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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

League Two, gameweek 4. Barnet, our pre-season pick for promotion, travel to Exeter in the most open game of the round: 30% home, 30% draw, 40% away. Rotherham are 46% at Tranmere, one of only seven away favourites across all 36 EFL fixtures./ENDS

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

League One, gameweek 4. Home advantage is doing the heavy lifting: the home side is favourite in 11 of the 12 matches, the strongest of any EFL division this midweek. Leicester host Plymouth at 58%, with expected goals of 1.7 to 0.9.

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Championship, gameweek 4. The tie of the round: Our pre-season top two for promotion meet, as West Ham host Wolves. We give the Hammers 48%, with expected goals of 1.6 to 1.1 Sheffield United v Bolton is the most one-sided game anywhere in the EFL midweek, at 68%. Image

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

#WorldCup2026: the 4 quarterfinal favourites turned out winners, some with more difficulty than others Look out for semifinal scorecasts & latest probabilities on the 4 remaining teams to lift the trophy @econ-observatory.bsky.social @jjreade.bsky.social #Argentina vs #England #France vs #Spain

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

#WorldCup2026 - #Spain's 2-1 defeat of #Belgium was the joint most likely result of that match at 9% Tonight's most likely result, at 10%, is also 2-1, a victory for #England over #Norway #ItsComingHome ?? @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

#WorldCup2026 Yesterday, #France were at 70% to beat #Morocco In today's quarterfinal, #Spain have a 66% likelihood of winning; #Belgium are at 34% The joint likeliest scorelines, both at 9%, are a 2-1 Spain win or a 1-1 draw Spain are at 18% to lift the trophy; Belgium 5% Latest #scorecasts

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

#France vs #Morocco tonight - likely outcomes: Mbappé & co are at 70% probability of winning; their opponents, Africa's last representative in the tournament, are at 30% Likeliest result at 16%: 1-0 to the French 49% chance that each team scores at most one goal #WorldCup2026

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

#WorldCup2026: a win in #England’s last group match tonight would guarantee that they top the group The likeliest result, at 14%, is a 3-0 defeat of #Panama, with 4-0 at 12% & 2-0 at 11% #ItsComingHome ??

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

#WorldCup2026: the likelihood of pre-tournament favourites #Argentina lifting the trophy has risen to 31%, with #Spain now at 13%, #France 11% & #England 9%; England have a 50% chance of reaching the quarterfinals if they top their group, but that falls to 30% if they come second

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

#WorldCup2026 - #Scotland play #Brazil late tonight, potentially needing a draw to ensure that they make it through to the knockout stage of a big tournament for the first time; the likeliest result (11%) is a 2-1 victory for the Brazilians, but the next likeliest is a 1-1 draw

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Who are #England most likely to play in the #WorldCup2026 round of 32?

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

Tomorrow, voters across England, Scotland & Wales head to the polls - @econ-observatory.bsky.social, we've been examining the parties’ prospects in the local and national elections – & what the economic backdrop tells us about how & why the political map is shifting

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 22/06/2025

Summer 2025 issue of #CentrePiece magazine @cep-lse.bsky.social New economic research findings on market power, NHS talking therapies, big city life, Trump tariffs, gender politics, elite universities, the BBC's relocation to Salford, the impact of 9/11 on intermarriage, & migration & innovation

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 18/04/2025

'Giving the President more direct influence over monetary policy would lead to substantially worse monetary policy decisions' Views of top economists @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social www.kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/elec...

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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 05/03/2025

China's solar power; women inventors; online doctors; Brexit damage; using chatbots to run surveys; the UK car industry; UK rents; and the legacy of #EconomicsNobel prize-winning psychologist Danny Kahneman... All in the Spring 2025 issue of #CentrePiece cep.lse.ac.uk/_NEW/PUBLICA...

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