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SAM

@onewithreality.bsky.social
728 followers 672 following 748 posts

Largo-Based. Proud Progressive. Pro-American. Anti-Trump/Musk/Zuckerberg. Politics can be kinky. Kink can be political. I block all MAGA supporters.

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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 14h
Hard to believe, but we are three weeks from the midterm elections. Let's make it a #bluewave.
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Mike Luckovich @mluckovich.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
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Joe Walsh @walshfreedom.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I agree with you Marjorie about the Republican Party. And since you believe the GOP is the threat it is and that every Republican at the federal level must lose, can I assume you’ll be voting for Democrats this year, the only party that can defeat Republicans?
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Imagine being Rick Brattin, who was all set to win in this new gerrymandered GOP district, and now he has wasted all this time and effort just to lose. Sucks to be him. 😂😂
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Kansas would do best to send this guy to represent them in the Senate in this midterm.
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Molly Jong-Fast @mollyjongfast.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
this is WILD
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 11/09/2026
Over the last couple of days we have got several polls of Dems leading by double digits in the national environment, and ahead in states and districts Trump won by 15+ points. Starting to get hard to deny that Nov could very likely be a bloodbath for the GOP
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
I can’t wait for this game to come out next year!
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
+1, maybe +2, to the Democrats.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
If Republicans want to pass a constitutional amendment to keep the U.S. Supreme Court at nine justices, then Democrats should add to that amendment that those same justices can only serve one 18 year term and no more than two judicial seats can be filled during a single presidential term.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
We need Supreme Court reform and we need it yesterday #TrumpBallroom
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Part of me hopes for Taco Avenue, but I think Obama Avenue stings just a bit more for Trump.
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PatriotTakes 🇺🇸 @patriottakes.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Thomas Massie isn’t wrong
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
It's probably not helping Republicans in competitive Senate races that Trump has launched a trade war with Canada. That country is the #1 export for Maine, Michigan, Ohio, Michigan, Iowa, South Dakota, North Carolina, and Georgia. It's #2 for New Hampshire, Kansas, and Texas, and #5 for Alaska.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
All right, Wisconsin Democrats. Let’s get that Democratic trifecta. It’s overdue. #WIGOV #Wisconsin
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Remember this when the right wing complain about George Soros!
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Adam Parkhomenko @adamparkhomenko.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Breaking re Texas Senate: Can Talarico beat Paxton? Cornyn: Yes
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Blue Virginia @bluevirginia.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Economic GOLDEN AGE, no? Lol bluevirginia.us/2026/08/frid...
"JUST IN: A surprisingly bad job report. The US economy LOST -23,000 jobs in July (way below expectations of +80k). May and June were revised DOWN by a combined -103,000.

Unemployment rate: 4.1% ->This went down for the WRONG reasons. Over 260,000 left the labor force

Wage growth: 3.2% -->this is entirely wiped out by inflation"- Heather Long
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
In 2006, my interest in politics was just beginning so the only deja vu I have is trying to stop the Wisconsin marriage amendment from passing. If this midterm is as Democratic-leaning as predicted, hopefully WI Democrats can win the legislature and start to repeal that discriminatory amendment.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
New Berlin, WI
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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
bsky.app/profile/corn...
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
I think I lost some weight and gained some muscle.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
I can't help but watch and worry about my home state of #Wisconsin. I hope Democratic voters are choosing the right candidate that can defeat Tom Tiffany. This is the best shot at getting a trifecta in the state since the legislative maps became fair.
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CNN @cnn.com · 23/07/2026
The first LGBTQ+ rugby team and a cabaret club in Cardiff, Wales have paired together for Drag Rugby, an event where Wale’s most fabulous drag queens show of their skills on the field.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Sexy as fuck too!
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Everything about Sony Playstation is ugly. Their consoles are ugly. The way they handle revoking rights to purchased media is ugly. Their decision to end physical gaming media is also ugly. And don’t get me started on Xbox.
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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
A bit late to this, but Fox News has a Georgia poll out tonight, if you missed it — Ossoff leads 56/43 in the Senate race, and Keisha Lance Bottoms leads 52/47 in the governor race. www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 16/06/2026
This poll question has predicted the winner of every election since 1952. Democrats now lead Republicans on it by 13 points — their largest lead of the 2026 election cycle so far
gelliottmorris.com
Democrats lead by 13 points on trust to handle voters' top problems
This poll question has predicted all but one election since 1948. It suggests Democrats could win by 8-12 points in November.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
I'm hoping that Wisconsin Democrats win a trifecta in November.
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 03/06/2026
This chart from the latest YouGov/Economist poll result is really quite stunning. Trump’s net approval is not only deeply negative, but about 15(!!) points below what it was at this point in 2018, putting the GOP deeper in blue wave territory now vs then substack.com/@gelliottmor...
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 29/05/2026
If the actual result of the Texas Senate race among Latinos ends up anywhere close to this, Paxton is cooked unidosus.org/press-releas...
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Joe Walsh @walshfreedom.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
So another deal that’s not a deal that’s a deal that’s not a deal that’s a deal that’s not a deal that’s a deal that’s a…surrender. What a horrible fucking mistake this war was. People killed, economies destroyed, and Iran comes out stronger. Trump should be in jail. Again.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
I turned on my Xbox Series S and started Destiny 2 for the first time since Lightfall. I never felt so lost in a game before. I just went to the tower, looked around, then turned my system off. The desire to play Destiny 2 is completely dead to me. #Destiny2 #Bungie
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Resistbot @resist.bot · 21/05/2026
For sixteen years the answer to corporate money in politics has been “wait for an amendment that may never come.” Hawaii just proved there’s another way.
resistbot.substack.com
Hawaii Just Took Corporate Money Out of Its Elections
Sixteen years after Citizens United, one state found a lever nobody tried—not amending the Constitution, but rewriting what a corporation is allowed to do.
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Political polls @politicalpolls.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
🔵 Democrats are holding a bigger lead in the generic congressional ballot now than they were at this point in recent midterm cycles including 2018 (RCP)
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The Tennessee Holler @thetnholler.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
🔥
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MaddowBlog @maddowblog.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Here's why we're watching the election in Georgia tonight. (NOTE: This is video from last night, so when Rachel says "tomorrow" she is talking about today.)
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NPR @npr.org · 18/05/2026
Tuesday's primary in Georgia features contentious Republican contests for governor and U.S. Senate while Democrats hope an enthusiasm advantage is enough to flip two state supreme court seats. n.pr/4eTWvZ5
n.pr
In Georgia primary, Republicans dominate spending and Democrats drive record turnout
Tuesday's primary in Georgia features contentious Republican contests for governor and U.S. Senate while Democrats hope an enthusiasm advantage is enough to flip two state supreme court seats.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
I hate this timeline so much. I hate Trump with the fire of a thousand suns. I hate that our democracy is in danger. I want to vote for people who will fix this. #FuckTrump #FuckMAGA #FuckGOP
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Time to take a break from BlueSky for today. Too much doomscrolling for me about what SCOTUS did and the people who follow this are not helping my mental state so I need to check out. Let me know when there is a plan to restore democracy in America. #SCOTUS #VRA #Callais #The-DownBallot
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JoeMyGod @joemygod.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
joemygod.com
POLL: Democrats +10 On Generic Congressional Ballot - Joe.My.God.
Emerson Polling reports: The April 2026 Emerson College Polling national survey of likely voters finds Democrats have a 10-point advantage on the generic congressional ballot, leading Republicans 50% ...
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Can we do something like that in our country?
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NPR @npr.org · 29/04/2026
Australia is proposing to tax Meta, Google and TikTok a proportion of their revenue to pay for news reporters. The government intends to introduce the draft legislation to Parliament by July. n.pr/4eOMTi3
n.pr
Australia moves to tax Meta, Google and TikTok to fund newsrooms
Australia is proposing to tax Meta, Google and TikTok a proportion of their revenue to pay for news reporters. The government intends to introduce the draft legislation to Parliament by July.
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SAM @onewithreality.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Don’t Skip! Post you in another country Granada, Spain 🇪🇸
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Axios @axios.com · 23/04/2026
Buyer's remorse is hitting House Republicans over their mid-cycle redistricting war — a strategy meant to protect their majority that's now deeply in danger of backfiring. “I wish none of this had happened.”
axios.com
"I wish none of this had happened": GOP's buyer's remorse on redistricting
The GOP's redistricting push now could be a wash — or even a plus for Democrats.
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Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
A reminder while Republicans bitch about Dems finishing the redistricting fight they started: they have full control of gov’t— they can pass a law banning gerrymandering any time they want. They won’t. Republicans aren’t mad gerrymandering exists; they’re mad that they’re not the only ones using it.
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Blue Virginia @bluevirginia.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
VERY helpful info from Zachary Donnini bluevirginia.us/2026/04/redi...
Zachary Donnini: "Ahead of polls close in Virginia, here’s a full briefing on what to expect in tonight’s redistricting referendum:

Virginia is a relatively clean reporting state with a centralized results system, but the order of votes still matters a lot.

This is a true three-method state:
• Election Day (ED)
• Early Voting (EV)
• Absentee Mail (AB)

In a close race, I expect something around:
ED: NO +9
EV: YES +1
AB: YES +40

That means early returns in each county/city can be misleading depending on what drops first.

Most jurisdictions report early vote and mail first, which creates an early blue mirage. But some key areas report Election Day first, creating pockets of a red mirage instead. Virginia Beach is the biggest example of a red mirage on a county/city level.

Key benchmarks I'll be tracking:

• Loudoun County big drop (~93% of vote): YES +14
• Virginia Beach: NO +5
• Chesterfield: NO +4
• Surry: NO +5

Base counties/cities:
• Fairfax: YES +33
• Richmond City: YES +62
• Tazewell: NO +75
• Colonial Heights City: NO +43"Zachary Donnini: "Turnout dynamics matter a lot in a one-off referendum, so I'll closely be watching rural ED turnout (red areas) and urban Black ED turnout (Dem base).

Timing expectations:
• First big Loudoun drop: ~7:50 p.m. ET
• ~80% reporting by 10:30 p.m. ET
• ~98–99% by ~1 a.m. ET

VERY IMPORTANT: If the race is close, expect movement towards YES after Election Night:

Fewer provisional ballots than usual are expected in Virginia, since they are tied to same-day registration and the state held a high-turnout election six months ago, meaning most voters are already registered. However, post-election votes will still matter and are expected to break heavily toward YES. I estimate:

• Provisionals (~18K): YES +37
• Other late votes (~25K): YES +43
• Net effect: +0.5% shift in margin toward YES

Avoid overreacting to small NO leads late in the evening. If it is NO+0.3 when we sleep Wednesday morning at 2 a.m. then YES is favored."
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The Tennessee Holler @thetnholler.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
HAYES: “Trump lights our national house on fire, lets it burn for 15 minutes, then shows up with a fire hose and demands a prize for putting out the blaze while the rest of us stand here in the smoldering ruins.”
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Jay Rosen @jayrosen.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Bluesky under attack. (Maybe you noticed that Thursday.) "Bluesky’s website and app are still struggling on Friday after experiencing service interruptions that chief operating officer Rose Wang attributed to an ongoing cyberattack." techcrunch.com/2026/04/17/i...
techcrunch.com
Bluesky confirms DDoS attack is cause of continued app outages | TechCrunch
Bluesky has been experiencing ongoing service disruptions since just before 3 a.m. ET. on April 15.
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MaddowBlog @maddowblog.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Maddow on what keeps despots in power and why they fall apart: "Nobody actually likes a corrupt despot. They all just support him because they think he's going to be in power forever so you need to stay on his right side in order to get anything for yourself."
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