Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 06/10/2026thanks, didnt realize that, that really limits the number of available slots then 010
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 06/10/20266. Okuayinonu: Maybe, longer recovery so wait until the +2 spots in the playoffs? 7. Pleasants: No, hope Lowe & Cruz can hold up 8. Martin: No, hope LB depth holds up 9/10. Tonges/Collins: Out for yr If it's just the 1st 5, then there're 3 spots left for rest of season? Daniel Z 100
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 06/10/2026With only 8 return-from-IR spots, how would you rank the players on IR by likelihood to return (assuming recovery is as projected)? My attempt: 1. Stribling: Obvious yes 2. Robinson: Same 3. Kirk: Yes, need WR depth 4. West: Yes, need DT depth 5. Hobbs: Likely? CB is an injury-prone position ... 100
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoNational Hurricane Center @nhc-atlantic.extwitter.link · 05/10/20268 am EDT Oct 5 - A trough in the southwestern Gulf of America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the middle or latter portion of the week. This system is expected to... 🔗 hurricanes.gov 52510
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoIsaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Carney showing up with a coffee 2220121
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 02/10/2026One of the dominant narratives about the labor market over the past couple years has been that it's a "good time to have a job but a bad time to be looking for one." I think that's only half true. A quick 📈🧵: #EconSky #NumbersDay 310828
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026sort of, the multiple jobholders rate *has* been increasing since Covid, but it's not very cyclical so it's hard to take as a sign that the job market is improving/declining fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNU02... 010
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026The share of workers unemployed 27+ weeks (over half a year) rose to 27.1% in September. The rise in long-term unemployment we've seen in the last few years is unusual outside of a recession/recent recession recovery. And that may help explain the anxiety workers have about today's job market. 021
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026The Black unemployment rate jumped to 7% in September, highest since April. Though this did come with a rebound in labor force participation and the employment-population ratio for Black workers. These serieses w/ small sample sizes are often volatile month-to-month. 120
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2% in September, from 4.1%. Though this came with a rebound in labor force participation, up to 61.8% & highest since May. Similarly, prime age (25–54) labor force participation rebounded to its highest level since May. 110
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Average hourly earnings grew 3% year-over-year, down from 3.1% in August and 3.2% in July. Slowing wage gains are unfortunately coinciding with resurgent inflation. Annual wage growth will likely be negative after adjusting for inflation when Sep CPI data is out 10/14. 200
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Throw back to 2025: Health care & social assistance added 23,000 jobs. All other industries added 6,000 on net. 2026 has seen stronger jobs growth in non-health care industries than in 2024–2025, but September featured softer growth both inside and outside health care. 100
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Taking a longer view, professional & business services, education, government, finance, information all shed jobs in Q3. Health care has slowed though still positive. Manufacturing, construction, transportation & warehousing are pockets of improvement. 131
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Government still led job losses due to local government excluding education (-10,600). Temporary help services (-10,900) dragged down prof & biz services. Finance and information also saw broad-based job losses in September. 110
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026The swing from July to August is overstated by local government education, which dropped sharply in July & mostly rebounded in August (seasonal adjustment is hard!). On net, local govt edu lost only 4,500 jobs over the last 3 months. Private payrolls alone show more steady growth during the summer 210
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Payroll employment rose 29,000 in September, much slower than expectation and below the 133,000 jobs added in August. Additionally, August was revised down from +162,000 and July to -10,000 from +21,000. Still struggling to show consistent improvement in the pace of jobs growth. 100
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Sep #jobsreport flips back to weak again after a strong Aug: -Payrolls +29k vs. +133k in Aug (revised down from +162k). Jul back in the red, revised to -10k from +21k -Unemp rises to 4.2% (though labor force participation jumped) -Wage growth down to 3% YoY from 3.1% 2165
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 01/10/2026> The firm behind Claude could start formal marketing for its IPO as soon as the week of Nov. 9, putting it in line to begin trading before Thanksgiving www.bloomberg.com/news/article...bloomberg.comAnthropic Said to Target Mega-IPO Before Thanksgiving HolidayAnthropic PBC is seeking to go public as soon as the middle of November, according to people familiar with the matter, after the artificial intelligence model maker pushed back plans to list. 000
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoClaudia Sahm @claudia-sahm.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Growth in FRED users well above 20% *per year* for 30 years. That's impressive! 67310
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Initial unemployment insurance claims were little changed again last week at 197,000 vs. 198,000 the prior week. Continuing claims fell to 1,701,000 from 1,712,000, the lowest level since April 2023, adding to the evidence that the job market improved in September. 0157
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoGeorge Pearkes @peark.es · 01/10/2026Funny ripple effect of the cyclospora outbreak: McCormick sold fewer spices to other businesses because their traffic dropped. *MCCORMICK: US CYCLOSPORA OUTBREAK PRESSURED B2B FLAVOR VOLUMES 9574
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 30/09/2026hey maybe LLMs will actually *increase* labor demand for customer service representatives 😅 020
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 30/09/2026thought this was an interesting peek at a use case of autonomous/remote-operated vehicles: www.wsj.com/articles/the...wsj.comThe Next Frontier for Autonomous Vehicles Is Burying Your GarbageCaterpillar’s newest landfill machinery doesn’t need a human in the operator’s cab. 120
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I think this analysis is overstating the claims a bit, but nevertheless, an interesting case study of how increased productivity can result in higher costs: www.reuters.com/legal/litiga...reuters.comAI tools generated nearly $1 billion in extra costs, Blue Cross insurers sayAI tools are raising health spending for insurers by nearly $1 billion over two years, as providers bill for more severe patient care, according to a Blue Cross Blue Shield Association study released... 050
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 29/09/2026One place lower hiring is showing up in particular is information (which includes media & tech). Information hiring tumbled to 1.6% in August, lowest level since October 2023 and just a hair above a record low. *This series is volatile so take sharp swings w/ a grain of salt 000
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Job openings are roughly where we would expect them given the current unemployment rate (4.1%), but hires and quits remain unusually low, pointing to a lack of healthy turnover in the job market as employers limit hiring plans and workers sit tight. 100
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Layoffs & discharges fell to 1,641,000 in August, down from 1,702,000 in July. Layoffs are at their lowest level since March 2025. The series is volatile but the improvement does align with falling unemployment insurance claims pointing to fewer layoffs. 101
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Job openings fell to 7,079,000, lowest level since March. Despite the mid-2026 bump, the trend in job openings has also remained fairly flat for over a year. 130
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The hires rate improved ever so slightly in August, rising to 3.3% from 3.2%, though it remains fairly unchanged over the last year despite some up-and-down swings. Similarly, the quits rate was flat at 1.9% and remains low. 110
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Ever-so-slight improvement in August #JOLTS report with higher hires, lower layoffs: -Hires rate up slightly to 3.3% from 3.2% in July -Quits rate flat at 1.9% -Job openings fell to 7.08m from 7.34m -Layoffs fell to 1.64m from 1.7m 1101
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 28/09/2026The Glassdoor Employee Confidence Index fell to a third record low of 2026 in September, the lowest level in a decade. 42.9% of employees reported a positive business outlook for their employers, down from 44.5% in August. www.glassdoor.com/blog/glassdo... 0376
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 24/09/2026BLS employee tenure data shows that younger workers have slightly increased their median tenure at a job over the last 20 years while mid-career workers age 35–64 have decreased their median tenure. Source: www.bls.gov/news.release... 0173
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoJustin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 24/09/2026The gap between rates on new mortgages and existing ones is growing again, which I think is the home sales equivalent of Punxsutawney Phil seeing his shadow www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti... 153
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I'll be going to see Tosca this season! A good introductory opera for folks imo with one of the more tightly written plots 020
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Initial unemployment insurance claims were little changed last wk: 197,000 vs. 198,000 the prior wk. Continuing claims were also little changed at 1,719,000 vs. 1,717,000 the prior wk. Both are down ~10% year-over-year Continuing claims are for Labor Day wk so there may be residual seasonality 071
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 23/09/2026US job postings at Indeed are in positive territory again, up year-over-year for the first time since October 2022. LinkedIn post: www.linkedin.com/feed/update/... 042
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoJohn Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Both major prediction markets have seen huge recent increases in sports-related trading. The increases come as some regulators argue that prediction markets are no different from sports betting platforms and should be regulated accordingly. 182
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 23/09/2026By contrast, CFO survey from Richmond/Atlanta Feds + Duke shows a slight downtick in optimism in Q3 2026: Optimism about own company: 60.3, from 60.6 About U.S. economy: 69.7, from 70.7 www.richmondfed.org/research/nat... 030
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 21/09/2026BLS plans to release an analysis of non/late-response bias in the CES by the end of 2026 Source: conference.nber.org/conf_papers/... 0141
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoIsaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social · 17/09/2026theres like infinity applications where you get something and need to make a decision. Unless the volume you have is high, it makes no sense to run your own inference. This is an incredibly cool and business focused idea. but also i need to actually use it and figure out its whole deal 1271
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoIsaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social · 17/09/2026What jev promises is an essentially classifier for any problem and that rules 3865
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Another piece in Indeed's series on data center jobs, this time focused on the buildout in Europe hiringlab.indeed.com/uk/blog/2026... 073
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 17/09/2026link to release: www.businessroundtable.org/media/ceo-ec...businessroundtable.orgCEO Economic Outlook Index Q3 2026 | Business RoundtableThe Business Roundtable CEO Economic Outlook Index is based on a survey, conducted quarterly since the fourth quarter of 2002, of our member CEOs' plans for hiring and capital spending, and their expe... 010
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 17/09/2026CEO survey from Business Roundtable for Q3 2026 suggests improving hiring conditions w/ 36% expecting to increase employment over the next 6 months vs. 37% no change vs. 28% decrease. Best since Q4 2024. Overall CEO economic outlook also improved to highest since Q2 2022 152
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Initial unemployment insurance claims fell last week to 196,000 from 206,000. Continuing claims fell to 1,730,000 from 1,769,000, the lowest level since Jan 2024, and the 4-week moving average for continuing claims is down 9% year-over-year. 131
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoYouGov America @today.yougov.com · 16/09/2026Sep 15-16 poll of 6,677 U.S. adults (±1.5 points) Do you think legalized gambling is having a positive or a negative impact on sports? Far more U.S. adults say a negative impact than a positive one (43% vs. 9%) 31% say neither yougov.com/en-us/daily-... 162
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoBloomberg News @bloomberg.com · 16/09/2026Canada could become the European Union's first associate member. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen offered the invitation to Canadian PM Mark Carney during her annual state of the union speech. bloom.bg/4707TNP 📷: Olivier Matthys / Getty 58718
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 11/09/2026New business applications were down 7.8% in August, but remain up 11.4% year-over-year. Business applications with planned wages fell 1.9% in August, but are down 14.5% year-over-year and are at their lowest since April 2020 and lower than any pre-Covid point going back to start of data in 2004. 082
Reposted by Daniel ZhaoBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Inflation-adjusted hourly earnings fell on a year-over-year basis for the fifth straight month in August, as higher gas prices wiped away workers' pay increases. #NumbersDay 25319