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Ed Cornforth

@edmundcornforth.bsky.social
60 followers 136 following 71 posts

Anglican | Macroeconomist at NIESR | Bachatero | Repost ≠ Endorsement

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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – Is public procurement the missing lever for UK industrial strategy? by Elvira Uyarra @elvirauyarra.bsky.social buff.ly/b8kwaDh
buff.ly
https://buff.ly/b8kwaDh
The UK government spends around £400 billion a year buying goods and services, a far bigger slice of public spending than goes to research and development. To support the new industrial strategy,…
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Weird thing for the European Central Bank to get involved in but I guess financial stability takes many forms
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Wrote into a magazine recently asking for advice as I felt my life had been stuck in a rut. Someone from the magazine wrote back saying that I needed to create sustained growth in myself through creative destruction. Turns out I had contacted an Aghion Aunt.
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Algorithm, take heed: This is the content I need on my feed
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Minute Cryptic Mini Crossword - 3 April, 2026 ⬛⬛⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛ 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪⬛ ⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛ 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 ⬛⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 ⬛🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 ⬛⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 I used 0 letters I used 0 hints My time was 00:02:36 www.minutecryptic.com/minis/65?utm...
minutecryptic.com
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #inflation figures is out now⚡️ #UKeconomy #IranWar #EnergyPrice #InterestRates
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
much like your ghosting @mlyp.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Perfect
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
What are the potential impacts of the increase in global oil and gas prices on #GDP and #inflation across some of the major economies? And how they differ? Our @edmundcornforth.bsky.social explains in our latest #blog, just published, here ⬇️ niesr.ac.uk/blog/global-...
niesr.ac.uk
The Global Macroeconomic Impact of the Recent Surge in Energy Prices - NIESR
What is the impact of the recent rise in gas and oil prices across countries? How might the change in energy costs affect inflation and economic growth?
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
📍Tomorrow 5.30pm ⏰ In person only event 🗓️ Rebuilding National #Statistics 📊 A debate to generate constructive ideas on how the #ONS can further improve its systems - Panel discussion chaired by @philaldrick.bsky.social Last chance to sign up👇 @escoeorg.bsky.social niesr.ac.uk/event/rethin...
niesr.ac.uk
Rebuilding National Statistics - NIESR
Recent years have seen increasing concern with the quality of ONS data and the impact it is having on macro policymaking in the UK. The complexity of measuring a rapidly evolving modern economy—especi...
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now⚡️ @fergusjimeneze.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
"At the very moment the #Bank lists have a dozen rising risks, it decides banks need less capital. That is quite something."🔥 The #DirectorView is out now📈 In today's blog our Director David Aikman assesses the FPC's latest judgement on bank #equity capital 👇 niesr.ac.uk/blog/fpc-bli...
niesr.ac.uk
The FPC Blinks on Bank Capital - NIESR
An assessment of the FPC’s decision to lower bank equity capital requirements, and the implications for bank lending and BoE's financial stability policy.
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Tomorrow is #Budget Day - And the day after tomorrow is our event presenting our analysis on it and discussing all the various announcements with PGIM and CBI, chaired by @teraallas.bsky.social 💻Online ⏰ 1-2pm Signed up here👇 #Budget2025 #UKeconomy #Chancellor niesr.ac.uk/event/discus...
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #LabourMarket figures is out now⚡️ #Wages #Unemployment #InterestRates @resmedia.bsky.social
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ Which #households will stand win or lose in case certain taxes go up? 🏘️ Our @adrianpabst.bsky.social discusses the distributional implications of widely expected #tax rises coming in the next #Budget, in the latest #MondayInterview, just published 👇 niesr.ac.uk/blog/distrib...
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #BankOfEngland's MPC decision on #InterestRates is out now⚡️ #UKeconomy #MonetaryPolicy #Budget @resmedia.bsky.social
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Whispering "tea, earl grey, hot" to myself so I can pretend I'm on the Enterprise at work
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
"And the truth is that as a man's real power grows and his knowledge widens, ever the way he can follow grows narrower; until at last he chooses nothing, but does only and wholly what he must do..." - A Wizard of Earthsea, Ursula K. Le Guin
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
lookforplace @lookforplace.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
#Stone #Railway #Bridge #Village #Of #El #Chorro #Trail #Of #Caminito #Del #Rey #Málaga #Spain
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
Emily Qureshi-Hurst @emilyqureshihurst.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Really enjoyed sitting down with @cosmicskeptic.bsky.social to discuss my new book 'Decoding the Cosmos: God, Physics, and the Search for Deeper Explanation' - an atheist's take on the relationship between God and modern physics. You can pre-order the book now! youtu.be/1e_PZdg3Kmw?...
youtu.be
Does God Know What Time It Is? - Emily Qureshi-Hurst
YouTube video by Alex O'Connor
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
#WeekendReading🔖 The first 'CFM-NIESR survey' ⚡ We asked the panel members to provide their thoughts on the reasons the UK borrowing costs are so high, and the extent to which these costs should be considered in the upcoming #Budget ⬇️ niesr.ac.uk/news/latest-...
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
Webinar coming up 🔜📌 A Taxing Challenge: Assessing the #Chancellor’s Options Ahead of the Autumn #Budget Join us this Friday 10th October at 11am online where we will present new analysis exploring the impact of different tax scenario Sign up here👇 niesr.ac.uk/event/taxing...
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
The first 'CfM-NIESR survey' is out now ⚡ We asked the panel members to provide their thoughts on the reasons the UK borrowing costs are so high, and the extent to which these costs should be considered in the upcoming #Budget 👇 www.cfmsurvey.org/listsurveys/...
cfmsurvey.org
Why Are UK Government Borrowing Costs So High?
Experts responding to the CfM-NIESR survey reveal the main factors driving the UK's high borrowing costs. They agree it is inflation expectations and fiscal sustainability concerns.
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Our Ben Caswell writes in today's @thetimes.com about the pensions #triplelock, why has become unsustainable for the UK public finances, and how to modify it going forward 🔒🔒🔓 Read it here 👉 www.thetimes.com/business-mon...
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
How green investment impacts #productivity? What are the nature-related risks to GDP and financial stability? In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, our @edmundcornforth.bsky.social Edmund & Lea De Greef explore how to manage the economic transition to #NetZero niesr.ac.uk/blog/managin...
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Minute Cryptic Mini Crossword - 26 September, 2025 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪⬛ 🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 🟪🟪🟪⬛🟪🟪🟪 🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 ⬛🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 ⬛⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 ⬛🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 I used 0 letters I used 0 hints My time was 00:04:10 www.minutecryptic.com/minis/37?utm... Might have got under the 4 minute mark if I'd remember how to spell coffee correctly -_-
minutecryptic.com
Minute Cryptic
Solve a clue with a hidden meaning
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
Purchasing phone contracts after you took a finance module at uni be like:
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #inflation figures is out now ⚡️ @resmedia.bsky.social
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ The £41.2bn deficit explained: what it means for the UK's #AutumnBudget 💼 In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, our Ben Caswell unpacks the much spoken figure and outlines its implications👇📈 @econstevem.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social niesr.ac.uk/blog/41-2bn-...
niesr.ac.uk
The £41.2bn Deficit Explained - NIESR
Much of the recent economic debate has focused on the forecast £41.2bn deficit in 2029-30. How was this figure arrived at, and what must the Chancellor do to address it?
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Minute Cryptic Mini Crossword - 29 August, 2025 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪⬛ 🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 🟪⬛🟪⬛⬛⬛🟪 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 I used 0 letters I used 0 hints My time was 00:08:08 www.minutecryptic.com/minis/33?utm...
minutecryptic.com
Minute Cryptic
Solve a clue with a hidden meaning
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 27/08/2025
A positive productivity shock
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
Our comment on today's #CPI numbers. Our full analysis will be released later this morning.
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Steve Carter @shieldaig.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
Some dark bright light this morning.
Bright river foreground.
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Zoë “Baddie Proctor” Quinn @unburntwitch.com · 20/07/2025
He’s too happy to run on the treadmill effectively, I love that for him
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Ed Cornforth @edmundcornforth.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
Learnt some new words today 😂 Minute Cryptic Mini Crossword - 18 July, 2025 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪⬛⬛ 🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 🟪🟪🟪⬛🟪🟪🟪 🟪⬛🟪⬛⬛⬛🟪 🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪⬛🟪 ⬛⬛🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪 I used 0 letters I used 0 hints My time was 00:16:22 www.minutecryptic.com/minis/27?utm...
minutecryptic.com
Minute Cryptic
Solve a clue with a hidden meaning
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
womensartbluesky.bsky.social @womensartbluesky.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
July Fields, 1959 by painter Joan Eardley #WomensArt
Painting of a fence line in a golden field with many wild flowers created in a semi abstract style
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
🚨🗓️Save the date 📝🚨 The 2025 Deane Stone Lecture is here⬇️ 🗓️Tuesday 15 July ⏰16:30 to 18:00 It will examine the industrial and technological transitions in the UK and will be delivered by @alliancembs.bsky.social's Prof Raquel Ortega Argiles @productivity.bsky.social niesr.ac.uk/event/examin...
niesr.ac.uk
Examining Industrial and Technological Transitions in the UK and Their Implications for Productivity and Competitiveness - NIESR
The twin industrial transition, which encompasses both digital and green or sustainable transitions, is gaining significance in the fields of economics.
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Reposted by Ed Cornforth
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ "If the Bank wants to use scenarios to support its communication strategy, it is certainly a welcome move. But it needs to tighten the logic of what these scenarios are actually being used for", writes Ben Caswell in our latest blog ✍️⬇️ niesr.ac.uk/blog/scenari...
niesr.ac.uk
Scenarios and substance: how the BoE can improve its analysis - NIESR
UK inflation figures for May came in at 3.4%, notably above target. In addition, core inflation remained elevated at 3.5%, signalling concerns over the persistence of inflation. This is not welcome ne...
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
I get annoyed at the narrative that all the awareness and work on climate change hasn't done anything. Yes, global CO₂ emissions indeed continue to climb, but we don't know the counterfactual. When I was in grad school, we were on track for 5°C of warming. Now it's below 3°C. That's progress.
A line chart titled “Annual CO₂ emissions” shows the global carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry from 1950 to 2023. The y-axis represents emissions in billions of tonnes (t), ranging from 0 to 40 billion t. The x-axis covers the years from 1950 to 2023.

The chart presents a steady increase in emissions from approximately 5 billion tonnes in 1950 to over 36 billion tonnes in 2023. Key features include:

A consistent upward trend from 1950 through the early 1970s.

A brief plateau and dip around 1980–1983.

A strong growth trend resuming in the late 1980s.

A sharp increase during the 2000s.

A slight drop around 2008–2009, likely due to the global financial crisis.

A major dip in 2020, attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic.

A rapid rebound in emissions after 2020, continuing the upward trend to a new high in 2023.

A blue line labeled “World” traces these changes over time.

Below the chart, the data source is listed as the Global Carbon Budget (2024), and the graphic is credited to OurWorldInData.org with a Creative Commons license (CC BY). A footnote explains that the data includes emissions from coal, oil, gas, flaring, cement, and steel, but excludes land-use changes such as deforestation.
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womensartbluesky.bsky.social @womensartbluesky.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
"Breathe it in" by Sarah Jane Brown, contemporary Welsh land and seascape painter #WomensArt
Painting of a dramatic golden sunset or sun rise over the wet sands of an empty beach
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Alex Selby-Boothroyd @alexselbyb.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Europeans: let's go on summer holidays! Brits: what is... sum-mar?
Ridgeplot chart from The European Correspondent showing work absence in May-Sep as % of yearly total absences in European countries. Most countries show a pronounced bump starting around July; the UK is largely flat
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
We're #hiring! 📣 NIESR are looking for a Senior Economist to join the Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting team 📊 Applications close on Friday 27 June. Find out more about the role and how to #apply below ⬇️✍️ niesr.ac.uk/vacancy/seni...
niesr.ac.uk
Senior Economist - NIESR
NIESR are seeking a Senior Economist to join the Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting team.
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Kepano Kolohe @alala55.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
In our latest #MondayInterview our economists Shama Bernard, Lea De Greef and Robyn Smith share their thoughts on supporting the careers of women in economics, overcoming imposter syndrome, and more, following the recent @ukwen.bsky.social event ⬇️ @resmedia.bsky.social niesr.ac.uk/blog/fosteri...
niesr.ac.uk
Fostering Successful Careers for Women in Economics - NIESR
Reflections on making economics accessible for women, overcoming imposter syndrome, and supporting the careers of women in economics.
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
We're #hiring! 📣 NIESR are looking for a Senior Economist to join the Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting team 📊 Applications close on Friday 27 June. Find out more about the role and how to #apply below ⬇️✍️ niesr.ac.uk/vacancy/seni...
niesr.ac.uk
Senior Economist - NIESR
NIESR are seeking a Senior Economist to join the Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting team.
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Ian Power @ihpower.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
I lost the plot when my local council accused me of not looking after my allotment properly.
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
The Government have said they are looking at scrapping the two-child benefit cap 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 In our recent Living Standards report, we found that removing the two-child limit would be the most cost-effective policy to reduce poverty in the UK. Learn more in the full report 🔓⬇ niesr.ac.uk/publications...
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Moonfell RPG @moonfell-rpg.com · 26/05/2025
Pixel Art Process ✨ #pixelart #tutorial #wip #gamedev
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #inflation figures is out now⚡️
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Dario Perkins @darioperkins.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Important Fed study showing evidence of de-dollarization in Chinese bank lending. When Chinese banks lend to other EMs, they are now doing so in RMB www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
NEW BLOG ✍ Reflecting on key themes from last week's Bank Watchers’ Conference, our Ben Caswell asks @fergusjimeneze.bsky.social for his thoughts on the challenges facing the Bank of England around #inflation, scenario analysis and central bank independence ⬇ niesr.ac.uk/blog/difficu...
niesr.ac.uk
The Difficulties Facing the Bank of England - NIESR
Thoughts on the challenges facing the Bank of England around inflation, scenario analysis and central bank independence
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