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daviswilson80.bsky.social

@daviswilson80.bsky.social
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Reposted by @daviswilson80.bsky.social
"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
I guess my question is, "what is the first thing to meaningfully break, where is it, and how long do we have until it happens?" Because the thing is, even if the war ends tomorrow, a lot of reduced production is locked in for a while.
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
Not everything sucks! If you need power today, you build solar. Cheap Chinese solar panels should just be embraced. Because they’re a product, not a commodity no real dependencies are created. on.ft.com/3VOGbOA
on.ft.com
Solar shines in the rush for power in Africa’s largest petrostate
Nigeria has become a major importer of Chinese panels as buying on the continent begins to boom
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Kara Swisher @karaswisher.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
They largely want the studios & sports and don’t care about the news org. In fact, they would love it gone. Why? Because rich men, especially tech men, think they deserve no criticism and also need constant fluffing. They value a mirrortocracy over a meritocracy and welcome a mediocrity.
sports.do
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Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
Casar: We are seeing how the Republican Party is basically doing everything they can to protect their billionaire buddies, whether it is in the Epstein files or whether it is sticking their hands in the American taxpayers pocket
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Let's figure out who the asshole is and unite
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
If you care about stats, science, politics, or #polls ...you are going to want to read this. It will change the way we analyze poll data. Especially helpful if you share with academics, science influencers, and relevant organizations. open.substack.com/pub/realcarl...
open.substack.com
The Simultaneous Census Standard
A Small, Beautiful Explanation
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
realcarlallen.substack.com/p/the-simult...
realcarlallen.substack.com
The Simultaneous Census Standard
A Small, Beautiful Explanation
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
Have you, or your favorite expert, ever uttered the phrase “Polls underestimated Trump”? That phrase is the scientific equivalent of “Mercury’s orbit just stopped and changed direction” The analysis relies on an invalid frame of reference. See comments for a short article that will fix this
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
Why are mass shooters always male?
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
Full article open.substack.com/pub/realcarl...
open.substack.com
The Simultaneous Census Standard
A Small, Beautiful Explanation
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
Correcting the currently accepted answer to this simple question will change the field of statistics: Given a poll of Candidate A: 46% Candidate B: 44% Undecided: 10% Result: Candidate A: 49% Candidate B: 51% How much error did the poll have?
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
If mass murder is a "political issue" I guess you should decide if you're pro or anti
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Remember He said if he was elected he could end the war before he even took office
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
No bailouts for farmers Let them go bankrupt Clearly, Dems saving the economy and jobs from Republican ruin has earned them no goodwill Republicans control the House, Senate, and Presidency Let them find out
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Average debate with ammosexuals "It's not guns it's mental health!' "So you think we should make sure mental health is accessible?" Lol no
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
If you don't think healthcare is a human right, then you're not pro-life.
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
"Polls underestimated Trump again - here's why" -Headline "Polls predicted Clinton win - why they were wrong" -Academic journal Big problem. THERE IS NO "WHY." It's a nonsensical question "Why did this snapshot of the race not predict the winner?" realcarlallen.substack.com/p/did-polls-...
realcarlallen.substack.com
Did Polls "Underestimate" Trump?
What the hell do you think they're supposed to "estimate?"
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
Average tequila Thursday night with the guys (and gals)
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
Scientist pickup lines
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
Americans view "medical care for life" (a basic human right in most other developed countries) on a similar level as "free groceries for five years" Yikes
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
Turn the other cheek? Maybe if the blade is dull
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Carl Allen @realcarlallen.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
Big favor In your search engine of choice, search "Simultaneous Census" Please share with me the top results - screenshot or otherwise.
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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Goldman Sachs, Jan 21: "Despite Trump’s comments that the 25% tariff will be implemented in 10 days, we continue to believe the odds of a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico are low (20%)." Why have analysts been caught so flat-footed by Trump doing *exactly what he said he would*?
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George Takei @georgetakei.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
The universe speaks in mysterious ways.
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Mythworks is making the Myth Work @mythworks.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Hey remember when George Lucas was like “hurr durr Trade Wars” and we were like that’s so silly and he was like no wait that’s how Emperor Palpatine comes to power and we were like you are obviously dumb Jorge.
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Robert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Are the tariffs implemented on value added? Otherwise won’t that just screw over supply chains that move intermediate inputs across the border multiple times?
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
States now hire unjustly fired FBI agents, prosecutors, and other unjustly fired federal personnel. Good people at the right time.
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Angry @angrystaffer.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Retaliatory tariffs from both Mexico and Canada. Trump says he’ll raise tariffs to 50% if they retaliate. Naturally, they’ll retaliate again, and every day Americans (and Canadians) will pay for this crisis entirely of Trump’s making
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Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Just a reminder that diversity is, in fact, a source of strength, that diverse and inclusive armies outperform exclusionary ones on modern battlefields, and that this anti-DEI witch hunt will actually harm cohesion in the US military I'm gonna send Pete a copy of my book
amazon.com
Divided Armies: Inequality and Battlefield Performance in Modern War (Princeton Studies in International History and Politics)
Divided Armies: Inequality and Battlefield Performance in Modern War (Princeton Studies in International History and Politics) [Lyall, Jason] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Divided Armies: Inequality and Battlefield Performance in Modern War (Princeton Studies in International History and Politics)
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Tommy Tuberville, recognizing he has sharp competition to retain his title as the Dumbest Man in the Senate has upped his game I see.
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Feels bad watching one's country take an action - the tariffs - seemingly out of nothing but spite for neighboring countries that deserve well of us. Saw a couple of posts by Canadians that sounded betrayed and...yeah. I guess that's fair.
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
So...this is just damnable heresy, right? Just as a literal description of his words. I'm not Catholic, but I don't think their doctrine differs on this; there's even a famous parable (Luke 10:25-37) on this very thing, where the neighbor one must 'love as yourself' is not defined by nationality.
A screenshot of a tweet quoting Vice President Vance saying, "JD VANCE: There is a Christian concept that you love your family and then you love your neighbor, and then you love your community, and then you love your fellow citizens, and then after that, prioritize the rest of the world

A lot of the far left has completely inverted that"
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Dr. Jacqueline E. Whitt @notabattlechick.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
I am so, so exhausted. So is every other Federal employee I know. We need YOU to pick up your phones and call your Congresspeople. We need lawyers filing lawsuits. We need private organizations with big endowments (ahem, universities) putting up a fight and saying NO. We need real journalism.
media.tenor.com
a man is kneeling down next to a red help button
Alt: a white silhouette cartoon man is kneeling down next to a red help button, pressing it repeatedly
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Ken Klippenstein @kenklippenstein.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Intelligence officials are starting to leak to me now too. Here’s a memo Defense Intelligence Agency personnel received instructing them to suspend observances including: - Holocaust Remembrance Day - MLK Day - Juneteenth
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
That's what winning looks like, but I am sure there will be an attempt to do this some other way.
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
yup, numerous projects examining Chinese influence don't know if they're getting their funding, staff are evaluating their options, etc. absolute disaster for US information and national security.
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Alright, students, flip open your books to the pages on the strategic problem of crafting communications which have to accomplish different aims to different audiences...
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Karin Wulf @kawulf.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
"A great Nation does not hide its history." Noted radical George W. Bush, at the dedication of the NMAAHC, Sept. 24, 2016.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 29/01/2025
"The massive stack of EOs Trump signed provided the first indications of a serious problem: He and his cronies are confirming their status as chronically sloppy bumblers while doing their very best to destroy the very institutions GOP presidents have used to implement rightwing policies."
publicnotice.co
Trump's chaos governance failed once. He's trying it again.
He's breaking eggs while ignoring their price.
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Angry @angrystaffer.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Watching these red states attack federal funding—apparently not realizing that most of their states are broke and would completely collapse without it—will always be hilarious to me. “Give it all back to the states!” Sit down, Cletus. Your state can’t buy sandwiches for kids.
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George Takei @georgetakei.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
How have we even gotten to this point?
comicsands.com
RFK Jr. Just Admitted To Spreading A Bonkers Medical Conspiracy Theory During Contentious Hearing
What are we even doing here?
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 29/01/2025
remember stuff like this when they tell you that diversity means a lowering of standards
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BrooklynDad_Defiant! @mmpadellan.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
I'm not good at math, but I'm pretty sure if you cut off Medicaid from 72 million people, some of those people are going to be your own idiot supporters. I'd wager a LOT of them. What a dumb move.
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Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Griffin: Secretary Hegseth has decided to immediately pull General Milley's security detail. Hegseth also ordered the new acting inspector general to conduct a review board to potentially strip General Milley of a star in retirement.. All highly unusual actions.
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Seth Abramson @sethabramson.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
As chilling a meme as I have seen. But I agree.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 28/01/2025
this is an illegal order. the president does not have the legal authority to discriminate against entire categories of americans on the basis of sex. this order is no different than if he had issued one reinstituting segregation.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 28/01/2025
sam’s thread helps clarify something for me, which is the underlying theory behind trump’s action. trump does not see himself as a president in a system of shared authority, he sees himself as sovereign, with unchecked authority over everything.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 28/01/2025
"Trump is settling scores and letting everyone within the government, past and present, know that the price of protection is loyalty to him."
publicnotice.co
The MAGA terror has begun
Their leader is glorifying political violence and weaponizing the threat of it.
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