.eu
Immigration politics and social identities
This session of the Political Behaviour Colloquium features a presentation by Francesco Raffaelli, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Zurich.
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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
On my way to Florence, where I will be presenting at the EUI's PBC @behaviour-eui.bsky.social a project co-authored w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @aoc.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
It’s not about drugs. If it was, Trump wouldn’t have pardoned one of the largest narco traffickers in the world last month. It’s about oil and regime change. And they need a trial now to pretend that it isn’t. Especially to distract from his sinking under Epstein and skyrocketing healthcare costs.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 16/12/2025
"We welcome PhDs to a round table table discussion from assistant professors who were recently on the job market"
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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
Thanks to @johnholbein1.bsky.social I learned about this paper on rent control in Berlin. Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials. bsky.app/profile/john...
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