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Jonas Heering

@jonasheering.bsky.social
126 followers 278 following 25 posts

PhD Student in International Relations at Georgetown University

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Reposted by Jonas Heering
CompEurPol @compeurpol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
@gbeaumier.bsky.social @jonasheering.bsky.social & Abraham Newman show how the EU & the US digital market governance strategies were shaped through the constant interactions of their respective attempts to unleash market competition and shield citizens from harm. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
A digital divide? Digital market governance in the transatlantic space - Comparative European Politics
The EU and the US have emerged as central actors in the governance of the digital economy. Existing scholarship tends to view their digital governance models as distinctive approaches, with the EU adv...
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Excited to have this new paper out in @natureportfolio.nature.com Nature Communications!
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Guillaume Beaumier @gbeaumier.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
What explains the growing closure of digital ecosystems? In a new article with @abenewman.bsky.social and Rong Qin, we show that states are more willing to prohibit information flows when they perceive a risk that these flows could be weaponized by foreign adversaries🧵
academic.oup.com
The Politics of Information in an Age of Weaponized Interdependence
Abstract. Global communication flows increasingly face efforts to renationalize information control, most visibly through data localization rules requiring
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Guillaume Beaumier @gbeaumier.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
🧵 1/4 📢 New publication! With @jonasheering.bsky.social and @abenewman.bsky.social, we challenge the "clash of systems" framing and the Brussels Effect thesis, which portrays the EU as a unilateral rule-exporter 🌍⚖️
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Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
My and @abenewman.bsky.social Underground Empire is on sale at $1.99 for the Kindle edition. If you've been sitting on it, this is the time to buy it. If you've read it and liked it, would love it if you shared this post, and be more grateful than I can say if you starred/reviewed it on Amazon.
amazon.com
Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy
Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy [Farrell, Henry, Newman, Abraham] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy
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Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
x.com/SecWar/statu... Anthropic has just been designated as a "Supply Chain Risk to National Security." This is so fucking insane it is hard to describe how insane it is.
x.com
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Two emails sent just hours apart. The duality of modern academia.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
This will surely help quell calls for #digitalsovereignty in Europe and rebuild trust toward US platforms.
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Reposted by Jonas Heering
Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 11/02/2026
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
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Dr Maha @maharafiatal.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
What is "oligarchic sovereignty" and can it explain the tech bro seizure of the US government and its effects on the world? I discuss with some very thoughtful colleagues here: cup.org/3KZzRly Free to read as a Christmas gift to you all:
cup.org
Oligarchic sovereignty: Technology and the future of global order | Review of International Studies | Cambridge Core
Oligarchic sovereignty: Technology and the future of global order
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Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
As @abenewman.bsky.social and I might say, hegemonic enshittification has consequences www.wired.com/story/enshit...
wired.com
The Enshittification of American Power
First Google and Facebook, then the world. Under Trump 2.0, US statecraft is starting to mimic the worst tendencies of Big Tech.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
New working paper w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social on the hottest topic in town: data centers! We show how concerns about #digitalsovereignty, decarbonization, electricity costs & local environmental impacts shape public support for data center construction in #Germany. osf.io/preprints/so... 🧵 ⬇️
osf.io
OSF
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Here's what the plot is supposed to look like!
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
14/ For more interesting results see the paper here. Comments welcome! osf.io/preprints/so...
osf.io
OSF
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
13/ As data center expansion becomes more politically salient, understanding how multidimensional concerns about climate change, electricity costs, and local environmental damage intersect with concerns about digital sovereignty only becomes more important!
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
12/ This suggests that existing cleavages over the energy transition will also shape the politics of data center expansion. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
11/ Preferences toward data center attributes don't vary a lot by party ID, except when it comes to energy source: AfD voters don't care at all if data centers are run on fossil fuels or renewables; Green/Die Linke voters strongly prefer renewables over gas and coal-powered data centers.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
10/ The negative effect of having a data center operated by a US firms is as large as the effect of a data center that increases local electricity prices by 20%. This is striking esp. in Germany where electricity prices are already high. Notably, local tax & employment benefits matter very little.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
9/ We then use a conjoint to see what types of data centers respondents would support in their communities: Nationality of the company operating the data center has the LARGEST effect on support! I.e. #digitalsovereignty matters. Impact on local electricity prices & water usage also matter a lot.
Average marginal component effect plot
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
8/ We use 2 survey experiments in Germany to evaluate this question. First, we look at whether priming respondents with digital sovereignty concerns changes support for building more data centers in Germany, in general. It does but effects are quite small.
Coefficient plot showing average treatment effect of digital sovereignty primes on support for building more data centers. Caption: Average treatment effects (left) and average marginal treatment effects by political ideology (right) compared to the control group receiving information about the basic data center tradeoffs. For ATEs, the thick error bar represents the 90% confidence interval and the thin error bar the 95% confidence interval. The competitiveness treatment is significant at the 90% threshold (p = 0.072) and the data protection treatment approaches significance (p = 0.101). The pooled treatment is
significant at the 95% threshold (p = 0.047). For marginal effects, only 95% confidence intervals are shown. Respondents are treated as left-leaning if they self-place below 5 on a 10-point left-scale and as right-leaning otherwise.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
7/ This suggests that public support will be important as governments seek to promote building more data centers. But how does the public think about the environmental, economic, and geopolitical tradeoffs that data center expansion entails?
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
6/ Local opposition is also fueled geopolitical tensions and negative sentiments toward US Big Tech companies, i.e. the companies building many of these data centers. www.wired.com/story/climat...
wired.com
Anti-Trump Protesters Take Aim at ‘Naive’ US-UK AI Deal
Thousands marched in London to protest President Donald Trump’s second state visit. Among them were many environmental activists unhappy with Britain’s new AI deal with the US.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
5/ As data center expansion accelerates, local communities across the world are pushing back, sometimes blocking new data center construction. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/t...
nytimes.com
From Mexico to Ireland, Fury Mounts Over a Global A.I. Frenzy
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
4/ But data centers use a lot of electricity, straining power grids and raising local electricity prices, including in Germany. Add to that concerns about data centers' water usage, limited local job creation, and potential impacts on emission reductions. algorithmwatch.org/en/germany-d...
algorithmwatch.org
Germany’s Data Center Boom is Pushing the Power Grid to its Limits - AlgorithmWatch
As Europe pursues the vision of becoming an AI continent, the AI infrastructure boom in Germany is already exposing the limits of the energy supply and physical infrastructure. And the question remain...
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
3/ Data center expansion serves economic & geopolitical ends: as governments pursue #digitalsovereignty & "sovereign AI," building more domestic digital infrastructure becomes key. E.g. see this recent statement from the Franco-German digital sovereignty summit: www.elysee.fr/en/emmanuel-...
Excerpt from a statement issued as part of the Franco-German digital sovereignty summit: France and Germany commit to actively support the development and uptake of European solutions in data, cloud and AI. Under the future IPCEI-AI and IPCEI-CIC, Germany and France to support joint projects, with the aim of strengthening European sovereignty. Similarly, AI gigafactories must provide tangible reinforcement of European sovereignty across the cloud and AI value chain.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
2/ Amid the global #AI race, data center construction is expanding rapidly. Source: www.iea.org/data-and-sta...
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
New working paper w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social on the hottest topic in town: data centers! We show how concerns about #digitalsovereignty, decarbonization, electricity costs & local environmental impacts shape public support for data center construction in #Germany. osf.io/preprints/so... 🧵 ⬇️
osf.io
OSF
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
This is correct! Researchers find that a) most people underestimate the administrative burdens of immigration, and b) when informed about these burdens become more supportive of immigration. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Immigration is difficult?! Informing voters about immigration policy fosters pro-immigration views | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridge Core
Immigration is difficult?! Informing voters about immigration policy fosters pro-immigration views
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Adam Gurri @adamgurri.liberalcurrents.com · 12/11/2025
TV conspiracies: we’ve hacked their computers but they’ve perfectly cleaned up the evidence! Real conspiracies: To: conspirator From: famous person Attachment: evidence.png
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Benjamin Braun @benbraun.social · 08/10/2025
Remember when dense networks of strategic cross-shareholdings among firms, native to coordinated market economies, went the way of the dodo? The Rhenish model, Germany, Inc. undone by Anglo institutional investors? Well, the dodo is back. Say hello to USA, Inc. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
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Daphne Keller @daphnek.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Ahead of tomorrow's hearing on European "censorship" of Americans under the Digital Services Act, I have a new blog post explaining why that is not a thing. You can get the gist in about two minutes of skimming the bold text, or stay for the details. 1/ cyberlaw.stanford.edu/a-primer-on-...
cyberlaw.stanford.edu
A Primer on Cross-Border Speech Regulation and the EU’s Digital Services Act
Some U.S. politicians have recently characterized European platform and social media regulation laws as “censorship” of speech in the U.S. If this claim were true, it would be a very big deal. As some...
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Anupam Chander @anupamchander.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
This is the coverage of Trump's high tariffs on India in one prominent Indian financial paper. economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/i...
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Harry Oppenheimer @harryoppy.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Excited to report my article "Digital Interdependence and Power Politics" has been published open access in @bjpols.bsky.social. I use internet measurements to understand how international security influences global data flows www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Digital Interdependence and Power Politics | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Digital Interdependence and Power Politics - Volume 55
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Rasmus Corlin Christensen @phdskat.org · 03/07/2025
Notable that Ron Estes, the ‘revenge tax’ author and influential Republican, supports a US return to the multilateral bargaining table on digital taxes: www.fdiintelligence.com/content/bc16...
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Guillaume Beaumier @gbeaumier.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
In the latest issue of Global Studies Quarterly, Lars Gjesvik and I develop a conceptual argument to analyze the evolution of digital governance strategies in the 🇺🇸, 🇪🇺 and 🇨🇳. A short thread🧵 academic.oup.com/isagsq/artic... @gsqjournal.bsky.social
academic.oup.com
Digital Governance in a Rubber Band: Structural Constraints in Governing a Global Digital Economy
Abstract. The United States, the European Union, and China are often portrayed as representing three competing models of digital governance. Their so-calle
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Kate McNamara @katemcnamara.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Looking forward to the EUSA conference in Philly this week. Come by Friday, 8 May at 5:30 for my talk on how the introduction of security logics into EU politics may reshape Europe. More info here: bit.ly/4lA5Civ
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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
📚😅🎉 Yay!! I just submitted the complete manuscript of my upcoming book to the publisher! Learn to easily and clearly interpret (almost) any stats model w/ R or Python. Simple ideas, consistent workflow, powerful tools, detailed case studies. Read it for free @ marginaleffects.com #RStats #PyData
Model to Meaning: How to interpret statistical models with marginaleffects for R and Python
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Paul Schwartz @paulschwartz.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
General Court of EU hearing on suspension of Data Privacy Framework, and it "should issue a decision for this main proceeding in a few weeks or months." www.hoganlovells.com/en/publicati...
hoganlovells.com
Latombe Case: First hearing for annulment of the EU-U.S. Data Privacy Framework
On April 1st, 2025, the General Court of the European Union held its first hearing on the request initiated by member of French parliament Philippe Latombe for annulment of the EU-U.S. Data Privacy Fr...
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Rasmus Corlin Christensen @phdskat.org · 24/03/2025
Seems relatively clear that UK officials are laying the groundwork for concessions on the UK digital services tax. The DST absolutely can't "continue to garner significant revenue" if you exempt targeted sectors or tax profits instead of revenue. Those things are the whole point of the tax.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 19/03/2025
A series of European Commission decisions on whether top Big Tech companies are in breach of the bloc's digital competition laws could open up a new front in the EU-US trade war.
politico.eu
EU risks more Trump tariffs in looming Big Tech crackdown
A series of decisions against Apple, Meta and Google could open up a new front in the EU-U.S. trade war.
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Harry Oppenheimer @harryoppy.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
I'm excited to report that "Digital Interdependence and Power Politics" has been conditionally accepted at BJPS. I learned how to be a political scientist by iterating versions of this paper. The next thing this paper will teach me is how to use natbib.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
The tariff threat might deter some countries from following through on DSTs but if enough hold firm, proliferation of DSTs might lead US businesses to lobby a for multilateral solution again.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
What's next? ~30 countries have implemented DSTs, some of them are inactive. Over 100 have indirect taxes, like VATs, which Trump also does not like. As the OECD deal falls apart, more countries might (re-)instate DSTs, creating uncertainty for US tech companies.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Fight over Digital Services Taxes is back on as Trump threatens tariffs on countries that collect DSTs. As @abenewman.bsky.social, Lori Crasnic & I argue, DSTs were key to getting to the 2021 OECD global tax deal, which has now stalled: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... shorturl.at/i7XJU
reuters.com
Trump orders trade chief to revive tariff retaliation against digital taxes
President Donald Trump on Friday ordered his trade chief to revive investigations aimed at imposing tariffs on imports from countries that levy digital service taxes on U.S. technology companies.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
We argued that the European Commission agreed to the DPF to buy time, in part with the hope that privacy protections might improve in the US or the ECJ's veto point might shift. But these recent developments suggest the deal might be challenged sooner rather than later.
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Max Schrems, whose lawsuits brought down of the first 2 transatlantic data transfer agreements, notes "the deal was always built on sand" & that the "EU agreed to executive promises that can be overturned in seconds." Permanent changes to the PCLOB might trigger Schrems III. noyb.eu/en/us-cloud-...
noyb.eu
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Purging the Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board (PCLOB) raises serious questions about the viability of the EU-US Data Privacy Framework. This agreement was already built on shaky grounds, as @gbeaumier.bsky.social, @abenewman.bsky.social, and I outline: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Jonas Heering @jonasheering.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
They seem to have changed it...
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