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Sam Dodini

@microsamonomics.bsky.social
738 followers 609 following 152 posts

Dallas Fed Economist, CESifo, IZA // Labor institutions, imperfect labor markets, public econ // Volleyball and music enthusiast Views my own

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Reposted by Sam Dodini
NBER @nber.org · 11/03/2026
A sudden decline in low-skilled immigrant workers in 2020 increased the exit of manufacturing firms in Korea and decreased wages of Korean workers, from Jongkwan Lee, Giovanni Peri, and Hee-Seung Yang www.nber.org/papers/w34927
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 11/03/2026
America's status as the top destination for global talent is being shattered. The Administration only just published (!) what happened last summer to international student visa issuances. It's grim. From the indispensable @karinfischer.bsky.social @chronicle.com —> chronicle.com/newsletter/l...
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Dane Owens @owendanes.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Pretty crazy how important the blockade of a trade route is right now
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Minor Spear Carrier @tyrellmayfield.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Anthropic: Hold my Democratic Lager. www.anthropic.com/news/stateme...
anthropic.com
Statement from Dario Amodei on our discussions with the Department of War
A statement from our CEO on national security uses of AI
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
"I say unto you, pray for your enemies."
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Emily Parker @emilyparker.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
📣 Hot off the press 📣 We document tremendous growth in U.S. federal place-based funding, show it has disproportionately gone to areas with more nonprofits & stronger housing markets, and find a pattern of cumulative advantage in funding among high-poverty neighborhoods. doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...
doi.org
Federal place-based policy and the geography of inequality in the United States, 1990–2019
Abstract. This paper assesses the growth and spatial distribution of federal place-based policies in the United States. Using a novel dataset of federal pl
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Jenny Schuetz @jennyschuetz.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
How should elected officials divine voters’ preferences about building more homes: through broad-based polls or the 12 people who show up at a community meeting on Tuesday night and yell for hours? Hard to say…
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
A strongly worded letter isn't gonna cut it.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
There is a lot more detail in the paper, including tests to rule out people's favorite alternative explanations. t.co/xObtAFPZOh
t.co
https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/17830/the-power-to-discriminate
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Greater labor market competition has an equalizing effect across workers & helps to reduce discrimination. But so does good information about where each worker stands in his/her true productivity--when employers don't rely on coarse proxies like demographic group.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
What stands out is that in the concentrated markets, the firms most likely to hire non-Western immigrants have managers who have more prior work experience with immigrants-those who know their productivity best! Another signal of *information* & beliefs being the culprit.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Second-generation immigrants don't experience the same discriminatory gaps. Neither do immigrants who have been in the country for ~20 years or immigrants from western Europe & the US.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
We use the richness of the data to rule out a bunch of other mechanisms like different job search, social networks, being hired at firms with immigrant managers, take-up of social programs, or sorting into different occupations. None of these explain the gaps.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
What's remarkable is that these gaps are there even when both workers are displaced from the same firm but then re-hired into the same firm! In other words, the immigrant is paid far less than his co-worker at the same company even when they were paid the same before the layoff!
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
By the 4th year after the layoff, gaps even in the most concentrated labor markets close, implying the discrimination is based on beliefs about the average productivity differences between immigrants & natives.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
So what kind of discrimination is this? Taste-based (prejudice/animus) or based on beliefs about their productivity (like statistical discrimination)? If tastes, there's not much reason for gaps between the workers to close. But beliefs can update over time & gaps will close.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Competition STRONGLY reduces discrimination among employers, but does not quite completely eliminate it (call it win for Becker). Next we measure if this is labor market power or product market power that matters. Looks like it's loading entirely on labor market power.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
We find fairly small discriminatory gaps between non-Western immigrants & other workers in competitive markets, but large gaps in concentrated (less-competitive) markets. At HHI=0.25 (~4 equally sized employers for that occupation) the immigrants earn 26% less!
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
We measure market competition by the concentration (HHI) of employment in the year their firm closure or mass layoff. 1=one single employer for everyone in that occupation in their city. We then track the gaps between the worker pairs as they search in a diff-in-diff setting.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Suddenly, their firm closes, & they are forced to look for a new job. Prior to the firm closing, the market valued their skills EXACTLY the same. Immigrant-native gaps after their search can tell us about discrimination--especially the difference between the two pairs.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Imagine you have four workers-2 immigrants & 2 natives working at the same firm doing the same job for the same pay. One pair (1 immigrant & 1 native) work in a city where there are lots of employers that will hire for their occupation. For the other, there are fewer employers.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Our context is Norway--long considered one of the most egalitarian societies in the world--and discrimination against immigrants from outside of 'the West.' If we can find discrimination there, it's likely to be in other places. So how do we investigate this?
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
iza.org/publications... A long history of economic theory says that sufficient competition should kill discrimination, but that's been mostly focused on product market competition. We look at the role of labor market competition in allowing for discrimination.
iza.org
The Power to Discriminate
This paper examines the relationship between labor market power and employer discrimination, providing new causal evidence on when and where discrimin...
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
🚨🚨 Does labor market discrimination drive economic gaps? Can market competition eliminate discrimination like economic theory suggests? What *kind* of discrimination are we talking about. In a new paper, Alex Willen & I explore the question. #Econsky
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Jeva Lange 🫎 @jeva.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Final_Version_of_Tarrifs_actualFINALcopy_version7_USETHISONE.docx
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
There is a lot more in the working paper! Human capital retention matters in strategic sectors like healthcare, so policies should reflect the balance between these priorities and public systems should be responsive to local economic conditions. www.iza.org/publications...
iza.org
The Fatal Consequences of Brain Drain
This paper examines the welfare consequences of reallocating high-skilled labor across borders. A labor demand shock in Norway—driven by a surge in oi...
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
So what happened in Norway? We are not able to detect any measurable effect of the incoming commuters on mortality events, physician retention, or other metrics in Norway. There appears to have been no offsetting gain in Norway.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
The effects hit hardest in areas with lower physician density before the commuting started. So the out-commuting of doctors increased inequality across classes and across places within Sweden.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
These illnesses are more likely to require emergency care. Guess which physicians were most likely to commute? High-skilled, young, generalists--those most likely to staff emergency departments.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
The effects are driven by lower-income people who are most dependent on the public healthcare system. The same is true for education, but the gradient is less steep. The effects are mostly drive by respiratory, infection, & circulatory illnesses.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
In a dose-response diff-in-diff, areas with lower baseline physician wages lost more doctors to commuting and had significant increases in their mortality rates, particularly people age 65+. 1 log point lower baseline earnings increased 65+ mortality by 3 per 1,000.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Places with lower physician earnings in 2003 saw the biggest increases in this 'out-commuting' of physicians. These municipalities lost a substantial amount of human capital--brain drain--but not due to permanent migration.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Doctors were unique though. While nearly everyone else who started commuting to Norway lived near the border, doctors started doing more frequent and longer short stints in Norway--weekends, full weeks, or even months on end--coming from all over Sweden.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
In 2004, wages in Norway started surging due to oil prices & major growth in labor demand. This made it highly attractive for Swedes to work in Norway. Suddenly, you could make nearly double your Swedish wage, and people responded! www.iza.org/publications...
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
🚨🚨 What happens when you take a bunch of human capital out of a local economy? Is brain drain a real thing? And what are the consequences? In a new paper, we shed light on this in the context of highly developed economies: Sweden and Norway. #Econsky
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Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 30/03/2025
As of Friday, there have been 46 cases in which federal judges have blocked Trump policies. The rulings in those cases have come from 39 different judges appointed by 5 different presidents (of both parties) to 11 different district courts across 7 different circuits. Maybe it's not the judges?
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John Bull @garius.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
"Don't Be a Sucker" by the US War Department (1947) The film follows a young American, drawn in by a speaker promising an end to jobs for minorities and removing foreigners. He encounters a Hungarian professor who explains this is how Nazis grab power for themselves. archive.org/details/Dont...
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AkivaMCohen @akivamcohen.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Alsupp issuing a PI from the bench. Finding that OPM engaged in sham terminations, claiming they were performance based in an attempt to avoid the procedural requirements of the Reduction in Force Act. Oh holy shit, quote in next post
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Case in point that just because a private sector firm was involved does not mean it has uncovered some sort of efficiency trick.
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John A. List @johnlist.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
Time is running out to apply to the Chicago School in Experimental Economics (CSEE) 2025! The first school will take place at the University of Bonn, September 7-11, and the second school will take place at the University of Chicago, September 13-17.
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Kyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
NEW: President Trump moved Tuesday to punish a law firm for providing pro bono legal services to Jack Smith as he prepared to face a potential investigation from the Trump administration. He is stripping security clearnces and govt funding from the firm. www.politico.com/news/2025/02...
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
The degree to which this administration is driven by revenge cannot be understated.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
"Too Black for the Moment" sounds like an amazing album title.
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mweinstock.bsky.social @mweinstock.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
Portuguese editorial cartoonist Zez Vaz reaches back to Tiananmen Square to call on American defiance.
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Diane Swonk @dianeswonk.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
The world is flooded by uncertainty; it now exceeds the peak hit during the pandemic in 2020. Stunning. 🥶
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
These are interesting puzzles to be worked out & hold lessons for the US. I personally don't think "everyone can be Nordic" in their systems. The US, for example, is just not a 'high trust' society. How much Nordic features can or should work elsewhere is an important question.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
One other surprise-- Nordic wealth is actually highly concentrated! Are firm owners gaining profits by depressing the wages of the highest skilled? Also might be! In my work, Norwegian manufacturing unions tend to marginally increase the profits of larger & more productive firms.
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
The flipside is that more egalitarian wage distributions MIGHT put pressure on firms to innovate around high labor costs. My work on Norwegian unions in manufacturing implies some productivity increases. Hard to say on a macro scale!
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Sam Dodini @microsamonomics.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
These lower returns lessen the incentive to innovate because of lower rewards. So do the Nordics "free-ride" on the innovations of more liberal economies like the US? Maybe! We just don't have great evidence either way.
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