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Iain Porter

@iainkporter.bsky.social
1.4K followers 623 following 152 posts

Senior Policy Adviser at the Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social www.jrf.org.uk

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Reposted by Iain Porter
Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
'More fundamentally, it begs the question: what sort of country do we want to live in?' 📺 Director of Policy @alfie-stirling.bsky.social was on @bbc-politics.bsky.social Live today, commenting on what the impact of Conservative proposals to cut Universal Credit would mean for those on low incomes 🔽
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
~165,000 families, containing over 370,000 children, are hitting the benefit cap, 50,000 more families than before. The Government should introduce a protected minimum floor in Universal Credit to stop deductions from pushing families further into hardship, as @iainkporter.bsky.social explains
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The first benefit cap stats have been published since the 2-child limit was scrapped. 165,000 families - containing over 370,000 children - are now hit by the benefit cap. That’s 50,000 more families than before. 1/4
Chart from the DWP showing the number of benefit capped households in Great Britain over time. It shows that 164,000 families receiving Universal Credit were affected by the benefit cap in May 2026, up from 115,000 families in February 2026. (These figures are slightly different from those quoted in this post because we have added the separate benefit cap statistics for Northern Ireland into the DWP’s statistics for Great Britain.)
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Lucy Bannister @lucybannister.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Timely piece from @chriswebbmp.bsky.social. A safety net that ensures people can afford the essentials is critical to support people back into work, stop a setback becoming a crisis and reduce the need for food banks. But Universal Credit rates aren't based on any rationale of how much things cost.
labourlist.org
'We won’t cut the welfare bill by making people poorer – we need to tackle the causes of poverty' - LabourList
Conversations about bringing down the social security bill are starting in the wrong place – arguing about what…
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Lucy Bannister @lucybannister.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Universal Credit does not cover the cost of essentials. That means PIP has become part of the UK's anti-poverty infrastructure. What does that mean for security reforms and how do we build a sustainable system that better protects disabled people from hardship? 👇 www.trussell.org.uk/news-and-res...
trussell.org.uk
PIP is paying for Universal Credit's failures | Trussell
Our Senior Policy Manager, Lucy Bannister, explains that – to make PIP fair and sustainable – Timms needs to address the fact that Universal Credit is failing to cover the essentials.
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Katie Schmuecker @katieschmuecker.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Burnham wants a 'fair and sustainable' approach to welfare. That means targeting the underlying causes of people's need to claim benefits - which is far more popular with the public (59%) than cutting eligibility (20%) or benefit rates (8%). 1/3
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Andy Burnham described “the fair and sustainable way to bring the welfare bill down" in his 1st speech as prime minister today. New @jrf-uk.bsky.social analysis shows why tackling underlying problems with jobs, health & housing, not “crude cuts”, would be a popular & lasting approach. 1/10
Quote from Andy Burnham's first speech as prime minister: "We will help more young people into work by changing the education system and giving them more support, more mental health support. And we will build more council homes. That is the fair and sustainable way to bring the welfare bill down, to meet our fiscal rules, and to honour our commitments on defence to our international partners."
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Rachel Casey @rachelcasey.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
🧵 1/ The Milburn Review is right to sound the alarm 🚨 Rising numbers of young people out of work or education should concern all of us. This reflects deep, structural challenges - not a short-term blip.
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Katie Schmuecker @katieschmuecker.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
📣 New from @jrf-uk.bsky.social Blunt cuts to social security don’t work- we need to tackle root causes of need. Hitting govt 80% employment target would reduce Universal Credit spend by £10bn Polling shows 59% public want causes to be tackled. Just 20% want restricted eligibility & 8% cut rates.
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Sam Tims @sam-tims.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Social security is carrying too much of the cost of economic failure elsewhere A policy reset is clearly needed In a new @jrf-uk.bsky.social paper, we argue that addressing the drivers of economic insecurity can sustainably ease pressure on the income safety net and improve living standards
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Peter Matejic @statspeter.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
The @healthfoundation.bsky.social have now looked at how this compares with 20 other high-income countries: health.org.uk/reports-and-.... Picture is grim. The UK saw the second biggest fall in healthy life expectancy over the decade to 2021, beaten only by the US.
A horizontal bar chart showing the change in healthy life expectancy of 21 high-income countries over the decade to 2021.  Norway and Japan saw the biggest improvements of an extra year of healthy life, while the United States saw the biggest fall of over 2 years of healthy life.  The UK saw a fall of 8 months.
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
🗣️ 'Benefits have never been set according to any logical calculation, like the cost of food and bills.' For @theleaduk.bsky.social, Senior Policy Adviser @iainkporter.bsky.social makes the urgent case for an independent process to set Universal Credit levels 👇 bit.ly/3MkEaZp
national.thelead.uk
This is how we fix Universal Credit
The basic rate of benefit support falls woefully short – Iain Porter, senior policy advisor at the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, explains what needs to happen now.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
As Parliament debates annual benefits 'uprating' today, great to see MPs calling out how arbitrary the process is. Support isn't linked to any calculation of essential costs, meaning 5 in 6 low-income families on Universal Credit going without essentials: labourlist.org/2026/02/valu...
labourlist.org
'Putting our values into action: Labour should make social security work for everyone who needs it' - LabourList
Catherine West MP argues we need an independent, evidence-led body to asses Universal Credit to ensure it works for everyone who needs it.
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Katie Schmuecker @katieschmuecker.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
🌞Today is a turning point, as legislation to remove the two child limit starts to make its way through parliament. The policy was a terrible idea. It drove poverty up and future prospects down. @jrf-uk.bsky.social has joined 65 orgs to urge all MPs to stand with children & support the Bill.
Statement reading:
This is a historic day for children and families across the UK as legislation to remove the two-child limit from our social security system starts to make its way through Parliament. 

The two-child limit was an awful experiment that hurt children. More than any other policy, the two-child limit is responsible for driving child poverty to its current record high.

Poverty has a devastating impact on young lives. Children going without things they need to learn and grow, living in damp homes, struggling at school, facing isolation and stress. 

Today marks the moment when we start to turn things around for the next generation. We commend the government for making the choice to scrap the two-child limit and ask all MPs to stand with children and support this Bill.

Every child deserves the best start in life, with a decent childhood that lays the foundations for a strong future. Ending the two-child limit sets our country on the right path to meet that ambition.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
MPs will soon debate the annual benefits ‘Uprating Order' on how much benefits rise this year. But shockingly, support has never been set according to any logical calculation, like ensuring Universal Credit covers life's essentials - which @jrf-uk.bsky.social estimates cost £120 a week🧵1/4
Table showing JRF’s indicative estimate of the amount needed to afford essentials for a single adult and couple in 2026/27. In total (rounded) this is at least £120 a week for a single adult and £205 for a couple. It also shows how this breaks down into different categories. For example, the total for a single adult includes weekly amounts of £42 for food, £24 for electricity and gas, £7 for water, £7 for clothes and shoes, £8 for communications (including phones, internet and postage), £21 for travel and £13 for sundries (such as toiletries, haircuts, cleaning materials, bank charges).
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Poverty is deepening. 🔎 Our #UKPoverty2026 report was launched this morning. People in very deep poverty now make up the biggest group of people in poverty, at 6.8 million people. This is unacceptable for the fifth richest country in the world, and it has consequences.
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Sam Tims @sam-tims.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
New DWP forecasts show that spending on working-age social security is expected to be stable over the rest of the parliament at 5.1% of GDP This is a slight increase from the Spring, but is mainly for welcome reasons like removing the two-child limit and reversing some of the cuts put forward then
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
New analysis suggests the recent rise in health-related benefit claims is likely to be partly explained by the sharp drop in real incomes from the cost of living crisis. Social security should be there for any of us when we need it, such as losing a job or becoming unwell.
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
🚨 New analysis alert! Our latest modelling shows that living standards are still set to fall across this Parliament up to November 2029. However, actions taken at the Budget have made this decline less pronounced *by more than half* for low-income households.
Table showing change in household disposable income after housing costs at April 2025 prices, before and after removing the 2 child limit, for the 2019-24 Parliament and the current (2024-29) one. It shows that lifting the 2CL more than halves the drop in living standards for the poorest third of households.
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Peter Matejic @statspeter.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Chancellor said lifting 2-child limit means "Biggest reduction in child poverty over a Parliament since records began." Estimated 400k reduction would be, but modelling is always uncertain. What is certain is that removing the 2 Child Limit is pivotal to the fall.
DWP modelling show a fall of 400,000 over the current Parliament.  This would be the biggest on record, exceeding falls of 300,000 under the first Government of Tony Blair and the Government of Harold Wilson and James Callaghan.
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Yasmin Ibison @yasminibison.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Every child, no matter their background, deserves to have a good start in life. Ethnic minority children were disproportionately impacted by the two child limit which widens ethnic disparities in child poverty rates. Scrapping this cruel policy to lift 450000 children out of poverty is a huge win!
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Today the OBR finally published employment impacts of Govt’s (remaining) disability benefit cuts, which weren’t ready in the spring. Confirms @jrf-uk.bsky.social analysis at the time that these huge cuts to disabled people’s incomes come with relatively few expected to move into work. 🧵1/3
Image from OBR's Budget docuoment: "Our economy forecast now incorporates the net effect of the changes to universal credit (UC) 
policies which remain in force following the policy changes made in July. We estimate these will add around 15,000 average hours equivalent (AHE) to labour supply in 2029-30. This reflects 
the net effect of: (1) the increase in the generosity of the UC standard allowance, which is expected to reduce recipients’ financial incentive to enter or remain in employment, leading to an estimated 11,000 AHE reduction to labour supply; and (2) the reductions in the generosity of and eligibility for health-related benefits in UC, which 
are expected to lower income for new claimants, increasing work incentives, and resulting in an estimated 26,000 AHE increase in labour supply. We have also assessed the new employment support programme announced in the Green Paper. Based on evidence from similar past schemes, combined with the Department for Work 
and Pensions’ range of estimates of the numbers of individuals that could be provided with support, we estimate that the programme could support 20,000 to 40,000 inactive claimants"
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Scrapping the two-child limit is a vital step towards achieving the Government's manifesto pledge to reduce child poverty and give more children the best start in life. 📉 Estimates show child poverty decreasing by 450,000 by 2029-30 as a result. metro.co.uk/2025/11/26/t...
metro.co.uk
Two-child benefit cap scrapped by Chancellor Rachel Reeves
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Sam Tims @sam-tims.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Brilliant to see that the two-child limit will be scrapped, lifting 450,000 children out of poverty in 2029/30
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Katie Schmuecker @katieschmuecker.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
🎉Child poverty is at a record high, so the decision to end the two child limit is crucial Poverty holds children back, with consequences for all of us. Every child should have a good start in life This measure alone lifts 450,000 out of poverty & lessens severity for many more
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
No one in the UK should experience destitution - wherever they were born – and destitution should never be an acceptable outcome of policy. But some policies announced in the Home Secretary’s asylum statement risk increasing destitution. 🧵1/7 www.gov.uk/government/p...
Image showing front cover of Government's statement on asylum and returns policy (titled 'Restoring Order and Control').
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Universal Credit was missing a crucial objective from its inception: to address poverty. 15 years on, it’s time we made Universal Credit the poverty-fighting system it could be, writes @iainkporter.bsky.social for @bigissue.com bit.ly/4pc0PVB
bigissue.com
It's time we made universal credit the game changer it can be
In November 2010, the coalition government published its white paper detailing its plans for universal credit. How much has changed?
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
📒 Government published Sir Charlie Mayfield's ‘Keep Britain Working’ report today. An ambitious framework for how employers can support workers in ill-health. Focus must be here to shift the dial on employment of disabled people & benefit spend, not cutting people's benefits. 🧵
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Great to be at powerful @turn2us.org.uk report launch in Parliament today, alongside @jrf-uk.bsky.social colleagues! Our social security system should be there for all of us when we need support, and treat people with compassion, dignity and respect #StopTheStigma
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
📊 Latest inflation figures published this morning show that CPI inflation sat at 3.8% for September. Why does this month's figure matter more? The government will use it to inform how much to uprate benefits by from April 2026. 🔽
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Peter Matejic @statspeter.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
We learnt today that annual CPI inflation was 3.8% in September 2025. The Universal Credit Act 2025 increases the rate of the standard allowance in Universal Credit by 2.3% after applying this inflation, meaning an increase of around 6.2% in April 2026.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
New DWP data today shows 123,000 families – including 103,000 (over 4 in 5) with children – had their Universal Credit reduced by the benefit cap in May 2025. This eats into UC’s already inadequate basic rate, pulling it further below what’s needed to afford life's essentials. 1/6
Image of DWP chart showing proportion of UC capped households by number of children, Great Britain, May 2025. It shows households with 2 or 3 children are the most common family sizes (34% and 27% respectively). The least common family sizes are 5 or more children (7%) and one child (9%). There were 18% of households capped in UC without children.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Govt dropped cuts to PIP, but today's Committee report highlights MPs' concerns that many disabled people will be pushed into poverty by remaining cuts to Universal Credit's health element. In evidence to the inquiry I warned of the hardship this will cause. 1/5 www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Tens of thousands at risk of poverty despite Labour’s benefit U-turn, MPs warn
Changes to welfare reforms not enough to protect newly sick and disabled people from financial hardship
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Sam Tims @sam-tims.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Over 1.6m children are now impacted by the Two-Child Limit - 11.6% of all children This is a cruel policy that unnecessarily drags children into deeper levels of hardship It needs to go, and the longer it is kept, the greater the scarring effects on children's health and education will be
A graph showing the increase in the number of children impacted by the Two-Child Limit since April 2018
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
Actually around 50,000 people will be pulled into poverty by remaining cuts in Bill - based on Govt’s impact assessments. @jrf-uk.bsky.social previously showed how DWP sleight of hand underplayed true poverty impact – same applies to this latest publication. 🧵1/3 www.theguardian.com/society/2025...
theguardian.com
Welfare bill will now lift 50,000 out of poverty after U-turns, assessment finds
Revised bill passed after UK government rowed back on cuts will mean fewer rather than more people in relative poverty in 2030
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
Today MPs will vote on the amended welfare bill. MPs who choose to walk through the lobby and support this bill are paving the way for at least 150,000 people to be pulled into poverty. Here are just 3 reasons why they should oppose this bill from @katieschmuecker.bsky.social 🔽
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Today Govt confirmed changes it will make to planned cuts to disability benefits. But Govt will still ask MPs to vote for large, arbitrary cuts to disabled people’s incomes that will increase poverty. The Bill should be opposed. Here’s why. 1/7
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
These are big changes from Govt to protect existing disabled claimants from cuts - Govt has been listening. But new claimants from April 2026 still face deep hardship from cuts, which should be opposed. Over 400,000 new PIP & 700,000 new UC-health claimants will be £'000s worse off in 2029 1/2
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
UPDATED with employment status: @jrf-uk.bsky.social constituency data on PIP claimants at risk of losing out from disability benefit cuts. 60% of people who are in work and claim PIP could lose (1 in 5 current PIP recipients are in work). See drop-down menu here: jrf.org.uk/social-secur...
Image of chart showing percentage of PIP recipients at risk of losing under the Government's proposed disability benefit cuts, broken down by Parliamentary constituency, employment status, type of award (standard or enhanced rate PIP) and primary health condition. 'At risk' means they scored less than 4 points in every daily living activity at their last assessment. Overall 60% of all in-work PIP recipients are at risk; around 1 in 8 people receiving enhanced rate PIP are at risk, as are almost 9 in 10 people receiving the standard rate; the people with health conditions most at risk of losing out are those with arthritis, back pain or chronic pain syndromes. Figures are for working-age recipients of PIP daily living component and for primary health condition. All data is for January 2025, except for the employment category which is for March 2024 due to availability of data. Source JRF analysis of Parliamentary Written Questions 47379, 52015 and 59623, answered by Sir Stephen Timms.
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Ahead of a crucial vote on cuts to disability benefits, our new evidence casts doubt on whether jobs are even available for disabled people facing cuts 📢 The analysis found that the parts of the country among the hardest hit by the cuts have fewer job opportunities 1/3
"Cutting disabled people's benefits won't magically create suitable jobs, particularly in those parts of the country that have long had weaker jobs markets. It's little wonder so many disable people are fearful of the impact of the government's cuts" - Abby Jitendra, Principal Policy Adviser
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Sam Tims @sam-tims.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Much of the Government's intention for cutting PIP and UC is to motivate people to find a job But cutting social security can't 'incentivise' people into jobs that don't exist New @jrf-uk.bsky.social analysis shows there are simply too few jobs for the Government's argument to hold
A graph showing that local authorities with weaker local economies have more people on UC that are searching for work or unable to work due to a health condition for each vacancy in that area
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Great to see broad swathe of MPs expressing opposition to a Bill that will increase poverty and destitution amongst disabled people. This new joint briefing for MPs from 10 organisations sets out the broad & deep concern about the Bill from civil society: ucpipbill.co.uk
ucpipbill.co.uk
Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill -
On Tuesday 1st July, MPs will be asked to vote on the UC & PIP Bill, which contains the biggest cuts to social security in a decade. This briefing from ten organisations including Scope, Citizens Advi...
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
🗣️ "It's common sense, and it's part of making our social security system fit for purpose." Hear Nish Kumar address an audience of people from across the UK at our Guarantee our Essentials lobby day with @trusselluk.bsky.social. A future where everyone can afford the essentials is possible.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Govt just published the Bill to cut disability benefits for > 3 million people, revealing that mitigations for those with the most severe conditions ministers have been telling MPs about will protect only up to 10% of new claimants from a halving of UC's health element 1/5
Image of cover of Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
=> @jrf-uk.bsky.social has added this constituency data on enhanced/standard rate PIP recipients at risk of losing out to our data dashboard (also breaks down by health condition) - select constituency from drop-down on chart here: www.jrf.org.uk/social-secur... www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Image of chart showing percentage of PIP recipients at risk of losing under the Government's proposed disability benefit cuts, broken down by Parliamentary constituency, type of award (enhanced or standard rate PIP) and primary health condition. 'At risk' means they scored less than 4 points in every daily living activity at their last assessment. Figures are for working-age recipients of PIP daily living component.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
These are NOT concessions on benefit cuts for 3 million disabled people 1. Considering a short transitional period for people losing PIP was in green paper 2. 'Severe conditions' element from 2026 also in green paper 3. 'Right to try' always planned for 2026 too www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Ministers to offer olive branch on welfare plans to avert Labour rebellion
Exclusive: Liz Kendall pledges sick and disabled people will be protected but MPs are pushing for more substantial changes to bill
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Ayaz Manji @ayazmanji.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
NEW: Analysis published by Trussell and WPI Economics today finds that planned cuts would put 440,000 people in disabled households at risk of needing to turn to a food bank. If the UK government doesn't change course, then this will be their legacy. 👇
Headline reading: Labour's disability benefit cuts will force nearly half a million people to turn to food banks
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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
MPs are being asked to accept unprecedented cuts to disabled people’s incomes. @trusselluk.bsky.social analysis shows these cuts are likely to create more deep poverty and hardship than even the bleak forecast from the Government’s own limited assessments 🔽 www.the-independent.com/news/uk/poli....
the-independent.com
Starmer’s welfare cuts will see ‘340,000 more people in poverty’
340,000 more people in disabled households could face hunger and hardship by the end of the decade, new report says
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Chaminda Jayanetti @cjayanetti.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
NEW: More than half of disabled people with daily living needs in parts of England and Wales could lose out under planned cuts At least 50% of PIP daily living allowance claimants in ten constituencies could lose this benefit By me, for @bigissue.com www.bigissue.com/news/social-...
bigissue.com
The constituencies set to be hit hardest by Labour's PIP benefit cuts
Over half of disabled people with daily living needs in parts of England and Wales could lose their PIP under Labour's benefit cuts.
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Iain Porter @iainkporter.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
New @jrf-uk.bsky.social analysis of disability benefit cuts by Parliamentary constituency and health condition. Select your constituency from drop-down menu on the chart at the following link, to see how many PIP recipients are at risk of losing out: jrf.org.uk/social-secur...
Image of chart showing percentage of PIP recipients at risk of losing under the Government's proposed disability benefit cuts, broken down by Parliamentary constituency and primary health condition. 'At risk' means they scored less than 4 points in every daily living activity at their last assessment. Figures are for working-age recipients of PIP daily living component.
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