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Ben Paxton

@drbenpaxton.bsky.social
1.1K followers 274 following 229 posts

Senior Researcher at the @instituteforgov.bsky.social. Views my own.

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Reposted by Ben Paxton
Cassia Rowland @cassiarowland.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
NEW REPORT: Under Keir Starmer, England and Wales’s failing criminal justice services made tentative steps towards improvement. But the new government has already put this fragile progress at risk and real improvement requires more difficult political choices. 🧵
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Performance Tracker 2026: Criminal justice system | Institute for Government
The Starmer government made fragile progress on criminal justice, but sustaining this requires further action and difficult political choices.
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Amber Dellar @amberdellar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
NEW: Plans to reduce EHCPs look optimistic and Burnham's public service reforms still need a plan for schools In our first IfG Performance Tracker chapter, funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org, we look at how the government is performing on its schools agenda [1/9]
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Performance Tracker 2026: Schools | Institute for Government
The government must better measure success across its school priorities and set out a clear long-term vision for the structure of the school system.
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Ben Zaranko @benzaranko.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Quite an enjoyable juxtaposition on the FT app, with an article from @chrisgiles.ft.com describing £ billion estimates of fiscal headroom as an "unhelpful invention" next to an article from his colleagues leading on a £ billion estimate of the Chancellor's fiscal headroom.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
We explored the interconnectedness of the health and disability benefits system in our recent report on how government should approach future reform www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Designing better incapacity benefits | Institute for Government
Personalising benefits and support is key to helping disabled people into work.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
And even if Milburn ends up focusing on UC health rather than PIP, you can't really change them in isolation. Reducing UC health would likely increase PIP claimant numbers, and the government is planning to combine the Work Capability Assessment for UC health with the PIP assessment (TBC how)
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
For example, Timms' emerging recommendations include changing PIP assessments and the PIP award including non-cash support. This directly interacts with looking at replacing PIP and/or UC health with a wider package of support for (some?) young people. This should be lined up
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
I'm torn on this. A NEETs review making recommendations on PIP and UC health really should be aligned with the PIP review - so if this delay is to ensure the Timms and Milburn review align, then great. But if this is just more can-kicking, then that's really not good www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
thetimes.com
Verifying Device
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
And links here to the Resolution Foundation analysis estimating that scrapping employer NICs for u25s would cost £137k for every job created: www.resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/... and government evaluation of NICs changes: www.gov.uk/government/p...
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
A broader point is that tax reliefs like lower NICs for young people cost government money. These targeted, non-structural reliefs really should be weighed up against expenditure at spending reviews As we recommended back in 2024 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
How to run the next multi-year spending review | Institute for Government
Labour's missions need a reformed spending review process.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Its unclear that halving 21-24 y/o employer NICs is better value for money than more targeted interventions. The government evaluation of 18-21 y/o NICs exemptions found limited impact on employers and substantial deadweight. RF analysis finds huge costs per job created www.ft.com/content/aae1...
ft.com
Badenoch pledges to halve employers’ NI contributions for younger workers
Tories say policy for 21- to 24-year-olds would cost £2.3bn once extra tax receipts and lower welfare spending were taken into account
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Stuart Hoddinott @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
NEW: Burnham made a strong case for adult social care reform at conference, but pushed the National Care Service into next parliament I argue he should get on with it, use his majority and 2024 mandate and establish the NCS in this parliament 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/article/comm...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Andy Burnham should establish the National Care Service this parliament | Institute for Government
There is no reason to delay plans for potentially three years.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 27/09/2026
We will then ask: How can Labour build an affordable welfare system that supports sick and disabled people? Our panel features @meghillier.bsky.social, Alan Milburn, @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @katesummers.bsky.social and chair @tompope.bsky.social
An imagine for an IfG event
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The health and disability benefits system for all working-age adults whose health limits their ability to work needs reform. More on how politicians should go about delivering it in our report published today www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Designing better incapacity benefits | Institute for Government
Personalising benefits and support is key to helping disabled people into work.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Interesting pre-conference interview. Agree on the health and disability benefits system becoming more personalised (e.g by age), but somewhat sceptical about a separate system for young people when many similar issues exist for the ~90% of claimants who are over 24 www.ft.com/content/5337...
ft.com
Britain in ‘good position’, Pat McFadden tells business fearful of tax rises
Work and Pensions secretary admits Labour has asked business to pay more and vows to try to ease pressure on public finances
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Heloise Dunlop @hcdunlop.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Our report has looked at how to reform health and disability benefits in the round - from the political leadership it takes, the join-up necessary for implementation, the gaps in evidence, and how the assessment process and approach to cost control needs to change for success. A lot to dig into...
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
With huge thanks to co-authors: @hcdunlop.bsky.social @martha-ford.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social You can read the report here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/... And/or hear me discussing it on our podcast: open.spotify.com/episode/2Mtl...
open.spotify.com
Mersey Mersey Me: Will Burnham pass his Labour conference test?
Inside Briefing with the Institute for Government · Episode
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
All this takes political will. To make substantial progress on this, ministers need to lead public opinion – not be at the mercy of it. This means better defining what outcomes the health and disability benefits system is trying to achieve for different groups – and how support provided matches that
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
And ministers need to make the case for better experimentation and use of evidence. Future social security legislation should give government flexibility to do this, and DWP should more clearly set out the evidence needed to inform more accurate modelling and better future policy decisions
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Social security should be reviewed at spending reviews (see below for how). Leaving out >£300bn from the process designed to improve value for money doesn’t make sense. The welfare cap (the fiscal rule you may have never heard of) should be abolished, or reformed
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A reformed assessment process (+criteria) should reviewed regularly to ensure it's working as intended. DWP should also bring the currently outsourced assessments back in-house to enable more flexibility in delivery
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
We think government should reform the health and disability benefits assessment process to better personalise support. We propose assessments creating a personalised support plan – which sets out benefit entitlement alongside a broader range of support (e.g. employment support)
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The current system isn't working. Politicians have boxed themselves in on reforms. Assessment is too crude. DHSC (and other depts) are not incentivised to tackle health-related inactivity. Fiscal policy has not successfully controlled costs. Gaps in the evidence base hold back policy making.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
NEW IfG report out today on how government should approach reforming health and disability benefits The big takeaway: the system needs to better match people’s needs to the right support - through assessment reform, political leadership and more... www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Designing better incapacity benefits | Institute for Government
Personalising benefits and support is key to helping disabled people into work.
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Louise Murphy @louisemurphy.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
DWP has just published a flurry of new data on how PIP and UC-Health assessments are carried out (face-to-face or via phone, video or paper) and whether this impacts who gets awarded health-related benefits. Five takeaways 🧵
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
New from me and @jillongovt.bsky.social for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on how Healey should approach tax in his crucial Autumn budget (a subject he was quiet on in his speech today) Key point: set out a strategy and embrace reform. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
How John Healey should approach tax in his first budget | Institute for Government
The 2026 UK budget is fast approaching.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Tackling the UK's high NEET rate requires concerted action from across government. But crucially this should centre on a local, joined-up response - not an inflexible national system imposed on areas. As @martha-ford.bsky.social and I wrote in May www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/alan...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Alan Milburn’s NEET diagnosis must lead to local level solutions | Institute for Government
Local leaders are best placed to support a “lost generation” of young people not in education, employment or training.
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Jill Rutter @jillongovt.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
This looks like another one for the #devowatch Team. You cannot both want meaningful devolution and abhor postcode lotteries. Discuss.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 10/08/2026
Andy Burnham is right to devolve employment support Strategic authorities are best placed to tailor local support, say @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and @martha-ford.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Andy Burnham is right to devolve employment support | Institute for Government
Strategic authorities are best placed to tailor local support.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 06/08/2026
The government has asked departments to show how they can support its new procurement reforms. @drbenpaxton.bsky.social sets out five ways departments could respond www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Five ways departments can help deliver Andy Burnham’s procurement agenda | Institute for Government
The government has asked departments to show how they can support its new procurement reforms.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Original FT story from Lucy with those quotes here www.ft.com/content/9878...
ft.com
UK to strip back procurement rules to focus on job creation, says Louise Haigh
Andy Burnham’s de facto deputy PM says requirements for businesses vying for Whitehall contracts will be streamlined
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Healey and Haigh have asked ministers how they will use procurement as a "strategic lever to deliver innovation and growth in every postcode" (as per @lucyfisher.ft.com). New comment from me on some of the answers departments should give www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Five ways departments can help deliver Andy Burnham’s procurement agenda | Institute for Government
The government has asked departments to show how they can support its new procurement reforms.
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Giles Wilkes @gilesyb.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
" @drbenpaxton.bsky.social said social value criteria were often flagged as a barrier to entry for smaller suppliers, so making the process easier for them was “a good move.”” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
UK to strip back procurement rules to focus on job creation, says Louise Haigh
Andy Burnham’s de facto deputy PM says requirements for businesses vying for Whitehall contracts will be streamlined
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
More on how government should navigate the risks and opportunities of devolving employment support in the report @martha-ford.bsky.social, @tompope.bsky.social and I wrote earlier this year www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Designing and delivering employment support | Institute for Government
How can government better support people out of work due to ill health?
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Really great it looks like government is going further on devolving employment support. It's a big opportunity to join-up services, tailor support locally, improve engagement and innovate. Flexible funding will be key to this (and should help areas streamline the current patchwork of programmes)
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Stuart Hoddinott @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
This is a genuinely exciting announcement about Burnham's intention for public service reform There are some potentially massive changes to the way that services are funded and operate A few things that jumped out at me 👇 www.gov.uk/government/p...
gov.uk
Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement (HTML)
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Excellent primer thread ahead of today's devo announcements from Matthew On fiscal devolution, a couple of key things I'm looking out for: 1. Will all/most mayors get the power immediately, or just the most advanced 2. How much flex will mayors have to spend on their own, vs Whitehall's, priorities
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Alex Thomas @alexgathomas.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Cross-party talks are fine-and might be part of a process to sort out social care But Burnham can’t sidestep politics Deciding how to spend billions (or not), & who should win or lose, is the essence of politics From @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/article/comm...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Burnham can’t take the politics out of social care reform | Institute for Government
The new PM will have to prioritise to make progress on social care during this parliament
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Ben Zaranko @benzaranko.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Sensible policy klaxon 🚨 Currently, if a 16 year old chooses to stay in school/college, their family can keep claiming benefits as before (notably child benefit). If they opt for an apprenticeship, the benefits stop. The system discourages apprenticeships. The DWP just announced a fix 🧵
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Strongly agree with Stuart here. In our work on employment support for people out of work due to ill health, the mayoral strategic authorities that were aligned with NHS ICB boundaries repeatedly said how useful this had been for joining up support www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Designing and delivering employment support | Institute for Government
How can government better support people out of work due to ill health?
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Stuart Hoddinott @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
NEW BLOG: organisational boundaries in local govt, the NHS and police do not match up That's a problem for Burnham's devo ambitions He should intervene now to create an aligned system that paves the way for future public services devo More 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Burnham’s devolution agenda can lay strong foundations for public service reform | Institute for Government
The new PM needs to align the boundaries of services in local areas.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Ruling out big tax levers boxes you into a corner, leaving less effective and more distortive options A big test of leadership for Burnham is whether he can use the next budget to put together a plan that credibly addresses the fiscal pressures from now until after the next general election
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
And it looks likely Burnham will want to spend more (e.g social care). He's also talked about tax reform, but the tax lock makes that more difficult. E.g. property taxes: ripe for reform, but the UK already taxes property highly, raising lots more tax through reform in the short term might be tricky
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
To be clear, we are not saying taxes should be higher. But if you want flexibility to do things that cost money (spend on new stuff, meet spending pressures or cut some taxes, see below) ruling out your big revenue raisers (income tax, VAT and NI) constrains you, and can drive bad fiscal policy
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Obviously there are big political risks of moving away from the 2024 manifesto pledge not to raise income tax, NI or VAT. But Burnham has to weigh these against the risks of sticking to a bad pledge that constrained Starmer and Reeves, and ultimately contributed to their downfall
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
It's good Burnham isn't boxing his government in on tax already. They need a fiscal strategy that confronts the difficult fiscal inheritance, and the tax lock problem left over from Labour's manifesto (which he doesn't necessarily have to inherit) www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Andy Burnham needs a new fiscal strategy that deals with the tax lock | Institute for Government
Tough choices on tax and spend await the next prime minister.
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Heloise Dunlop @hcdunlop.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
@jillongovt.bsky.social and I had a report ready to go but were pipped to the post by Burnham’s (predictable) decision to bring digital ID to an end. There were too many questions to answer and little that had been decided, making it an easier (and popular) decision than most will be for Burnham!
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 20/07/2026
Keir Starmer ducked the scale of the government’s fiscal challenges on entering office. Andy Burnham now has the opportunity to avoid making the same mistake, say @tompope.bsky.social, @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social and @drbenpaxton.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Andy Burnham needs a new fiscal strategy that deals with the tax lock | Institute for Government
Tough choices on tax and spend await the next prime minister.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 16/07/2026
Government must improve fraud prevention before the next crisis @drbenpaxton.bsky.social says while recovering lost money is crucial, ensuring government is better able to avoid fraud in the next crisis is even more important www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/gove...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Government must improve fraud prevention before the next crisis | Institute for Government
Module five of the Covid inquiry shows the need for better procurement and use of data.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Of course, expected-to-be-chancellor Shabana Mahmood went through SR25 at MoJ - but it reportedly had its settlement agreed early (enabling the prison building announcement pre-SR) so not an entirely typical dept to be in
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Loads of work had been done while Brown was Cx before he arrived for the final 3 months of SR07 as CST. Coming in and running a full SR in 3-4 months now would be difficult (Burnham's ministerial career below, from the IfG's ministers data base) www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/ministers-da...
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