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Clark Center for Global Markets

@kentclarkcenter.bsky.social
1.4K followers 75 following 425 posts

We're the home of the Clark Center Experts Panels and US Monetary Policy Forum (USMPF) at Chicago Booth: www.kentclarkcenter.org

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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social compares the recent headlines about the fears of AI to the expert's opinions: kentclarkcenter.org/ai-risks/
kentclarkcenter.org
AI Risks - Clark Center Forum
Over the last couple of weeks, AI risk seems to have gone mainstream. Social media was set abuzz when some current and former Anthropic employees noted that they genuinely believed that there was a re...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social explores the recent rate hike from the Fed and the logic behind it: kentclarkcenter.org/an-oracle-or...
kentclarkcenter.org
An Oracle or an Obstacle? - Clark Center Forum
This week the Fed hiked rates. This was hardly unexpected given that inflation remains above target, that growth looks solid, and that continuing inflationary pressures are very apparent. In such circ...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
#FTxBooth: Fed’s Next Steps? kentclarkcenter.org/ftxbooth-fed...
kentclarkcenter.org
FTxBooth: Fed's Next Steps? - Clark Center Forum
In anticipation of today’s FOMC press conference, the FTxBooth US Macroeconomists Survey panel explores the possible next steps the Fed could take. The summary results are below and you can read the F...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
#FTxBooth
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on Extreme Weather. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/extr...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social dives into the recent heatwaves in Europe and where the experts land on the changes to the economics of weather: kentclarkcenter.org/europes-extr...
kentclarkcenter.org
Europe’s Extreme Weather - Clark Center Forum
Possibly the single best purchase your British-based columnist has ever made was buying a portable air conditioning unit around three years and a half ago. It was not cheap to buy, nor is it cheap to ...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social discusses Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium: kentclarkcenter.org/clearer-comm...
kentclarkcenter.org
Clearer communications  - Clark Center Forum
On one level the much-anticipated speech of Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole conference was not especially surprising. The key message, after all, was that with inflation remaining elevate...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
FTxBooth: Warsh’s First Months kentclarkcenter.org/ftxbooth-war...
kentclarkcenter.org
FTxBooth: Warsh's First Months - Clark Center Forum
Ahead of the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, this snap poll of the FTxBooth US Macroeconomists Survey panel discusses the first few months of Kevin Warsh’s term as Fed Chairman. The summary re...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
#FTxBooth
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social explores the recent announcement by Mayor Mamdani of municipal grocery stores in NYC and where the experts land: kentclarkcenter.org/cheap-grocer...
kentclarkcenter.org
Cheap Groceries? - Clark Center Forum
Voters, as they have made clear over the last few years, hate inflation. And to most of the general public, it appears that ‘inflation’ does not just mean the pace of year on year prices rises but som...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
The Future of Market Liquidity and Functioning Workshop co-hosted by the NY Fed and the Clark Center for Global Markets: tellerwindow.newyorkfed.org/2026/08/13/t...
tellerwindow.newyorkfed.org
The Future of Market Liquidity and Functioning Workshop: Preparing for a Wave of Change
NY Fed explores how clearing reforms, payment innovations, and blockchain technology will impact market liquidity and policy.
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Reposted by Clark Center for Global Markets
Chicago Booth Review @chicagoboothreview.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
“It is too early to know,” wrote Aaron Edlin of the University of California at Berkeley. “Past technological innovations have not. But this time could be different.” www.chicagobooth.edu/review/even-... @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social #econsky
chicagobooth.edu
Even Economists Aren’t Sure What AI Will Do to the Job Market
Despite widespread predictions of increased unemployment, experts are uncertain how and where jobs will be affected.
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social concentrates on defense spending and how US and European economists differ: kentclarkcenter.org/the-economic...
kentclarkcenter.org
The Economics of Rearming - Clark Center Forum
One consequence of the more tumultuous geopolitical environment of the 2020s has been a material rise in global defense spending, and one that looks set to continue.
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Defense Spending. The confidence-weighted answer to the 3rd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/defe...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
We recently polled our Finance Experts Panel on the Tax Alpha Investment Strategies. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/tax-...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on Defense Spending. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/defe...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social explores recent intervention of the US on the yen and what it could mean for the future: kentclarkcenter.org/the-yen-inte...
kentclarkcenter.org
The Yen Intervention - Clark Center Forum
There is a well-rehearsed choreography to Yen interventions. It usually starts with ‘sources close to the Ministry of Finance’ letting it be known that they are unhappy with the current level of the Y...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Defense Spending. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/defe...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on Defense Spending. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/defe...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Defense Spending. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/defe...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social dives into the recent confusion on Chair Warsh's communication strategy: kentclarkcenter.org/communicatio...
kentclarkcenter.org
Communications Confusion - Clark Center Forum
A couple of weeks ago, this column reported on a Finance Experts Panel poll on the Fed’s new communications strategy. Or, as it might be termed, anti-communications strategy. Kevin Warsh, the new Chai...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
In this Monday edition of "On Global Markets" @duncanweldon.bsky.social looks into the Fed's approach to the balance sheet: kentclarkcenter.org/the-feds-new...
kentclarkcenter.org
The Fed’s New Approach: The Balance Sheet - Clark Center Forum
The Fed has a larger balance sheet than was once the case. Dramatically so, as the chart below makes clear.
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social discusses the Fed's potential new policy regarding forward guidance. kentclarkcenter.org/feds-new-app...
kentclarkcenter.org
The Fed’s New Approach: Communications - Clark Center Forum
The Fed has a new chair and, it would seem, one with a very different approach to his predecessors. While much of the attention has, understandably, been focused on the traditional question of how haw...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
We recently polled our Finance Experts Panel on the New Fed Chair. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/new-...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social examines 10 years of Brexit and how the economic impacts look to the experts in 2026: kentclarkcenter.org/brexit-ten-y...
kentclarkcenter.org
Brexit: Ten Years On - Clark Center Forum
To mark the tenth anniversary of the United Kingdom voting to leave the European Union, the Clark Center’s US and European Economic Experts Panels recently looked – once again – at the vexed issue of ...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on The UK and Europe. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/the-...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on The UK and Europe. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/the-...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on The UK and Europe. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/the-...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on The UK and Europe. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/the-...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
We recently polled our Finance Experts Panel on the New Fed Chair. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/new-...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social explores what European autonomy would mean for the EU and where the experts land: kentclarkcenter.org/european-aut...
kentclarkcenter.org
European Autonomy - Clark Center Forum
Earlier this month, the European Union unveiled its rather unimaginatively named European Technological Sovereignty Package. One imagines that had this been a proposal emanating from the US Congress, ...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on Tech Sovereignty. The confidence-weighted answer to the 3rd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/tech...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
We recently polled our Finance Experts Panel on SpaceX IPO. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/spac...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on Tech Sovereignty. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/tech...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
#FTxBooth: Will the Fed Raise Rates?: kentclarkcenter.org/ftxbooth-wil...
kentclarkcenter.org
FTxBooth: Will the Fed Raise Rates? - Clark Center Forum
This installment of the FTxBooth US Macroeconomists Survey discusses the likelihood of the Fed raising rates to address inflation as well as Kevin Warsh’s start as Fed Chair. The summary results are b...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Our latest #FTxBooth survey
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on Tech Sovereignty. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/tech...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social analyzes the new USCIS rules on green cards: kentclarkcenter.org/green-cards/
kentclarkcenter.org
Green Cards - Clark Center Forum
Towards the end of last month, the US Citizenship and Immigration Services issued a policy memo which, in their words, ‘reiterated’ ' long-standing immigration law and immigration court decisions’ abo...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
We recently polled our Finance Experts Panel on SpaceX IPO. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/spac...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social analyzes the SpaceX IPO and how high it will actually fly: kentclarkcenter.org/spacex-takes...
kentclarkcenter.org
SpaceX Takes Off - Clark Center Forum
Over the last couple of weeks, your columnist’s inbox has been filling up each morning with emails about the imminent listing of SpaceX. About two-thirds of those emails have been newsletters from var...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Permanent Residency Rules. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/perm...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Living-Donor Kidney Transplants. The confidence-weighted answer to the 3rd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/livi...
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Reposted by Clark Center for Global Markets
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
American versus Europe - how do incomes & living standards compare? Views of top economists in this @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social poll kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/amer...
kentclarkcenter.org
America Versus Europe - Clark Center Forum
This European survey examines (a) Over the past 25 years, the income of the median European citizen has declined substantially relative to the income of the median American citizen; (b) The living sta...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on America Versus Europe. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/euro...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social looks at the current debate on the current standard of living in the US vs Europe: kentclarkcenter.org/is-europe-in...
kentclarkcenter.org
Is Europe in Decline? - Clark Center Forum
By many conventional measures, the economy of the United States has been outperforming that of Europe for well over a decade.A simple look at the IMF’s data on GDP growth shows that the US growth has ...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Living-Donor Kidney Transplants. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/livi...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
We recently polled our European Economic Experts Panel on America Versus Europe. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/euro...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on Living-Donor Kidney Transplants. The confidence-weighted answer to the 1st question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/livi...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social explores the controversy of kidney donation and where ethics meet markets: kentclarkcenter.org/the-limits-o...
kentclarkcenter.org
The Limits of Markets? - Clark Center Forum
Draft legislation, currently before Congress, proposes to award people prepared to give up a kidney – for a stranger – a $50,000 tax credit. As one recent summary explains:About 10,000 people die each...
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Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
We recently polled our US Economic Experts Panel on AI, Work, and Education. The confidence-weighted answer to the 2nd question is as follows: kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/ai-w...
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