iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Josh Bailey @joshbailey.bsky.social · 08/05/2025

Interesting that Lutnick seems to have been lead on the UK deal but Bessent is driving the China engagement, with Greer working to both of them (Greer in the Oval with Lutnick now but also travelling to Geneva with Bessent).

000

Josh Bailey @joshbailey.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

March trade data shows tariffs rising even before April 2nd

020

Reposted by Josh Bailey

Archie Hall @archiehall.bsky.social · 05/03/2025

Feeling a lot of Brexit deja vu in how American businesses are talking about tariff risk, and the political uncertainty around it. Worth remembering how that ended up going for Britain...

173

Reposted by Josh Bailey

Dom White @domw.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

OK, so we got another move lower in the GDPNow forecast yesterday. One that was unrelated to the trade data, leaving the tracking estimate of personal consumption at zero growth in the first quarter. I'm still inclined to think this overstates how quickly the economy weakened. Some notes ...

15816

Reposted by Josh Bailey

Owen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

Should a waited a few hours to post this

0306

Reposted by Josh Bailey

Owen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · 28/02/2025

After the AfD's surge on Sunday, far right parties are the most voted-for of any grouping in Europe, for the first time in history: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

48639278

Reposted by Josh Bailey

Alex Selby-Boothroyd @alexselbyb.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

New achievement unlocked! Emilia Pérez is now IMDb's lowest-rated Best Picture nominee of all time, an honour it shares with In Old Arizona (1928)

Histogram showing distribution of IMDb ratings for Best Picture nominees

2103

Reposted by Josh Bailey

Kimberly Clausing @kclausing.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

In light of latest of steel/aluminum tariff threats, it's a good time to review the evidence. This work finds job losses in metals-using sectors outweigh job gains in metal sectors ~75 to 1. Steel Tariffs and U.S. Jobs Revisited econofact.org/steel-tariff... via @econofact.bsky.social

econofact.org

Steel Tariffs and U.S. Jobs Revisited | Econofact

The 2018 tariffs raised domestic steel prices, putting downstream U.S. manufacturing firms at a disadvantage relative to foreign competition.

18546

Reposted by Josh Bailey

Jón Steinsson 🗽 @jonsteinsson.bsky.social · 23/09/2023

I recently did some "level accounting" for a few European countries as part of an update of some teaching material. TFP in Europe has really collapsed relative to the US since 2000. Quite striking. (I "account" for differences in K/Y and hours per working-age person in this exercise.)

2174