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Nuno Palma

@nunopgpalma.bsky.social
942 followers 120 following 23 posts

Professor, University of Manchester. Fellow ICS-UL. Director of the Arthur Lewis Lab for Comparative Development. Economic History, Growth & Development, Macroeconomics, Political Economy. Webpage: sites.google.com/site/npgpalma/home

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Reposted by Nuno Palma
Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 27/07/2026
We have a new Economic Inequality topic page— Public attention to economic inequality has grown a lot over the last twenty years. At the same time, the available data has greatly improved too: it now covers many more countries and longer time periods, and is more comparable and accessible than ever
Dot-and-line chart of monthly income or consumption at the 90th and 10th percentiles for selected countries, where it illustrates large gaps between the richest and poorest 10%. It shows the richest 10% in the United States at about $5,508 per person per month versus $789 for the poorest 10%, and smaller absolute amounts but clear gaps in Brazil (about $1,626 vs $161), Vietnam (about $875 vs $177) and Madagascar (about $156 vs $32). Data source: World Bank Poverty and Inequality Platform (2026). License: CC BY to Our World in Data.
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Economic History Society @echistsoc.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
The Tawney Lectures from the EHS annual conferences as far back as 2007 are available on the EHS website and YouTube channel. From the 2026 Conference: Professor Morgan Kelly, 'Historical Economics versus Economic History'. #EHS100 ehs.org.uk/multimedia/t...
ehs.org.uk
Tawney Lecture 2026 - Historical Economics versus Economic History - Economic History Society
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Economic History Review @echistsocreview.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
Now on Early View: 'The Golden Age of Al-Andalus? Living standards in Muslim Iberia (950–1200)'. By António Henriques. #EHS100 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
<em>The Economic History Review</em> | EHS Journal | Wiley Online Library
This article provides the first systematic estimates of living standards in Al-Andalus (the Muslim-ruled Iberian Peninsula) in 950, 1000, and 1200. Drawing on prices and wages from legal documents an...
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Dr Victoria Bateman @vnbateman.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Manchester is where economic history happens and the future is made and so @officialuom.bsky.social @arthurlewislab.bsky.social (directed by @nunopgpalma.bsky.social) just hosted a gathering of the world’s leading economic historians. It was an honour to be awarded the #HajnalPrize in such company.
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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.com · 12/05/2026
Really pleased to see our global stunting data up on our world in data. We hope it helps people contextualise child stunting in a much longer historical lens. Thanks to Hannah and Tuna for visualising and explaining the data so well! The link to the original paper is here: doi.org/10.1136/bmjg...
doi.org
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
New book 👇🏼
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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 24/04/2026
Guilherme Lambais & @nunopgpalma.bsky.social show that the end of slavery in Brazil in 1888 coincided with the first sustained rise in Brazilian GDP per capita, suggesting a link between the end of coerced labour and the onset of modern growth. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
Figure: long-run series of Brazilian GDP per capita from 1574 to 1920, from a new hand-collected dataset of over 30,000 archival observations of prices and wages from Bahia, Pernambuco, Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul, and São Paulo.

Contemporary debates about Brazil’s growth potential often frame it as a modern problem, but new research on long run development demonstrates that some of the country’s growth challenges have roots stretching back centuries. This column uses data from 1574 to 1920 to provide a fresh perspective. Brazil's economy remained stationary for over 200 years. The end of slavery in 1888 coincided with the first sustained rise in Brazilian GDP per capita, suggesting a tight link between the end of coerced labour and the onset of modern growth. Recognising this history can inform more effective policy strategies for sustainable and inclusive long-run growth.
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Guido Alfani @guidoalfani.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
The call for the Summer School on Socioeconomic Opportunity and Inequality, organized in Milan by @dondenacentre.bsky.social and @ucstonecenter.bsky.social, also with the support of ISPI, is now open! Early-career researchers, join us for this great experience! (deadline May 15). bit.ly/4ma5k2H
bit.ly
Summer School on Socioeconomic Opportunity and Inequality at the Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale - Stone Center
The Summer School on Socioeconomic Opportunity and Inequality seeks to provide the next generation of scholars with the multidisciplinary underpinning necessary for effective research on inequality dy...
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porteconj.bsky.social @porteconj.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
PEJ welcomes submissions to its collection “Selected papers on Microeconometrics” edited by João Santos Silva (U. Surrey). Deadline: 31 July 2026 Learn more: link.springer.com/collections/... (Submission guidelines and links in the comments) #PortugueseEconomicJournal #EconSky #CallForPapers
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Sheilagh Ogilvie @sheilaghogilvie.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Looking forward to talking at OCIS next week about the bright and dark side of pandemics and state capacity ‪@oxford-esh.bsky.social‬‬‬ #echist www.oxcis.ac.uk/events/levia...
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Eric Schneider @ericbschneider.com · 23/02/2026
What is child stunting — and how has it changed over the last 200 years? Stunting means being too short for one’s age due to chronic undernutrition and disease in early life. It’s one of the clearest markers of cumulative deprivation in childhood. 1)
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Kris Inwood @kris-inwood.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Eradicating child stunting was a central feature of the modern health transition. A new paper reviews 923 child growth studies in 122 countries 1814-2016 to show massive decline in child stunting in the 20th century even in hi income countries & surprising heterogeneity in the regional trajectories.
doi.org
The decline of child stunting in 122 countries: a systematic review of child growth studies since the 19th century
Introduction Child stunting, a measure of malnutrition, is a major global health challenge affecting 148.1 million children in 2022. Global stunting rates have declined from 47.2% in 1985 to 22.3% in ...
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joseph francis @joefrancis.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
isitcredible.com is my new website. You will find a public archive of automated reports on journal articles from across the full domain of human knowledge. You can also use it as a private service to get feedback on your own work.
isitcredible.com
Is It Credible?
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Dr Victoria Bateman @vnbateman.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
It will be a huge honour to deliver the 2026 #HajnalLecture at the University of Manchester. It will also be something of a homecoming: Manchester was not only the place I grew up, it shaped my love of Economic History. #Manchester #EconHist @manchester.ac.uk #ArthurLewisLab @nunopgpalma.bsky.social
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Guido Alfani @guidoalfani.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
There is still time to apply for the 2026 Datini-Ester seminar on "Craft Guilds & Unions"! All PhD students working on these topics are welcome to apply! Join us in beautiful Prato (Tuscany) for this funded experience! (deadline November 15) www.istitutodatini.it/ester/htm/ca...
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LSE Department of Economic History @lseechist.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
And shoutout to former LSE Economic History staff and PhD students Stephen Broadberry, @cliochris.bsky.social and @nunopgpalma.bsky.social who have been cited as well. The scientific statement can be found here: www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2025...
nobelprize.org
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tom westland @tomwestland.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
CALL FOR PAPERS A workshop at LSE next April on 'Uses and Abuses of the Murdock Atlas in Social Science Research'. We're looking for cross-disciplinary engagement to think critically about what this widely used source means, what it can & can't tell us. Submit by Nov 14 www.lse.ac.uk/economic-his...
lse.ac.uk
Uses and abuses of the Murdock Atlas in social science research
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Patrick Fitzsimmons @patrubenfitz.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Was thrilled to write this for @broadstreetblog.bsky.social (which I recommend for anyone interested in historical political economy) www.broadstreet.blog/p/blood-and-...
broadstreet.blog
Blood and Iron: Political Fragmentation in the Ancient Eastern Mediterranean
How new technology reshaped the political equilibrium of the early Iron Age through violence.
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Irwin (Bud) Collier @irwincollier.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
#EconSky Another reminder that European economic history was a core element in the training of early 20th century economists. Consider Howard Levi Gray and Edwin Francis Gay's course offerings for 1909-10 at Harvard... www.irwincollier.com/harvard-euro...
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
🥳 Shameless self-promotion annoucement! Honored to have received the Figuerola Prize for the best article published in the European Review of Economic History in the last 2 years, for «Anatomy of a Premodern State», with Lenor F. Costa & António Henriques!
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Dr Victoria Bateman @vnbateman.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
Did you know that 40% of big game hunters in the Americas were women, and so too were 40% of brewers in medieval London? Find out about women’s involvement in the economy from the Stone Age to the present in my new book #Economica - out now @headlinebooks.bsky.social #econhist
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Dr Victoria Bateman @vnbateman.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Want to read an “erudite, ambitious & richly global” book that “sets a new standard in economic history”? Then my forthcoming book #Economica is for you. If you’re in the UK, for tonight only you can get 25% off if you preorder @waterstones.bsky.social: www.waterstones.com/book/economi... #SUMMER25
waterstones.com
Economica by Victoria Bateman | Waterstones
Buy Economica by Victoria Bateman from Waterstones today! Click and Collect from your local Waterstones or get FREE UK delivery on orders over £25.
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Sheilagh Ogilvie @sheilaghogilvie.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP20556 Transplanting Craft Guilds to Colonial Latin America: A Large Language Model Analysis cepr.org/publications... @oxhistoryfaculty.bsky.social @oxford-esh.bsky.social #echist‬
cepr.org
DP20556 Transplanting Craft Guilds to Colonial Latin America: A Large Language Model Analysis
What can we learn about institutional transplantation by analyzing craft guilds in colonial Latin America? We use large language models (LLMs) to investigate colonial guild ordinances, addressing two major bottlenecks in assessing institutions: digitizing qualitative sources efficiently and analyzing them quantitatively. Our newly designed methodology reveals both long-term continuities and striking differences between craft guilds in colonial Mexico and Peru, particularly with regard to human capital and product quality. The LLM-based approach identifies patterns that were previously not discernible using standard methods in economic history, its results are reproducible, and it can easily be extended to other historical settings.
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Sheilagh Ogilvie @sheilaghogilvie.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Looking forward talking about “Controlling Contagion” at the Radboud Conference next week, and learning more answers to its key question: “How Did We Lift the Burden?” www.ru.nl/en/about-us/... @oxford-esh.bsky.social @timriswick.bsky.social @oxhistoryfaculty.bsky.social
ru.nl
Keynote “Controlling Contagion: Epidemics and Institutions from Plague to Covid” | Radboud University
In this keynote lecture, prof. Sheilagh Ogilvie will explain how societies have historically managed epidemics through various social institutions.
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Daniela Vidart @danielavidart.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
‼️Come join us for the RIDGE Growth and Development in Macro Workshop! December 11-12 in beautiful Montevideo🇺🇾 Submission deadline 👉 September 30 More info & submission link 👉 ridge.org.uy/wp-content/u...
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 18/08/2025
"After a natural experiment is first used, other researchers often reuse the setting, examining different outcome[s]..." "...we use simulations based on real data to illustrate the multiple hypothesis testing problem that arises when researchers reuse natural experiments."
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 18/08/2025
Hostility toward homosexuality remains common in many of the world’s largest countries— This chart shows the share of people who say homosexuality cannot be justified across five of the world’s most populous countries. Together, these countries are home to nearly half of the global population.
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Dr Victoria Bateman @vnbateman.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Just four weeks to go until the publication of my new book #ECONOMICA: A Global History of Women, Wealth & Power @headlinebooks.bsky.social @hachetteuk.bsky.social on 28 August. It’s time to place women at the heart of economic history. #womenwealthpower #econhist
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
This figure shows the percent of political science articles that at least have a reproduction archive. {a pretty low bar in and of itself, but still} Steady improvement, but still a long way to go!
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Felix Kersting @felixkersting.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Finally out in print: Testing Marx, with @charlottebartels.bsky.social and Niko Wolf! History of thought with numbers. Have a look: direct.mit.edu/rest/article... (open access)
direct.mit.edu
Testing Marx: Capital Accumulation, Income Inequality, and Socialism in Late Nineteenth-Century Germany
Abstract. We study the dynamics of capital accumulation, income inequality, capital concentration, and voting up to 1914. Based on new panel data for Prussian regions, we reevaluate the famous revisio...
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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
Deadline tomorrow for the “New Economic History of Brazil” conference in September. Come join us in the historical district of Belém in Lisboa! Details: nofuturepast.wordpress.com/2025/01/17/c...
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STICERD & CASE @ LSE @lse-sticerd-case.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
"Justices of the Peace: Legal Foundations of the Industrial Revolution" New @cepr.org discussion paper by Tim Besley, Dan Bogart, Jonathan Chapman, and @nunopgpalma.bsky.social cepr.org/publications...
cepr.org
DP20214 Justices of the Peace: Legal Foundations of the Industrial Revolution
We show that state legal capacity contributed to economic development during the Industrial Revolution. The British parliament relied on local magistrates, known as Justices of the Peace (JPs), to enforce property rights, resolve disputes, and administer public services. Areas with greater legal capacity – more JPs – in 1700 experienced greater population growth and structural change over 140 years. More legal capacity also led to more human capital, fiscal capacity, and infrastructure development. Plausibly exogenous variation in the location of JPs supports a causal interpretation of the findings. These results illustrate the importance of street-level legal institutions for economic outcomes.
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Thilo N. H. Albers @thiloalbers.bsky.social · 17/05/2025
We are looking to hire post-doc interested in working on migration, citizenship, and diaspora. Come join us in Münster! Generous contract + no teaching for 2 years. Many details and link to job add here: sites.google.com/site/tnhalbe... Please PM me incase you have questions!
sites.google.com
Thilo N. H. Albers - Job ads
2 years postdoc with a thematic focus on Migration, Diaspora, Citizenship
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Sheilagh Ogilvie @sheilaghogilvie.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
A pleasure to talk about serfdom and my Leverhulme project yesterday at the Arthur Lewis Lab for Comparative Development. @oxford-esh.bsky.social @arthurlewislab.bsky.social @leverhulme.ac.uk #echist
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
How did local legal institutions power the British Industrial Revolution? In a new working paper (with Tim Besley, Dan Bogart, and Jonathan Chapman @jnchapman-econ.bsky.social, we show that Justices of the Peace — magistrates acting locally — were a quiet engine behind modern economic growth. 🧵👇1/7
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
“Among articles stating that data was available upon request, only 17% shared data upon request.”
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Join the Lewis Lab as a predoc for 2 years! 👇🏼 www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
jobs.manchester.ac.uk
Research Assistant - Arthur Lewis Lab for Comparative Development:Manchester
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Centre for Economic Policy Research @cepr.org · 23/04/2025
30 Apr @17:00 CEST The International Macro History Online Seminar Series #IMHOS 🗣️Jonathan Chapman presents 'Justices of the Peace: Legal Foundations of the Industrial Revolution' Chair: Steven Pincus ✍️ cepr.org/events/inter... #EconSky
The International Macroeconomic History Online Seminar Series, jointly organised by the Graduate Institute's Centre for Finance and Development, Centre for Economic Policy Research and a consortium of numerous other universities and institutions from around the world, aims to keep the flow of intellectual debate active and to bring macroeconomic history topics to an interested public on a regular basis.

30 April 2025: Jonathan Chapman (University of Bologna) with Tim Besley (LSE and CEPR), Dan Bogart (UC Irvine), Nuno Palma (University of Manchester and CEPR) 'Justices of the Peace: Legal Foundations of the Industrial Revolution'. 

Chair: Steven Pincus (The University of Chicago).
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King's QPE @kingsqpe.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
Happy to host @nunopgpalma.bsky.social (University of Manchester) this Wednesday (April 16) for a seminar! Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐅𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐮𝐫𝐞: 𝐀 𝐅𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚, 𝟏𝟖𝟓𝟎-𝟏𝟗𝟒𝟗 New paper by H. Guan, @kivanckaraman.bsky.social, Z. Xu and myself. This period in Chinese history is commonly referred to as the “Century of Humiliation” (百年国耻).
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
𝗦𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝗽𝗮𝗰𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗲𝘅𝗲𝗰𝘂𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗹𝘆 𝗺𝗼𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲 New paper by K. Karaman, A. Henriques, & myself. Contrary to conventional wisdom we find that constrained government & state capacity were not systematically related. England stood out for combining both which helps explain its take-off
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Felix Kersting @felixkersting.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Thanks a lot to the @resmedia.bsky.social and all people who supported us write this article. We feel honored and grateful for this prize. Article available here: bit.ly/42jVotD (open access)
bit.ly
Trade Shocks, Labour Markets and Migration in the First Globalisation
Abstract. This paper studies the economic and political effects of a large trade shock in agriculture—the grain invasion from the Americas—in Prussia durin
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Sheilagh Ogilvie @sheilaghogilvie.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
JOB OPPORTUNITY: Associate Professorship in Economic and Social History, Faculty of History and All Souls College, Oxford. Deadline for applications 23 April 2025. @oxford-esh.bsky.social @oxhistoryfaculty.bsky.social my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...
my.corehr.com
Job Details
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
Predoc opportunity available! Arthur Lewis Lab Predoctoral Fellow, The Arthur Lewis Lab for Comparative Development, University of Manchester. 2 year position to be announced soon. In the meanwhile, informal enquiries / expressions of interest can be sent to Nuno Palma (by email, please.)
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Nuno Palma @nunopgpalma.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Apply to join us as a Lecturer (Assistant Professor) in the Economics Department at the University of Manchester. Join our team at the Arthur Lewis Lab for Comparative Development! Deadline in only 2 weeks (March 27), but we do not have an internal candidate! Join us! Application instructions below👇🏼
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The European Historical Economics Society @theehes.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
New paper "Anatomy of a premodern state" By L. F. Costa, A. Henriques and N. Palma (@nunopgpalma.bsky.social) doi.org/10.1093/ereh...
doi.org
Anatomy of a premodern state
Abstract. We provide a blueprint for constructing measures of state capacity in premodern states, offering several advantages over the current state of the
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Matthias Doepke @mdoepke.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
I am opening a postdoc position connected to the FamilyMacro research project at the LSE. This is a one-year position that could be extended for two more years. If interested, please contact me! #EconSky @cfmuk.bsky.social jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
Research Officer (Centre for Macroeconomics)
Research Officer (Centre for Macroeconomics), , <p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></em></p> <p style="text...
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François R. Velde @fvelde.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
The birth of coinage - c650BC, five consecutive denominations (each half of the one on the left). Lydian coins, 55% gold and 45% silver. The one on the right weighs 0.3g and could probably buy a few sheep. Not quite small change…
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Luis Garicano @lugaricano.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
This Draghi piece is a quiet indictment on the @EUCommission's failure on its core Treaty mandate: "establishing the internal market" & ensuring "free movement of goods, persons, services and capital." His facts are devastating. A thread summarizing them and drawing some consequences. 1/
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Daniel Oto-Peralías @otoperalias.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
🚨🚨🚨 📣 ESTAMOS CONTRATANDO 📣 🚨🚨🚨 👇👇
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