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Joey

@josephraff.bsky.social
145 followers 189 following 150 posts

I'm a Hanlon's Razor guy, but man y'all are really making me reconsider

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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
For example, I constantly say that I want to pay more for certain goods (meat, fresh produce), but when push comes to shove I shop on price in the supermarket. It's something I have to fight my instincts on, and most of the time I fail. The "reveal" part of revealed preferences includes to yourself.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Now that's a good order
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Adam Gurri @adamgurri.liberalcurrents.com · 30/07/2026
The Prairieland case is a perfect example of the "burn down a walmart" theory of change when you attempt to put it into action. Song says he intended it to be a warning shot, but you can't control what the bullet does after a warning shot. Don't fire at all. www.liberalcurrents.com/prairieland-...
On the evening of July 4, 2025, a collection of activists and protesters arrived at the Prairieland ICE detention facility in Alvarado, Texas. They performed a "noise protest," among other things setting off fireworks, in an attempt to signal to the detainees that they were not alone. Some individuals also slashed car tires and spray-painted "Ice Pig" and "Fuck you Pigs" on a car and a guard hut. ICE agents inside the facility called the local police, who responded. After an altercation, one protester—Benjamin Hanil Song—fired an AR-15 in the direction of a police officer. A bullet struck the officer in the neck, but did not kill him. Song and fifteen other activists were ultimately arrested, charged, and in June 2026 convicted by a jury of their peers of multiple charges, including material support of terrorism. Song was sentenced to 100 years in prison.

Much has been written about these events, whether about the morality of the activists' actions, the absurdity of referring to antifa as an "organization" let alone a terrorist one, or the strikingly long sentences handed down. The longest sentence handed down to any of the January 6 insurrectionists, for comparison, was 22 years.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Definitely feels like it's being missed amid the crazy news day, but the whole article is crazy!! Wtf even is anyone's plan here?
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
This is indistinguishable from an I Think You Should Leave skit
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
I too went to this lounge for the first time last week, and now I'm sad I didn't order a bizarre martini for myself at 9 AM. Definitely one of the strangest airport spots I've ever visited - I did NOT love being stared at by random passerbys while I tried to get steam to work on their gaming PCs.
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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 23/06/2026
I, like you, am tired of I-talked-to-a-Trump-voter-in-a-diner stories. But newly published research that involved weeks of contact with conservatives and their communities offered some novel insights that I hadn't considered. So I wrote about it. Gift link: shorturl.at/3FeaO
shorturl.at
The mistake many people make when trying to understand Trump voters
A new study suggests concerns about democracy may not resonate with Trump supporters the way many assume.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
We want to see the doohickeys and gizmos!
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Stephen Judkins @stephenjudkins.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
My hot take is that green bubbles for Android users was one of the most blatant and successful anticompetitive acts of the past 50 years
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Agreed with ZA, plus now the models have internalized those prompt writing instructions and do a great job turning unstructured goals and tasks into hyper detailed prompts for other models
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Yale has an urban farm but much more importantly has a massive forest and world class forestry program
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
No book has had a larger impact on my understanding of the modern American right than Them.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
94611 includes a big swath of Oakland between Broadway and Oakland Ave
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
It's very telling that she says "accepted rezoning" rather than "fought for rezoning". Also exhausting that she blames a bait & switch by the city - that would mean that she personally failed in her job!! Who is she even blaming??
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 28/04/2026
these focus groups are just further anecdotal evidence for my view that trump is is understood as a totem for wealth and prosperity. these people are genuinely bewildered that he isn’t, and might in fact be a human being with ulterior motives
nytimes.com
Opinion | The Economy, Immigration and Regret: 12 Trump Voters Discuss
Trump voters discuss their disappointment with the president’s second term.
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Ashton Pittman @ashtonpittman.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
After I shot this photo of Stephanie Tubbs at the #NoKings rally in Hattiesburg, I asked for her name. She hesitated, worried about how her family would react. "No problem," I told her, "We don't have to use your name." She paused. "Fuck it," she said, drawing cheers from the women around her.
A woman on the side of the road wearing an american flag-themed cardigan holds a sign that reads 'SAVE DEMOCRACY'
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
That's still not 25-50% though either way
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
What about margin adjustment? My understanding is that most grocery prices are based on % margin rather than cash margin. I don't know a lot about the produce section though, idk
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
I think this is relatively well known, but Dante's Inferno is a great example of this. The actual meat of the text is almost entirely takedowns of Italian elites he had beef with.
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Anat Shenker-Osorio @anatosaurus.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Overthrowing a billionaire-backed fascist regime requires high bar, sustained, civil disobedience. And this requires connecting people into communities and showing we are the majority, our beliefs are the common sense norm. Both things are true.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
This is all so funny because I definitely remember Morty saying in class that Northwestern had data that showed yield improved when potential students visited on rainy/gloomy days. That's just the Wildcat difference I guess lol
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
True! We were better if still insufficient.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Yeah, when this country first started, "Property Owner" was a requirement to vote! This is one of the original sins of the USA
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Indivisible East Bay @indivisibleeb.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
In three weeks, we march! Join us for #NoKings 3 in #Oakland on March 28th, 12 noon at Frank Ogawa/Oscar Grant Plaza. More info and sign up: indivisibleeb.org/event/no-kin...
No Kings in 3 weeks - March 28th in Oakland, CA
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Seems like someone played way too much Prison Architect
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
All good! Glad we could engage.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
The loan mentioned was for the rest of the US banking sector (not SVB) to create consumer confidence & ensure that there was no cascade of bank runs. Reasonable people can disagree about whether that was necessary, but it never had any potential to "underwrite" SVB shareholders or managers.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
FDIC is funded by the banks, not by tax dollars. The only cost to the taxpayer is oversight.
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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
STOP playing music loud in bars, I am trying to DRINK and you are making NOISE that is LOUD
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
It's beautiful in a quiet way such that it's spirit lifting without being overwhelming. I wouldn't like to have a big gap between my mood and the vibes - makes the depression feel more isolating IMO. Big enough to disappear if you want for a while too.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Seattle
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 25/12/2025
After watching Eddington, I was no longer confused by the lack of art depicting the Spanish Flu.
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
May as well write, "bake until done".
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Nate Silver - he has absolutely terminal poster's madness
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
Yeah this feels like a case of deal synergy that also is inclined to create a positive consumer surplus... More access to old media feels more good
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 29/11/2025
Absolutely shameful. NU can't stop stepping on rakes
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PMC Vanguardist @tylerboschert.bsky.social · 29/11/2025
I can't begin to express how much I hate this. I refuse to give money to my alma mater if they'll allow it to be extorted from them by the likes of Donald Trump and I will encourage other alumni to act likewise.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 26/11/2025
you should support liberal currents!
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Hopefully the silver lining is that Oakland housing projects start penciling again - as I understand it, construction basically halted over the last couple years
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
It is so bizarre to have a Mallman restaurant without a live fire. Thank you for another great review!
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 19/10/2025
Good evening. We estimate that between 4.2 and 7.6 million people turned out for the No Kings Day demonstrations held around the country on Saturday. This makes Oct 18 very likely the biggest single-day U.S. protest event since 1970. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/second-no-...
gelliottmorris.com
Second "No Kings Day" protests likely the largest single-day political demonstration since 1970, with 4.2-7.6 million participants
Here are the initial results from our crowdsourced crowd-counting estimates
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Indivisible ❌👑 @indivisible.org · 19/10/2025
This is what democracy looks like. #NoKings
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
We are the majority and we reject Trump and his BS! No Thrones! No Crowns! No Kings! #Nokings #Nokingsoakland
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Indivisible East Bay @indivisibleeb.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
Oakland is OUT and LOUD to say NO KINGS #NOKINGSOAKLAND #NOKINGS
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 18/10/2025
If you attend a No Kings Day event, please record the number of people in attendance in our crowdsourced crowd-counting sheet. We prefer official estimates above ad-hoc counts — if you count yourself, pls be conservative (people are bad at estimating crowd sizes). docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com
20251018_No Kings Day 2 Protests Unofficial Attendance Crowdsourcing
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Joey @josephraff.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
Was proud to participate last time and will do so again Saturday! FWIW, there is another crowd counting effort that is being encouraged by the national organizers - ash.harvard.edu/programs/cro... I'll do both for our local event and I can connect you with the national NK team if helpful.
ash.harvard.edu
Crowd Counting Consortium – Ash Center
Publicly available data on political crowds in the United States, including marches, protests, demonstrations, riots, and other actions.
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Adam Gurri @adamgurri.liberalcurrents.com · 13/10/2025
Be sure to spread it around
No kings 
No dictators 
October 18
Nokings.org
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M. Nolan Gray 🥑 @mnolangray.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
Ladies and gentlemen, we did it. SB 79 has been signed.
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Indivisible East Bay @indivisibleeb.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
It’s less than two weeks until No Kings. Are you ready? @indivisible.org m.youtube.com/watch?v=iVcK...
m.youtube.com
Join us at NO KINGS 2 Oakland
YouTube video by Indivisible East Bay
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