iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Seeing a lot of posts about bug bounties. All I can say is it "bugs" me that they took the mini Bounties out of Celebrations!

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Andrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Annals of hype: Did this discovery in 2012 mark “the discovery of the final laws of nature . . . a discontinuity in human intellectual history, the sharpest that has occurred since the beginning of modern science in the 17th century?” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/12/d...

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

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Terence Tao @teorth.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

A group of 25 Fields Medalists, including myself, have made a joint declaration on Math and AI: mathandai.org . We welcome additional signatories. See also this article in the Economist announcing the declaration: www.economist.com/science-and-...

mathandai.org

Declaration — Math and AI

Read the declaration and add your name.

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explore.org @explore.org · 10/09/2026

Time to champion your favorite Fat Bear! 🐻 Submissions are officially open for the annual Fat Bear Week Campaign Poster Contest! Poster submissions: September 10–16 Voting: September 17–21 Top-voted posters will win prizes. Submit at explore.org/contest

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Jordan P. Skittrall @skittrallj.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Funded PhD in Cambridge: "Mathematical and computational methods to discover and characterise critical genetic features in RNA viruses, with application to Rift Valley Fever Virus" Group: skittrallgroup.org Ad: bbsrcdtp.lifesci.cam.ac.uk/project-refe... Info: bbsrcdtp.lifesci.cam.ac.uk/how-apply

Goats in the shade of a thatched hut during an investigation into a Rift Valley fever outbreak in Saudi Arabia, 2000. Courtesy CDC/Abbigail Tumpey

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Dr Edward Hill @edmhill.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪 🗓️ Based on data up to week 36 2026 (31 Aug - 06 Sep 2026) 📊 Seasonal influenza circulating at baseline levels in England. Activity increasing. Report 🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...

gov.uk

National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 10 September 2026 (week 37)

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Demetri @phdemetri.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Ah yes, the millenial problems. Among them: * Navier Stokes * Home ownership * That damn moustache tattoo on your index finger

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Thomas House @tah-sci.com · 07/09/2026

New Preprint: "Symptom clusters in Long COVID in the UK: prospective community-based cohort study using unsupervised machine learning" Long COVID, alongside other post-viral conditions, remains a large problem with many open questions. We use a large community dataset to > arxiv.org/abs/2609.05213

arxiv.org

Symptom clusters in Long COVID in the UK: prospective community-based cohort study using unsupervised machine learning

Long COVID is a condition usually defined by persisting symptoms following infection by the SARS-CoV-2 virus beyond the acute phase of infection. The condition has a significant impact on healthcare s...

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Dr Edward Hill @edmhill.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

🚨 PDRA opportunity in avian influenza modelling in cattle. 🏫 Based at University of Edinburgh with @rowlandkao.bsky.social. 👥 Collab w/ Colorado State University, Linköping University, University of Liverpool, University of Warwick. 📅 21-month fixed term post. ⏳ Apply by 23:59 BST, 29 Sep 2026.

jobs.ac.uk

Postdoctoral Research Associate at The University of Edinburgh

An academic position as a Postdoctoral Research Associate is being advertised on jobs.ac.uk. Click now to find more details and explore additional academic job opportunities.

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Matt Henderson @matthen.com · 01/09/2026

Here I draw a circle by hand. In a universe where it is the perfect circle- what does a sine wave look like? What is its value of pi?

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

I'm on a podcast! A huge thanks to the teams at @plusmaths.bsky.social and @juniper-network.bsky.social for having me on to talk about working as a mathematician in health economics.

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Thomas House @tah-sci.com · 24/08/2026

New Preprint! "A framework for combined epidemiological-genomic inference to improve estimation of household model parameters" with @joebhilton.bsky.social and Golsa Sayyar. We extend the state space of standard household models to combine genomics with epidemiology. arxiv.org/abs/2608.21094

arxiv.org

A framework for combined epidemiological-genomic inference to improve estimation of household model parameters

Models incorporating household structure, with different rates of transmission within and between households, are widely used in infectious disease epidemiology. These models can be calibrated using f...

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Devastated to report that LLMs still lack the sophistication necessary to help me cheat at the Guardian cryptic crossword.

A Google search for the phrase "artist name ending in u" with an AI overview listing musical acts with names beginning with U.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

As someone who's spent their career gradually moving from maths to health science, my deepest unresolved maths guy conviction is that you should almost always be writing methods sections in the active voice. You're the one that did the science! Just own up to it!

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Nathan Doyle @nathandoyle815.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Delighted to share that the second paper of my PhD, "The case for using flexible healthcare capacity constraints to optimise pandemic control strategies" has been recently published in Journal of the Royal Society Interface! 1/5 royalsocietypublishing.org/rsif/article...

royalsocietypublishing.org

The case for using flexible healthcare capacity constraints to optimize pandemic control strategies

Abstract. During the COVID-19 pandemic, a key challenge was designing control strategies that balance the benefits and costs of public health measures whil

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fabius @fabius.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

I've honestly really come to hate the term bubble. *Everyone* is in a bubble, it is called there necessarily being a horizon to your personal knowledge and experience! That's just human life!

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

This is how I look when your data availability statement says "on request". Hate to resort to an appeal to emotion but you should not be putting me through this kind of stress.

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Tom Cox @dj-acid-reflux.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Someone told me "Bluesky is just like Twitter." I argued that was untrue on the basis that last time I had a Twitter account most times I got a new follower their bio said "single & looking for fun" & here when I get a new follower it tends to say something like "professor of rare moths".

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Something happening once doesn't mean it will happen again soon, and something happening once also doesn't mean it won't happen again soon.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Seeing a lot of eclipse posting and very little meteor shower posting. Really makes me question the taste of a lot of people I'm following here.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 09/08/2026

The thing that gets ignored here is just how utopian headphones and streaming would have seemed to someone living 100 years ago. Even if most people don't use it this way, the fact that you can listen to a Mahler symphony on the way to work genuinely is the stuff of early 20th century sci-fi.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

The way the bluesky science ecosystem puts every vaguely stats-adjacent academic into one big pool of stats posters really feels like a ploy to make me form an opinion on p values. It's getting harder but I remain resolute in my commitment to not having an opinion on p values.

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IDDjobs @iddjobs.org · 05/08/2026

CLOSING SOON: Postdoc (Coventry, UK) Infectious disease modelling and statistical methods for Neglected Tropical Disease elimination. with Emma Davis at University of Warwick More details: iddjobs.org/jobs/2566

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

So I think what happened here is BEAST assigned equal probability to Diddy Kong being DK Jr's son or grandson, but when you average out and drop the weights you end up with both options in the tree. This is exactly why you should perform uncertainty propagation rather than using consensus trees.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

What's fundamentally missing from the Odyssey discourse is any acknowledgement that Christopher Nolan is just too humourless to handle a story about a bunch of guys who get turned into pigs.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

Continuing my ongoing investigation into how much probability theory old school RPG developers actually knew: just finished Dragon Quest I and it looks like the devs knew enough to avoid a geometric distribution on encounter timings, but still ended up with geometric status effect durations.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Twin Peaks: The Return (2017)

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

Austria is years, maybe decades ahead of us in the field of sausage roll development

A hand holding a pastry containing a single frankfurter sausage and a barely visible layer of cheese, against a background of concrete on a sunny day

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

I'm in Graz this week for #ECMTB26 and am presenting three (yes three!) things. I have a poster on Tuesday on mathematical biology in health economics, I'm talking on Wednesday about vaccine uptake patterns in the ONS Covid-19 Survey, and on Friday I'm speaking about spatial mapping of avian flu.

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The BMJ @bmj.com · 12/06/2026

"Whether or not men should be routinely screened for prostate cancer seems simple enough to answer, but only on the face of it." In this Editor's Choice, @kamranabbasi.bsky.social writes on why not screening for prostate cancer is justified www.bmj.com/content/393/...

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Thomas House @tah-sci.com · 11/06/2026

The UK Government has just published its Health Security Risk Assessment (HSRA) - this is a document to aid all sorts of organisations plan for threats, as it says not intended for individuals, but it should probably be better known about. www.gov.uk/government/p...

gov.uk

Health Security Risk Assessment (HSRA): 2025 edition

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

Real-life conspiracy theory: the people writing probability distribution libraries are militant frequentists who intentionally make specifying lognormal parameters a baffling ordeal so that no one can ever get their priors right.

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Michael Brockhurst @brockhurstlab.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

Less than 1 week to apply for this postdoc! If you want to find out more about the project have a look at our recent preprint: www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6... #mevosky

biorxiv.org

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Sam Abbott @seabbs.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

For reasons that are certainly unrelated to grant applications, does anyone know of (ideally with some evidence) uses of tools I have contributed to (scoringutils, epinow2, epinowcast, epidist, primarycensored, episoon, epinow, censoreddistributions ...) from different parts of the world?

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

This podcast is very important to me because it's the only one I listen to that overlaps with my research interests enough for me to be annoying about it at work instead of just at home.

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Dr Edward Hill @edmhill.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

1/ Hiring: 2️⃣ Senior Academic Leaders in Global Health Data Science & Mathematical Modelling. #IDsky #EpiSky 🧪 Collab between 🔹Data Science & Computational Modelling Unit (DSCMU) at Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Research Programme (MLW) 🔹Civic Health Innovation Labs (CHIL) at University of Liverpool

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Guy inventing 2FA: Yes so to start a day's work on the second most distracting thing humans have invented, I'll just need you to momentarily divert your attention to the first most distracting thing.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

Really pleased with how this one has come out. We take common output formats for household-based field epi studies, see how much structure we can impute from them, and make the case for reporting case and contact numbers stratified by household size.

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Dr Edward Hill @edmhill.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

1/ 🎤 Today's @juniper-network.bsky.social seminar talk was by Matthew Ryan on "Sometimes BaD modelling is a good idea" 💻 Behaviour and disease (BaD) models: Allow for adaptive human response to intervention uptake & abandonment governed by psychological factors (e.g. perception of illness threat).

juniper.maths.org

Seminars | Juniper

We run a virtual weekly seminar series on a Wednesday 14:00-15:00 (UK time) during academic term-time. The aim of the seminars is to provide an informal environment for researchers working at the inte...

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

Another classic "we know British people are doing these puzzles and we do not care" installment of Strands today. I feel like I am solving a wordsearch in a dream and my subconscious mind can't reliably stick to a theme.

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 08/03/2026

Playing the Pokémon Leaf Green rerelease and I am now fully convinced no one involved knew what a geometric distribution was. "Just draw a random number every time the player presses a button. This will surely make for satisfying gameplay."

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Thomas House @tah-sci.com · 02/03/2026

Please circulate! Are you or do you know someone from groups particularly affected by Mpox, & those less likely to be heard by researchers? We are working with @thelovetankcic.bsky.social to organise workshops seeking to improve modelling response. www.coproductioncollective.co.uk/news/commet-...

coproductioncollective.co.uk

Co-production workshops to understand how infectious diseases spread during outbreaks | Co-Production Collective

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Joe Hilton @joebhilton.bsky.social · 26/02/2026

Statistics life hack: stop wasting time calculating confidence intervals, start bounding all your predictions between the plot of Terminator 2: Judgement Day and free chocolate for everyone forever.

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Liz Fearon @lizfearon.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

Closing March 1- apply for a Research Fellow position in modelling infectious diseases to reduce inequities in health outcomes in Africa! Join a multidisciplinary 4 year project with me at UCL and partners in Zimbabwe, Zambia, The Gambia, South Africa, Kenya and the UK. www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...

ucl.ac.uk

Welcome to UCL

Two centuries ago, our founders had a vision: to open higher education to all. Today, we are a world top-ten university in the heart of London, with a thriving community from over 150 countries.

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Liz Fearon @lizfearon.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

Exciting new Research Fellow position in modelling infectious diseases to reduce inequities in health outcomes in Africa! Join a multidisciplinary 4 year project with me at UCL and partners in Zimbabwe, Zambia, The Gambia, South Africa, Kenya and the UK. www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...

ucl.ac.uk

UCL – University College London

UCL is consistently ranked as one of the top ten universities in the world (QS World University Rankings 2010-2022) and is No.2 in the UK for research power (Research Excellence Framework 2021).

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