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Reposted by Martin Vinæs Larsen

Björn Bremer @bjoernbremer.bsky.social · 27/11/2025

With housing affordability becoming one of the most pressing challenges today, our new PPRNet research briefs couldn't be more timely. 8 expert analyses on what progressive housing policy should look like—and how to make it politically viable. politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...

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Marc Sabatier Hvidkjær @marchvidkjaer.bsky.social · 18/08/2025

"Political Representation Gaps and Populism" has been making waves on twitter after being featured on Marginal Revolution Using data on local politicians (N=9000) + voters (N=28.000) from my article in Politica with @mvinaes.bsky.social in Denmark, this does not seem to be the case.

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Perspectives on Politics @poppublicsphere.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!! "Reassessing the Impact of Local Control: When Smaller #Local #Governments Permit More #Housing" By @mvinaes.bsky.social‬ & @laurakettel.bsky.social‬ doi.org/10.1017/S153...

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Laura Kettel @laurakettel.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

📣New publication! Out in Perspectives on Politics Reassessing the Impact of Local Control: When Smaller Local Governments Permit More Housing Coauthored w/ @mvinaes.bsky.social 👉 doi.org/10.1017/S153... We study the effect of a municipal reform in DK: 🏘️ What happens to housing supply? ⤵️ (1/2)

doi.org

Reassessing the Impact of Local Control: When Smaller Local Governments Permit More Housing | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core

Reassessing the Impact of Local Control: When Smaller Local Governments Permit More Housing

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Frederik Hjorth @fghjorth.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

How do challenger parties—those without prior governing experience—gain access to executive power? In our paper out now in @thejop.bsky.social, @mvinaes.bsky.social, @jacobnyrup.bsky.social, and I explore whether simply holding legislative office helps them join government. Brief 🧵👇 1/10

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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 07/03/2025

‪Very happy to see 𝙍𝙚𝙞𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙞𝙣 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙍𝙖𝙨𝙘𝙖𝙡𝙨 out in the @thejop.bsky.social co-authored with @fghjorth.bsky.social & @mvinaes.bsky.social: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... We use a RDD to show that legislative incumbency makes - often extreme - challenger parties more likely to gain power.

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jesperrasmussen.bsky.social @jesperrasmussen.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

🚨 Investing in citizens' competences through actionable communication from health authorities decreases misinformation sharing during a pandemic. Coauthored with @lindekilde.bsky.social & @m-b-petersen.bsky.social in @jepsjournal.bsky.social PAPER: bit.ly/3UuKZJb

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

Now, the opposition have a hard time signaling accommodation, bc it might get read as cheap talk. But if Scholz went full Frederiksen in office, I think restrictionist immmigration voters would notice. He would also scare of some voters to the greens etc., so effect on SPD prospects hard to say.

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

Thanks for a great write-up. Also helped me think about where I disagree with the party politics literature here. I don’t think niche parties have a lock on their issue, and most voters are not single issue. So accommodation, if credible, works.

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

Ford, Bush og Trump benådede politisk allierede der havde begået kriminalitet for at hjælpe det Republikanske parti. Altså mere cute at benåde sin søn!

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

Derudover er der gode argumenter for at benåde Hunter. He was cooked!

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

Det vist ikke noget nyt. Alle Amerikanske præsidenter (måske undtagen Obama) benåder vennerne på vej ud af døren.

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

Trump, som jo skal være præsident, har jo gjort og vil gøre langt værre ting end at benåde Hunter Biden. Måske skal vi fokusere på det?

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Sam @samd.bsky.social · 30/11/2024

it’s fascinating that left-NIMBYs will just nonchalantly say “the private sector will never release enough homes to allow prices to fall” as if it’s some universally known truth… when in reality, that’s exactly what happened in Austin and Minneapolis

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

Starter packs seem bad. Whats the incentive for posting well?

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Ofc this is the much worse categorization.

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Ofc this is the much worse categorization.

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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 23/11/2024

It looks the House popular vote margin will be ~3%, almost exactly the same as 2022. The seat count will also be very close to unchanged. House Republicans also again outperformed Trump (& Senate Republicans). www.cookpolitical.com/vote-tracker...

cookpolitical.com

2024 House Vote Tracker

!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var t in a.data["datawrapper-height"])fo...

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Bruno Castanho Silva @bcastanho.bsky.social · 20/11/2024

Inspired by @dtoshkov.bsky.social and the upcoming conference abstract season, types of EPSA papers

Meme with titles of papers that sound like things people present at epsa conferences, such as fancy models to tell left parties are left wing and right parties are right wing or finding that tomato consumption predicts radical right support (but very well casually identified!!)

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 08/11/2023

haha... er det dig der har lavet det billede?

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 08/11/2023

Kan findes her: www.martinvlarsen.com/s/Housing_Po...

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OleF @olefrank.bsky.social · 01/11/2023

Tillykke @mvinaes.bsky.social med prisen! ps.au.dk/aktuelt/nyhe... Det er godt gået - og så er der bare swung over det foto. 😀

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

In terms of the US debate, we can of course not be sure that our results travel. In fact, there might be good reasons for why they do not. However, the results should invite more nuanced reflections on whether local control can be harnessed as a force for more housebuilding. polisky

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

These results challenge the CW on whether local control drive the housing affordability crisis. At a minimum, our results have two implications. 1. Local control can *sometimes* lead to more housing. 2. Local control leads to more housing in DK by shaping city interest.

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

In line with this, we find that the effect is concentrated: *among jurisdictions which became physically much larger (area) *where tax base volatility was reduced *on permits where there is a large fiscal upside

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

We think this is because small local gov'ts are more inclined to use housebuilding to attract new taxpayers. For small muni's, it is easier to attract new tax payers (they are closer), and their tax base is more susceptible to negative shocks (e.g., on local employment).

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

But we find no sign of this! The municipalities that increased in jurisdiction size started to permit *much less market rate housing* after the reform, relative to the municipalities that did not increase in size. So why did less local control lead to fewer permits???

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

The reform in question markedly increased the jurisdiction size of some, but not all, local governments in Denmark. In the new, larger municipalities, we might have expected the political power of NIMBY homeowners to decline relative to the median voter or the growth machine.

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Martin Vinæs Larsen @mvinaes.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

⏰HOUSING AND LOCAL CONTROL⏰ Less local ctrl should translate into more housing, as the power of NIMBY activists wane. But in a new paper, Laura Kettel and I show that a reform that diluted local control over land use in Denmark lead to less housing??? osf.io/5adyg/

osf.io

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Dan Hopkins @dhopkins1776.bsky.social · 27/09/2023

👋New Working Paper 🧵 Will Halm, Krzysztof Krakowski, Nicholas Sambanis & I are releasing a new working paper: "Economic Strain Does Not Reduce Support for Ukrainian Refugees in Poland and Germany" URL: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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Jonathan S Doucette @jdoucette.bsky.social · 20/09/2023

What role did the Catholic Church play in European state formation? In our book, Jørgen Møller and I argue that the Church was the main engine behind external and internal political fragmentation in pre-modern Europe. 1/N

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