Kiran Jonnalagadda
@jackerhack.ing
671 followers 1.1K following 283 posts
Type A personality: champion procrastinator. Co-founder @hasgeek.com, still have a day job there, but considering a break to write on identity vs identification. Signal: kiran.11 Web: jackerhack.ing
![Have you told Sam [Altman]? Because he seems to think he can get both the CapEx and the return.
But that’s a belief. It’s a belief that one company is going to be the only company that gets the entire market. I got it, that’s a belief. That’s what some people like to chase. I understand that from their perspective, but that’s different from agreeing with them. “Understand” is different from “agree.” I think it’s fine. I mean, they’re chasing it. Some people will make money, some people will lose money. All the [infrastructure] being built will be useful if it goes away, but if they make it, then they are the sole surviving company.
Nilay, I will be clear. I am not convinced, or rather I give it really low odds — we’re talking like 0 to 1 percent — that the current set of known technologies gets us to AGI. That’s my bigger gap. I think that this current set is great. I think it’s incredibly useful for enterprise. I think it’s going to unlock trillions of dollars of productivity in the enterprise, just to be absolutely clear.
That said, I think AGI will require more technologies than the current LLM path. I think it’ll require fusing knowledge with LLMs. We have words, and I’m not sure that’s the only way to create knowledge.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:x56l2n7i7babgdzqul4bd433/bafkreihcdnv2zpxxakbriauf6wccudhyso53qkeflv57tqmh3dg2stmtqy)
