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VoteHub @votehub.com · 04/10/2026

South Dakota U.S. Senate Our polls+fundamentals model (pictured below) moved from to Solid R → Likely R. Our forecasted margin is R+14.3 in our Complete model and R+12.1 in our Legacy model.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026

NEW — Florida Democratic gubernatorial nominee David Jolly says he would consider a mid-decade congressional redraw if elected, arguing Democrats could “claw back four or six congressional seats,” per @politico.com.

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Lil A 🐴💙 @lilatheofficial.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026

Rob Sand has led every poll of the Iowa governor’s race this year, with the three most recent showing him ahead by 12, 9, and 11 points. VoteHub rates the race Lean D, on the verge of Likely D as Sand’s win probability approaches 80%.

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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Kansas has 4 former, living GOP governors. Two have now endorsed Adam Hamilton, the Dem, for Senate. Mike Hayden just penned this oped in the Kansas City Star this morning; Adam Graves had done the same last month.

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The Tennessee Holler @thetnholler.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

TRUMP VOTER: “Trump is a bald-faced liar. That's all I can say nicely… I was planning to retire, and I went back to work just to cover my insurance, my gas, and the price of food that keeps going up.”

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 01/10/2026

RACE RATING CHANGE: VA-01 🔴 Tilt R → 🟡 Tossup Shannon Taylor’s chances of unseating incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman have risen enough to move the race into tossup territory in our forecast. A Taylor victory would be a 🔴→🔵 flip.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 01/10/2026

Virginia Early Voting 8.8% of expected ballots cast: 2024 Result: 🔵 Harris +5.8 Projected 2026 Electorate: 🔵 Harris +10.4 The current model gives Democrats an estimated 4.6-point boost from 2024. This will update as more ballots are cast.

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@GottaLaff @gottalaff.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

VOTE EARLY #Alaska

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 01/10/2026

RACE RATING CHANGE: Alaska Senate Tilt D → Lean D Mary Peltola’s chances of defeating Sen. Dan Sullivan have climbed above 65% in our forecast. Alaska is a critical piece of Democrats’ path to a Senate majority and a potential 🔴→🔵 flip.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 30/09/2026

Alaska 0.0% of Ballots Cast: Actual 2024 Result: 🔴 Trump +13.1 Projected 2026 Electorate: 🔴 Trump +10.5

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 30/09/2026

NEW — House Speaker Mike Johnson is campaigning in California for Republican congressional candidates, including Rep. David Valadao, as the GOP works to retain House control. Our forecast rates CA-22 Likely D, with Randy Villegas at an 82% chance to defeat Valadao in this Trump +2 district.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 30/09/2026

End of Quarter Net Trump Approval Q1 2025: 🔴 +2.1 Q2 2025: 🔴 +6.7 Q3 2025: 🔴 +10.0 Q4 2025: 🔴 +11.8 Q1 2026: 🔴 +16.0 Q2 2026: 🔴 +17.3 Q3 2026: 🔴 +23.3 Trump's net approval has decreased for seven quarters in a row.

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Lil A 🐴💙 @lilatheofficial.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I got my ballot today and I'm proud to say: I've officially voted all Democrats and my first time voted in the midterms at age 20 💙 GO OUT THERE AND VOTE EARLY!

static.klipy.com

Elmo Blue Fire Meme

ALT: Elmo Blue Fire Meme

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Angie Nixon @angieforfl.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Former Hialeah Mayor Raúl Martínez didn't vote for me at first. He didn't know me yet. Now he does, and we want the same things: more housing and better jobs. His math: a Republican who stays home offsets a vote. One who votes for me adds one. #AngieForFlorida

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

Kansas U.S. Senate candidate Adam Hamilton (D) tells @ms.now he would only serve two terms if elected. He would be 74 at the end of a second term.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

RATINGS CHANGE — VoteHub's forecast moves the Ohio U.S. Senate race to Lean Democratic, giving Democrat Sherrod Brown a 66% chance of winning. Trump won the state by 11 points in 2024.

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Lil A 🐴💙 @lilatheofficial.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I got my ballot today and I'm proud to say: I've officially voted all Democrats and my first time voted in the midterms at age 20 💙 GO OUT THERE AND VOTE EARLY!

static.klipy.com

Elmo Blue Fire Meme

ALT: Elmo Blue Fire Meme

911911

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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 29/09/2026

CNN: Anything you can do about Trump using taxpayer dollars for his new ad? DURBIN: I wish. I hope it's challenged in court. I think it's the only place to go.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is testing the waters for a potential 2028 Senate bid as she also weighs a presidential run, @axios.com reports. AOC is touring upstate New York, meeting with local officials and testing her appeal beyond New York City.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026

Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo (R) has a 57.4% chance of winning re-election over Aaron Ford (D) in our forecast. Looking at polls and fundamentals alone, Lombardo’s chances rise to 60%.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026

Florida 🍊 U.S. Senate Mail returns as of Sep 26, 2026 Modeled estimated votes so far: 🔵 Angie Nixon – 1,021 (65.7%) 🔴 Ashley Moody – 517 (33.3%) <1% of mail ballots requested have been cast; over 2M have been requested. We forecast a final contest margin of Moody +9.7.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026

Florida 🍊 Governor Mail returns as of Sep 26, 2026 Modeled estimated votes so far: 🔵 David Jolly – 1,051 (67.7%) 🔴 Byron Donalds – 486 (31.3%) <1% of mail ballots requested have been cast; over 2M have been requested. We forecast a final contest margin of Donalds +6.4.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026

RACE RATING CHANGE: CA-06 Likely D → Solid D Richard Pan’s chances of defeating Kevin Kiley in the redrawn Sacramento-area CA-06 have risen above 95% in our forecast.

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Lil A 🐴💙 @lilatheofficial.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

We're gonna keep talking about it! Period.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 27/09/2026

In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed (D) leads Mike Rogers (R) by 3.3 points in our Senate polling average. Rogers has led in just 1 of 9 polls conducted this month.

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Reposted by Lil A 🐴💙

VoteHub @votehub.com · 27/09/2026

House Democrats are preparing a sweeping oversight agenda if they win control of the House, with investigations focused on Trump, his family, and his administration, per @apnews.com. Potential probes span several committees; Democrats say impeachment of Trump or Cabinet officials is on the table.

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