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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Full descriptions (incl more panels): www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/aus... Submission info: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/aus... Submissions in English are welcome!

dvpw.de

Panel Abstracts

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Causal Inference with Observational Data Advances in Survey-Experimental Research Text as Data in the Age of Generative AI Linking Data to Study Democratic Challenges The Future of Measuring Democracy Climate Change Communication on Social Media Political Theory in Times of Crises Submit 🧵👇

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

📢 Call for papers for several panels associated with the @dvpw.bsky.social Methods section for the 2027 conference in Leipzig on causal inference, survey experiments, text as data & AI, measuring democracy, data on democratic challenges, climate communication & tools for theory 📆31/10/26 Panels 🧵👇

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Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

How does the American partisan divide influence support for Ukraine? In POQ, Rudolph finds that support for Ukraine among Republicans is lower than among Democrats, and support among conservative Republicans is particularly cost-averse. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

One day left to apply! Join us @uni-konstanz.de as #PhD researcher on Electoral Behavior, Inequality and Climate Change Policies stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/d... #AcademicJobs

stellen.uni-konstanz.de

Doctoral Researcher in Electoral Behavior, Inequality, and Climate Change Policies

Deadline: July 5th, 2026

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

📢 Open call for two additional contributions to our Special Issue "Methodological Advances for the Study of German Politics" @pvs-journal.bsky.social. 📄 Submit by July 12: www.sosci.uni-hamburg.de/pvs/ ℹ️ www.dvpw.de/gliederung/s... @gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

Screenshot of the announcement page for the PVS Special Issue 2027, Methodological Advances for the Study of German Politics. The page introduces the open call for up to two additional contributions, summarizes the scope of the special issue, and outlines the methodological focus on contemporary German politics.

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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 24/06/2026

#OpenAccess from @jepsjournal.bsky.social - Vignette Experiments Can Replicate Actual Behavioral Intent and Partly Actual Behavior: Panel Evidence on Environmental Migration from Bangladesh - cup.org/4oNQb8z - @lukrudolph.bsky.social #FirstView

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

📢 #PhD Researcher at the #PoliticalScience Department & Inequality-Cluster @uni-konstanz.de Apply by July 5 to join our @dfg.de funded team researching citizens' demand for representation amidst Green Transition infrastructure conflict #AcademicJobs Call: stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/d...

stellen.uni-konstanz.de

Doctoral Researcher in Electoral Behavior, Inequality, and Climate Change Policies

Deadline: July 5th, 2026

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

I thank the editors, excellent reviewers, Thomas Bernauer (@eth.ch), @mattomildenberger.bsky.social , and @phanxi.bsky.social for feedback, and @bafu.admin.ch for funding within the Swiss Environmental Panel.

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

Out in Climatic Change: I show that major emitters defecting from their Paris obligations lowers citizens' support for ratcheting up climate policy - especially when citizens fear economic Green Transition costs. Likely, Trump's withdrawal matters beyond the US. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

link.springer.com

Climate change policy preferences and foreign state behavior – survey experimental evidence on reciprocal defection - Climatic Change

The Paris Agreement emphasizes transparency over individual country targets and achievements as a coordination instrument for ‘ratcheting up’ global climate policy. Does free-riding of third countries...

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Out @thejop.bsky.social: measuring shocks like weather or immigrant exposure has vast researcher degrees of freedom. We (@phanxi.bsky.social) show: equally plausible measures diverge + yield spurious results. So, investigate the full set. For us, a null for climate opinion www.doi.org/10.1086/735706

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Thanks to @carlmc.bsky.social, Fabian Haggerty and Paul Thurner (@lmu.de) - and @dsfrieden.bsky.social for funding.

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Now out in @poqjournal.bsky.social: I show that both Democrats and (even strong) Republicans care relevantly about Ukraine's defense - indicating low polarization once citizens consider trade-offs in foreign policy, tying the hands of the current administration to the extent it counts the public in.

academic.oup.com

Is There a Partisan Divide in Citizens’ Preferences on Ukraine Support? Survey-Experimental Evidence from the US

Abstract. Models of democratic responsiveness imply that consistent US foreign policy is furthered by bipartisan agreement on core US strategy. A broad lit

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 17/03/2026

How do rural host communities respond to environmental migrants? With @linus-hormuth.bsky.social, @the-free-heart.bsky.social & V. Koubi (@ethz.ch), we show for a Global South context and with visual conjoint experiments that deservigness matters -- now in Comm. Earth & Environment: rdcu.be/e8Czw

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

Looking forward to a surely insightful talk by @moritz-marbach.com today on "Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes" at the Center for Data and Methods Colloquium @uni-konstanz.de. Join at 12.00-13.00 (D351) if you are around. Read his paper here: osf.io/pq3bd

osf.io

OSF

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

Great that German public broadcasting reports on our new study (with F. Haggerty/P. Thurner) in Nature Communications, "Examining public support for Ukraine's defense against autocratic aggression" -- listen in here: www.br.de/radio/live/b... (in German). Thanks to Jan Kerckhoff for the interview.

br.de

Bayern 2 | Bayern 2 Die Welt am Abend

Politik Gesellschaft Wissenschaft 17.23 Werbung 17.30 / 18.30 Nachrichten um halb, Wetter, Verkehr 17.53 Das Wirtschaftsgespräch 18.00 Nachrichten, Wetter, Verkehr 18.15 Wissenschaft schnell erzählt ...

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

Just out in Nature Communications: "Examining public support for Ukraine’s defense against autocratic aggression". With F. Haggerty and P. Thurner, we show that Western citizens back Ukraine’s fight, but moral and strategic concerns, as well as internal divisions, impose restraints. rdcu.be/eYKAr

doi.org

Client Challenge

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GESIS Training @gesistraining.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

📣 New month, new chances! Explore our latest #GESISworkshop: "Introduction to Conjoint Survey Experiments" with @phanxi.bsky.social & @lukrudolph.bsky.social Register Now! ➡️ t1p.de/WebTrackingD... Our entire workshop program at gesis.org/workshops

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 24/11/2025

⏰ Two weeks left to apply for SekMethoden 2026 — the annual meeting of the DVPW Section "Methods of Political Science"! ⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal. @gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 03/11/2025

🚨 CfP: SekMethoden 2026 🗓️ March 12-13, 2026 🗺️ Hannover, Germany ⏰ DL Dec 07, 2025 👉 Apply here: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/sekmethoden2... 👥 @gessler.bsky.social, @lukrudolph.bsky.social, @donyhu.bsky.social, Jona Baumert, Morten Harmening and I look forward to your submissions!

A screenshot of the CfP for SekMethoden 2026

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

We thank @aklin.bsky.social, @retobuergisser.bsky.social, T. Shibaike, A. Uji and @epgonline.bsky.social / EPG / EPSA participants for comments and the Swiss Federal Ministry of the Environment for funding.

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

Together, NIMBYism of residents who feel they face localized negative consequences of 5G antennas in their immediate vicinity, and a large share of citizens against this technology on principled terms can help account for the strong contestation of 5G in Switzerland at the time of our survey.

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

Especially those in close proximity to antennas exhibit NIMBYism. This tendency is, against our expectations, stronger among those ex ante positively inclined toward 5G in principle. In additional experiments, we show that proximate respondents have a high willingness to pay for tangible opposition.

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

We draw on a survey experiment in which we reveal maps with real-world, household-specific information on 5G antenna placement to a random set of Swiss residents. Survey respondents were previously largely unaware of antenna locations, and relevantly increase worry for proximity under treatment.

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Lukas Rudolph @lukrudolph.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Great the media is picking our paper up, indeed (also at tagesschau.de, see www.tagesschau.de/inland/regio... ). Find our paper (with @aleininger.bsky.social) online at JOP @thejop.bsky.social via www.doi.org/10.1086/732945

journals.uchicago.edu

University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent

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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Nice to see my paper with @lukrudolph.bsky.social "Can Individual MPs Damage Their Party’s Brand? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Public Procurement Corruption Scandal" receive some attention in 🇩🇪 media. www.mdr.de/wissen/psych...

mdr.de

Maskenaffäre führte zum Verlust von Wählerstimmen | MDR.DE

Schaden Skandale Politikern und ihren Parteien? Angesichts einiger Wahlerfolge der letzten Zeit mag man daran zweifeln. Zwei Wissenschaftler der Unis in Chemnitz und Konstanz haben sich die Frage gena...

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Franziska Quoß @phanxi.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

📢 Our latest research (with L. Rudolph, @uni-konstanz.de) on operationalizing natural experiments, particularly extreme weather, has just been accepted @thejop.bsky.social 🌦️Natural experiments offer a unique way to analyze causal effects in real-world settings. But operationalization is often messy:

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GESIS Training @gesistraining.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Need causal insights into how people make decisions? Conjoint survey experiments let you unpack complex choices in realistic settings. Learn to design, implement, and analyze them in our #GESISsummerschool course with @phanxi.bsky.social & Lukas Rudolph. Book Now ➡️ t1p.de/GSS25-C6

GESIS Summer School in Survey Methodolgy
Introduction to Conjoint Survey Experiments
04 to 08 August | Cologne
Franziska Quoß (GESIS) & Lukas Rudolph (University of Konstanz)

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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 08/05/2025

New 📰: In "Can Individual MPs Damage Their Party’s Brand? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Public Procurement Corruption Scandal" out in @thejop.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social and I show that the "mask affair" cost the CDU 4%-points in elections. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... 1/

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