Sign in

Guy Harling

@harlingg.bsky.social
170 followers 271 following 119 posts

Epidemiologist @uclglobalhealth.bsky.social & @ahri-news.bsky.social. Focus on data collection, social networks & health (HIV, mental health, caregiving, vaccines). Mostly in southern Africa.

PostsRepliesMedia
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
I don't usually post preprints, but I think the concept here is cool/important, even if the final results change a bit after review. Gita Huijgen & @drtomemery.bsky.social use Dutch population-level real kinship/residency networks to show that many 'non-kin' carers are in fact just more distant kin
osf.io
OSF
210
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
And a whole host of papers on social connections/networks in older age:
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
And a couple of higher-income setting papers: A story we think we know, supported here by data: low-intensity (5-9 hrs/wk) caregiving slows cognitive decline, high-intensity (50+ hrs/wk) caregiving intensifies it. Baowen Xue et al show this neatly in the UK ELSA study
academic.oup.com
Validate User
110
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
A review of how family support kin with dementia in Africa. This review only found 15 qual studies over 15 years - maybe linked to very low diagnosis rates for dementia continentally? But a nice overview of challenges & coping strategies. Again shows the role of family in providing joined-up care
link.springer.com
Challenges and coping strategies of family caregivers of older adults with dementia in Africa: a systematic review and meta-synthesis - BMC Nursing
Background Family caregivers are central to the care of older adults living with dementia, particularly in African contexts where formal care services are scarce. Dementia caregiving is complex and un...
141
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Lorraine van Blerk et al highlight how Lesotho non-contributory pensions 1. Promote older-person indepedence in choice of carers 2. Reposition them as providers vs dependents 3. Benefit the wider community by circulating cash
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
110
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
A really nice analysis to show the potential benefits & harms of caring roles on later life cognition: at lower levels it may help, without they can overwhelm
110
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
You know you’re at a demography heavy conference when the notepad is a lexis diagram… @mpidr.bsky.social
Photograph of a title slide for the 2026 MPIDR kinship symposium and of a lexis diagram notepad from MPIDR
0111
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Some more adolescent network papers: 1. Mary Page Leggett-James & colleaugues show middle school kids are influenced by best friends on emotions &"problem behaviours", but popularity-based norms predict social media use & weight concerns
cambridge.org
Different peers influence different behaviors: Conformity to best friends and status-based norms across the transition into adolescence | Development and Psychopathology | Cambridge Core
Different peers influence different behaviors: Conformity to best friends and status-based norms across the transition into adolescence
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
More adolescent & social network stuff, from the UCNets dataset by Jiaqi Qin & Jingbo Meng, showing how support network foci (family/friends/partner/peers) predict adolescent wellbeing. Their broad findings: family > peers. This feels quite exploratory but a prompt for thought
tandfonline.com
Support Network Typology and Psychological Well-Being Among Young Adults
The psychological well-being of young adults is a growing concern in the United States. Social networks, comprising relationships that provide various types of support, are crucial predictors of th...
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Have you thought carefully about how misinformation works differerntially for adolescents vs adults? Nor had I, so this was a really useful primer/thinkpiece, led by Ili Ma & Wouter van den Bos
nature.com
Understanding the impact of misinformation on adolescents - Nature Human Behaviour
Adolescents are especially vulnerable to misinformation but also possess unique strengths. This Perspective outlines a forward-looking research agenda to understand these vulnerabilities and foster re...
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
From China, led by Xingna Qin & @drthornberg.bsky.social , a nice use of SAOMs (co-modelling network & behaviour change) to show how both parents and peers have independent impacts on learner development I should be figuring out how to do similar things for adolescent sexual health...
link.springer.com
The Role of Parental Influences in Chinese Adolescents’ Academic Achievement through Shaping Friendship Network Dynamics - Journal of Youth and Adolescence
Journal of Youth and Adolescence - Parents and friends are critical social influences on adolescents’ academic achievement, yet how they function together within dynamic friendship networks...
110
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Not my substantive field, but I really liked this anit-loneliness/isolation RCT that used personal social mapping to help people identify social needs and link them to community resources. Sadly not effective in this iteration, but hopefully something to learn from/build on?
frontiersin.org
Frontiers | Assessing a facilitated social network intervention for health outcomes in lonely and socially isolated people: the pragmatic, cluster-randomized PALS trial
IntroductionLoneliness has received attention in recent years as an important public health issue due to its associations with poorer mental and physical hea...
010
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
A nice paper by Cassie McMillan & colleagues showing exactly how networked behaviour threatens individual RCT inference - here differential co-eating in workplace canteens by study arm appears to downward bias effect estimates & potentially generalizability
sciencedirect.com
Network threats to causal inference: Variations in network position by participation in randomized controlled trials
Researchers and practitioners rely on randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to make causal inferences. However, most people who participate in RCTs are …
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Another way to use networks: unpacking health system actor connectivity in Ghana. Dominic Gadeka & @lucygilson.bsky.social show that while CHOs collaborate across districts, CHCs & volunteers are relatively isolated, likely limiting implementation of innovative policies, esp community-based ones
academic.oup.com
Multi-actor collaborations in primary health care implementation: a Social Network Analysis of the primary health care strategy in Ghana
Abstract. Bottom-up theory demonstrates that networks of actors play important roles in policy implementation, yet limited attention has so far been paid t
010
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Two great social network papers from Alison Comfort & @drdrtsai.bsky.social highlighting the social spread of contraceptive use & infant HIV testing in rural Uganda I'm really enjoying the continuing flourishing of network studies in Africa to unpick behaviour & plan interventions!
100
Reposted by Guy Harling
Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 06/05/2026
A student from the African Institute of Mathematical Sciences Cameroon reached out to me -- he's writing his thesis on estimating the causal effect of insecticide-treated net use on malaria infections & has nobody in his immediate network who could provide a quick sanity check on his methodology.>
static.klipy.com
Kitten in Tree Needs Help!
Alt: Kitten in Tree Needs Help!
55734
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
If you're thinking about a career in (social) network science, you should definitely look at this 3-year PostDoc with @franktakes.bsky.social using nation-level network data from the Netherlands!
careers.universiteitleiden.nl
Postdoc in Population-Scale Network Science
Postdoc in Population-Scale Network Science
010
Reposted by Guy Harling
Armand Domalewski @armanddomalewski.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
In France, if you want to build a home above a certain size, you’re legally required to use a licensed architect. Can you guess what that size is
1358295
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
We have a UK-funded PhD opportunity to study how men in rural England can improve healthcare access for their social connections. Tight deadline, truly mixed-methods supervisory team at University of Lincoln. Ask me or Paul Mee for details
findaphd.com
Leveraging Men’s Social Networks to Improve Health Engagement in Rural and Coastal Communities at University of Lincoln on FindAPhD.com
PhD Project - Leveraging Men’s Social Networks to Improve Health Engagement in Rural and Coastal Communities at University of Lincoln, listed on FindAPhD.com
011
Reposted by Guy Harling
Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
New post, on how AI is coming for open source software: kucharski.substack.com/p/will-your-...
kucharski.substack.com
Will your favourite open source software tools soon be closed off?
Freely available software relies on credit. AI is destroying that.
34022
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Do you want to learn about global mental health? At @uclglobalhealth.bsky.social in London? With global experts like @thewrittenro.bsky.social and Kelly Rose-Clarke? Here's a 2 minute video about our brand new one-year MSc, do reach out to Rochelle or Kelly learn more! #globalhealth #mentalhealth
youtube.com
Global Mental Health MSc
YouTube video by UCLGlobalHealth
010
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
I was lucky to chat with Laura Forastiere @yalesph.bsky.social recently - a v nerdy discussion of networks & interventions - and stats that are well above my paygrade Which sent me off to read her latest methods paper on how to estimate causal effects in cRCTs using egonet contacts as controls
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
110
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
Just read this new paper from Alison Comfort et al, incl @drdrtsai.bsky.social as senior author. Great evidence of clustering of knowlege (about getting your baby tested for HIV if you are living with HIV) on networks!
111
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
Another great paper using social network data from >5000 Ethiopians by @drsarahmyers.bsky.social, @danielredhead.bsky.social et al. They show how attitudes towards IPV against women cluster socially on gender-homphilous ties. But opposite-gender ties actually predict *reverse* IPVAW attitudes ‬
academic.oup.com
Gender-biased clustering of attitudes towards physical intimate partner violence: A social network analysis in south-central Ethiopia
Abstract. Changing social norms, shared beliefs about what is acceptable, is a key focus of global health campaigns aimed at ending intimate partner violen
163
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
How do people negotiate discussions around vaccines with close contacts, as reported by 100 US residents around Covid Respondents suggest ways of handling complex conversations: - Reframing diffs of opinion as caring - Focusing on personal experince not science - Build from shared moral viewpoints
tandfonline.com
Difficult Health Conversations: Dilemmas That Vaccinated People in the United States Experienced When Discussing COVID-19 Vaccination with Hesitant Family Members
During the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, public health officials in the United States called upon vaccinated individuals to encourage reluctant family members to get vaccinated. Due in part to the ...
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 14/12/2025
Excellent marketing for this Kiss the Koala cafe. Terrible public health messaging
A poster reading “I kissed a koala and I like it”
000
Reposted by Guy Harling
John Greally @greally.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
A handy translation guide for non-academic speakers.
05615
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
🚨 New methods papers 🚨 I'm delighted to report we have two papers out this week that try and improve how we collect and analyse survey data Colleagues are probably bored of me saying it, but an interview is a dyadic process & we should always consider the effect of both parties & their interaction
100
Reposted by Guy Harling
Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University @oxforddemsci.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
On Tuesday, we hosted Jane Greve (VIVE – Danish Centre for Social Science Research) for a fascinating seminar on “Family Spillovers of Dementia.” Using 20 years of Danish register data, she explored how parental dementia affects adult children’s lives.
122
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
🚨 New paper 🚨 We have a lovely mixed-methods paper highlighting how method of data collection *strongly* affects what you find In the context of informal caregiving for older persons in rural South Africa Work led by Michelle Brear and Lenore Manderson
link.springer.com
Variation in Health Status Reports: Triangulating Mixed Methods Data to Assess the Health and Wellbeing of Primary Caregivers to Older Rural South Africans - Journal of Cross-Cultural Gerontology
Caregivers’ health status is important, given its importance for their own wellbeing and capacity to provide quality care. While single item self-rated health questions in surveys are an efficient mea...
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
For anyone interested in social networks and interventions, this new book (out at the end of Nov) by Tom Valente is self-recommending and likely to be the bible for some time to come #networks #interventions #socialnetworks
taylorfrancis.com
Network Interventions | Engaging Social Networks to Accelerate Diffusi
Social networks are important sources of influence on many personal, organizational, community, and societal behaviors. Network interventions (NIs) are
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
Interesting (pre-print) protocol for a study @bristoluni.bsky.social @einsteinmededu.bsky.social & Kenya MOH & AIDS/STI Control Programmestudy to link behaviour & phylogenetics around blood-borne & sexually transmitted infections in Kenya. With the plan of modelling interventions to reduce BBI
researchsquare.com
Leveraging Injection Networks to Prevent HIV and Other Blood Borne Infections Among People Who Inject Drugs in Kenya: Design and Rationale
BackgroundHIV and Hepatitis C (HCV) are blood borne infections (BBIs) that remain a significant cause of global morbidity and mortality among people who inject drugs (PWID). UNAIDS and WHO have set go...
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
Nice work by Kyla Belisario, @allan-clifton.bsky.social, James MacKillop ++ @mcmasteruniversity.bsky.social showing strengths/weaknesses of limiting alters (5 vs 20) when assessing network predictors of harmful alcohol use
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Validity of a Brief Egocentric Social Network Assessment in Adults with Alcohol Use Disorder: Direct Comparison of 5-Alter and 20-Alter Versions
Social network analysis offers a high-resolution framework for understanding social influences on alcohol use, but full-length assessments confer significant burden, giving rise to brief measures. How...
110
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
@runsenchen.bsky.social ++ show in 17 schools in Guangdong that NSSI behaviour clusters on social contact networks, but only for those with few friends. Suggesting relative isolation makes friends' behaviors more influential? X-sectional, so hard to infer contagion, but a hypothesis to test...
link.springer.com
Understanding Social Influence of Non-Suicidal Self-Injury: The Interplay of Peer Networks and Adolescent Behavior - Journal of Youth and Adolescence
Adolescents’ non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) could be influenced by their friends’ NSSI and by their own social position within peer networks. However, prior research has examined these effects separa...
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
I really liked this school-based pilot by Caroline Kuo, Cathy Matthews @samrcza.bsky.social. Collecting & showing learners what peers really think about sexual health. Acceptable & ass'd with short-term improvements Big question: how can such interventions build to sustained behaviour change?
link.springer.com
Acceptability, Feasibility, and Preliminary Efficacy of Schools Championing Safe South Africa, a Social Norms Intervention to Prevent HIV Risk Behavior and Perpetration of Intimate Partner Violence Am...
Schools Championing Safe South Africa is an intervention to prevent sexual violence perpetration and HIV/STI risk behavior among teenage boys, focusing on correcting misperceived social norms regardin...
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
I'm delighted to see colleagues @ubcpharmsci.bsky.social - led by Anuoluwapo Awotunde & Kerry Wilbur - investigating how medical & family care is networked in British Columbia. The limited ties between these groups highlights the need for improved network collaboration
doi.org
Interprofessional Care and Informal Support Networks of Independent Community-Dwelling Older Adults | Canadian Journal on Aging / La Revue canadienne du vieillissement | Cambridge Core
Interprofessional Care and Informal Support Networks of Independent Community-Dwelling Older Adults
000
Reposted by Guy Harling
Zachary Neal @zpneal.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
Want to promote transparency and clarity in network research by helping develop 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐀𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐍𝐞𝐭𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 (𝐆𝐑𝐀𝐍𝐃)? Sign up to get involved here: tinyurl.com/help-with-GR... ▪️ All career stages welcome ▪️ All fields welcome ▪️ Be compensated for your time
tinyurl.com
GRAND Recruitment
Complete this short questionnaire to help develop Guidelines for Reporting About Network Data (GRAND).
12023
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Lovely detailed description by @haneuljang.bsky.social & @danielredhead.bsky.social of how knowledge & skills are differentially spread through the network of a forager village in DRC. And how this is patterned by own & contact age, kinship and relationship status
academic.oup.com
Transmission networks of long-term and short-term knowledge in a foraging society
Abstract. Cultural transmission across generations is key to cumulative cultural evolution. While several mechanisms—such as vertical, horizontal, and obli
2137
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
A quick reminder: vaccine demand is socially contagious: Georges Khalil, Stephanie Staras ++ show that parental HPV vaccination intent in Florida is closely linked to support from confidants, wider network and family My takeaway: tell people around you if you support vaccines
mdpi.com
110
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
A couple of new serious networks & stats papers with a shared last author (Laura Forstiere @yalesph.bsky.social): 1. Falco Bargagli-Stoffi ++ highlight the need to account for clustering when evaluating the impact of information/diffusion interventions, and how to do this in a principled manner
projecteuclid.org
Heterogeneous treatment and spillover effects under clustered network interference
The bulk of causal inference studies rule out the presence of interference between units. However, in many real-world scenarios, units are interconnected by social, physical, or virtual ties, and the effect of the treatment can spill from one unit to other connected individuals in the network. In this paper, we develop a machine learning method that uses tree-based algorithms and a Horvitz–Thompson estimator to assess the heterogeneity of treatment and spillover effects with respect to individual, neighborhood, and network characteristics in the context of clustered networks and interference within clusters. The proposed network causal tree (NCT) algorithm has several advantages. First, it allows the investigation of the heterogeneity of the treatment effect, avoiding potential bias due to the presence of interference. Second, understanding the heterogeneity of both treatment and spillover effects can guide policymakers in scaling up interventions, designing targeting strategies, and increasing cost-effectiveness. We investigate the performance of our NCT method using a Monte Carlo simulation study and illustrate its application to assess the heterogeneous effects of information sessions on the uptake of a new weather insurance policy in rural China.
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
New paper by Emily Long, @mark-glasgow.bsky.social & more: mental health support in rural Scotland linked to alters who are younger, female, egonet-central, longer-term, in frequent contact. And much less common if respondents felt stigma about their mental health
rrh.org.au
Mental health discussions among rural residents: a social network approach
Published article 9450 Rural and Remote Health
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
I'm a bit late to this, but important evidence of (non) maintenance of friendship ties as US adolescents leave high school. Also open access at pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Friends Forever? Correlates of High School Friendship (In)stability from Adolescence to Young Adulthood
Although friendship instability is common throughout adolescence and young adulthood, experiencing high rates of relational turnover is associated with negative health outcomes and lower educational a...
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
A quick thread of recent new (to me) research pubs:
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Do you know a "post-PhD early/mid-career researcher from Southern Africa" who would be interested in support to apply for a grant? @ahri-news.bsky.social, @aphrc.bsky.social & @wellcometrust.bsky.social are building a cohort for a 12-month programme Intent to submit: 15 Sept; full app: 30 Sept
surveys.aphrc.org
Empowering Early and Mid-Career African Researchers in Grantsmanship and Research Fundraising
111
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
I'd enjoy asking a class draw the DAG for this!
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
@ericfeltham.bsky.social, Laura Forastiere & @nachristakis.bsky.social show how people mis-perceive social ties between others, using data from >10,000 rural Hondurans Tl;dr they know kinship ties well, then incorrectly base friendship/advice judgements on kinship
nature.com
Cognitive representations of social networks in isolated villages - Nature Human Behaviour
Feltham et al. develop a sampling strategy to evaluate social network cognition across 82 Honduran villages, systematically mapping the underlying village networks.
1113
Reposted by Guy Harling
Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
A pathogen that has R<1 could still cause 'stuttering chains' of transmission and mutate to become more transmissible. New vignette by @jwlambert.bsky.social in {superspreading} R package includes functions to explore this process: epiverse-trace.github.io/superspreadi...
34611
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 06/07/2025
Differences in caring patterns for older USians a function of who/what available, not preferences/needs @zlinsoc.bsky.social uses NHATS (US on Medicare age 68+) to show greater use of extended family support (beyond spouses) in Black/Hispanic vs White adults ass'd w family structure, networks, SES
doi.org
Racial–Ethnic Differences in Care Networks of Older Adults: Empirical Exploration of Possible Explanations
AbstractObjectives. Previous research on eldercare among minority populations often highlights the role of values, beliefs, and social expectations, placin
000
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 06/07/2025
Networks matter for how Hepatitis C spreads New paper by Lin Zhu, ‪@jsalomon.bsky.social‬ ++ uses ERGMs & network ABM to identify how network properties predict risk of HCV acquistion for people who inject drugs (most at risk pop in the US) 2 key messages (next post)
doi.org
Hepatitis C virus transmission among people who inject drugs in rural United States: mathematical modeling study using stochastic agent-based network simulation (AJE-00824-2024)
Abstract. People who inject drugs (PWID) account for the majority of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in the United States. The injection-equipment-shari
100
Guy Harling @harlingg.bsky.social · 06/07/2025
Maria Castellanos ++ use a 'contact score' to predict TB transmission between social contacts in Kampala. Relationship type (who) mattered for 0-4 year-old contacts, setting (where) & relationship for 5-14 year olds. Limited ass'n for older gps Can this be used to help 2ndry prevention?
doi.org
Performance of a score to characterise adequate contact among the...: Ingenta Connect
000