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Álvaro Junquera

@junquera.bsky.social
291 followers 339 following 65 posts

Investigador postdoctoral (@bsc-cns.bsky.social). Student of labour markets, public policies, and methodology. Me apasiona el carnaval de Cádiz. ajunquera.github.io

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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
nrennie.rbind.io/blog/collabo...
nrennie.rbind.io
Collaborating on Quarto documents – Nicola Rennie
Collaborating on Quarto documents, particularly non-technical collaborators who don’t want or need to edit any code, is hard. This blog post outlines a few different options that might make it a littl...
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BSC-CNS @bsc-cns.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
💻 Join us for the Workshop on AI/ML Applied Methods in Computational Social Sciences & Humanities Research Bringing together scholars in computational social sciences & humanities, with sessions on political behaviour, digital platforms, LLM methods & AI for archeology. ⬇️⬇️
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
If you tell me you discuss this in your new book, I’ll buy it tomorrow :) It surprised me how forgotten Rehn’s ideas were when I was writing my dissertation
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Edmund Phelps has passed away, a very interesting economist who challenged long-lasting theories about unemployment and partnered John Rawls to operationalize brilliant philosophical ideas. I also loved to know about his passion for music
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Michael Knaus @mcknaus.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
NEW PAPER 🚨 "Causal Graphs for Conditional Parallel Trends" with @henripf.bsky.social It connects causal graphs and the modern Diff-in-Diff literature by introducing Δ-SWIGs as a graphical tool to reason about controls in DiD settings under standard additively separability assumptions. Thread 🧵
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Todo bien, Xavier, ampliando equipo! Espero que te vaya todo bien
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
🔥Job offer!! Buscamos anotadores para participar en proyectos de aplicación de aprendizaje profundo al análisis de políticas públicas. Idealmente, estudiantes de algún grado de ciencias sociales con alguna asignatura aprobada de Derecho Deadline: Monday, 11 May, 2026 www.bsc.es/join-us/fell...
bsc.es
208_26_CSSH_R0
Reference: 208_26_CSSH_R0 Job title: Annotator for Computational Social Sciences and Humanities (R0) About BSC The Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional d
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Maximilian Kasy @maxkasy.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
hoy en El Pais: elpais.com/tecnologia/2... PDF version: maxkasy.github.io/home/files/o...
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El BOE nuestro de cada día @elboenuestrodecadadia.es · 06/03/2026
Transferencia de competencias a Euskadi, según lo acordado, pasan a gestionar: - prestaciones familiares (boe.es/boe/dias/202...) - protección por desempleo (boe.es/boe/dias/202...) - seguro escolar (boe.es/boe/dias/202...)
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The R Foundation @r-foundation.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
We are responding to this call for evidence: ec.europa.eu/info/law/bet... Do you have concrete examples of the added value of #Rstats in the public or private sectors? Include the most important factors (risk, lock-in, security, innovation...) to assess the added value. Thanks!
ec.europa.eu
European Commission - Have your say
European Commission - Have your say
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BSC-CNS @bsc-cns.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
🌐BSC is proud to host the Dataverse Community Meeting 2026. This year’s theme is “Advancing data and dataverse: #AI, interoperability, and sensitive data”. ☑ The Call for papers is now open! bsc.es/4oC @dataverseorg.bsky.social I @iqss.bsky.social I @harvard.edu I @mercecrosas.bsky.social
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 25/12/2025
Me envían está triste noticia desde el otro lado del charco. Oscar me abrió las puertas de la Universidad de Buenos Aires y me regaló unos cuantos cafés inolvidables sobre la historia política de la Argentina. Una pena... www.clarin.com/economia/fal...
clarin.com
Falleció Oscar Cetrángolo, economista e investigador referente en temas fiscales
Hizo aportes en temas tributarios, previsión social, de coparticipación y salud. Era profesor emérito de la UBA e investigador del Conicet.
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
We're thrilled to open registration for our 1st 2026 Replication Games. The event will be at the University of Zurich on January 19th. Psych, public health, pol sci and econ studies will be reproduced! Register here: www.surveymonkey.ca/r/Replicatio...
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Challenges in Statistics: A Dozen Challenges in Causality and Causal Inference (Carlos Cinelli, Avi Feller, Guido Imbens, Edward Kennedy, Sara Magliacane & Jose Zubizarreta) arxiv.org/abs/2508.17099
arxiv.org
Challenges in Statistics: A Dozen Challenges in Causality and Causal Inference
Causality and causal inference have emerged as core research areas at the interface of modern statistics and domains including biomedical sciences, social sciences, computer science, and beyond. The f...
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
🎉 New article published in the Journal for Labour Market Research with Christoph Kern (@lmumuenchen.bsky.social)! We compare the current rule-based profiling model with various statistical models in terms of model discrimination and calibration labourmarketresearch.springeropen.com/articles/10....
labourmarketresearch.springeropen.com
From rules to forests: rule-based versus statistical models for jobseeker profiling - Journal for Labour Market Research
Public employment services (PES) commonly apply profiling models to target labor market programs to jobseekers at risk of becoming long-term unemployed. Such allocation systems often codify institutio...
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Causal inference needs experiments *and* theory: "Joel Mokyr (...) demonstrated that if innovations are to succeed one another in a self-generating process, we not only need to know that something works, but we also need to have scientific explanations for why" www.nobelprize.org/prizes/econo...
nobelprize.org
The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2025
The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2025 was awarded “for having explained innovation-driven economic growth” with one half to Joel Mokyr “for having identified ...
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 21/09/2025
"No ha sido el asombro, sino el fervor social surgido de los sórdidos callejones y la tristeza de las vidas marchitas lo que ha provocado la ciencia económica" (Arthur Pigou). Guau.
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Alejandro Godino @agodino.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
📙 Glad to share this new research with @junquera.bsky.social. 📊 We analyse how outsourcing affects time-related dimensions of job quality, focusing on temporary work, part-time contracts and scheduling in the facility management business. 📄 Chapter: lnkd.in/d9nB8Tzj 🔗 Book: lnkd.in/dsfuK6uW
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
One of the greatest beauties/difficulties of economics is the problem of being a system and its dynamics: multiple pipes (direct, indirect, and induced effects) and different forces (structural causal models) at the long and short run. It makes me crazy
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
Never ask a guy using/teaching clustering about the robustness of results to slight changes in the distance metric, the pre-specified number of clusters or the geometrical shape of the clusters
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Christopher Mims @mims.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
The AI infrastructure build-out is so gigantic that in the past 6 months, it contributed more to the growth of the U.S. economy than /all of consumer spending/ The 'magnificent 7' spent more than $100 billion on data centers and the like in the past three months *alone* www.wsj.com/tech/ai/sili...
chart: capital expenditures, quarterly

shows hockey-stick like growth in the capex expenditures of Amazon, Microsoft, Google and meta, almost entirely on data centers

in the most recent quarter it was nearly $100 billion, collectively
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
"En el siglo XXI la divergencia en PTF con respecto a EE. UU. se explica principalmente por la debilidad de la productividad del capital en España, mientras que en el siglo XX la productividad del trabajo era la principal responsable de esta divergencia" www.fbbva.es/publicacione...
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
Sometimes a simple model is enough to describe the past (@davidautor.bsky.social in doi.org/10.1126/scie...)
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
OECD Employment Outlook 2025 - Can We Get Through the Demographic Crunch? www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
oecd.org
OECD Employment Outlook 2025
Population ageing is one of the megatrends shaping the future of societies and labour markets. The old-age dependency ratio – the ratio of individuals aged 65 and older to the working-age population –...
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Jueces haciendo inferencia causal estilo compadre
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Eso, concluye, “pone de manifiesto que la laboralización no ha entrañado ninguna pérdida de cuota de mercado por parte de Glovo”, si bien reconoce que el periodo analizado, de apenas medio año, tiene una significatividad estadística “reducida”, aunque pueda mostrar una tendencia."
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
"El juez considera que el cambio de marco laboral aplicado por Glovo desde diciembre de 2024, optando por la supresión paulatina de los falsos autónomos por otro modelo de contratación laboral no ha supuesto un cambio efectivo en las cuotas de mercado de ambas compañías. elpais.com/economia/202...
elpais.com
La justicia exime a Glovo de pagar casi 300 millones a Just Eat por competencia desleal
El juez carga contra “algún iluminado y omnisciente burócrata que parece gozar de un privilegiado acceso a la Verdad” para validar el modelo ‘riders’ falsos autónomos
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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Is working from home just a pandemic blip? Not according to the data. We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries. The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since 🧵
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
"After all, the NK model is composed of three equations, two of them obviously false as descriptions of reality (...) In short, it provides a common and generally understood structure from which to start and organize research and discussion."
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
From his recent paper on theoretical convergence in macro: "Is the minimalist model —say, the NK model developed by Jordi Gali in his book on monetary policy (2015)— better than the IS-LM model or its open-economy cousin, the Mundell-Fleming model?"
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
youtu.be/_xPDQ4fwTVY?...
youtu.be
Acceptance speech of Olivier Blanchard, 17th Frontiers of Knowledge Award in Economics and Finance
YouTube video by Fundación BBVA
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
Interesting website centralizing European alternatives for digital services european-alternatives.eu
european-alternatives.eu
Homepage | European Alternatives
We help you find European alternatives for digital service and products, like cloud services and SaaS products.
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Juan Luis Jiménez @juanluisjimenez.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
Recordemos que ACCIONA, junto a otras grandes constructoras de este país, han sido sancionadas por haber creado cárteles que amañaron concursos públicos. Resultado: colegios, carreteras, hospitales, asfaltados, etc. costaron más a los contribuyentes por el cartel. Breve hilo⬇️
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
Another cool moment with @alroth.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=r7vz...
youtube.com
Alvin Roth: How matching markets work
YouTube video by CORE Econ
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
It's truly pleasant to read The Economy 2.0 - Microeconomics. Although it is still defining market failures as Pareto-inefficiencies, it's cool it reflects Pareto-efficiency *and fairness* as two important criteria to evaluate allocations www.core-econ.org/the-economy/...
core-econ.org
5.3 Evaluating institutions and outcomes: Fairness
How institutions influence the fairness and efficiency of the outcomes that result when people interact in the economy
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The relations among three popular indices of risks
The relative risk, risk difference, and odds ratio are three major indices of differences in risks of diseases between different groups. Although widely used in research and practice in biomedical an...
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Gerard Reverté @guerau-rc.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
🧵 1/9 📊 Dades obertes del MITMS ens permeten saber quanta gent hi havia a cada municipi en cada moment. Mobilitat, esdeveniments, hàbits socials! 💡Periodistes i urbanistes: @elivivas.bsky.social @drxeo.eu @rogertugas.bsky.social @kikollan.llaneras.es 📍Exemples 👇
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Carol Hanisch's 1969 essay? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_per...
en.wikipedia.org
The personal is political - Wikipedia
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Nueva Conferencia Sectorial de Empleo y Asuntos Laborales. Lo positivo: financiación plurianual para las políticas activas de empleo. Lo negativo: seguimos con indicadores de desempeño que no dicen casi nada. www.lamoncloa.gob.es/serviciosdep...
lamoncloa.gob.es
Trabajo y Comunidades Autónomas acuerdan la distribución territorial de 2.571 millones de euros en Políticas Activas de Empleo en 2025
miércoles, 21 de mayo de 2025. Como novedad, se establecen los criterios de distribución de créditos para los ejercicios 2026, 2027, 2028 y 2029 para dar estabilidad a la ejecución de las políticas ac...
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Norm Matloff (你有冇諗清楚呀?) @matloff.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Most applications in R run pretty quickly. But these days, many R users are faced with huge datasets and/or long-running applications, making parallel computation attractive. 🧵 1/
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Sergio Torrejón @sergiotorrejon.com · 03/03/2025
📢 Book Alert! "Global Trends in Job Polarisation and Upgrading: A Comparison of Developed and Developing Economies" is out! Published by Palgrave Macmillan/ Springer, this volume examines global patterns of job creation at a global scale | 🔗 link.springer.com/book/10.1007... #EconSky #sociology
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
He visto el otro país En nuestros hijos mi amor En la tremenda ilusión De creérmelo, de creérmelo open.spotify.com/track/3sLGrh...
open.spotify.com
El Otro País
Teresa Parodi · Autobiografía · Song · 2007
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MIT Stone Center on Inequality and Shaping the Future of Work @mitshapingwork.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Co-director @davidautor.bsky.social explains key findings from his recent NBER working paper, co-authored with our research affiliate @profdaviddorn.bsky.social, Gordon Hanson, Maggie Jones, and Bradley Setzler. Read the paper: shapingwork.mit.edu/research/pla... #EconSky
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
ineapir: an R package to query statistical data from National Statistics Institute (INE Spain) github.com/es-ine/ineapir
github.com
GitHub - es-ine/ineapir: Obtaining data published by the National Statistics Institute
Obtaining data published by the National Statistics Institute - GitHub - es-ine/ineapir: Obtaining data published by the National Statistics Institute
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Tom Wallis @tsawallis.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
It's bonkers that in academic science we spend hours obsessing over the wording of a paper, but often only one person has seen the code that produced the results! 2/N
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
Estadística antes de Cristo (del artículo de Wikipedia sobre Moisés)
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Data Scientist = Person who is better at statistics than any software engineer and better at software engineering than any statistician (@spite.vc). Fair enough!
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MIT Stone Center on Inequality and Shaping the Future of Work @mitshapingwork.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Co-director @davidautor.bsky.social explains key insights from his recent QJE paper, which finds that 60% of the work we do today didn't exist in 1940. Read New Frontiers: The Origins and Content of New Work, 1940-2018: shapingwork.mit.edu/research/new... Full clip: youtu.be/A3-nEP1oyeA #EconSky
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Álvaro Junquera @junquera.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
I don't know why, but it reminded me of the plane of survivorship bias
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 18/03/2025
Nice comment on the state of measurement in psychology. People just keep piling on new constructs and new questionnaires. How can we clean up the mess that this creates? Feat. respectful operationalism and epistemic iteration
Psychology is fragmented into the study of a myriad of constructs and measures, most of which are used very rarely. This hinders cumulative knowledge generation. We call on the field to defragment psychology and prevent further fragmentation. We provide four key recommendations to achieve this and summarize the needed actions.

Psychological science consists of research on a myriad of constructs and measures. Research shows that tens of thousands of distinct constructs and measures have been proposed and many new ones are introduced each year, yet most (79%) are not reused more than twice1,2. Many measures are of unknown quality and are created ad hoc for the purposes of conducting substantive research, and little work is done to first establish validity. Psychological science is especially affected because our constructs are often nouns taken from everyday language, which tends to change over time; new nouns are introduced into language, providing new constructs to be measured.

We now have a deeply problematic, fragmented literature (Fig. 1; see Box 1 for glossary): there are confusing redundancies, so that constructs with different names have measures that cannot be empirically distinguished from one another (for example, ref. 3); and a lack of standardization with discrepancies that make the literature incomprehensible, such as when different measures of the same construct correlate very weakly, if at all, with each other (for example, ref. 4). Such fragmentation limits our ability to generate cumulative knowledge. ...
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