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Gönül Tol

@gonultol.bsky.social
3.7K followers 225 following 398 posts

Director of Middle East Institute's Turkish Program / Author of Erdoğan’s War: A Strongman’s Struggle at Home and in Syria.

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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
It has a few advantages 😃
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Reuters reported today that Turkey is sending mainly defensive and technical support to Saudi Arabia to help it fight Houthis.
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Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
mei.edu/backgrounder...
mei.edu
Western Sahara - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Many thanks Elena!
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The agreement has not yet been ratified by the turkish parliament and turkish law requires parliamentary authorization to deploy troops abroad. This suggests that (at least for now) Turkey’s contribution is more likely to involve military capabilitie other than deployment of ground troops.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The joint statement says “the committee also agreed to ensure the rapid deployment of those forces and capabilities in Saudi Arabia in accordance with approved arrangements and the national laws of the three countries.” key phrase here is “in accordance with national laws of the three countries.” +
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
📰 Sunday extras: "Turkey in a Changing Middle East" with @deryagocer.bsky.social, Meliha Altunışık and @gonultol.bsky.social.
youtube.com
Turkey in a Changing Middle East
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Thank you.
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Yaman Akdeniz @cyber-rights.org · 02/10/2026
Eylül 2026 içinde erişime engellenen ve Türkiye'den görünmez kılınan X hesapları hakkında bir değerlendirme yayınladık.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
about Turkey’s place in the emerging regional order and whether Ankara’s push for greater regional connectivity can survive an increasingly fractured security landscape. Watch here 👇 mei.edu/events/turke...
mei.edu
Turkey in a Changing Middle East - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Where does Turkey fit in a Middle East transformed by the Iran War, the Saudi-Houthi conflict, and growing doubts about the durability of US security commitments? I spoke with two excellent scholars, Dr. Meliha Benli Altunışık and Dr. Derya Göçer ++
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Yaman Akdeniz @cyber-rights.org · 30/09/2026
Sansür dalgası tsunamiye dönüştü. Bugünkü hedef @t24.com.tr haber sitesi. Haber yapmanın yasak olmadığı bir ülkede, 2009'dan beri yayın yapan haber sitesine erişim engeli getirildi.
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Can Candan @cncndn.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment by @gonultol.bsky.social - the Middle East Institute (MEI) mei.edu/publication/...
mei.edu
Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Turkey’s already tiny democratic space continues to shrink. Another independent media outlet, T24, has been targeted. its website and social media accounts have been ordered shut down. t24.com.tr/gundem/sosya...
t24.com.tr
Dünyada da referans gösterilen Türkiye'nin en büyük bağımsız haber sitesi T24, sosyal medyada başlatılan iftira kampanyası sonrası kapatıldı! | T24
T24 hakkında bir süredir sosyal medyada iftira ve linç kampanyası yürütülüyordu. Kapatma kararının "Ailem Güvende" soruşturması kapsamında alındığı duyuruldu.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Read our collection of short essays by @MiddleEastInst fellows exploring the many dimensions of the war with Iran, from its regional and geopolitical consequences to its economic and security implications. Find the full collection here: mei.edu/beyond-the-i...
mei.edu
The Middle East Beyond the Iran War - Middle East Institute
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T24 @t24.com.tr · 27/09/2026
Türkiye de listede: İşçiler için en kötü 10 ülke açıklandı t24.com.tr/foto-haber/t...
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
muhatap olmayın o zaman. “Mustafa Kemal’in askeri” olarak memlekete dair endişe ettiğiniz şeyi göz önüne alınca sizin de derya deniz olduğunuz söylenemez.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Evet, canım öyle istiyor.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
And Turkey, which has invested significantly in Ethiopia.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
undermined their domestic and regional agendas.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
All regional autocrats, including Erdoğan, pinned their hopes on Trump, whom they thought was “one of us.” And that was exactly the problem. Almost two years into his presidency, Trump has not only failed to follow through on his promises to these leaders, but his reckless policies have ++
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Turkey’s deepening fund scandal has now reached the upper ranks of the ruling AK Party, with Deputy Chair Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya resigning from her party position amid allegations over stock trades involving her and her husband. t24.com.tr/politika/akp...
t24.com.tr
AKP Sözcüsü Çelik: Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya'nın af talebi kabul edildi, artık MYK ve MKYK üyemiz değil | T24
Adı fon soruşturmasına karışan AKP Genel Başkan Yardımcısı Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya, görevlerinden istifa etmişti.
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Steven Heydemann @stevenhyde.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Debating Syria's economic transition. syrianobserver.com/society/syri...
syrianobserver.com
Syria’s Market Economy: Dismantling Subsidies and Protecting Vulnerable Groups - The Syrian Observer
Syria is navigating a difficult post-conflict transition after the fall of the Assad regime, Syria TV writes.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
And for countries like Turkey, which has invested heavily in Somalia’s political stability and security, that is particularly bad news. The larger takeaway: the Gulf, Yemen, Red Sea and Horn can no longer be treated as separate geopolitical theaters 5/5. atrocitieswatch.org/wp-content/u...
atrocitieswatch.org
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Pakistan could increasingly shape Horn politics and diplomacy over Sudan. 4️⃣ The growing strategic importance of Bab al-Mandab and the Somali coastline is fueling competition over ports, access and allies, and could deepen Somalia’s internal fragmentation, including tensions over Somaliland. 4/5
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
could turn the Yemen war from a maritime threat into a direct security challenge for Somalia. The changing regional landscape could facilitate greater interaction between the Houthis and Sunni jihadist groups. 3️⃣ New security alignments btw Saudi, Turkey, 3/5
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
1️⃣ Middle Eastern rivalries are increasingly spilling into the Horn, from Sudan to Ethiopia, as regional conflicts become entangled with Gulf power competition. 2️⃣ The Houthi–al-Shabaab nexus is one to watch. Weapons, training and money flowing across the Red Sea 2/5
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The governments of Kenya and Norway hosted the launch of our new report on the sidelines of #UNGA yesterday, bringing together high-level officials from across the Horn and the US. A few takeaways on how the Iran and Saudi-Houthi wars are reshaping the Horn:1/5
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JamesInTurkey.com @jamesinturkey.com · 23/09/2026
Ankara’s mayor has made his move. He leaves the CHP – the party that embraced him more than 16 years ago – and vows to sit as an independent, saying his first responsibility is to the voters who elected him.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Excellent piece by @abuaardvark.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/18/h...
foreignpolicy.com
The Houthi Advance Is About More Than Just Iran
The Saudi-Emirati rivalry is driving moves across the region.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
📣OUT NOW: The Horn and Middle Powers: Entanglement, Competition, and Perception A new AtrocitiesWatch report examines how Turkey, the UAE, Egypt and other regional powers are reshaping the region’s wars, alliances and politics. Read my chapter on Turkish-Israeli rivalry in the Horn here:.👇
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
atrocitieswatch.org/wp-content/u...
atrocitieswatch.org
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
📣OUT NOW: The Horn and Middle Powers: Entanglement, Competition, and Perception A new AtrocitiesWatch report examines how Turkey, the UAE, Egypt and other regional powers are reshaping the region’s wars, alliances and politics. Read my chapter on Turkish-Israeli rivalry in the Horn here:.👇
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
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Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 16/09/2026
Turkish stocks slide in ‘fund run’ as investors withdraw $1bn ft.trib.al/B1k0RvB
ft.trib.al
Turkish stocks slide in ‘fund run’ as investors withdraw $1bn
Index provider MSCI raises prospect of cutting Turkey from emerging market to frontier status amid accusations of ‘co-ordinated trading’ by fund managers
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Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Worth watching! @natansachs.bsky.social and @gonultol.bsky.social on Turkish - Israel rivalries in Syria www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYYZ...
youtube.com
Mounting Tensions: Turkish-Israeli Rivalry in Syria
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Important new report from @gonultol.bsky.social at MEI. "Turkey will most likely try to remain within the NPT, seeking to expand its nuclear options without openly crossing the line into weaponization while maintaining strategic ambiguity about its ultimate intentions." mei.edu/publication/...
mei.edu
Turkey’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment - Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
My new report on Turkey’s changing nuclear calculations amid rapidly changing regional security dynamics is out. You can read it here: x.com/gonultol/sta...
x.com
Gönül Tol (@gonultol) on X
📌My new report on Turkey’s nuclear calculations is finally out. For decades, Turkey has been a strong advocate of nuclear nonproliferation. That is changing. I argue that Turkey is unlikely to build...
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
My new report on Turkey’s changing nuclear calculations amid rapidly changing regional security dynamics is out. You can read it here: x.com/gonultol/sta...
x.com
Gönül Tol (@gonultol) on X
📌My new report on Turkey’s nuclear calculations is finally out. For decades, Turkey has been a strong advocate of nuclear nonproliferation. That is changing. I argue that Turkey is unlikely to build...
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Reuters @reuters.com · 30/08/2026
Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan to hold first defence pact meeting, source says reut.rs/4614s9c
reut.rs
Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan to hold first defence pact meeting, source says
Top officials from Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan will gather in Istanbul on Monday for a first committee meeting under ​the joint defence accord that they signed this month, a ‌Turkish foreign ministry source said.
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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 21/08/2026
Politicians’ failures to deliver on promises “not only erode confidence in democracy; they also undercut sovereignty.” Read @pahlkadot.bsky.social and @andrewgreenway.bsky.social on how to fix democracy:
foreignaffairs.com
Democracies Need Creative Destruction
How to make government work again.
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The Guardian @theguardian.com · 13/08/2026
Trump has amassed staggering wealth in ‘most openly corrupt’ presidency
theguardian.com
Trump has amassed staggering wealth in ‘most openly corrupt’ presidency
Ethics experts and Democrats express alarm as Trump uses office to grow his personal fortune to ‘unprecedented’ level
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Hediye Levent @hediyelevent.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
📌Amerika-İsrail ilişkisi sarsılıyor mu? 📌Trump'ın İran hesaplarında son durum ne? Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social ile Amerika içindeki durumu ve savaşın seyrini konuştuk. Abone olmayı unutmayın! www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OCf...
youtube.com
İran savaşında yeni cephe mi açılıyor? Amerika, İsrail'e desteğini sürdürecek mi?
YouTube video by Hediye Levent
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Al-MONITOR @almonitor.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
OPEC+ boosts September production by 188,000 barrels/day www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
al-monitor.com
OPEC+ boosts September production by 188,000 barrels/day
Saudi Arabia, Russia and five other key members of OPEC+ agreed in an online meeting Sunday to boost oil production by 188,000 barrels a day from September, against a backdrop of disruption caused by…
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Dr. Albert B. Wolf @abwolf1648.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
New @warontherocks.bsky.social: how do the Iran war, Assad's fall, & the PKK's dissolution reshape Kurdish prospects? Joined @gonultol.bsky.social, @akmckeever.bsky.social, & Mohammed Salih to break it down. My section: KRG's leverage with Baghdad. warontherocks.com/the-shifting...
warontherocks.com
The Shifting Fortunes of the Kurds
The Kurds’ fortunes have ebbed and flowed in recent years, but the fall of the Assad regime in Syria in December 2024, the 2025 decision by the Kurdistan
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
📰 Sunday extras: "From Weak Link to Kingmaker? Turkey's NATO Moment" with Amb. John Bass, Gen. Phil Breedlove and @gonultol.bsky.social. [1/5]
youtube.com
From Weak Link to Kingmaker? Turkey's NATO Moment
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
"Can Turkey’s Opposition Fight Back?" with Ilhan Uzgel and @gonultol.bsky.social. [2/5]
youtube.com
Can Turkey's Opposition Fight Back?
YouTube video by Middle East Institute
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
My latest in Foreign Affairs 👇 www.foreignaffairs.com/turkey/turke...
foreignaffairs.com
Turkey’s Quiet Realignment
Russia’s loss is NATO’s gain.
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Gönül Tol @gonultol.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Hadnt seen this, I will read it shortly (I am sure it is brilliant as always)
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 08/06/2026
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com “Russia’s decline has given Turkey, after a decade of deference to Moscow, the freedom to pursue its interests. Ukraine is the beneficiary,” Gonul Tol writes.
nyti.ms
Opinion | Erdogan and Putin, the End of an Unlikely Partnership
Russia’s decline has given Turkey the freedom to pursue its interests, and Ukraine is the beneficiary.
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