iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Presenting at #NewportGlobalSummit ... making the point that the challenge is bridging the gap between national security vulnerabilities and private sector profitability ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Thoughts on #geotechnology and the need to think about #technostrategic power .. www.linkedin.com/posts/nikola...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

In the new age of multipolarity, America may continue to constitute the single most powerful pole." In 2026, is that still necessarily the case? 2/ orbisjournal.org/from-the-arc...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 23/03/2026

As surpluses and the stored "oil glut" gets used up--either directly used or for storage, the longer we have disruptions, the more this trend will manifest. 2/ www.linkedin.com/posts/nikola...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

Again, the #trilemma pressure this will put governments under ... especially for those for whom food prices is a core component of their #prosperity_legitimacy_equation. 1/ (Chart via @AzizSapphire ...)

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

Via @javierblas.bsky.social ... "To watch in the next 24 hours: Japan is on alert for a possible release of its strategic petroleum reserve, the world's 3rd largest (after China and US)."

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

See their discussion at @fpri.bsky.social here: 2/ www.fpri.org/event/2023/m...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

So as I start to go through the charges against Nicolas Maduro, it almost seems to follow the plot line of "Live and Let Die": Maduro as head of state and the jefe of the Cartel de los Soles ... like the way Dr. Kananga was prime minister of San Monique and "Mr. Big."

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 26/11/2025

Very interesting to see the growth in this process--and how the U.S. seems to be moving towards a Japanese/German model of having the government and the private sector align their efforts ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 03/07/2025

So if strategic minerals access becomes a new central organizing principle for U.S. foreign relations, this list suggests a reordering and refocusing of priority countries and regions … #CIWAG2025

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 21/06/2025

Assume Putin can issue a medal like Catherine II after the partitions of Poland ... "what was torn away I have returned" ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 19/04/2025

China is not waiting to see if the West can get its act together for the #middlecorridor and #IMEC projects. Greater Silk Road integration will happen.

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 15/12/2024

Seeing these investments--a reminder that the #democratic_community must find ways to have investment and technology cross borders in order to be able to compete with China, per advice given by @ashjain50.bsky.social and @matthewkroenig.bsky.social ... #DTEP

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

Yet another example of a #roundabout in action …

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 25/09/2024

Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #886,086!

A virtual certificate with text "Celebrating 10M users on Bluesky, #886,086, FPRIOrbis (Nick Gvosdev) ‪@fpriorbis.bsky.social‬, joined on Sep 6, 2023"

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 19/04/2024

China is the prime supplier for Latin America's green transition.

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 08/01/2024

The two shocks of Covid and Ukraine …

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 28/12/2023

Consumers' revenge as predicted by Carolyn Kissane back in 2021 validated by data ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 16/12/2023

And another view of the maritime supply chains and points where they can be interrupted …

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 15/12/2023

Reminder about global choke points and the world’s food supply chain …

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 18/11/2023

This of course presupposes that the U.S. is extending an invitation to join and that the bloc is substantive. No #IPEF announcement at #APEC means these states have to continue to hedge their bets with China. 1/

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 08/11/2023

Fascinating tracker being developed by Zongyuan Zoe Liu for CFR on Chinese acquisition of port facilities around the world ... www.cfr.org/tracker/chin...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 24/10/2023

Fascinating map showing a BRI perspective of how the world connects ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 21/10/2023

German economic performance and Poland’s net beneficiary status may create headwinds for Ukraine’s hopes for rapid EU accession …

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 10/10/2023

Via Theresa Fallon, Commerce sanctions 42 Chinese firms for selling electronic components to Russian companies which can be used in precision-guided weaponry ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 07/10/2023

As they say, a picture is worth a thousand words ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 03/10/2023

Promote green transitions, or decouple from China? Which takes priority?

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 03/10/2023

Via Agathe Demarais found this interesting--with implications for the Asia+1 trend Parag Khanna identified, and why SE Asia is going to play such an important role in consolidating the DTEP (democratic trade and economic partnership) Ash Jain and Matthew Kroenig describe.

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 02/10/2023

Via @soliman.bsky.social ... China was the largest buyer of Africa's mineral exports, accounting for 43% of the total, including 32% of the region's ores and metals exports. This drives continental engagement with China ...

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 01/10/2023

America's share of the global economy has remained pretty constant. It is Europe's major relative decline vis-a-vis Asia that will require the U.S. to make choices about priorities and priority partners. Consolidate N/S America, Europe and W Africa? Or shift attention from Atlantic basin?

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 22/09/2023

A very instructive map. China wants Europe to stay in the red--and pass energy savings on to customers. India wants to stay beige--so it will not sever its energy relationship with Russia. Does Europe continue to offshore some production to North America?

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 11/09/2023

Via Parag Khanna, a way to envision these new transoceanic corridors linking the Euro-Atlantic and Indian ocean basins--or as Mohammed Soliman calls it, the "Indo-Abrahamic" corridor.

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