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Eric Maugendre on adapting

@eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy

9 followers 1 following 66 posts

Work collectives, design ethics, adaptation to climate risks. 🌉 bridged from ⁂ social.coop/@eric, follow @ap.brid.gy to interact

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Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre about carbon @maugendre.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 10/10/2026

'The current fuel load in some Australian forests is not “natural”. It is a product of colonisation, which loaded Australian landscapes with fuel [because] frontier violence and massacres between the 1830s and 1860s removed [people] and disrupted a millennia-long […] [Original post on mas.to]

Cultural burning disrupted is a cause of Catastrophic wildfire loop

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 07/10/2026

#solutions #rootCause #AI #futurism

4 picture meme:
1. "My genius machine will find solutions to all the world problems".
2. /computer - "Thinking",
3. /computer - "You already have all the solutions. You just refuse to implement them to protect the financial interests of the wealthiest 0.001%"
4. Inventor - /unplugs machine, "It just needs some tweaking"

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 05/10/2026

Here is where i come from: If you train your machine on data with too few dimensions, you cannot capture the behaviour. When learning statistics, we are taught of the perils of #overfitting: If as many dimensions as data points, predictions tend to perform worse on out-of-sample data.

a cloud of x and o is given a frontier of a simple curve (Appropriate fitting) or of an intricate curve (Overfitting)
adapted from Kate Crawford @katecrawford.bsky.social https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fMym_BKWQzk&t=640s

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre about data @maugendre.hachyderm.io.ap.brid.gy · 05/10/2026

In the below fields, #adaptability may already be baked in, if the system has absorbed other contexts: • Staff have a life apart from being managed. • Animals, trees, ecosystems retain lessons from history. • The machine model with many features will promptly react to disruption. Here is a nice […]

Original post on hachyderm.io

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 01/10/2026

"The bystanders who did not believe you were not simply reading the situation incorrectly. They were responding to a tactic specifically designed to produce that result. Their failure to support you was the intended outcome of a deliberate sequence — not a verdict on your credibility or your […]

Original post on social.coop

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 27/09/2026

Passive rewilding refers to *actively unmanaged* environments that are allowed to regain natural dominance, typically after their abandonment. 🧵 Sometimes referred to as "natural regeneration", it differs from other forms of rewilding in that direct human management or intervention is absent.

Abandoned railroad platforms of the Central Railroad of New Jersey Terminal, United States.
It lies just west of Battery Park, Manhattan, NYC.

Abandoned railroad platforms of the Central Railroad of New Jersey Terminal, United States.
It lies just west of Battery Park, Manhattan, NYC.

Post and picture from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passive_rewilding CC BY-SA 4.0

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 27/09/2026

Passive rewilding refers to *actively unmanaged* environments that are allowed to regain natural dominance, typically after their abandonment. 🧵 Sometimes referred to as "natural regeneration", it differs from other forms of rewilding in that direct human […] [Original post on social.coop]

Abandoned railroad platforms of the Central Railroad of New Jersey Terminal, United States.
It lies just west of Battery Park, Manhattan, NYC.

Post and picture from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passive_rewilding CC BY-SA 4.0

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 25/07/2026

"What #publishing, our dubious white ally, does so often to marginalized creators. They want the credibility of our identities, want to market our biographies. They want to sell our suffering, smoothed down and made palatable to the white readers they prioritize. To assuage white guilt with […]

Original post on techhub.social

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Estelle Platini @estelle.eurosky.social · 25/09/2026

Liberal arts and critical thinking are as relevant as ever. So Why is their education dwindling? For decades, such departments have been actively crippled by institutions that shun them on principle. Read Sarah Blackwood: archive.is/lOrsl 🧶 #humanities #acceleration #higherEd #academicChatter

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 25/09/2026

Liberal arts and critical thinking are as relevant as ever. So Why is their education dwindling? For decades, such departments have been actively crippled by institutions that shun them on principle. Read Sarah Blackwood: archive.is/lOrsl 🧶 #humanities #acceleration #convergence […]

Original post on techhub.social

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 21/09/2026

"We find that concurrent heatwaves in major wheat producers significantly reduce production and exports, particularly in predominantly rainfed countries. Country-specific analyses reveal that production in key trade partners of most wheat-importing countries is […] [Original post on social.coop]

Top wheat producers and exporters
(a), (b) Top wheat producers (a) and exporters (b) that accounted for more than 80% of the world’s wheat production and exports, respectively, over 1992–2022.
The size of each circle segment is proportional to a country’s production (a) or export (b) share over 1992–2022 (in %).

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 21/09/2026

… Life is less and less sustainable outside of air conditioning. Read Aruna Chandrasekhar: www.equator.org/articles/city-of-sw… #summer #adaptation #India #Mumbai

City of Sweat • EQUATOR

A vision of our overheated future on the streets of Mumbai

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Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 16/09/2026

Q: "Will the AI bubble bursting be the moment in history where we'll have to come to terms with the fact that we'll need to stabilise societies with extant resources, people and technology?" A: As with pandemics, societies will continue to function. But there will be a shock opportunity.

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 16/09/2026

“For millions of children, climate hazards do not just disrupt classes; they also destroy their schools, uproot their families and deprive the most vulnerable,” said Unicef Executive Director Catherine Russell […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 15/09/2026

Mr. Sponge City, Kongjian Yu, made cities porous to soften floods & droughts: rdcu.be/d5ouG We lost Kongjian last year in a tragic accident. But his vision lives on. "The water cycle is a key climate stabilizer but overlooked by policymakers. Restoring wetlands, floodplains, forests […]

Original post on social.coop

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 15/09/2026

We can barely imagine how landscape transforms if we remove livestock and restore habitat. Here is an amazing example by the Borders Forest trust and Rewild Scotland […] [Original post on social.coop]

a valley brown with livestock (left) and green after habitat restoration (right)

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre about carbon @maugendre.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 07/09/2026

"By 2025, we ranked second in the world to electrify our transport system. "A question now sits on the same foundation the water has exposed. What does losing 10 percent of national generation capacity in one morning actually mean? Someone like a taxi driver, who might have financed an electric […]

Original post on mas.to

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 09/09/2026

'At least 5.5 M people in Borneo and Sumatra have been directly exposed to smoke.' “When landscapes that have long been safeguarded by indigenous communities are transformed into industrial-scale production zones, the ecological function of these areas as a buffer against fire is also weakened”.

reddmonitor.substack.com

Indonesia faces a wildfire catastrophe. Again

And El Niño could cause the fires to get much worse.

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 06/09/2026

Continuous contour trenches are on-contour swales. They serve to slow water down, which increases the groundwater table. youtu.be/-8nqnOcoLqE via @erikcats #ponds #water #basins #swales #contours #India #permaculture #adaptation #groundwater #agriculture #tankers #drought #droughts

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 04/09/2026

Interview with a Nepali climate negotiator about: • how the government is handling rescue and relief in the aftermath of the disastrous flooding • the kinds of international support it seeks, including from the climate loss and damage fund. drilled.media/news/nepal-floods #attribution […]

Original post on social.coop

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 18/08/2026

… The World Bank wishes for more investment in methane gas infrastructure. 🔥 The World Bank cites the USA as progress. The language is deliberate:

World Bank HIGHLIGHTS
• A missed opportunity of historic scale. The 167 bcm of gas flared in 2025 exceeds the volume of LNG (liquified natural gas) that transited the Persian Gulf last year; a resource large enough to equal the gas consumption of Africa, yet burned without benefit.
• The economics demand action. The gas wasted in 2025 was worth an estimated US$54 billion. Eliminating routine flaring globally would require US$70–100 billion in upfront investment, roughly twice what is currently being lost each year. Yet despite the tools needed to end routine flaring being well established, it persists; what holds back progress is not technical but structural — inadequate regulation, insufficient capital, limited market infrastructure, and a failure by operators and governments to treat reduction as a priority.
• Progress is possible. Kazakhstan has cut flaring by 87 percent since 2012, and the United States made the largest absolute reduction of any country in 2025. Proven solutions exist. What is needed is the commitment to deploy them.

Excerpt from https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/gasflaringreduction/publication/2026-global-gas-flaring-tracker-report

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 30/08/2026

"We demonstrate a crucial link between the projected increase in spatially compounding hot, wet, and dry extremes and the amplification of global economic exposure. […] Our findings reveal that regions with lower present-day economic wealth are more likely to face extreme events simultaneously […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 24/08/2026

Models to assess scenarios of futures often reflect Western concerns and values. They assume persistent inequalities, obscure ethical or normative choices, and systematically fail to include stakeholders and scientists from other cultures. " • We explore limitations of modelling science in […]

Original post on social.coop

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 23/08/2026

"Adapting to climate change will be increasingly challenging as the weather worsens each year, Asia’s top climate scientist said in a wide-ranging interview." Prof. from Hong Kong’s City University also warned of “humanitarian disasters” as the world’s climate becomes more unstable and […]

Original post on social.coop

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

kim_harding ✅ @kim-harding.mastodon.scot.ap.brid.gy · 23/08/2026

Early cereal grain growth was shaped by water, not early farming, study finds archaeologymag.com/2026/08/cereal-g… Early Neolithic cereals grew larger in parts of southwest Asia because of wetter growing conditions, rather than human selection through […]

Original post on mastodon.scot

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 08/08/2026

The EU's adaptation framework offers an illusion of preparation. Laying out plans for a 3°C drift average does not make it survivable. But it makes it seem so. 🧵 Europe is not even preparing for what happened recently! In the pine plantations west of Bordeaux, firefighters met the first […]

Original post on social.coop

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 23/08/2026

If temperatures were ever to stabilize, impacts do not reverse. A community displaced by repeated drought does not return home. A farming household that sold its land after successive crop failures has no capital base to re-enter. Lives lost to heat extremes are not restored. A scientific […]

Original post on social.coop

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 22/08/2026

… "The rush to plant #trees is above all a PR strategy to reassure public opinion by creating the illusion that the situation is under control and that a quick return to normal is likely. But it also displays a profound lack of understanding of forestry from institutions, because planting trees […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 22/08/2026

… Potted trees don't work at scale. (Most trees from pot die too early if you don't pamper them.) From 2019 on, tree planting was hype. The craze was kicked off by the UN. We still need optimism but it is good that this false solution has faded. Real solutions include care: * supporting […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 21/08/2026

”When our rewilding program started, many big corporations offered us huge amounts of money if we certified carbon credits. We consulted with communities. But our answer was that we don’t sell nature.” #climateFinance #wetlands #rewetting #prevention #deterrence […] [Original post on social.coop]

A tree plantation being restored to peatland-swamp in Finland, Kauhaneva

Ref: https://e360.yale.edu/features/tero-mustonen-interview

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 21/08/2026

A stream winds through fields on the Holnicote estate, #Somerset. The rewilding projects help “store water during drought… and slow water during extreme rainfall“. “Nature is providing solutions to some of the biggest challenges facing society today,” said Ben […] [Original post on social.coop]

A stream winds through fields on the Holnicote estate. The rewilding projects help ‘store water during drought… and slow water during extreme rainfall’. Photograph Steve Sayers, National Trust Images

“Nature is providing solutions to some of the biggest challenges facing society today,” said Ben Eardley, the project manager at the Holnicote estate. “For generations as a nation we’ve drained wetlands, straightened rivers and moved water off the land as quickly as possible. Here, we’ve reversed that approach and the results are remarkable.

“By reconnecting river systems with the surrounding area and creating natural sponges in the landscape, we’ve created a system that stores water during drought, keeping wetlands and the surrounding habitats healthy, and slows water during storms and periods of extreme rainfall, helping to protect villages from the risk of flooding downstream.”

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 21/08/2026

Let me start a thread on nature restoration, rewilding, reforestation 🧵 #adaptation #mitigation #carbon #carbonSinks #restoration #rewilding #reforestation #land #wetlands #rewetting #deterrence #prevention #drought #droughts #wildfires #heatwaves #landSink

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 16/08/2026

There are "multifaceted reasons for our collective failure to bend the global emissions curve. However, a common thread that emerges across the reviewed literature is the central role of power, manifest in many forms, from a dogmatic political-economic hegemony and influential vested interests […]

Original post on techhub.social

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 18/08/2026

“Is there a sadness greater than having to leave your place of birth?”, one relocated participant in Odisha asked us. They described leaving behind their farmland, trees and home, and arriving somewhere with “not even flowers to offer the Gods” […]

Original post on social.coop

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 16/08/2026

"Forest thinning […] can deliver wood for local industry, absorb carbon and improve habitat for wildlife. It is a win-win-win outcome that challenges the false dichotomy of conservation versus production that has dominated public debate for decades." …

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 16/08/2026

Here is a thread on #forests #degradation due to #climateChange (itself due to #carbon emissions) 🧵 #ecology #science

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 10/08/2026

… Fossil-based agriculture is doomed because its plants cannot resist big heatwaves. Adaptation could involve sustainable agriculture (such a permaculture). In parts losing rain (notably because of AMOC shutdown), people could resort to sustainable agriculture too ‒ inspired from tradition at […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 10/08/2026

"Uncertainties in future food security will remain large." "Out of 42 models, 10 models show climate outcomes at a 2 °C warming that are well beyond the multimodel mean at 4 °C of global warming (Fig. 3b). This stresses the need for a careful assessment of their […] [Original post on social.coop]

Extreme climate outcomes for droughts across breadbaskets worldwide

"The considered breadbaskets cover most of the global maize, wheat, soybean and rice productions."

a, Multimodel mean of the projected frequency of annual soil moisture droughts in a 2 °C warmer world relative to preindustrial conditions (1851–1900), that is, ΔDrought frequency.

b, Left orange bar: the global climatic impact-driver f used to identify climate outcomes, that is, ΔDrought frequency averaged over global breadbasket regions (areas shown in c), computed for individual climate models in a 2 °C world (the black thick line shows the multimodel mean).

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 10/08/2026

Before successfully settling in the Middle East, humans very much diversified the environments they could live in. @elliescerri.bsky.social: "This work inspired questions about when humans really began to intensively exploit different niches. The answer showed that ecological diversity is at […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 10/08/2026

"The worst-case scenarios in the IPCC report project temperatures by the 22nd century that last prevailed in the Early Eocene, reversing 50 million years of cooler climates in the space of two centuries. […] The rise of large-scale, urbanized agrarian societies […] [Original post on social.coop]

Population density across the world
A detailed 3D render illustrates our biggest urban areas
by Alasdair Rae
From https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/3d-mapping-the-worlds-largest-population-densities/

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 10/08/2026

Perhaps the greatest difference between European settlement and Aboriginal Australia can be summed up in a single idea. Europeans largely believed they owned the land. Aboriginal Australians believed the land entrusted itself to their care. There is profound wisdom in that distinction. Ownership […]

Original post on social.coop

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Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 09/08/2026

From #Ireland Land Use Review latest report: “sustainable land use requires very significant change”. Journalist: "Agriculture is the main polluter of waterways, half of which fail to meet minimum environmental standards. "It is responsible for 38 per cent of national emissions." archive.ph/Al4qw

Extra land demands / hectares by 2030
Biggest are:
biomethane (130,000)
tillage (70,000)
forestry (60,000)

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 09/08/2026

… The 2026 episode questions the livability of territories. "We do not rule out having temperatures around 48-50 degrees in a punctual and very regional manner in France." "Climate change which is linked to our predatory and unsustainable lifestyles is emerging." We need to quit management […]

Original post on social.coop

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 09/08/2026

"We are exposed to major risks for people, and even for animals, and for plants, trees. Plants are no longer able to photosynthesise properly; so they enter a process of dying; which trees may trigger in a few years and plants that bear fruit or vegetables even in a few weeks, a few months." […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 09/08/2026

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵 #futures #risks #risk #riskManagement #riskAssessment #livability #habitability #climatePolicy #policy #adaptation #plantations #forestry #climateDrift #climateChange #climateFailure #climateCollapse […]

Original post on social.coop

Reposted by Eric Maugendre on adapting

Anja @maristya.norden.social.ap.brid.gy · 23/07/2026

RE: mastodon.social/@thejapantimes/1169… „Some areas were expected to remain above 30 C overnight, increasing the risk of heatstroke even after sunset and impacting sleep.“ The heat is everywhere.

mastodon.social

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 08/08/2026

… The EU's adaptation framework serves as a distraction. The cover for treating adaptation as purely technical is thinner than it has been in years. This summer ongoing disasters offer an opening to: * discuss adaptation; * look at the perpetrators […]

Original post on social.coop

Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 08/08/2026

#Adaptation gets treated as technical work when it's extremely political. Someone decides which communities are defended, which regions are given up, and who pays. France's mega-basin enforcers show how such centralization triggers organised resistance […]

Original post on social.coop

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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 08/08/2026

The EU report is detailed and gives an impression that a 3°C planet would be harsh but manageable under the same institutions. The report does not wonder about unknown unknowns. It does not address supply-chain disruption, financial contagion or people displacement. It lives in a fancy Fortress […]

Original post on social.coop