James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 3hIt's fine they're making totally independent decisions that aren't biased at all by the received wisdom of their education and careers before they arrive at the RBNZ or the RBNZ as an institution. (All the sarcasm with this one) 010
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 3hLabour added an employment mandate for the RBNZ while in govt last time which required the RBNZ to factor in keeping people employed when making OCR decisions IIRC. This govt removed it and Labour want to bring it back. Or pnvs doesn't go far enough though when the whole system is fucked. 100
Reposted by James WGanesh Rajaram Ahirao @ganeshahirao.bsky.social · 4h#nzpol And, us economists have special name for this "ideal level of unemployment". Am not kidding ... it is called the NAIRU. which stands for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment. And *really* scary is that it (continues to be) taught in ECON101 classes - and few question it😠. 2176
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 4hWhere the primary factors or inflation all seem to be outside of our direct control 030
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 4hAs not an economist this fun system seems to rely entirely on inflation being driven by domestic factors while we've spent 80 years building an interconnected global economic system. Is there something I'm missing or it as ineffective as it's seemed at it's stated goal over the last 6 years? 330
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 4hIt's really fun when you find out the RBNZ has a target % for the ideal level of unemployment and it's definitely not 0% 4251
Reposted by James WMusical Chairs @musicalchairs.bsky.social · 4hSorry, I'll explain. We currently react to inflation by reducing the disposable income of spenders so that demand falls and unemployment goes up. We use a bufferstock of unemployed people to keep workers desperate, so wages are suppressed and we don't get a feedback loop (wage 🔄 prices) [🧵 1/n] 28633
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 4hThe crypto stuff is another amazing example of how full of it they are. ACT won't shut up about boosting productivity but crypto is a totally unproductive asset with no inherent value or use. It's a total ponzi scheme so why would you incentivise it with tax changes if you're focused on productivity 030
Reposted by James WMusical Chairs @musicalchairs.bsky.social · 9hWhen you hear Luxon crowing about Treasury forecasts of adding 221,000 jobs over the next four years, know that (a) it's a pathetic level of ambition, and (b) it's highly unlikely to happen without significant changes in policy. 14412
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 9hTbf they have been doing expectation setting for when policy wins can happen in 3 years and what will take longer for a couple of months now. Which is just sensible politics if they want to have staying power 000
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 11hWhat's more valuable, a lone voice inside Labour or the Greens being in a better position to get concessions from Labour? 220
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Ah, that fun time of year where it's warm enough you need to open a window at night and now you can hear the drunks screaming abuse and slurs at people during the silence between songs 010
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Got to have 2 sides to have a civil war and there are fuck all of the apparently liberal Nats left in their caucus and if this election goes the way it's looking then 2 of the most prominent in Willis and Bishop will be gone. 020
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Would love to know how Treasury got to their forecast for fuel prices since even if the war actually ends tomorrow there's still a lot of damage to refining capacity and transport infrastructure which needs to be repaired 040
Reposted by James WMusical Chairs @musicalchairs.bsky.social · 09/10/2026I mean, it is not actually funny, but good grief. When you hear Lux-out talking about the 220,000 jobs on the way, getting the economy back on track, and the return to slurplus (whatever), remember that the numbers rest on assumptions that are frankly bollox. 58229
Reposted by James WMusical Chairs @musicalchairs.bsky.social · 09/10/2026If Govt reduces spending from 32% of GDP to 30% of GDP and the private sector doesn't grow, what happens to GDP? Anyone know? 85112
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 09/10/2026If MPs voted individually for legislation we'd be having a different conversation but they don't in the majority of cases 000
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 09/10/2026As I said in another reply a token LW economic perspective in the Labour caucus vs better finding for JAG and the Greene for being an electorate MP imo is a clear choice imo 110
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 09/10/2026I have thought about this a lot since he was announced 120
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 09/10/2026KAG being the electorate MP provides her and the Greens additional funding as part of that role. As much as I like Renney's perspective on economics it hard to see his presence in the Labour caucus making a difference to their centrist incrementalist tinkering at the edges approach 240
Reposted by James WDisabled Persons Assembly NZ @dpanz.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Access 2026 is the Electoral Commission’s services that are available to support Deaf and disabled people, tāngata Turi, tāngata whaikaha Māori, and their whānau, carers and communities to take part in the General Election. More here: elections.nz/about/about-...elections.nzhttps://elections.nz/about/about-the-electoral-commission/corporate-publications/access-2026-action-plan 077
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Even at 28-30% polling for Labor that's better than the 26.9% they got in 2023 so they'd need to win a bunch of electorates to get 0 list MPs and create an overhang themselves. 010
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Party vote: Greens, they're the only actually progressive choice. Electorate: JAG, I like Renney but can't think of any reason to go for him over her 270
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 09/10/2026It's hard to see how they stick to their bottom lines while working with ACT and NZF, and if they don't then what's the point of them 150
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 08/10/2026@patbrittenden.bsky.social Arens Williams is the Labour Spokesperson for Commerce and Consumer Affairs which is why she's with Hipkins for all their announcements about regulating companies taking the piss which is a lot of what they're proposing to tackle the cost of living crisis 010
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 08/10/2026They were investigated for pressuring respondents to give certain answers and having leading questions so they left before there could be any kind of penalty that people could point to when talking about how obviously biased they are as a pollster 160
Reposted by James WKeith Ng @keithng.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Honestly, if you make a whole bunch of people unemployed via industrialisation in Vic3, it models the lost wages and demand side crash, which is more than you can say about "AI will make everyone unemployed so GDP will skyrocket" models 4249
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 08/10/2026The thing I keep coming back to is that what the marketing departments are selling and what the technology actually does are only vaguely related to each other and it keeps failing to deliver in the real world 000
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Especially when the former tends to favour deregulation of companies which is usually directly on opposition to the latter 010
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Nothing says outsider bringing change like 48 years in politics (mostly inside parliament), 4 stints in government under 3 National and 2 Labour PMs and 3 stints as Minister of Foreign Affairs 000
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 08/10/2026So fucking tired of these cunts and their need to perform toughness by inflicting cruelty on vulnerable people 030
Reposted by James WLew @lewsos.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Like clockwork, the govt that has done more to destroy employment than any other in decades is trying to get re-elected by blaming people for being unemployed. No solutions, only punishment. Pure cynicism. www.stuff.co.nz/politics/361...stuff.co.nzWhat about drug testing at Parliament? Luxon is ‘quite open’ to itFollow the election campaign live. 511742
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026They don't care if you're dead or homeless or not as long as they can cut spending on beneficiaries which is worse because beneficiaries stop being people and just become numbers on a spreadsheet to make smaller 110
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026It's entirely performative toughness designed to appeal to the worst instincts of their voting base They're such cunts 020
Reposted by James WCEO Johnny Cans @oldmatecans.bsky.social · 07/10/2026*airhorns* the rare Chris Luxon handing it to him has occurred 1154
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026National promises to violate people's rights to show how tough they are on vulnerable people #nzpol www.rnz.co.nz/news/politic...rnz.co.nzNational promises random drug testing for jobseeker beneficiariesNational is promising to introduce random drug testing for those on the jobseeker benefit to ensure they're "ready for work". 1186
Reposted by James WJames W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Just a coincidence that NZF put Alfred Ngaio at #5 on their list and now Winston Peters is pandering to the conservative Christian cranks on the same day #nzpol www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/...nzherald.co.nzPeters keen to revisit conversion-practices law, likens abortion to murderThe NZ First leader aired his views but stopped short of announcing new policy. 3246
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Winston has never met a culture war, conspiracy theory or form of bigotry that he won't embrace for votes 020
Reposted by James WGreenLeft Network 🍉 @nzgreenleft.bsky.social · 07/10/2026All it takes is a search on any given internet search engine... "Xero controversies" "Rocket Lab controversies" and inappropriate behaviour with former staffers, and launching spy satellites to aid with America's military-industrial complex... are not "moral rules" to be worried about. #nzpol 52412
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Simeon Brown was really trying to sell it this morning in-between getting calmly steamrolled by Kieran McAnulty 110
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Winston has never met a culture war, conspiracy theory or form of bigotry that he won't embrace for votes 020
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026The conservative Christian cranks are pretty well served by this National caucus. Feels like trying to peel votes from National and the sub 5% parties like the definitely not Destiny Church party 010
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Just a coincidence that NZF put Alfred Ngaio at #5 on their list and now Winston Peters is pandering to the conservative Christian cranks on the same day #nzpol www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/...nzherald.co.nzPeters keen to revisit conversion-practices law, likens abortion to murderThe NZ First leader aired his views but stopped short of announcing new policy. 3246
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026You don't put Alfred Ngaio at #5 on your list if you're not going to try peeling the ultra conservative Christian cranks away from National and the sub 5% parties 0100
James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Foster being in a marginal position and Ron Marks being basically guaranteed to not get in is pretty funny considering everyone they parachuted in ahead of them 031