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Florian Krampe

@floriankrampe.bsky.social
4K followers 329 following 112 posts

Director Climate Change & Risk Programme @SIPRI.org | #ClimateSecurity, conflict, peacebuilding, & security | PhD Uppsala Peace | 🇸🇪🇩🇪 | Geriatric Millennial. FlorianKrampe.org

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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The usual question is what AI does to the planet. The bigger question is what the planet does to AI. That was my argument at the Asia New Vision Forum in Singapore this week, hosted by @caixinglobal.bsky.social and DLD.
Florian Krampe speaking on the AI panel at the Asia New Vision Forum in Singapore, seated between two other speakers, with Caixin, DLD and ANVF Innovation 2026 logos on the screen behind.Florian Krampe speaking into a microphone on the AI panel at the ANVF Innovation 2026 forum in Singapore, seated in a white armchair in front of an orange and pink screen.
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Europe will probably not run out of diesel this winter. That is not where the security risk sits. Syria shows why. Diesel up 40% in mid-September, protests in at least five provinces, a subsidised tier within a week.
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Climate is not chapter six of the risk report. It is the physical ground every other plan stands on. You cannot take Russia, cyber and a physical world that no longer holds still in turn. Put them all in the middle of the table and design from there. Opening panel, Di Säkerhet & Beredskap.
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Opinion — A Super El Nino is here and ASEAN is running out of time. The region has the tools to limit the damage, but funding and coordination fall short By Florian Krampe and Mely Caballero-Anthony asia.nikkei.com/opinion/a-su...
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Stacy VanDeveer @stacydvandeveer.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Check it! Blaming the Weather for the Fire - www.newsecuritybeat.org/2026/07/blam... @conresglobal.bsky.social @geoffdabelko.bsky.social @lswatuk.bsky.social @eswein.bsky.social @floriankrampe.bsky.social
newsecuritybeat.org
Blaming the Weather for the Fire
This article was originally published by African Arguments and has been lightly edited for style. On March 19th, the president undertook a historic two-day trip to London, the first by a Nigerian [......
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Phil @ekeokochaphil.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
My new piece on Africa Arguments: “Blaming the Weather for the Fire.” Tinubu blamed climate & the Sahel for Nigeria’s terrorism. He’s not entirely wrong but it’s a deflection. Climate is the candle. State failure, poverty & neglect light the flame. 🔥 @stacydvandeveer.bsky.social
africanarguments.org
Blaming the weather for the fire | African Arguments
Nigeria’s terrorism crisis has deeper roots than Tinubu admitted in London On March 19th, the president undertook a historic two-day trip to London, the first by a Nigerian leader in nearly 40 years. ...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
The UN paid a water bill. It didnt make the conflict go away. youtu.be/l3TptlUu5BI?...
youtu.be
How can climate change help us build a more peaceful world? | Florian Krampe | TEDxMidAtlantic
YouTube video by TEDx Talks
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
How can climate change help us build a more peaceful world? youtu.be/l3TptlUu5BI?...
youtu.be
How can climate change help us build a more peaceful world? | Florian Krampe | TEDxMidAtlantic
YouTube video by TEDx Talks
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Ashok Swain @ashoswai.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
Climate change is not destined to fuel conflict, it can also become a powerful pathway to peace. This TEDx talk by @floriankrampe.bsky.social challenges conventional narratives & shows how climate action, cooperation & resilience can help build a more peaceful world. www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3Tp...
youtube.com
How can climate change help us build a more peaceful world? | Florian Krampe | TEDxMidAtlantic
YouTube video by TEDx Talks
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Corporate boards are miscalculating global risk, and it is costing them. ⏩ www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
linkedin.com
#afghanistan #climateadaptation #climatesecurity | Florian Krampe
Corporate boards are miscalculating global risk, and it is costing them. When executives look at a climate-stressed region or a conflict zone, the prevailing wisdom is to label it a "no-go" area and ...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
I have spent the last 17 years studying environmental and climate security. But the most revealing trend I've seen this month didn't come from a geopolitical summit. It came from tech start-ups. ⏩ www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
linkedin.com
I have spent the last 17 years studying environmental and climate security. But the most revealing trend I've seen this month didn't come from a geopolitical summit. It came from tech… | Flori...
I have spent the last 17 years studying environmental and climate security. But the most revealing trend I've seen this month didn't come from a geopolitical summit. It came from tech start-ups. Looki...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
I grew up in Duisburg in the 1980s. The skies were often gray. The blast furnaces didn’t just define our economy; they were the geopolitical gravity of the region. ⏩ www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
linkedin.com
I grew up in Duisburg in the 1980s. The skies were often gray. The blast furnaces didn’t just define our economy; they were the geopolitical gravity of the region. Steel was king. Today, it remains… ...
I grew up in Duisburg in the 1980s. The skies were often gray. The blast furnaces didn’t just define our economy; they were the geopolitical gravity of the region. Steel was king. Today, it remains r...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
The current LNG crunch stresses another criticial indirect impact of the Iran war: the war in the Gulf just dismantled years of climate progress in East Asia through the panic-driven return to coal. ⏩ www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
linkedin.com
In my recent TRT World interview with Reagan Des Vignes, we discussed how conflict creates a massive "indirect emission surge." I focused mostly on disrupted logistics and longer flight path...
In my recent TRT World interview with Reagan Des Vignes, we discussed how conflict creates a massive "indirect emission surge." I focused mostly on disrupted logistics and longer flight paths. The cu...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
When we report on war, we focus on troop movements and humanitarian corridors. In my recent interview with TRT World's Reagan des Vignes, we discussed why the environmental footprint of conflict is so difficult to erase. 📺⏩ youtu.be/IDyo1PMGK_4?...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Smart green money must move to conflict zones. New FDI tactics can lay the groundwork for stability and sustainable growth in today’s no-go areas argue Katongo Seyuba and I. ⏩ fdiintelligence.com/content/7a6b... #ClimateSecurity
fdiintelligence.com
Smart green money must move to conflict zones
New FDI tactics can lay the groundwork for stability and sustainable growth in today’s no-go areas
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
The #MSC2026 report "Under Destruction" offers a powerful analysis of our fracturing geopolitical order. My latest in @financialtimes.com complements this by looking at the physical order: ft.com/content/b44f... @munsecconf.bsky.social #ClimateSecurity #Arctic @sipri.org
ft.com
The changing physics of the Arctic are the real defence threat
Critical operational zones are becoming more unpredictable
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 11/02/2026
SIPRI Director of Studies @floriankrampe.bsky.social discusses the changing physics of the Arctic in this opinion piece for the @financialtimes.com, and explains why environmental realities must be taken into account. Full article ➡️ bit.ly/4kqOLhM #Arctic #ClimateSecurity #Geopolitics #SIPRI
bit.ly
The changing physics of the Arctic are the real defence threat
Critical operational zones are becoming more unpredictable
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Karsten Lemm @lemmk.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
The real #Greenland problem? Leaders ignore “the water rising around their ankles”, SIPRI’s @floriankrampe.bsky.social argues “Countries are systematically underinvesting in protection against environmental forces that degrade the capabilities of their defence assets…” www.ft.com/content/b44f...
ft.com
The changing physics of the Arctic are the real defence threat
Critical operational zones are becoming more unpredictable
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 09/02/2026
How can investing in the green transition build lasting resilience? SIPRI's @floriankrampe.bsky.social and Aurore Belfrage break it down in their latest external article for @di.se. Read it now: www.di.se/debatt/inves...
di.se
Investeringar i klimat och försvar ger riktig resiliens
DEBATT: Parallellt med försvarsupprustningen behöver vi accelerera investeringarna i den gröna omställningen för att skapa resiliens, förutsättningar för…
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
We are treating "Green vs. Military" as a budget war. It should be an innovation race. 🇸🇪 Sweden’s defense budget is up 34%. If we don't invest in dual-use tech, we are funding obsolescence. The Nordics can own this export market. My op-ed w/ @aurorebelfrage.bsky.social in @di.se.
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 27/01/2026
Last week, SIPRI's @floriankrampe.bsky.social spoke at a panel hosted by Oesterreichische Nationalbank on sustainable security. 📺 Watch the panel discussion: www.youtube.com/watch?v=91ik... #Sustainability #SustainableSecurity #ClimateRisks #Resilience
youtube.com
Sustainable Security? Balancing Risks and Resources in Europe’s Climate and Defense Transition
YouTube video by Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
I spent this week in two very different rooms, discussing the same looming failure. You cannot buy 21st-century security with a 20th-century receipt. If we treat "National Security" and "Ecological Security" as separate line items, we fail at both. #ClimateSecurity
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
EU defense spending is up 16%. But a budget ignoring climate resilience is built on quicksand. Deterrence fails when troops are tied up in disaster relief. Wed at @oenb.at, we debate the operational reality. It isn't about emissions. It's about survival. www.linkedin.com/events/balan...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
We define projects by the name of the pot where the money comes from, not by the problems they solve. As I discussed with @danbanik.bsky.social this isn't just an administrative headache. It is a systemic failure. youtu.be/Hb6voDIkS1c?...
youtu.be
Climate, conflict and the development squeeze – Florian Krampe
YouTube video by In Pursuit of Development
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
I sat down with @danbanik.bsky.social to discuss why "hard security" is becoming a brittle strategy in the Anthropocene. Full discussion on In Pursuit of Development: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hb6v... #ClimateSecurity #Defense #Peacebuilding @sipri.org
youtube.com
Climate, conflict and the development squeeze – Florian Krampe
YouTube video by In Pursuit of Development
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 15/12/2025
This new partner publication by @giz.de, ISS and SIPRI brings together research and practical experience to offer actionable recommendations for making work on fragility more effective and sustainable➡️ bit.ly/44skwQW #Peace #Development @floriankrampe.bsky.social @dylan-odriscoll.bsky.social
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
We have the capital. We have the technology. What we lack is a social machinery capable of using them. 👉 www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
linkedin.com
#climatesecurity #governance #innovation | Florian Krampe
We have the capital. We have the technology. What we lack is a social machinery capable of using them. Earlier this week, I posted about the bureaucratic nightmare of accessing EU climate funds. It e...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Europe is focused on the Eastern flank. But can we afford to let "hard security" blind us to #ClimateSecurity risks? If we drain resilience funding to buy tanks, we aren't safer—we’re just vulnerable in a different way. My discussion w Dominic Bowen 👇 open.spotify.com/episode/2ffE...
open.spotify.com
Episode 291: Climate Insecurity, Conflict, and Europe's Expanding Risk Perimeter with Dr Florian Krampe
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
If European industry can’t navigate this bureaucracy, what hope do Fragile States have? New data from the Financial Times on the EU Innovation Fund is damning: ❌ €7.1bn awarded since 2021 ❌ Only 4.7% actually paid out ❌ 3,000 hours and €85k per application www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
linkedin.com
#climatesecurity #euinnovation #governance | Florian Krampe
If European industry can’t navigate this bureaucracy, what hope do Fragile States have? New data from the Financial Times on the EU Innovation Fund is damning: ❌ €7.1bn awarded since 2021 ❌ Only 4.7...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 29/11/2025
Is your supply chain strategy prepared for the coming governance deficit? Climate stress + weak institutions = commercial volatility. Companies that win will treat resilience as an investment, not a reporting burden. 🎧 open.spotify.com/episode/2ffE... #Geopolitics #BusinessStrategy
open.spotify.com
Episode 291: Climate Insecurity, Conflict, and Europe's Expanding Risk Perimeter with Dr Florian Krampe
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Stacy VanDeveer @stacydvandeveer.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Can the world quit #coal? #COP30 #energy #ActOnClimate #Brazil #China #India @matpaterson.bsky.social @leahstokes.bsky.social theconversation.com/can-the-worl...
theconversation.com
Can the world quit coal?
Nearly a third of all countries worldwide have pledged to phase out their unabated coal-burning power. But China and India are still adding coal plants – for now.
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
I've always believed in intentionally exposing myself to difficult situations. Public speaking. Pitching to publishers. Interviewing senior policymakers. The reasoning is simple: If you don't try, you don't win. If you don't fail, you can't grow.
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 09/10/2025
Today, #SIPRI releases a new research policy paper by Katongo Seyuba and @floriankrampe.bsky.social exploring how businesses can foster climate resilience and #peacebuilding in fragile and conflict-affected situations. Full paper 🔗 doi.org/10.55163/PDK... #ClimateSecurity #ClimateChange
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
Most CEOs see fragile states as a risk to be avoided. But could they be the single greatest untapped market for European business, especially in regards to climate-resilient investments? Katongo Seyuba and I explore the question: www.sipri.org/publications... #ClimateSecurity
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
🇨🇿✨
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 09/09/2025
Despite having a clear mandate to work at the intersection of #ClimateChange and security, the #OSCE's approach is still to reach its full potential. In this new Policy Brief, Emma Hakala & @floriankrampe.bsky.social give recommendations to strengthen the OSCE’s work: 🔗 doi.org/10.55163/MLS...
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
The OSCE has a long history of environment & security. How to turn high-level commitments into on-the-ground action? Our new @sipri.org Policy Brief w/ @ezhakala.bsky.social of @fiia.fi offers a roadmap. 📰⏩Read it here: www.sipri.org/publications... #ClimateSecurity
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Vital debate at the Bled Strategic Forum on the nexus of #water, peace & #security. My key message: We must treat water as the political issue it is. While climate change raises the stakes, conflict is not destiny. Evidence-based, preventive action can build pathways to peace.
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
The Soča River, with its turquoise water carving its way, offers a striking paradox. Breathtaking beauty set against a backdrop of historical trauma. 📰⏩ www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe... #ClimateSecurity #BSF2025 #WaterSecurity
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
🇸🇮
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 30/08/2025
My message from the stage at #WWWeek: 1️⃣ Climate impacts are real security risks. 2️⃣ But conflict is NOT a foregone conclusion. 3️⃣ Governance, policy, and choice are the pathways to peace. Grateful to everyone who engaged in this critical conversation. #ClimateSecurity
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Europe is rushing to rearm. But what if it's preparing for yesterday's world? In a great new piece by @Zetland, I argue that ignoring climate change undermines the very security we're trying to build. We don't have the luxury of sequencing threats. 🧵 www.zetland.dk/historie/sT9...
zetland.dk
Vi opruster til en verden uden klimaforandringer. Men det er jo ikke den, vi lever i
Bag tidens største sikkerhedstrussel gemmer sig en endnu større, siger sikkerhedsekspert.
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New Security Beat @newsecuritybeat.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
AI's confident lies about climate research reveal a dangerous gap—not just in tech, but in our understanding of how to use it. New piece by @floriankrampe.bsky.social of @sipri.org explores the human side of the AI crisis: www.newsecuritybeat.org/2025/08/ais-...
newsecuritybeat.org
AI’s Hallucinations Are a Warning—About Ourselves
Tobias Ide’s recent article on his experiments with Generative AI should send a chill down the spine of any researcher, including those who work on climate and environmental security. When Ide [...]
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
We're asking #LLMs, a novelist, to perform a financial audit and are shocked at the fiction it produces. The ghost in the machine is our own flawed approach. My take on #GenAI in climate security research @newsecuritybeat.bsky.social. 📰⏩ www.newsecuritybeat.org/2025/08/ais-... #ClimateSecurity
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
In post-conflict zones, water projects fail for one primary reason. 📰⏩ www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
linkedin.com
In post-conflict zones, water projects fail for one primary reason. | Florian Krampe
In post-conflict zones, water projects fail for one primary reason. And it has nothing to do with engineering. For years, we have explored why well-intentioned efforts to manage water in fragile sta...
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 11/08/2025
New external publication by SIPRI’s @floriankrampe.bsky.social and Cedric de Coning explores how #ClimateChange and violent extremism are interconnected, and how environmental peacebuilding can help address both 🔗 bit.ly/3J8IdWz #ClimateSecurity #Peacebuilding
bit.ly
Climate Change, Environmental Peacebuilding, and Preventing and Counte
Climate change is transforming the peace and security landscape, creating new opportunities for violent extremism to emerge. Therefore, climate change must be
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Is Europe's massive defence spending surge a strategic gamble? In the rush to counter conventional threats, we are building a 21st-century military on quicksand. That quicksand is climate change: www.weforum.org/stories/2025... #ClimateSecurity
weforum.org
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The Military Emissions Gap @militaryemissions.org · 07/08/2025
Here @floriankrampe.bsky.social argues that more of the EU's planned increase in military spending be targeted towards dual use tech responsive to the #ClimateCrisis and #decarbonisation. www.weforum.org/stories/2025... 1/3
weforum.org
Europe's defence push can't ignore dual-use climate-defence tech
Europe’s defence is vulnerable to climate change. Smarter spending must align military readiness with climate-responsive dual-use technologies.
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Florian Krampe @floriankrampe.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
The air was still with the sounds of the city... ...carved into the stone monument a solemn vow: "Let all the souls here rest in peace for we shall not repeat the evil." 80 years on, a day for reflection and peace. #Hiroshima80
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Stacy VanDeveer @stacydvandeveer.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Excellent read! Check it! www.weforum.org/stories/2025...
weforum.org
Europe's defence push can't ignore dual-use climate-defence tech
Europe’s defence is vulnerable to climate change. Smarter spending must align military readiness with climate-responsive dual-use technologies.
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