iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

Spent a lucky last few days trying to model how trees grow ... What to do when a hierarchical GP is not enough for all the behaviours?

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Benjamin Cook @dustybowl.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Not be Alarmist(TM), but this seems pretty bad!

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 18/12/2025

What a journey! Check out Christophe's great post as he wraps up a 2 year (!!) MSc experiment.

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

Really appreciating the amazing diversity that BES has found to help us solve the biodiversity crisis. What the...? #BES2025

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 29/10/2025

A few sponsored registrations are still available for black, indigenous people of color in high-income countries or those from low and middle-income countries. Check out the course page for details and contact me if you're interested.

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 04/11/2025

Wednesday, December 10! Bayesian regression modeling! Stan exercises! Raising money for World Central Kitchen and United Farm Workers! betanalpha.github.io/courses/!

A slide with the text “This predictive task then motivates a natural variate-covariate decomposition of the full Bayesian model.” followed by equations for the six possible conditional decompositions of the probabilistic model p(y, x, theta). The conditional decomposition

p( y, x, theta ) = p( y | x, theta ) p( x | theta ) p( theta )

is highlighted.

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 21/10/2025

Not all graphical models are the same. Join us in December to dig into the probabilistic modeling structure of Bayesian regression analysis while raising money for World Central Kitchen and United Farm Workers. For details on the course and how to register check out betanalpha.github.io/courses/.

The Geordi LaForge meme demonstrating hesitation for a conventional “causal” direct graphical model, showing only observed variables and unobserved confounders, and enthusiasm for a directed graphical model that represents a full joint probabilistic model including all observed variables and all latent/unobserved variables.

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Temporal Ecology Lab @temporalecology.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

Our department at UBC is hiring for a professor of forest ecophysiology, including "tree ecophysiology; plant abiotic or biotic stress physiology; forest mortality and climate change responses; forest carbon balance; tree water relations; or nutrient use." Learn more at: tinyurl.com/5da56f5c

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 07/07/2025

Thanks to @betanalpha.bsky.social @vvandermeersch.bsky.social and Janneke Hille Ris Lambers for a fun day discussing how trees grow at Mount Rainier in Mount Rainier NP to round out June! And to all of them plus Mao and Avery for more math at UW (see gcecology.tumblr.com/post/7877335...).

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 07/07/2025

Ask an ecologist! Okay, maybe not the one on the left, but the other two look good for it (including @vvandermeersch.bsky.social).

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 20/06/2025

Cool new work by @vvandermeersch.bsky.social in PNAS, which he mostly did in a short visit to my lab last summer (no pressure future visitors!). This paper continues the theme that my expectations are often wrong. (But I still question if plants can sense the second derivative of photoperiod.)

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Shawn Milrad @shawnmilrad.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

In non-WW3 news, new paper alert! Or what I did on my Norwegian sabbatical. Humid heat trends in Europe: Pretty bad! But unlike Southeast US, temperature increases (in part driven by fewer clouds) are the main cause, not dewpoint increases. rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

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Victor Van der Meersch @vvandermeersch.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Several recent studies suggest the summer solstice might act as a universal cue for key plant processes. But why would the longest day of the year be so important? Our new study in @pnas.org sheds some light on this question ⏬ www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social

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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 10/06/2025

I just published an explainer on aerosols and their role in the climate that I've been working on for the past few months! It includes both how aerosols work, how emissions have changed, and how thats driven recent warming: www.carbonbrief.org/...

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Interested in comprehensive courses on Bayesian mixture, survival, pairwise comparison (Bradley-Terry, IRT, etc), and ordinal outcome modeling, complete with extensive Stan exercises? Check out my upcoming remote courses, www.eventzilla.net/e/advanced-b....

eventzilla.net

Advanced Bayesian Modeling In Stan

Despite the promise of big data, inferences are often limited not by the size of data but rather by…

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Dr. Dawn Wright @deepseadawn.bsky.social · 25/05/2025

My personal essay: "A Different Kind Uncertainty" speaking out on the grave implications of the destruction of US science (including for GIS users). Yea verily, these are far from normal times .... dusk.geo.orst.edu/uncertainty.... #GISchat #geogchat #geosky ⚒️ 🌊 🌍 🌎 🌏

Photograph of several people overlaying their hands in solidarity. I use this photo in the accompanying essay's section on "getting into community" as a great way to keep our spirits up, reenergize, and move forward—together!

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 24/05/2025

This is important work Ben, thank you for your efforts.

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 11/05/2025

While I am excited about hearing Bara Bada Bastu next weekend at Eurovision, I want to be clear about what is really good music: www.youtube.com/watch?v=dx1z...

youtube.com

HOW and WHY were Queen SO good at Live Aid in 1985?

YouTube video by Wings of Pegasus

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Erich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 01/05/2025

@wimthiery.bsky.social presenting our new paper "Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes" at #EGU25. Stay tuned for the paper led by Luke Grant, @innevanderkelen.bsky.social, @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social, @lukasgudmundsson.bsky.social published on 8 May.

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

Did Dartmouth miss the memo on signing onto this: www.aacu.org/newsroom/a-c... ? It's weird, all the other schools I know (and all the Ivy League schools) seemed to have received the memo.

aacu.org

A Call for Constructive Engagement | AAC&U

A Call for Constructive Engagement

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 26/04/2025

GISS does incredible science for the world; cancelling the lease on the building they are in (with no place for staff to go) will cost us all.

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lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social @lizzieinvancouver.bsky.social · 11/04/2025

Happy Friday everyone. In you missed the new acoustic version of Sweden's Eurovision entry this week, it's pretty great: www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9eY...

youtube.com

KAJ - Bara Bada Bastu (Live & Unplugged) | Sweden 🇸🇪 | #EurovisionALBM

YouTube video by Eurovision Song Contest

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Michael "Shapes Dude" Betancourt @betanalpha.bsky.social · 20/03/2025

Hot off the presses: this year I am offering four brand new remote courses covering more advanced Bayesian modeling techniques: mixture modeling, survival modeling, pairwise comparison modeling, and ordinal modeling, www.eventzilla.net/e/advanced-b.... Tell your friends, colleagues, and frenemies.

eventzilla.net

Advanced Bayesian Modeling In Stan

Despite the promise of big data, inferences are often limited not by the size of data but rather by…

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