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John Kubale

@johnkubale.bsky.social
2.7K followers 1.2K following 382 posts

Infectious disease epidemiologist and research assistant professor at the University of Michigan @icpsr.bsky.social. Cat dad, data nerd, and Cincinnati sports fan. he/him

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Reposted by John Kubale
Brady West @bradytwest.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Interested in studying survey and data science at U-M? PhD Info Sessions (sessions.studentlife.umich.edu/track/event/...) Sess 1: Oct 9, 9-10AM ET Sess 2: Nov 9, 7:30-8:30 PM ET MS Info Sessions (sessions.studentlife.umich.edu/track/event/...) Sess 1: Oct 23, 9-10AM ET Sess 2: Nov 23, 7-8PM ET
sessions.studentlife.umich.edu
Sessions @ Michigan - MPSDS PhD Info Sessions (2026)
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Amy Maxmen, PhD @amymaxmen.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
CDC is reporting one US measles death in 2026, but won't say when or where. Pennsylvania clearly reports that four people have died with measles in their state. The obstruction of public health data serves no one (except for an administration hellbent on saving face).
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Brady West @bradytwest.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The University of Michigan National Survey Panel (M-Panel) is now openly accepting questionnaire content from researchers. Would you like to ask questions to a national probability-based panel of adults in the U.S., with an oversample from Michigan? Tap below! mpanel.isr.umich.edu/for-research...
mpanel.isr.umich.edu
For Researchers | M-Panel: National Survey PanelFor Researchers – M-Panel: National Survey Panel
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
You might try searching for terms like “data sonification”. There has been some really interesting work in this area so there are probably some tools/approaches that could be adapted to your use case. Sounds cool!
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
static.klipy.com
Pop Quiz Hot Shot
Alt: Gif of Dennis Hopper in Speed saying "Pop Quiz Hot Shot" to Keanu Reeves over the phone.
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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 24/08/2026
If you just happened to pick this week to start yelling about the importance of academic freedom, I sure hope you did more than watch silently for the past 18 months as the Trump administration assaulted everything from mRNA vaccine research to gender studies to the very idea of having universities.
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D. Hicks @danhicks.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
This is an incomplete understanding of academic freedom, and partly confuses academic freedom with freedom of speech. (🧵 adapting some things from this paper, esp. §5: philsci-archive.pitt.edu/28499/. Highly recommend the papers by Dea and Kronfeldner that I cite there!)
philsci-archive.pitt.edu
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Dan O’Sullivan @osullyville.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
This is the nut graf here to me. The MLB needs to be fierce and put on a full-court press here, and they almost certainly won't, which means it will be open season on a sports league which relies on Latin American players to make billions.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Yep it’s all magnets
static.klipy.com
Magnets, How Do They Work? (ICP Meme)
Alt: Magnets, How Do They Work? (ICP Meme)
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Dr. Meredith Wills ⚾️⚾️👀 @bbl-astrophyscs.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Fuck. MLB, the Padres, and the MLBPA better put this on blast. No excuses.
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public health guy @publichealthguy1.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
this is so fucking offensive
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
New preprint from @ajmillion.bsky.social, myself, and fantastic recent UM undergrad Ashvin Narayan (they're on the job market!) exploring the prevalence and persistence of data implicated in retracted papers.
doi.org
OSF
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
This makes me so happy. Abbas is one of the most intelligent, kind, funny, and just all-around decent people I‘ve ever been fortunate to know.
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Hypervisible @hypervisible.blacksky.app · 29/07/2026
This is a well-produced segment. I encourage you to watch so you can hear the noise for yourself. The professor of environmental health science that they interviewed called it an “unprecedented new noise source.”
wxyz.com
Neighbors say noise from Michigan data center is 24/7 and upending their lives
One Michigan community has been experiencing the reality of a data center next door for a couple of years now, and they say the sound has changed their lives.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Fun to start the day with @vincentab.bsky.social and refreshing my knowledge of {marginaleffects}!
A white man in a blue shirt with white stripes points to a slide being projected on a screen behind him.
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Evan Urquhart @evanurquhart.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
I don't think we should mince words. Transphobia and hatred killed May Pollard. The Idaho legislature killed her as surely as if they'd pointed a gun at her head and pulled the trigger. Anti-trans laws were the gun. www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...
nbcnews.com
Idaho pushed anti-trans laws for years. Then a teen died.
The life and death of May Pollard, 16, provides a window into the tragic effect that legislation and political rhetoric have had on trans people in America.
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Alex de Campi @alexdecampi.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
This is why I won’t read your Substack, people.
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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Societies rightly spend a lot of money on regulating drug trials. Allowing large scale betting on these trial outcomes just creates incentives to distort findings. This should be immediately legislated out of existence.
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public health guy @publichealthguy1.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
emily oster is one of the main conduits mainstreaming rfk jr.’s fake science. she’s laundering it for wealthy white liberals. unfortunately a lot of them like it, including the times, which has a contract with her 😬
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
That's awesome, I love it!
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Not remotely the most important thing, but the cover looks amazing! Congrats!
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
yeah that team building activity sounds like a blast imho
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Anna Kornbluh @annakornbluh.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
there is infinite money for weapons, non-educator vice chancellors of nothingness, and tech-grift corporate welfare but zero money for teachers, libraries, tuition
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
It’s so cool! For non-physicists like myself Quanta has a nice article that explains the basics.
quantamagazine.org
How Quantum Computers Will Correct Their Errors | Quanta Magazine
Quantum bits are fussy and fragile. Useful quantum computers will need to use an error-correction technique like the one that was recently demonstrated on a real machine.
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Bradford Pearson @bradfordpearson.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
I truly don’t see how this country can go on if we don’t ban online sports betting. This story is stomach-turning.
inquirer.com
FanDuel sent a personal message from Phillies star Bryce Harper to a customer with a gambling addiction
Terry Thompson lost $1.5 million on bets he placed with FanDuel. The company gave him VIP treatment — including a personalized video message from the Phillies' All-Star first baseman.
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Gillian Brockell @gillianbrockell.com · 09/07/2026
Guys I can’t keep doing this independently. I need a job. If you know of a place—advocacy, OSINT org, think tank, left media, etc—where I could take this work in-house, pls let me know. I admire the folks making independent work for them, but I am collapsing under the weight and the lack of impact.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Yeah that's fair. I think I'm mostly lamenting losing what was a nice tool to have as an instructor. Also, this fall the class I'm teaching falls on a day where there are multiple holidays meaning I already have to condense content into fewer lectures even before adding in-class exams.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Love example papers like this. Definitely a type of paper that I think we need more of.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
antagonistic and anti-science administration. While there will be so much to rebuild when we someday have the opportunity, to me, the CDC is pretty high on this list.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
It has been devastating to watch what has been done to the place where I started my public health career 15 years ago. The place where I met my wife. Where some of the most dedicated public servants I've been fortunate to know continue to try and carry out their vital work under an actively ...
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
New article in the Conversation on what continues to be done to CDC data and what it means for public health.
theconversation.com
From maternal health to influenza rates, gaps in CDC’s public health data are creating dangerous blind spots for disease tracking and prevention
By interfering with how communities collect data and how researchers access it, the CDC risks undermining the hard-won trust needed for effective public health.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Fair, but Google won’t (at least not always) give you the answer to a specific question that you search for. There’s at least a little struggle to see whether a blog or forum thread applies to your situation.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Yeah I’ve tried to find middle ground in the past saying that they can use anything except LLMs essentially, but it’s not really something that’s easy (or pleasant!) to police. Now I just try to make the case that they’re really just shooting themselves in the foot if they do.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Yeah I think the bait and switch is messed up, but I‘m also bummed that take home exams are becoming so problematic.
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Rob Calver @robcalver.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
I am giving away a free copy of the #BayesianWorkflow book by @statmodeling.bsky.social, @avehtari.bsky.social, @rmcelreath.bsky.social et al!! Please like, repost, and follow to enter. I will randomly draw the winner next Weds July 8. 😀 routledge.com/9780367490140 #RStats #DataScience #Bayesian
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Lauren Dobson-Hughes @ldobsonhughes.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Musk says not a single person has died due to him axing USAID. Sadly, part of my job involves tracking aid spending. So here’s a thread with just some of the people who lost their lives because of USAID cuts
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
@stephenjwild.bsky.social
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Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) @hansilowang.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
NEW: Researchers & data advocates @apduorg.bsky.social, @copafs.bsky.social, @icpsr.bsky.social, @popassocamerica.bsky.social call for the Trump admin to rescind a ban on “noise infusion” as a way to protect people’s privacy in Census Bureau statistics or allow for public input before data changes
copafs.org
APC, APDU, COPAFS, ICPSR, and PAA Statement on Commerce’s Disclosure Avoidance for Statistical Products – Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics
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APDU @apduorg.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
"This order subverts processes developed over decades to foster transparency and public trust and creates a scenario in which there will either be less privacy for our personal information, or less usable data, or both." Read the full joint statement: apdu.org/joint-statem...
Quoted text in red font
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
I think many of us thought this was likely to happen, but it’s still awful to hear. Hard to think of many faster ways to torch institutional credibility. I really feel for the UCSF students, faculty, and staff whose good work may be undermined by this.
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Samantha Michaels @samanthamichaels.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
I’m not sure people realize how huge this problem is. During Trump 1.0, ~5,000 kids were separated from parents at the border. During Trump 2.0, the Brookings Institution estimates *145,000* US citizen kids have been separated, mostly in the country's interior www.brookings.edu/articles/how... 5/x
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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
For all the talk of genocide elsewhere, this is going to end up as the largest scale mass killing event in modern history. A crime against humanity & the rule of law of almost unimaginable proportions for which Musk must be marched in chains to the courthouse & then to jail for the rest of his life.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Introduction to Statistical Learning and Regression and Other Stories are both pretty great and are have pdfs freely available. They do get in the weeds in places, but you can definitely skip the more technical sections. Bayesrules! is also a great freely available book that is very accessible.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Well this and using the same professional photo for your entire career.
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
SAME. This is the true face of academia!
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Brady West @bradytwest.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
This is just unreal. Read the summary if you get a chance…and do everything in your power to prevent this from becoming reality. 🙄😑
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Max Kennerly @maxkennerly.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
The Trump admin is bragging about starving children. Don't take my word from it, hear it from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/05/food...
Current discussions regarding a bifurcated U.S. economy highlight the increasing economic divide between lower- and higher-income Americans in spending and earnings growth and wealth accumulation. While many households are doing fine and economic activity overall has been expanding at a solid pace, large segments of the population are facing high levels of economic insecurity and financial strain, and consumer sentiment on the whole has dropped to low levels. In this post, we use newly collected data from the Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) to update our 2020 analysis of disproportionate financial hardship experienced during the early pandemic and to investigate recent changes in food insecurity and broader economic strains. We then examine how food insecurity relates to the increase in consumer pessimism. We find a remarkable increase in food insecurity, particularly among lower-educated and lower-income households and households with young children. We document a contemporaneous increase in pessimism among the same groups, along with a sharp decline in job-finding expectationsBroad-Based Increases in Food Insecurity and Broader Economic Strains Since 2020
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John Kubale @johnkubale.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
That is totally unacceptable. Just insane.
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