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Thomas Pope

@tompope.bsky.social
1.8K followers 477 following 144 posts

Chief Economist @instituteforgov.bsky.social

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Reposted by Thomas Pope
Jill Rutter @jillongovt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The Treasury underestimated the impact of the triple lock was that they did not anticipate the seesaw between inflation and earnings. That is what has led to the big rise in spending and the pension growing well ahead of earnings. There are proposals around to ensure it grows with earnings.
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
I am only now getting round to reading the Treasury Select Committee report on the OBR. It's a good report that quotes our @instituteforgovernment.org.uk evidence in several places A few thoughts: committees.parliament.uk/publications...
committees.parliament.uk
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
NEW IfG report out today on how government should approach reforming health and disability benefits The big takeaway: the system needs to better match people’s needs to the right support - through assessment reform, political leadership and more... www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Designing better incapacity benefits | Institute for Government
Personalising benefits and support is key to helping disabled people into work.
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
My latest for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk is a reflection on what No.10 North and devo might mean for policy eco-systems outside London (and specifically in Manchester). Reflections based on my 4 years living in Manchester working for a think tank instituteforgov.substack.com/p/on-no10-no...
instituteforgov.substack.com
On No.10 North and the Manchester policy ecosystem
Tom Pope, the IfG’s Manchester correspondent, is optimistic about the future of UK politics’ self-styled second city
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Burnham and Healey have finally acknowledged the scale of the fiscal challenge. Now they need a budget that meets that challenge. It won't be easy, but the timid alternative is worse. My latest for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk . www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Burnham and Healey must avoid the budget mistakes of Starmer and Reeves | Institute for Government
The chancellor should take difficult decisions at the budget rather than ducking tough choices.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 22/09/2026
If the PM and chancellor are (finally) alive to the challenges facing them, then they must deliver a budget that meets them head on. This means presenting a coherent strategy for fiscal policy for the rest of this parliament and beyond www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Burnham and Healey must avoid the budget mistakes of Starmer and Reeves | Institute for Government
The chancellor should take difficult decisions at the budget rather than ducking tough choices.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 21/09/2026
Burnham and Healey must avoid the budget mistakes of Starmer and Reeves A precarious fiscal inheritance is not a surprise. The chancellor should take difficult decisions at the budget rather than ducking tough choices. New from @tompope.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Burnham and Healey must avoid the budget mistakes of Starmer and Reeves | Institute for Government
The chancellor should take difficult decisions at the budget rather than ducking tough choices.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 21/09/2026
LABOUR PARTY CONFERENCE 2026 | How can Labour build an affordable welfare system that supports sick and disabled people? Join us in Liverpool on Monday 28 September at 12:00 with @meghillier.bsky.social, Alan Milburn, @drbenpaxton.bsky.social, @katesummers.bsky.social and @tompope.bsky.social
An image for an IfG event. 

How can Labour build an affordable welfare system that supports sick and disabled people?
Monday 28 September | 12:00–13:00
Speakers:

Dame Meg Hillier MP, Chair of the Treasury Select Committee
Rt Hon Alan Milburn, Chair of the Young People and Work Review
Ben Paxton, Senior Researcher at the Institute for Government
Dr Kate Summers, British Academy Post Doctoral Fellow at the London School of Economics and Political Science
This event will be chaired by Thomas Pope, Chief Economist at the Institute for Government. 

This event is in partnership with the London School of Economics and Political Science.
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Burnham and Healey have finally acknowledged the scale of the fiscal challenge. Now they need a budget that meets that challenge. It won't be easy, but the timid alternative is worse. My latest for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk . www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Burnham and Healey must avoid the budget mistakes of Starmer and Reeves | Institute for Government
The chancellor should take difficult decisions at the budget rather than ducking tough choices.
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Jill Rutter @jillongovt.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Interesting piece from @dan-goss.bsky.social for @demos-uk.bsky.social on the need for a DOGE for tax .... www.arguably.uk/p/why-burnha...
arguably.uk
Why Burnham needs a ‘DOGE on tax’
Labour should reset an unfair and inefficient system
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 11/09/2026
How can the PM make his devolution agenda succeed? 📺🎧 Watch or listen as @lukeraikes.bsky.social @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social @drhannahwhite.bsky.social discuss Andy Burnham's plans to lead the “biggest rebalancing of power” www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/andy-b...
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 10/09/2026
Mayors in England are set to get powers to impose tourist taxes. Last year @tompope.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social argued that Angela Rayner was right to call for mayors to levy tourist taxes, and the Treasury is guilty of control freakery www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/rach...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Rachel Reeves should allow local tourist taxes | Institute for Government
If mayors use the ‘right to request’ to call for tourist taxes, then the government should say yes.
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
New from me and @jillongovt.bsky.social for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on how Healey should approach tax in his crucial Autumn budget (a subject he was quiet on in his speech today) Key point: set out a strategy and embrace reform. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
How John Healey should approach tax in his first budget | Institute for Government
The 2026 UK budget is fast approaching.
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
It's not too late to sign up for this event tomorrow lunch. In person in Manchester if you're there (or online). How Burnham can make his devolution agenda succeed? With @drhannahwhite.bsky.social @lukeraikes.bsky.social @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 04/09/2026
EVENT | Andy Burnham, Manchester and No.10 North: How can the PM make his devolution agenda succeed? 📅 Tuesday 8 Sept, 12:30 Join @tompope.bsky.social @lukeraikes.bsky.social @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social @drhannahwhite.bsky.social in Manchester www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/andy-b...
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Healey and Haigh have asked ministers how they will use procurement as a "strategic lever to deliver innovation and growth in every postcode" (as per @lucyfisher.ft.com). New comment from me on some of the answers departments should give www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Five ways departments can help deliver Andy Burnham’s procurement agenda | Institute for Government
The government has asked departments to show how they can support its new procurement reforms.
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Jill Rutter @jillongovt.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Just looking through @instituteforgovernment.org.uk #MInistersReflect interview with John Healey and instructive that this is what he picks as his big achievement in govt www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/defaul...
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
There's been an interesting debate about whether mayors could (and should) be able to provide rebates with assigned revenue. This from @jacktshaw.bsky.social is the best summary I've seen of the current legal position jackshaw.substack.com/p/can-and-sh... Some thoughts on the merits 🧵1/12
jackshaw.substack.com
Can — and should — mayors be allowed to offer tax rebates?
debates over tax rebates are fiscal policy, but also the political differences that greater devolution will create — and what they mean for the relationship between Whitehall and strategic authorities
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
There's been an interesting debate about whether mayors could (and should) be able to provide rebates with assigned revenue. This from @jacktshaw.bsky.social is the best summary I've seen of the current legal position jackshaw.substack.com/p/can-and-sh... Some thoughts on the merits 🧵1/12
jackshaw.substack.com
Can — and should — mayors be allowed to offer tax rebates?
debates over tax rebates are fiscal policy, but also the political differences that greater devolution will create — and what they mean for the relationship between Whitehall and strategic authorities
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
And here is my piece for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk elaborating a bit on these initial reflections www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Andy Burnham’s devolution announcement is a strong start on his priority agenda | Institute for Government
Changes on tax, new powers and institutions show Burnham means business.
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Stuart Hoddinott @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
This is a genuinely exciting announcement about Burnham's intention for public service reform There are some potentially massive changes to the way that services are funded and operate A few things that jumped out at me 👇 www.gov.uk/government/p...
gov.uk
Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement (HTML)
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Really great it looks like government is going further on devolving employment support. It's a big opportunity to join-up services, tailor support locally, improve engagement and innovate. Flexible funding will be key to this (and should help areas streamline the current patchwork of programmes)
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Some thoughts on the government's devo announcement today: Overall, this is a great start on the govt's flagship agenda 1/
gov.uk
Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement (HTML)
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Harriet Shaw @shawharriet.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
The government's cabinet statement on devolution is out and it goes further than what was trailed overnight. Some initial thoughts 👇🧵 www.gov.uk/government/p...
gov.uk
Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement (HTML)
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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Once again find myself thinking about this IfG map.
A map of English mayoral regions
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Excellent primer thread ahead of today's devo announcements from Matthew On fiscal devolution, a couple of key things I'm looking out for: 1. Will all/most mayors get the power immediately, or just the most advanced 2. How much flex will mayors have to spend on their own, vs Whitehall's, priorities
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Stuart Hoddinott @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
New comment: PM buy-in is needed to reform adult social care, so yesterday's speech was positive And political consensus would help. But waiting for consensus shouldn't stop reform, else Burnham risks becoming the latest PM to fail on social care www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/article/comm...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Burnham can’t take the politics out of social care reform | Institute for Government
The new PM will have to prioritise to make progress on social care during this parliament
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Alex Thomas @alexgathomas.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Here’s our piece wrapping up Andy Burnham’s government formation - six things we learned about BurnhamWorld by @rebeccamckee.bsky.social @philipnye.bsky.social @meganbryer.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/six-...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Six things we learned from Andy Burnham’s government formation | Institute for Government
What do Andy Burnham’s cabinet choices reveal about the priorities and direction of his new government?
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
As the new government continues to make big announcements daily, we @instituteforgovernment.org.uk will be taking stock on Thursday lunchtime in a webinar. Do join! You can sign up at the link below
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Jill Rutter @jillongovt.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Pros and cons of the Burnham VAT cut. Pro 1) early indication he "gets" squeeze households feel 2) may offset next price cap lift 3) only on electricity so at margin good for rebalancing gas/electricity ratio as needed to promote wider electrification 4) temporary 5) cuts inflation in 2026
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Tim Durrant @timdurrant.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Keir Starmer has started his final week as PM. So what have been the big moments of his premiership, and what can his successor learn from the last two years? We @instituteforgovernment.org.uk have been having a look back... www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
A timeline showing key moments from Starmer's premiership
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Hannah White @drhannahwhite.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
We are hiring! Brilliant senior job running our new UK Government team… …looking for someone creative and strategic with experience of government who would seize this fantastic opportunity to make government work well for the people of the UK! www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/about-us/car...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Director, UK Government | Institute for Government
A rare and exciting opportunity to become a core member of the Institute for Government’s newly restructured senior team.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Good decision by Burnham (if true). He needs to prioritise improving the centre of govt and economic/fiscal policy making, but splitting the Treasury would be a damaging distraction (set up a bolstered PM dept, have a bold tax strategy and improve the SR instead) www.ft.com/content/61c0...
ft.com
Andy Burnham rules out splitting Treasury to avoid disruption
Likely next prime minister has been rethinking Britain’s economic levers to promote regional growth
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 06/07/2026
A weak No.10 and ineffective Cabinet Office require urgent attention. Andy Burnham must sort out the centre of government on day one, say @tompope.bsky.social and @hannahkeenan.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Andy Burnham must sort out the centre of government on day one | Institute for Government
A weak No.10 and ineffective Cabinet Office require urgent attention
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 03/07/2026
PODCAST 🎙️ Northern Soul: Burnham's Manchester No.10 plan How will Burnham's No.10 North really work? @davidlidington.bsky.social joins @alexgathomas.bsky.social @hannahkeenan.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social to discuss the would-be PM's big speech www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/insi...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Northern Soul: Burnham's Manchester No.10 plan | Institute for Government
Former de facto deputy prime minister David Lidington joins the podcast to discuss the would-be PM's big speech.
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
I enjoyed speaking to @dantomlinson.bsky.social at @instituteforgovernment.org.uk this morning about how he is delivering improved taxpayer experience and digital transformation at HMRC. If you missed his speech and our conversation, watch it here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/dan-to...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Latest from me and @hannahkeenan.bsky.social for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk Burnham might be mulling breaking up the Treasury. He’s right to want to reform the centre, but no.10 and cabinet office should be his focus. HMT reorg would be a distraction and would not fix underlying problems
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 26/06/2026
NEW | Andy Burnham must sort out the centre of government on day one @tompope.bsky.social and @hannahkeenan.bsky.social argue that Andy Burnham should focus on the Cabinet Office and No.10, rather than splitting the Treasury: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Andy Burnham must sort out the centre of government on day one | Institute for Government
A weak No.10 and ineffective Cabinet Office require urgent attention
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Great thread from Tim on our new piece looking at how the mayor and PM roles compare. It's short, so do give the full piece a read!
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
I'm looking forward to speaking to @dantomlinson.bsky.social next Monday. Please do sign up to hear from the minister about transformation at HMRC
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 22/06/2026
EVENT| A keynote speech by Dan Tomlinson MP, Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury 📅Monday 29 June 2026, 11:30-12:30 We are pleased to welcome Dan Tomlinson MP, Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury, to share his experiences as departmental minister for HMRC – and set out his vision for transformation
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
New explainer from me and @danhaile.bsky.social for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on the gilt market. How do governments borrow? What determines the interest rate? Who owns government debt? All that and more answered here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/gi...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
The gilt (or bond) market | Institute for Government
What is a gilt?
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Hannah Keenan @hannahkeenan.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Have written about why this is so good. Yes, there's miles more that's needed, but before you dunk on this it's worth getting to grips with the bind civil servants are in at the moment, where your choices are: move dept, move job, or see your pay stagnate. This is a route out, and that is good.
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Government is right to start tackling the knotty issue of civil service pay | Institute for Government
Performance-related pay progression for senior officials is a good, if limited, move.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 21/05/2026
Featuring @cathhaddon.bsky.social @hannahkeenan.bsky.social And @tompope.bsky.social tells us what is in Rachel Reeves' economic support package
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
This kind of pledge is unhelpful. Big spending cuts look unlikely under any Labour leader, so this pledge means spending pressures (e.g. from defence/NHS/ongoing crises) are more likely to be met from distortive tweaks to smaller taxes (creating more complexity) www.ft.com/content/2661...
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
I am just back @instituteforgovernment.org.uk this week from 5 wonderful months of parental leave, just in time for another quiet week in British politics... And I'm back just in time to share a brilliant new report on employment support www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/... 1/5
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
The extent to which I would much rather be writing about the IfG's new report on employment support (read it! It's really interesting) tomorrow than yet another round of 'man who refuses to do the job of PM properly continues to be bad at it' cannot be overstated.
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Designing and delivering employment support | Institute for Government
How can government better support people out of work due to ill health?
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Sam Macrory @sammacrory.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
Has Rachel Reeves rolled the budget pitch? And how did former chancellors manage expectations? Fascinating @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast with @stewartwood.bsky.social Giles Winn @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/rach...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Rachel Reeves and the art of pitch rolling the budget | Institute for Government
Former Treasury advisers Stewart Wood and Giles Winn reveal how chancellors prepare the ground for budget day.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 05/11/2025
The dramatic rise in prisoners released in error is just one aspect of a collapsing criminal justice system. Read our recent comment from @cassiarowland.bsky.social following today's news of another mistaken prisoner release www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/pris...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
The mistaken release of Hadush Kebatu is a symptom of a failing system | Institute for Government
The problems in criminal justice run far deeper than one high-profile error.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 05/11/2025
There are only three weeks to go until Rachel Reeves delivers her second budget as chancellor. Follow our autumn budget 2025 page for our analysis of the current fiscal context facing the chancellor and how Reeves should approach tax policy making www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/autumn-budge...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Autumn budget 2025 | Institute for Government
On Wednesday 26 November, Rachel Reeves will deliver her second budget as chancellor.
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