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Emmy Probasco

@emmyprobasco.bsky.social
145 followers 151 following 63 posts

Technology and national security.

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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Ben Murphy @murphyben.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
One point I want to stress from my @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social colleagues' new report today on PLA AI procurement (cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...): Internal security is #1. Read about the AI systems China is buying to surveil its own population and to track its soldiers' activity online.
cset.georgetown.edu
China’s Military AI Wish List | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
This report examines thousands of Chinese-language open-source requests for proposal (RFPs) published by the People’s Liberation Army between January 1, 2023, and December 31, 2024. The RFPs the autho...
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Lane Greene @lanegreene.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
OK, counterpoint alert: I've just spent a profitable 20 minutes chatting with GPT-4.5 in Catalan, where it has corrected my errors, explained things and gave me a quiz. It's certainly not "PhD-level" but it was *great*. It's the kind of use case these things are really for.
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 05/06/2025
Dario Amodei has an important op-ed in the NYT today about the proposed 10-year moratorium on states regulating AI. The moratorium sounds reasonable at first - avoiding a patchwork of state laws - but it's actually quite dangerous given how fast AI is moving. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/o... 1/6
nytimes.com
Opinion | Anthropic C.E.O.: Don’t Let A.I. Companies off the Hook
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Just got this from my mom. My work here is done.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
For those looking to use LLMs to summarize scientific (in this case medical) papers: "LLM summaries were twice as likely to contain generalized conclusions compared to the original abstracts, indicating an algorithmic overgeneralization tendency." pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Generalization bias in large language model summarization of scientific research
Artificial intelligence chatbots driven by large language models (LLMs) have the potential to increase public science literacy and support scientific research, as they can quickly summarize complex sc...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
In 1968, U.S. soldiers massacred hundreds of civilians in My Lai, Vietnam. The killing was interrupted by helicopter pilot Hugh Thompson Jr. If pilots are to be replaced by AI, then we should ask, could AI on a drone do the same in a future war?
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
Wrote a thing on value-based choices when deploying AI. It's based on a military situation (a sci-fi version of the My Lai massacre) but I can't help but think this is a problem lots of leaders will face in more subtle, and less stressful, ways.
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
CSET @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
As military AI evolves, ethical dilemmas grow. Should drones merely inform soldiers, coach decisions, or enforce rules of war directly? Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Niall Firth @niallfirth.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
Bradford G. Smith’s case highlights key issues about the prospect that brain implants and AI will one day merge. www.technologyreview.com/2025/05/07/1...
technologyreview.com
This patient’s Neuralink brain implant gets a boost from generative AI
A patient who types with his brain thanks to a Neuralink implant is using AI chatbots to speed things up.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Great article by the one and only @stephbatalis.bsky.social www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/0...
defenseone.com
America’s response to measles is eroding its ability to deter biological attacks
The rising death toll for a preventable disease reveals just how ill-prepared the country is to handle a malicious bioweapon.
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Anthony Michael Kreis @anthonymkreis.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Erwin Chemerinsky and @tribelaw.bsky.social: We Should All Be Very, Very Afraid www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Trump’s Gulag Archipelago (Gift Article)
Trump is seeking to establish a truly chilling proposition: that no one can stop his administration from imprisoning anyone it wants, anywhere in the world.
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Tim G. J. Rudner @timrudner.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
I'm super excited to see our #CSET report on **AI-enabled military decision support systems** being released today! Great work by @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, and Matthew Burtell!
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
CSET @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
⭐️New Report⭐️ Using AI to make military decisions? CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
cset.georgetown.edu
AI for Military Decision-Making | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Artificial intelligence is reshaping military decision-making. This concise overview explores how AI-enabled systems can enhance situational awareness and accelerate critical operational decisions—eve...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
There are plenty of technical & financial hurdles to defense against “ballistic, hypersonic, and cruise missiles, and other advanced aerial attacks” #GoldenDome. But one thing is very different from Reagan’s days: the commercial space industry. A story in @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social charts: 🧵
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CSET @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
In this month’s newsletter, CSET's @alexfriedland.bsky.social wrapped up all the latest AI & policy news: 1️⃣ GPT-4.5 & Claude 3.7 Sonnet 2️⃣ Recapping new misalignment research 3️⃣ DOD wants to speed up software acquisition 4️⃣ AI Action Plan recs And much more! cset.georgetown.edu/newsletter/m...
cset.georgetown.edu
OpenAI and Anthropic try to fend off competition with new models, ideas for the U.S. AI Action Plan, and important new misalignment research | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Plus: DOD looks to accelerate software acquisition, Trump floats CHIPS repeal, White House tries to cut off maintenance of Chinese chip tools, and the confirmation hearing for new OSTP head
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Dewey Murdick @deweyam.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
The future of AI leadership requires thoughtful policy. @CSETGeorgetown just submitted our response to @NSF's RFI on the Development of an Artificial Intelligence Action Plan. Here's what we recommend: 🧵[1/]
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
👏 grad.georgetown.edu/opportunitie...
grad.georgetown.edu
Federal Workforce Transition Resources - Georgetown Graduate School
The Georgetown Graduate School of Arts and Sciences is offering resources to assist in federal workforce transitions. Check out our career seminars to learn more.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Had fun chatting with Gen. Tim Haugh (US CYBERCOM/NSA about military applications of AI in Austin this Friday. Video ICYMI. www.youtube.com/live/yIMRxOg...
youtube.com
Joint Disruptive Defense (March 7)
YouTube video by Austin Tech Live
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Check out the latest from @sambresnick.bsky.social and @colemcfaul.bsky.social on how “good enough” Chinese tech could come to dominate exquisite US tech in global adoption of AI www.barrons.com/articles/dee...
barrons.com
Chinese AI Is Following a Familiar Playbook. U.S. Firms Should Worry.
DeekSeek is following a trail blazed by Chinese companies such as Huawei, Sam Bresnick and Cole McFaul write in a guest commentary.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
Getting into the nitty gritty of energy and compute constraints for drones using AI in conflict arxiv.org/abs/2502.15737
arxiv.org
A Performance Analysis of You Only Look Once Models for Deployment on Constrained Computational Edge Devices in Drone Applications
Advancements in embedded systems and Artificial Intelligence (AI) have enhanced the capabilities of Unmanned Aircraft Vehicles (UAVs) in computer vision. However, the integration of AI techniques o-nb...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Couldn’t help but go through the list of intelligence failures in this article and ask: would AI have exacerbated or addressed this risk? www.timesofisrael.com/the-intel-on...
timesofisrael.com
The intel on Hamas attack plan was there, but IDF simply refused to believe it, probe finds
Investigation into failures by Military Intelligence Directorate shows IDF received plans detailing possible attack in 2022, but considered it unlikely, viewed Sinwar as pragmatist
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Re-upping CSET's report on the space launch industry in light of the @washingtonpost.com article on government contracts for Tesla and SpaceX. Bottom line: USG funding is critical to the industry, & the market is concentrated (5 of every 6 launches are by SpaceX) cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
cset.georgetown.edu
Shaping the U.S. Space Launch Market | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
The United States leads the world in space launch by nearly every measure: number of launches, total mass to orbit, satellite count, and more. SpaceX’s emergence has provided regular, reliable, and re...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Timely webinar today: cset.georgetown.edu/event/how-th...
cset.georgetown.edu
How the U.S. Government Hires, Uses, and Pays for AI Tools and Talent | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
On February 24, join CSET, the Beeck Center for Social Impact + Innovation, and Georgetown Law’s Institute for Technology Law and Policy for a discussion on the federal government's procurement and us...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
What is the indirect rate for research grants from the private sector? I saw a few pharma companies are around 25%. I also saw a few big tech companies advertising between 0 and 5%. I get that the infrastructure needs may be different depending on the research but 5% and below seems cheap...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
Good explanation of how the ways we discuss AI (i.e. "AGI" and vague goals) impede progress towards creating AI that benefits humanity. Reminded me of what I call AI's Inigo Montoya problem: "You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means" Bravo @borhane.bsky.social
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
‼️”there are only so many times that I can say that these systems are amazing, but get things wrong all the time in ways that matter, and so the best uses cases so far are things where the error rate doesn’t matter or where it’s easy to see.”‼️ www.ben-evans.com/benedictevan...
ben-evans.com
The Deep Research problem — Benedict Evans
OpenAI’s Deep Research is built for me, and I can’t use it. It’s another amazing demo, until it breaks. But it breaks in really interesting ways.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Seeing news like this makes me so grateful for @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social and our @usspaceforce.bsky.social fellows, who have been publishing on space topics for the past several year. 1/3 www.airandspaceforces.com/ussf-victus-...
airandspaceforces.com
USSF Awards Launch for Tactically Responsive Space Mission
The Space Force announced a $21 million contract with Firefly Aerospace to launch Victus Sol, its latest Tactically Responsive Space mission.
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Brendan Greeley @bhgreeley.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
Book fact: After a revolt at the silver mines in Joachimsthal in 1525, the mine investors agreed to end the truck system, allowed extra shifts, and pay wages in good, full-silver pennies, minted on site. In return, the miners had to stop getting drunk and exposing themselves in town.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
Fun, quick reminder of AI’s current limitations chiraaggohel.com/posts/llms-e... h/t @igormt-cset.bsky.social
chiraaggohel.com
Your AI can’t see gorillas – Chiraag Gohel
A comparison of LLMs’ ability to perform exploratory data analysis
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
UK published a government efficiency review and a plan to leverage AI for digital services, including digital drivers licenses. Would be nice to see digital passports too! www.gov.uk/government/n...
gov.uk
Digital driving licence coming this year
The UK government is launching a GOV.UK Wallet and App to simplify access to services and documents like digital driver’s licences, alongside reforms to public sector technology to save £45 billion an...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
Trying to keep up with news about AI that’s relevant to national security? Me too. This crew is a great help. go.bsky.app/5AWz4Ht
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Bravo @katecrawford.bsky.social on this important essay. As we experiment with AI apps that improve our lives, we cannot overlook the potential for subtle manipulation that plays with the emotions and cognitive biases that make us human.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
Good read on AI applications from @breakingdefense.com breakingdefense.com/2024/12/kill...
breakingdefense.com
Killer Apps: 5 stories highlight quiet progress on military AI and CJADC2
While combat has seen a drone revolution, the US has made subtle but real advances in applying AI to military planning, intelligence, and “all domain” command and control.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
“Basically, a frontier model like OpenAI's O1 is like a Ferrari SF-23. …In contrast, a BERT model is like a Honda Civic. It’s also an engineering triumph, but …engineered to be affordable, fuel-efficient, reliable, and extremely useful.” 😍 huggingface.co/blog/modernb...
huggingface.co
Finally, a Replacement for BERT: Introducing ModernBERT
We’re on a journey to advance and democratize artificial intelligence through open source and open science.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Generally, I hear too much hype about the application of LLMs for the military. But sometimes I hear too much skepticism. Here's a nice piece to help calibrate: LLMs for classification markings. Maybe not as sexy as course-of-action development, but truly helpful. blog.palantir.com/ais-role-in-...
blog.palantir.com
AI’s Role in Reimagining the Classification System
The woefully outdated U.S. Government classification system is about to have its AI revolution
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
CSET @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
How do Chinese defense experts think about the military use of AI? CSET's @sambresnick.bsky.social joined @gmfus.bsky.social's @bglaser.bsky.social to discuss his recent report. Listen now 🎧 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
podcasts.apple.com
Chinese Perspectives on Military Uses of AI
Podcast Episode · China Global · 12/17/2024 · 32m
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
Anyone know where to get the beanie Coach Newberry is wearing? #gonavy #usna
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Emerging Technology Observatory @emergingtechobs.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Come for the neat proof of concept by CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social and Christian Schoeberl - stay for the creative use of ETO's Map of Science 🗺️🧪
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Shared some thoughts about the OpenAI/Anduril/Palantir announcements with @technologyreview.com www.technologyreview.com/2024/12/10/1...
technologyreview.com
We saw a demo of the new AI system powering Anduril’s vision for war
We’re living through the first drone wars, but AI is poised to change the future of warfareeven more drastically.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
The Economist published "Will the bubble burst for AI in 2025, or will it start to deliver?" Key quote: "To get the most out of the technology, bosses need to create an environment that incentivises openness and experimentation, rather than secrecy and suspicion." Good advice for DOD & academia
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
For all my favorite Excel mavens... esportsinsider.com/2024/11/exce... h/t @alicrawford.bsky.social ...almost embarrassed to admit I'd enjoy watching this. Almost.
esportsinsider.com
Microsoft Excel World Championship heads to HyperX Arena Las Vegas
The Microsoft Excel World Championship 2024 will take place in the HyperX Arena in Las Vegas, and feature a prize pool of $60,000.
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
SXSW London: great place for a discussion on AI for defence (or defense). Please follow the link to vote for my panel with Aki Jain, Christine Fox, and Joe O’Callaghan: sxswlondon.awardsplatform.com/entry/vote/l...
sxswlondon.awardsplatform.com
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
I read today that “52% of companies that use AI give their employees training on how to use it, leaving 37% of employees feeling underconfident with their AI skills” Here’s my paper about why this is a safety & liability issue tangled up with user “confidence.” cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
cset.georgetown.edu
AI Safety and Automation Bias | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Automation bias is a critical issue for artificial intelligence deployment. It can cause otherwise knowledgeable users to make crucial and even obvious errors. Organizational, technical, and education...
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Emmy Probasco @emmyprobasco.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
In case AI comes up at your Thanksgiving table (and to avoid other awkward conversations) here is a fun article for discussion. www.wsj.com/articles/tha... h/t Jacob Feldgoise
wsj.com
Thank Big Data for Killing Off the Worst Part of Thanksgiving Meal Prep
Butterball started out with a boring, standard software implementation—and ended with the creation of a Thanksgiving turkey that you do not need to thaw.
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Reposted by Emmy Probasco
CSET @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
Automation isn't just a technical challenge. Organizational policies and human factors play a big role in managing automation bias risks. Our new report dives in. Read more ⬇️ cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
cset.georgetown.edu
AI Safety and Automation Bias | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Automation bias is a critical issue for artificial intelligence deployment. It can cause otherwise knowledgeable users to make crucial and even obvious errors. Organizational, technical, and education...
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