iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Mirela

Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

My pick!

Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

We discuss which decisions matter most in terms of producing the biggest effect size change, such as how hunger is operationalized. We consider it uncontroversial - and discuss it in comparison to other candidate predictors of mental health.

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

📊 What we found No matter how we ran the analysis, the result held up: hunger is associated with worse adolescent mental health (worrying and suicidality).

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

We used data from 410,213 adolescents across 79 countries from the WHO and CDC's Global School-Based Health Survey; one of the largest and most globally diverse datasets ever used for this question.

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

This approach lets us ask: how robust is the effect of hunger on mental health or does it depend on how you 'squint' at the data?

static.klipy.com

Skeptical Fry from Futurama

ALT: Skeptical Fry from Futurama

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

💡 Our approach: the multiverse Instead of running one analysis, we ran all theoretically sound analyses we could. In our case, that's 15,360 different models, where we systematically varied every reasonable analytical choice.

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

One explanation is that researchers make different choices in terms of their analysis: who to include, which variables to account for, whether cut-offs should be applied. With all these moving parts, it is hard to compare studies head-to-head.

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

🔍 The problem with existing research Past studies on hunger and mental health have reached varying different conclusions: some report strong effects, others find none. Why?

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

It's that time (once in a blue moon) where I come back on bluesky because (yes, you guessed), we have a new paper out! What do we know about hunger's impacts on young people's mental health? Some insights from our multiverse exploration, out in JCPP: acamh.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

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Rachit Dubey @rachitdubey.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

🚨New preprint and our results are rather concerning.. We find the "boiling frog" equivalent of AI use. Using large-scale RCTs, we provide *casual* evidence that AI assistance reduces persistence and hurts independent performance. And these effects emerge after just 10–15 minutes of AI use! 1/

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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

Hey friends, my new paper was just published in JAMA Psychiatry. I draw on biological species classification to sketch a new framework for psychiatric nosology. Brief summary follows below. Full text link: jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... 🧪 #PsychSciSky #MentalHealth

jamanetwork.com

Mental Disorders as Homeostatic Property Clusters

This narrative review explores the idea of understanding mental disorders according to homeostatic property clusters rather than through typical classification systems.

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Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford @oxfordpsychiatry.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

📢 NEWS: The University of Oxford has received a £1.5 million gift from Bukhman Philanthropies to support research into young people’s mental health. This gift will enable the creation of OxWell School Compass, which builds on the work of @oxwell.bsky.social Student Survey 👇 lnkd.in/eBdwAKMv

An image if Professor Mina Fazel sitting around a table with several pupils at a school.
Text reads: Oxwell School Compass
Platform to provide schools with personalised strategies and interventions to support students’ mental health

The project will track student responses over time, aiming to build a clearer picture of student wellbeing and needs, generating learning that can benefit the schools taking part, but also the wider education sector in the UK and internationally.

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 06/02/2026

(for transparency we also have our repro code on osf: osf.io/t3wya/ for some reason i don't think it linked with the other link)

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 06/02/2026

yes that's our report! fine with me too :-) super appreciate the original authors' detailed prereg + code + STAR team effort, because it made computational reproducibility that much easier! it was a pleasure to work on this during the replication games @i4replication.bsky.social

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Brian Christian @brianchristian.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

Reward models (RMs) are supposed to represent human values. But RMs are NOT blank slates – they inherit measurable biases from their base models that stubbornly persist through preference training. #ICLR2026 🧵

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

I don't even buy the 'LLMs will make work faster' argument these days - we've had two projects where LLM used (for code and writing) have actively delayed the project, because of slop, errors, and poor quality. Good luck with the talk, would love to see the recording :)

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Dr. Helena Hartmann (she/her) @helenahartmann.com · 03/12/2025

It has been a while since @flavioazevedo.bsky.social asked me to take over the Reversals project at @forrt.bsky.social... It has since evolved beyond my wildest dreams, mostly thanks to @aufdroeseler.bsky.social & @lukaswallrich.bsky.social. We are very proud of the Replication Hub & Database ♥️

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 18/11/2025

Check our preprint out for some specific recommendations and examples on neurodiversity-affirming language for ADHD 🎉 osf.io/preprints/ps...

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Kai Ruggeri @ruggeri.bsky.social · 12/11/2025

Results from study of mental health in 92 countries (n>53,000): People are not doing well. - U-shape for age is gone: Young adults lowest health, highest illness - Education still matters (a lot) - 45% of older people live alone - Hybrid work > 100% remote or in-person Preprint: osf.io/3jyda_v1

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Dr Lucy Foulkes @lucyfoulkes.bsky.social · 10/10/2025

New paper from my group, led by Carolina Guzman Holst This is a secondary analysis of data from the high-quality MYRIAD trial, a universal school-based mindfulness intervention Summary below (🧵) acamh.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

Adolescents' trajectories of mental health in the MYRIAD trial

Abstract
Background
This study explored adolescent's mental health trajectories over the course of a school-based mindfulness-based intervention trial (MYRIAD). It examined whether intervention condition (mindfulness vs. teaching-as-usual), individual-level and contextual-level factors were associated with different trajectories.

Methods
This pre-registered study used data from 11- to 14-year-olds who participated in the MYRIAD trial. We used growth mixture models to examine distinct trajectories in risk for depression, social-emotional-behavioural functioning, and wellbeing (co-primary outcomes), and anxiety (secondary outcome), across pre-intervention, post-intervention and 12-month follow up (ns = 7198–7727). We then used multinomial and binomial logistic regression models to examine factors associated with individual trajectory membership.

Results
Distinct trajectories emerged for each outcome: A five-trajectory model best explained the changes in risk for depression, whilst four-trajectory models best explained changes in social-emotional-behavioural functioning, wellbeing, and anxiety. While 69%–80% of adolescents followed stable low-problem trajectories for each outcome, 11%–23% experienced stable high-problem trajectories, 2%–16% experienced increasing-problem trajectories and 1%–5% experienced decreasing-problem trajectories. Receiving the mindfulness intervention was not associated with any mental health trajectory in models adjusted for confounders. Several individual-level factors, including executive functioning difficulties and risk of mental health problems at baseline, and school-level factors, such as school climate, predicted adolescents' classification into different trajectories, but they did not vary according to intervention group.

Conclusions
Individual differences in mental health trajectories emerged over the course of a 1-year mindfulness-based intervention, with most adolescents experiencing low-stable problem trajectories for each outcome. However, the intervention itself had no impact on individual trajectory membership, mirroring null results found in the main trial. Our findings suggest that universal interventions may not be sensitive enough to address the diverse needs of all students, however, tailoring interventions to address a range of different individual and contextual factors might maximise their impact.

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Sociological Science @sociologicalsci.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

NEW: Mood, "Equalization through Deterioration: The Shrinking Gender Gap in Swedish School Grades" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

sociologicalscience.com

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 01/10/2025

A lot of psych is already conducted with online convenience samples & ppl are probably excited about silicon samples bc it would allow them to crank out more studies for even less 💸 How about we reconsider the idea that sciencey science involves collecting own data. www.science.org/content/arti...

science.org

AI-generated ‘participants’ can lead social science experiments astray, study finds

Data produced by “silicon samples” depends on researchers’ exact choice of models, prompts, and settings

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 29/09/2025

Come work on a super cool project with a super cool team, led by the fanstastic @minafazeloxford.bsky.social & @drhollybear.bsky.social

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 26/09/2025

thanks to amazing partners & collaborators - from the Pleasure Project, WHO, The Young and Alive Initiative

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 26/09/2025

1 in 20 people who discontinue contraception while still needing it – whether for pregnancy prevention or safer sex – do so because they perceive negative impacts on their sex lives. Our new paper is out now at the journal of Sexual and Reproductive Health Matters www.tandfonline.com/doi/metrics/...

tandfonline.com

The Sex Effect: the prevalence of sex life reasons for contraceptive discontinuation. A systematic review and meta-analysis.: Sexual and Reproductive Health Matters: Vol 0, No ja

Browse all journals

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AmplifyChange @amplifychange.org · 26/09/2025

AmplifyChange proudly supports orgs improving access to #SRHR incl. #contraception in their communities. Read a new report that shows that #pleasure drives people’s decision-making around contraceptive use: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.108… #WorldContraceptionDay

An illustration of a puzzle with the title 'What's the Missing Piece of Contraception Discontinuation?'

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

Come to our webinar on the 26th where we'll present results from our latest systematic review on contraceptive discontinuation! W/ colleagues from WHO, Pleasure Project, Young and Alive. events.humanitix.com/sex-satisfac...

events.humanitix.com

Sex, Satisfaction, and Switching: The Questions Contraceptive Research and Implementation Forgot to Ask

Launching a systematic review by the World Health Organization and The Pleasure Project on contraception use and sexual pleasure.

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 12/09/2025

a wonderful few days at a writing retreat with @mhrincubator.bsky.social got lots of writing done & met some great colleagues 📝🔬 do check out for future retreat dates and other events mentalhealthresearch.org.uk

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 09/08/2025

"The character of a growing share of psychological research is determined not by a method-neutral commitment to the best ideas and techniques, but in large part by the capabilities, proclivities and biases of the AI systems driving research activity."

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 02/08/2025

"the author did not respond to a request to provide evidence that ethics approval had been received for the study." 🫠

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 25/07/2025

Thrilled our work received a SIPS Commendation Prize 🥳

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 23/06/2025

Reward models steer LLM behavior but we’ve never looked this closely at them. This deep analysis reveals big inconsistencies, surprising biases, and base-model effects. Insightful work. Catch @brianchristian.bsky.social & @tsvetomira.bsky.social at #FACCT2025

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

Congrats on publishing this - what a great commentary! Powerfully written and really appreciate your Figure 1 too.

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Mental Health Research Incubator @mhrincubator.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

Applications for our 2025 Paper Writing Retreat are open! Trying to find the time, space & energy to work on that #mentalhealth and/or #addiction #research paper? Apply for our fully-funded retreat with dedicated writing time, tasty food & the chance to network!👇 mentalhealthresearch.org.uk/pwr25/

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Emma Soneson @emmasoneson.bsky.social · 19/05/2025

Are adolescents sensitive about sensitive data? In our new @oxwell.bsky.social publication, we explore students' concerns about taking part in research including sensitive topics such as mental health & maltreatment. Headlines below, w/ substantial implications for research design & analysis ⬇️

sciencedirect.com

Are Adolescents Sensitive About Sensitive Data? Exploring Student Concerns About Privacy, Confidentiality, and Data Use in Health Research

We quantitively explored adolescents' concerns about privacy, confidentiality, and data use in health research and their potential impact on the accur…

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

Congratulations Ben & all! Really wonderful paper with some amazing data viz!

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Ben Goodair @bengoodair.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

New paper out today reveals scale of inequalities in social care! 💰 Care homes are better rated with more self-funded residents 👔 But inequalities in care only exist in the for-profit sector 📈 Outsourcing to for-profit sector accelerates inequalities of two-tier care Link: doi.org/10.1093/agei...

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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

DON'T MISS: "Moving through the fog: considering #causality in health inequalities research" The next Alan Turing Institute Causal Inference Interest Group seminar with @mkellyirving.bsky.social on 12th May 2025 at 3pm BST! Register at: turing-uk.zoom.us/meeting/regi... #CIIG #EpiSky #CausalSky

Advert for the next causal inference interest group seminar with Michelle Kelly-Irving

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Joe Bak-Coleman @jbakcoleman.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

Updating the HDI is a key function of this report, and the picture is sobering: We have yet to recover from pandemic-era setbacks; and inequality is increasing. Development pathways through manufacturing and exports are narrowing, as conflicts and crises abound.

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Journal of Robustness Reports @robustnessreports.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

We are live! Introducing the "Journal of Robustness Reports" – a Diamond Open-Access journal dedicated to publishing short reanalyses of empirical findings. Check out our website and blog post about the journal: 🌐 scipost.org/JRobustRep 📄 www.bayesianspectacles.org/introducing-...

[Editorial: Introducing the Journal of Robustness Reports]

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Stefan Schubert @stefanschubert.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

Daniel Kahneman died by assisted suicide in Switzerland. I think it's really wrong that most liberal countries don't permit this. It's an extremely severe restriction of individual liberty not to allow people to decide over their own death in this way. www.wsj.com/arts-culture...

wsj.com

Essay | The Last Decision by the World’s Leading Thinker on Decisions

Shortly before Daniel Kahneman died last March, he emailed friends a message: He was choosing to end his own life in Switzerland. Some are still struggling with his choice.

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 17/03/2025

This comes to mind, though probably doesn't match your experimental setup (thinkng aloud): gwern.net/doc/iq/2009-...

gwern.net

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Mirela @iammirela.bsky.social · 17/03/2025

Really interesting and important work, relevant to all working with questionnaires / survey data.

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