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Tim Rühlig

@ruehlig.bsky.social
1.6K followers 147 following 97 posts

Senior Analyst, European Union Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social, Paris/Brussels. Formerly European Commission, DGAP, UI. China, digital technology, EU-China relations. More at www.timruhlig.eu

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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Internationale Politik Quarterly @ipq.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
From our new issue Germany’s New China Policy: Right Instinct, Wrong Tools The 🇩🇪 government finally wants to protect European industry from 🇨🇳 overcapacity. However, it is relying on the wrong measures to do so, says Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social ip-quarterly.com/en/germanys-...
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
EU negotiators are in China this week to address the flow of Chinese exports to Europe. One thing to keep in mind: China is more fragile than it looks. Europe must use its economic strengths to push back, argue @ruehlig.bsky.social & @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social. ➡️ ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
@ruehlig.bsky.social argues that Ukraine should be equipped to benefit from Chinese investment where appropriate, while protecting critical sectors and infrastructure. (3/8)
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
How can 🇪🇺stop the accelerating deindustrialisation? Domestic reforms & more active defence against the export of 🇨🇳overcapacities and 🇺🇸 tariffs. For this, new instruments are unnecessary, but we have to sharpen existing ones. How? Read my new @gppi.bsky.social Brief: sl1nk.com/a4hounb
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Europe doesn't need new trade defence weapons against China or the US. It just needs to use those it already has, argues @ruehlig.bsky.social. shorturl.at/f8bwK
iss.europa.eu
Europe does not need new trade weapons – it needs to pull the trigger
Europe does not need new trade defence measures to respond to China's export surge. It needs to use its existing powers more decisively to deter coercion, strengthen its negotiating position and resto...
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Europe doesn't need new trade defence weapons to respond to China's export surge. It needs to use its existing powers more decisively to deter coercion, strengthen its negotiating position & restore competitiveness before it's too late, writes @ruehlig.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Quote from EUISS Commentary written by Tim Rühlig, 'Europe does not need new trade weapons – it needs to pull the trigger' | "On paper, Europe's toolkit is impressive: the problem is not capability but credibility. Two structural gaps undermine deterrence: an 'activation gap' and a 'discretion gap'.
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Europe can no longer afford inaction on China. As #EUCO discusses China today, @ruehlig.bsky.social & @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social call for a tougher stance. The EU should use access to its single market as leverage to push back against unfair Chinese practices. ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
As Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič met China's Commerce Minister to address overcapacity, @ruehlig.bsky.social argues Europe must use its economic strengths to push back. Condition access to the single market on concrete concessions, like licences for rare earth mineral imports ➡️ ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
ow.ly
China - A fragile power? How Europe can use its economic leverage over Beijing
China is powerful - but increasingly fragile. Beijing's economic vulnerabilities create both risks and leverage for Europe. How the EU can use its economic strengths to pursue a strategy of leverage-b...
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
⚠️ Europe doesn't lack trade weapons. It lacks the will to use them. @ruehlig.bsky.social argues the EU doesn't need new trade defence instruments. It needs to close the structural gaps that weaken the effectiveness of its existing ones and undermine its deterrence. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
New EUISS Commentary by Tim Rühlig | Europe does not need new trade weapons – it needs to pull the trigger
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
📊 @ruehlig.bsky.social's scrollytelling analysis on how the dependence gap in Russia-China relations gives Beijing asymmetric strategic flexibility has been cited by @newsweek.com. ⬇️ 🔗 Explore the full analysis on our website: www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
🗓️ Webinar | China - A fragile power? Join us on Thursday to discuss Beijing's economic weaknesses, & how the EU can approach China with greater confidence and resolve. With @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social. 🔗 youtube.com/live/0_-YwGV...
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
In a new online article with @MartinCatarata and David Francas, we discuss dependencies from medical supplies from 🇨🇳. The deeper we look into supply chains the more concerned we are. Find out more 👇👇👇 www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
iss.europa.eu
The weak point: Why pharmaceutical security belongs at the heart of European defence
Europe’s reliance on Chinese pharmaceutical products leaves it dangerously exposed. To reduce risk, the EU must protect domestic production, diversify supply chains, and invest in innovation to strengthen resilience and strategic autonomy.
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
'Beijing needs us as much as we need Beijing' China is facing a deep economic crisis & needs access to the European single market more than ever. This gives Europe leverage - if it is willing to use it. @ruehlig.bsky.social explains ⤵️ 🔗 Read the report: ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Nicht nur Europa ist von China abhängig, sondern auch umgekehrt. Das sollten wir strategischer nutzen als bisher. Wie? Lesen Sie mein großes Interview in der ZEIT: www.zeit.de/2026/12/chin...
zeit.de
Chinas Exportabhängigkeit: "China ist auch von Europa abhängig"
Europa sollte von China Gegenleistungen für den Marktzugang verlangen, sagt der China-Experte Tim Rühlig. Er hat erforscht, mit welchen Maßnahmen es Druck ausüben kann.
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Oliver Grimm @grimmse.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Die EU sollte Chinas wirtschaftliche Schwachstellen gezielt nutzen, um sich gegen dessen Einschüchterungspolitik und Deindustrialisierung zu wehren, argumentieren @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social und @ruehlig.bsky.social in einer neuen Analyse des @euiss.bsky.social. www.diepresse.com/20648110/so-...
diepresse.com
So kann die EU China wehtun
Die Europäer können den Spieß umdrehen und Chinas wachsende ökonomische Verletzlichkeit ausnutzen, argumentiert das Institut der Europäischen Union für Sicherheitsstudien in Paris in einer neuen...
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Big big day has come. We launch my major co-authored paper with @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social today. Why China is more fragile than you might think and Europe could do more 👇👇👇
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Penn Project on the Future of U.S.-China Relations @penn-us-china.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
In January, we brought 20 leading next generation China scholars and experts from throughout Europe to Washington, DC for a full week of intensive dialogues with U.S. policymakers. In Friday's webinar, five of those experts will share their general take-aways from the DC meetings
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
💬 @ruehlig.bsky.social tells @apnews.com that Trump's Greenland ambitions and China's October 2025 rare earth export controls "have substantially contributed to a European understanding that we face two major powers that are not shy to bully the EU". apnews.com/article/chin...
apnews.com
Pushed by Trump, US allies are resetting relations with China
Leaders from Canada, the United Kingdom, Finland and other countries have recently visited China, while more are planning to go.
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Europas Abhängigkeit von Generika aus China ist immens. In einem neuen Stresstest zeigen wir die massiven Risiken für die Gesundheitsversorgung 👇👇👇
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
Looking for the Full Text of von der Leyen‘s State of the European Union speech? Here you go 👇👇👇
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 10/09/2025
Poland is also not the only country where this happens with some regularity. Lithuania also has seen some drone incursions. (The number of drones this time seems higher though.) www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
theguardian.com
Ukraine war briefing: Call for Nato action after Russian drone intrudes on Lithuania
Russia talking down Medvedev’s influence after nuclear threats; oligarch’s superyacht goes on sale with proceeds to Ukraine. What we know on day 1,260
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Now asked about China and de-risking: "Europe has been very open for foreign investment and tech, open for business. Covid was a wake-up call that in certain sectors we became very dependent on certain countries..." Names medicines and chips.
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Very good summary of @kajakallas.bsky.social points on 🇨🇳 at the #EUISS2025 annual conference @euiss.bsky.social 👇👇👇
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Leonardo De Agostini @leodeago.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
A full house today for the HR/VP @kajakallas.bsky.social at our @euiss.bsky.social annual conference. "Whether we like it or not, Europe is engaged in a global competition for democracy and freedom"
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Priyanka Chaturvedi, member of the Indian parliament, tells the #EUISS2025 annual conference that 🇮🇳🇨🇳 will pursue more economic cooperation, but 🇮🇳 will avoid dependence due to colonial history.
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
🔴 NOW LIVE: High Representative @kajakallas.bsky.social takes the stage at #EUISS2025. 🎥 Watch the livestream: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AKx...
youtube.com
EUISS 2025 annual conference: Kaja Kallas keynote speech
YouTube video by EU Institute for Security Studies
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
JR/VP @kajakallas.bsky.social voices concern that the EU is not following up with action on the message 🇪🇺 delivers to 🇨🇳. Calls on the EU becoming geostrategic. #EUISS2025
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Now on: HR/VP @kajakallas.bsky.social delivering her Keynote at our @euiss.bsky.social annual conference. Tune in: linkedin.com/redir/redirect… #EUISS2025
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Ursula von der Leyen @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu · 18/08/2025
Great to have you here, dear President Zelenskyy. We continue our cooperation to achieve a just peace that respects Ukraine & Europe's vital security interests. With the Coalition of the Willing in Brussels today, and in the White House with President Trump tomorrow ↓ europa.eu/!VwFhwJ
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
DeepSeek R1's efficiency & its disruption of US tech dominance paved the way for a pluralisation of AI development. @clotildebomont.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social argue that for the EU, this will either be a security risk if ignored, or a strategic opportunity. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Quote: The pluralisation of the global AI landscape is driven not only by systemic rivalry among leading digital powers, but also by mounting political instability. — Clotilde Bômont & Tim Rühlig, 'Challenging US dominance: China's DeepSeek model and the pluralisation of AI development'
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
🇪🇺-🇨🇳 leaders often adopt maximalist positions and end up concluding agreements in not-so-key areas, says @ruehlig.bsky.social to @sz-dossier.de‬. To achieve progress in strategically important issues, the EU must set clear minimum conditions for deeper cooperation. www.sz-dossier.de/tiefgaenge/c...
Quote: China emerged from the negotiations with the US in a strong position and therefore showed significantly less willingness to compromise with Brussels in Beijing [during last week's EU-China Summit]. — Tim Rühlig in Süddeutsche Zeitung
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
What to make of the hype around Chinese AI start-up #DeepSeek? Double have been raised of the technological revolution it represents. But its political impact is enormous, I argue with @clotildebomont.bsky.social in our new piece 👇👇👇
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Byford Tsang @byfordt.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Quick take on EU-China (or China-EU) climate joint statement: We'll do more of the same and we'll commit to make some commitments later. vs. last joint statement back in 2021 - in which China stated that it was going to 'strictly control coal consumption (it didn't)
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EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
🇨🇳 #China may be realising that, despite transatlantic tensions, the core differences between European and Chinese interests remain unchanged, writes @ruehlig.bsky.social. Today's tense kick-off to the #EUChinaSummit is a clear reflection of this reality. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Quote: Xi Jinping's decision not to travel to Europe [for the EU-China Summit], alongside other recent signals, made it clear from the outset that Beijing’s focus lies not on Europe but on the 'Global South'. —  Tim Rühlig, 'Same summit, different stakes?'
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EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Beijing sees Brussels as a serious partner partly due to its reliance on 🇪🇺 in areas like aviation and nuclear energy. But Europe's dependence on China is greater and growing. 💬 "Our starting position is steadily worsening," warns @ruehlig.bsky.social in Tagesschau. www.tagesschau.de/ausland/euro...
tagesschau.de
EU-China-Gipfel: Lauter Zeichen der Entfremdung
China lässt die EU spüren, dass andere Partner derzeit für sie wichtiger sind. 50 Jahre, nachdem die bilateralen Beziehungen aufgenommen wurde, sind sie aus vielen Gründen angespannt. Schlechte Vorzei...
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Zum 50. Bestehen der 🇪🇺🇨🇳Beziehungen findet heute der Gipfel in Peking statt. Gefeiert wird nicht. Auch Trump führt nicht zu eine Annäherung. Die Liste der Herausforderungen ist lang: Wirtschaft, 🇷🇺, Sicherheit. Mein Take bei @tagesschau.bsky.social👇 www.tagesschau.de/ausland/euro...
tagesschau.de
EU-China-Gipfel: Lauter Zeichen der Entfremdung
China lässt die EU spüren, dass andere Partner derzeit für sie wichtiger sind. 50 Jahre, nachdem die bilateralen Beziehungen aufgenommen wurde, sind sie aus vielen Gründen angespannt. Schlechte Vorzei...
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
What to expect from tomorrow’s EU-China Summit? Read my new commentary where I explain what is different this time 👇👇👇
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
To counter the Kremlin, Europe needs clarity. What is Russia actually good at? And where is it exposed? A thread ⤵️🧵 #UnpowerRussia
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
(1/5) Out now: My new paper “The Huawei Saga in Europe Revisited” has appeared with @ifri.bsky.social Now that the development of 6G is starting, what can we learn from the 5G debate? shorturl.at/pTpRM
shorturl.at
The “Huawei Saga” in Europe Revisited: German Lessons for the Rollout of 6G | Ifri
While the European Union attempted to coordinate a collective response through its 5G Toolbox in Europe’s 5G infrastructure, member states diverged significantly in balancing political, economic, and ...
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
(1/5) Out now: As 6G standardisation starts, read my new paper with Liesbet van der Perre with @uisweden.bsky.social „Technological evolution, looming geopolitics: Embarking on 6G standards definition” shorturl.at/dUr9M
shorturl.at
Technological evolution, looming geopolitics Embarking on 6G standards definition
Rühlig, T. & van der Perre, L.
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Joris Teer @joristeer.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
PUBLICATION ALERT🚨📕! The EU’s upcoming Foreign Economic Policy is a terrific chance to strengthen the crisis resilience of both EU Member States and their partners around the world. How to achieve this? Please read the Policy Brief my colleague @ruehlig.bsky.social and I put together
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
(1/8) Out now: To develop a new foreign economic policy sits at the heart of @ec.europa.eu‘s Political Guidelines published in July 2024. What should it entail? Read my new @euiss.bsky.social Policy Brief co-authored with @joristeer.bsky.social: shorturl.at/wdMu3 A 🧵👇👇👇
shorturl.at
Resilience by design: A new EU Foreign Economic Policy to counter global disorder
The pledge to develop a new foreign economic policy is central to the European Commission’s July 2024 Political Guidelines. This ambition has become even more pressing in light of President Trump’s di...
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
Looking for a weekend read? Just out now: A new Policy Brief I wrote with @joristeer.bsky.social , where we explain how to craft a new EU Foreign Economic Policy tackling 🇺🇸 tariffs and 🇨🇳 drive for self-reliance. Check it out 👇👇👇
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Habemus Bundeskanzler
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Reposted by Tim Rühlig
Vassili Golod @golod.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Der dreijährige Tymofij ist das jüngste Todesopfer des russischen Raketenangriffs auf Krywyj Rih. Drei Jahre – so alt wie der große russische Krieg gegen die Ukraine. Tymofij hat in seinem Leben keinen Frieden erlebt. Die genozidale Kriegsführung Russlands muss gestoppt werden.
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
(1/9) Will legacy chips be the next strategic dependency from 🇨🇳? Most likely, yes. The 🇪🇺 should take de-risking measures. However, it should do with different means than widely assumed, I argue in my new paper published @uisweden.bsky.social – a 🧵👇 👇👇https://shorturl.at/priOX
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
The Kremlin says it will halt attacks on energy infrastructure for 30 days. This may be good but remember: under international law this should have never happened. It’s hard to consider Putin agreeing to comply with one Provision of international law a serious achievement of diplomacy.
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Chris @ausrede.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Ich habe einen Podcast mit @ruehlig.bsky.social aufgenommen. Wir sprechen über Chinas Verletzbarkeit, über die Rivalität mit “dem Westen”, über DeepSeek, TikTok, Taiwan und Trump, wie Europa China sieht, wie China Europa sieht und warum ein Interesse an der Infragestellung der Demokratie besteht.
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
It has been an honour to participate in this year‘s EEAS Ambassadors‘ Conference with @niclaskv.bsky.social and @fraghi.bsky.social
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Tim Rühlig @ruehlig.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
A new representative opinion poll shows: 67% of the Germans back military support for 🇺🇦; 27% are in favour of increasing such support. Falsifying once again the widespread myth that the majority wants to end the military assistance. Critics are loud but that does not make them the majority.
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