Under a previous revision of the public charge rule, families with immigrant members pulled back from SNAP, TANF, and Medicaid even before the rule was enforced.

What is the 10-year Treasury yield? What role does it play in the economy? What determines it? And what (if anything) can the Treasury do to affect it?

Expected increases in electricity demand, as well as policies to support coal-fired electricity generation, are slowing or arresting the pace of coal’s decline.

Several states implemented total abortion bans following the Dobbs decision. Did the bans have an effect on the mental health of adolescent females?

Following a decade of dramatic growth, private-credit funds have come under stress, especially those with significant exposure to software companies.

A discussion with Doug Elmendorf on how US government debt became a problem, what this means for the broader economy, and what prospects there are for reducing it.

Housing affordability in the United States has declined markedly since the pandemic and spread beyond historically high-priced coastal cities.

A discussion of recent economic events with Binyamin Appelbaum (New York Times), Larry Edelman (Boston Globe), Scott Horsley (NPR), and Claire Jones (Financial Times).

A housing shortage problem has been building (or not, as the case maybe) for decades. But the pandemic took it to a whole new level.

Because of population aging, Social Security is projected to exhaust its ability to fund full retirement benefits in 2034; after that time, incoming revenues will only be sufficient to pay 77 % of sch...

The world produces enough food for all people to consume sufficient calories, but not healthy diets. Access to healthy diets varies by region.

Brexit has had a substantial economic impact on the United Kingdom, with adverse effects on investment, productivity, employment, and growth.

Executive Summary Social Security is a cornerstone of America's social safety net, providing retirement, survivor, and disability benefits to over 70 million Americans — approximately one in five peop...

The relatively short maturity structure of US government debt means that increases in interest rates translate rapidly into higher interest costs.

The rising ratio of old-age dependents to the working age population drives projections of increasing US federal debt over the next three decades.

The Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit can increase the use of paid child care, and promote labor force participation among secondary earners.

A discussion with Soumaya Keynes and Chad Bown on their new book 'How to Win a Trade War: A Friendly Guide to an Unfriendly World.'

Executive Summary Medicaid is a joint federal-state health insurance program that covers over 75 million low-income and disabled Americans as of January 2026. Medicaid, along with the closely linked C...

While sales of new EVs surged globally in 2025 to over 20 million vehicles, they were flat in the U.S. at 1.5 million vehicles--about 10% of new car sales.

Executive Summary Corporate taxation must balance raising adequate revenue while minimizing distortions to business decisions. The corporate income tax is an essential component of the federal tax sys...

Executive Summary High and rising federal debt, combined with concerns about policymakers’ willingness and ability to manage the government’s finances, increase the risk of a fiscal crisis in which in...

Increasing inequality and the need to raise tax revenues to fund social programs have fueled new proposals to tax wealth at the federal and state levels.

Executive Summary An ongoing dispute between the United States and various European Union countries centers on the latter’s imposing digital services taxes (DSTs). These are taxes on the gross revenue...

Executive Summary In the next few decades, the U.S. will experience “The Great Wealth Transfer” – the largest set of intergenerational wealth transfers in history. If the experience of earlier generat...

The price of gasoline has spiked since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Politicians have been quick to call for a temporary suspension of gas excise taxes. But is this good policy?

New research shows that states which implemented total abortion bans following the Supreme Court's decision on Dobbs saw stalling rental price growth, and rising vacancies.

Binyamin Applebaum, Nicholas Bloom, Michael Klein, and David Victor discuss the economic consequences of the war in Iran.

The Jones Act has been temporarily waived amid the spike in oil prices. The effects of the Act in times of crisis highlight a more general consequence of protectionist policies: they benefit a few pro...

Current U.S. military spending is higher than at any point of the Cold War in inflation-adjusted terms, but relatively low as a percent of national income.

The relatively short maturity structure of US government debt means that increases in interest rates translate rapidly into higher interest costs.

A discussion with Chris Miller on how to address supply chain vulnerabilities while maintaining the global linkages that foster innovation and prosperity.

The US's main source of flood insurance has undergone the biggest reform since it inception. Will it help reduce Americans’ financial exposure to flooding?

A discussion with David Victor on what the Iran war means for energy markets, and for the global economy in the short and long run.

The growth of the working-age population born in the U.S. has slowed dramatically — particularly among less-educated workers. Has immigration filled the gap?

The world produces enough food for all people to consume sufficient calories, but not healthy diets. Access to healthy diets varies by region.

What role did federal tax credits play in the precipitous drop in child poverty in 2021? And what lessons can be drawn for reducing child poverty in the U.S.?

Public debt in the United States is projected to rise faster and reach higher levels than in most other advanced economies.

A suit settlement that allows colleges to pay student athletes and other changes are upending the economics of college sports. But much remains uncertain.

A panel of distinguished economic journalists take stock of key issues affecting the US economy.

Voters generally view US taxes as being too high, unfair, and overly complex. How does the U.S. tax system look when compared to other OECD countries?

Jen Doleac discusses her new book 'The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice.'

Heather Long and John Hilsenrath discuss the uneven economic recovery since COVID, and America's transition from manufacturing and services, to a tech and information driven economy.

Rising needs for elder care put a heavy burden on older Americans, on their families and on the public budget.

Chinese dependence on manufacturing as an engine of growth has increased, as resistance to Chinese imports is growing abroad and domestic demand remains low.

While each cycle is different, history suggests some helpful signals to watch for as the AI boom continues to evolve in order to anticipate how it may end up.